Gale Warning 34, NWS Juneau, AK

856 
FZAK51 PAJK 231254
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 nm

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-240330-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A gale force low will move N to be W of Haida Gwaii  by Tue
afternoon. The associated weather front will move N into  the
southern panhandle by Tue evening, then weaken as it moves  into
the central panhandle by Wed afternoon. 

$$

PKZ011-240330-
Glacier Bay-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-240330-
Northern Lynn Canal-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray in the
morning. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N gale to 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...N gale to 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-240330-
Southern Lynn Canal-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming N in the morning, then increasing
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...N gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-240330-
Icy Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-240330-
Cross Sound-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-240330-
Stephens Passage-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 6 ft. Snow showers and rain showers late. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers in the
morning, then snow showers and rain showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-240330-
Northern Chatham Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers
and rain showers late. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-240330-
Southern Chatham Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft, 
except 7 ft near ocean entrances. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers late. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near ocean
entrances. Snow showers and rain showers in the morning, then
rain and snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-240330-
Frederick Sound-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt early in the morning. Seas
4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt
late. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers late. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-240330-
Sumner Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Out of interior passes,
gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Out of interior
passes, gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow
showers in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-240330-
Clarence Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Strongest winds near ocean 
entrances. Out of interior passes, gusts to 40 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain and snow
showers. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building
to 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

137 
FZAK51 PAJK 231630 CCA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 nm

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-240330-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A gale force low will move N to be W of Haida Gwaii  by Tue
afternoon. The associated weather front will move N into  the
southern panhandle by Tue evening, then weaken as it moves  into
the central panhandle by Wed afternoon. 

$$

PKZ011-240330-
Glacier Bay-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-240330-
Northern Lynn Canal-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray in the
morning. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N gale to 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...N gale to 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-240330-
Southern Lynn Canal-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming N in the morning, then increasing
to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...N gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-240330-
Icy Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 5 
ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-240330-
Cross Sound-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 
ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing late. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-240330-
Stephens Passage-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 
kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 6 ft. Snow showers and rain showers late. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers in the
morning, then snow showers and rain showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-240330-
Northern Chatham Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers
and rain showers late. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-240330-
Southern Chatham Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft, 
except 7 ft near ocean entrances. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers late. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near ocean
entrances. Snow showers and rain showers in the morning, then
rain and snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-240330-
Frederick Sound-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt early in the morning. Seas
4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt
late. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers late. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-240330-
Sumner Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Out of interior passes,
gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Out of interior
passes, gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow
showers in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-240330-
Clarence Strait-
354 AM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Strongest winds near ocean 
entrances. Out of interior passes, gusts to 40 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior passes.
Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain and snow
showers. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers in the
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building
to 6 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

022 
FZAK51 PAJK 240012
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 nm

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-241815-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A gale force low W of Haida Gwaii will weaken as it tracks west
through Wed. The associated weather front will move N into the
southern panhandle Tue evening, then weaken as it moves into the
central panhandle by Wed afternoon.  

$$

PKZ011-241815-
Glacier Bay-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-241815-
Northern Lynn Canal-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the evening. Seas 6
ft building to 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N wind 40 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. 
Freezing spray in the morning. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-241815-
Southern Lynn Canal-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 
8 ft. 
.WED...N wind 35 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Snow
showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers in the
evening. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-241815-
Icy Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Strongest winds W of Point Adolphus. 
Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Strongest winds W of Point Adolphus. Seas 5 
ft. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers in the
evening. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-241815-
Cross Sound-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the evening. Seas
7 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers in the
evening. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NE gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-241815-
Stephens Passage-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt in the evening. Gusts to 50
kt out of interior passes. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt diminishing in the morning. Gusts to 40 kt 
out of interior passes. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-241815-
Northern Chatham Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt diminishing in the morning. Seas 5 ft. Snow 
showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-241815-
Southern Chatham Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain showers late.

.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain showers in the 
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 5 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 5 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow
and rain showers. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-241815-
Frederick Sound-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt
late. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain showers late. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain showers in the 
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-241815-
Sumner Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt 
late. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers late. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in 
the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-241815-
Clarence Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 3 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

768 
FZAK51 PAJK 240200 CCA
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 nm

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-241815-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A gale force low W of Haida Gwaii will weaken as it tracks west
through Wed. The associated weather front will move N into the
southern panhandle Tue evening, then weaken as it moves into the
central panhandle by Wed afternoon.  

$$

PKZ011-241815-
Glacier Bay-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing late. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-241815-
Northern Lynn Canal-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the evening. Seas 6
ft building to 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N wind 40 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. 
Freezing spray in the morning. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-241815-
Southern Lynn Canal-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 
8 ft. 
.WED...N wind 35 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Snow
showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers in the
evening. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-241815-
Icy Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Strongest winds W of Point Adolphus. 
Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Strongest winds W of Point Adolphus. Seas 5 
ft. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers in the
evening. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-241815-
Cross Sound-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the evening. Seas
7 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers in the
evening. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NE gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-241815-
Stephens Passage-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt in the evening. Gusts to 50
kt out of interior passes. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt diminishing in the morning. Gusts to 40 kt 
out of interior passes. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-241815-
Northern Chatham Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N wind 25 kt diminishing in the morning. Seas 5 ft. Snow 
showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-241815-
Southern Chatham Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain showers late.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain showers in the 
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 5 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 5 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow
and rain showers. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-241815-
Frederick Sound-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt
late. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain showers late. 
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain showers in the 
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-241815-
Sumner Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt 
late. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers late. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt in 
the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-241815-
Clarence Strait-
312 PM AKST Tue Jan 23 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers in the
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 3 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

056 
FZAK51 PAJK 241318
CWFAJK

Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 nm

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ098-250330-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A gale force low W of Haida Gwaii will weaken as it tracks NW
through the eastern gulf through Thu. The associated weather 
front over the southern panhandle will weaken as it moves into the
central panhandle by Wed afternoon, then dissipate as it reaches 
the northern panhandle Wed night. 

$$

PKZ011-250330-
Glacier Bay-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers in the 
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers in the evening. 
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ012-250330-
Northern Lynn Canal-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Freezing spray early in the morning. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers in the evening.
Freezing spray late. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ013-250330-
Southern Lynn Canal-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow
showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of interior
passes. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ021-250330-
Icy Strait-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming E. Stronger winds east of Sisters
Island. Seas 5 ft. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ022-250330-
Cross Sound-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow showers in the evening. 
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NE gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ031-250330-
Stephens Passage-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt early in the morning. Seas 
4 ft. Snow showers. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ032-250330-
Northern Chatham Strait-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Stronger winds near Lynn Canal entrance. Seas
4 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ033-250330-
Southern Chatham Strait-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers early in the 
morning. Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean
entrances. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 5 ft near
ocean entrances. 
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ034-250330-
Frederick Sound-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow showers early in the 
morning. Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ035-250330-
Sumner Strait-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt 
early in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow showers early in 
the morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ036-250330-
Clarence Strait-
418 AM AKST Wed Jan 24 2018

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow 
showers early in the morning, then rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. 
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow
showers. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
233 PM AKST Mon Jan 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...Satellite imagery this afternoon showing a surface
low in the western gulf that developed through the day and
associated occluded front moving over the panhandle from south to
north. A second front will rotate around the low but will be
oriented more to the north and south and remain along the
panhandle coast this evening then over the northern panhandle
while shearing apart late tonight. The surface low will weaken
through early Tuesday as another tracks up from the N Pacific
moving to the west of Haida Gwaii by Tuesday afternoon. The
leading front from this low will slowly move over the southern
panhandle into Wednesday then crossing over the central panhandle,
while shearing apart, by Wednesday evening.

The first front progressed northward producing showers over the
the southern panhandle starting early this morning then reaching
the central regions by the afternoon. Typical of showers the
intensity has been highly variable with visibility reductions
swinging from less than 1 mile to 10 miles over an hour.
Precipitation transitioned from snow to rain over the south as a
warmer swath of mid level air moved in. Central and northern areas
expected to stay all snow as 850 mb temps remain at or below -2C.
Even with the impressive snow fall rates (out the window it
finally looks like winter) the speed of the advancing front
keeping snow accumulation in the 1 to 2 inch range today with
additional 1 maybe 2 inches tonight. Model soundings indicate a
good convective environment but not a deep saturated layer or an
impressive dendritic growth zone. Higher snow amounts possible if
showers become oriented along a similar track and begin training.
By Tuesday as the Haida Gwaii moves in producing off shore flow
over the central and northern regions precip will diminish and
some clearing skies are possible. Expect precip for the Wednesday
system to also remain as all snow, but once again no significant
QPF values, temperatures in the upper 20's to low 30's keeping
snow ratios low, thus only a few more inches expected.

Winds showing similar variably to precipitation tonight. As the
front moves north wind directions will flip from north to south
briefly before gradient between the Haida Gwaii low and high
pressure over Canada flips winds back north. Increasing gradient
means increasing winds speeds with gales for the northern inner
channels by Tuesday evening and rather strong outflow winds from
Cross Sound and Taku inlet. Components for mountain wave in
Juneau looking favorable so have gusts upwards of 40 to 45 mph in
the downtown and Douglas areas. As the low begin to pull to the
west, pressure gradient will weaken and winds will diminish
through Wednesday.

NAM/GFS were showing good initialization with the precip
coverage. Not much change through Tue for pressure and winds. On
Wed new models runs showing the low center further southeast and
deeper. Blended in more NAM for pop early on. Tricky part of the
forecast was snow totals. Nudged some QPF values down but with the
convective nature kept toward the 1 to 2 inch range for snow,
even if amounts may be closer to 1 inch. Forecast confidence for
the synoptic pattern is above average but lower confidence on
remaining snow totals.

.LONG TERM.../Wednesday through Monday/...Long range period
begins with an upper low south and east of the Gulf of Alaska
moving east towards Washington. Another upper low located over
the northern interior will be tracking south and be over the
northwest Gulf by Thursday morning. Upstream, a building upper
ridge will be situated over the Bering Sea. The upper low will
slowly track south and dominate the gulf by Friday morning. By
this time, the upstream ridge will have strengthened into an
Omega block, with another upper low over the Sea of Okhotsk. By
the end of next weekend, the Omega block remains strong and in
place while the upper low will have continued a slow track south
of the Gulf of Alaska.

The combined effect of the upper low over the gulf and the
building upper ridge to the west will be to advect in colder low
level air over the panhandle. Some modification of this airmass
will occur as it crosses a considerable distance over the open
ocean, but the ridge will prevent any warmer air from the west
from mixing in. 850H temperatures favoring rain on Wednesday and
Thursday during the day south of Frederick Sound, but then become
more supportive of snow all the way south to the Dixon Entrance
overnight both nights and then through at least Saturday.
1000-500 and 1000-850 thicknesses showing a similar pattern.
Daytime highs over the southern half of the panhandle from
Frederick Sound south indicating that there is a good chance that
at least some of the precipitation for this coming week will be in
the form of rain. Otherwise, what precip we do see may be mostly
in the form of snow. No well defined fronts currently being
depicted in medium to long range models, so convective precip
(showers) is anticipated through at least Wednesday night. 12
hour snow totals currently indicating possibly advisory level
snowfall Wednesday for central zones and Wednesday night for
northern zones south of Berners Bay. Convective nature of this
precipitation will cause the snow totals to be a constantly moving
target even as the event unfolds, so stay tuned for updates as the
week progresses.

No significant changes to pressure or winds. PoP and QPF primarily
from NAM Wednesday and Wednesday night with little change for the
remainder of the long range forecast. Daytime highs and overnight
lows generally nudged down slightly for the second half of the
week based on current model spectrum plots. Overall forecast
confidence is average, but below average for snow totals.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ022-041.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011>013-021-031-033-035-036-042-043-
     051-052.

&&

PRB/Fritsch

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau