Storm Warning 168, NWS Anchorage, AK

973 
FZAK52 PAFC 110034
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-111315-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 962 mb low over Bristol Bay will move inland Mon night. The 
associated front over the eastern Aleutians will dissipate Tue 
morning. Low pressure will move over the western Aleutians Tue 
morning and persist through Wed.

$$

PKZ150-111315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas 16 
ft building to 25 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
26 ft subsiding to 20 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ155-111315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt except W 45 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, W wind 40 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ160-111315-
Bristol Bay-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after
midnight. Heavy freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ165-111315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt except NW 45 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. From
Port Moller E, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 18 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 45 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray from Port
Moller E.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-111315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-111315-
Unalaska Bay-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 4 ft after
midnight.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-111315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-111315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-111315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-111315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-111315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft after
midnight.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-111315-
Adak to Kiska-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Bering side, seas 12 ft. Pacific side,
seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after midnight.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-111315-
Kiska to Attu-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft Bering side...19 ft Pacific side.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-111315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 16 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-111315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-111315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-111315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
334 PM AKST Mon Dec 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

760 
FZAK52 PAFC 111258
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-120145-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 980 mb low forms 55 nm northwest of Emmonak Tue afternoon and 
moves to 40 nm south of St Mary at 983 mb by Thu morning. Its front 
moves across the eastern Bering through Thu morning. A front
approaches the Western Aleutians Thu morning.

$$

PKZ150-120145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ155-120145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ160-120145-
Bristol Bay-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
15 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ165-120145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. From
Port Moller E, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. From
Port Moller E, W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft except 13 ft from Port 
Moller E. Freezing spray. Snow showers and rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-120145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-120145-
Unalaska Bay-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-120145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-120145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-120145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 
ft subsiding to 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft in the
afternoon.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-120145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-120145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-120145-
Adak to Kiska-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 35 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft Bering side...23 ft Pacific side.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft Bering side...23 ft Pacific side.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-120145-
Kiska to Attu-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt Bering side...W 35 kt Pacific side. Seas
14 ft Bering side...22 ft Pacific side.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft Bering side...22 ft Pacific side.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-120145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-120145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
14 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-120145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-120145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
358 AM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray from St.
Matthew Island W.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray from St.
Matthew Island W in the morning. Snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

518 
FZAK52 PAFC 120052
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-121415-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A series of weak lows will move along the western Aleutians
through Thu morning. A 982 mb low coming from the Norton Sound 
will move to 62N 166W Wed afternoon then it will move to 59N 163W 
at 990 mb Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-121415-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray north and east
of Chirikof Island.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray north and east of
Chirikof Island.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ155-121415-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-121415-
Bristol Bay-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-121415-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 40 kt except W 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 15 ft.
Freezing spray. Snow and rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ170-121415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon east of
Dutch Harbor. W wind 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-121415-
Unalaska Bay-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ172-121415-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-121415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ174-121415-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 17 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ175-121415-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-121415-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-121415-
Adak to Kiska-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...Bering side, SW wind 20 kt. Pacific side, SW wind 25 kt 
becoming W 35 kt after midnight. Bering side, seas 8 ft building to 
13 ft after midnight. Pacific side, seas 22 ft.
.WED...Bering side, W wind 20 kt. Pacific side, W wind 35 kt. Seas 
14 ft Bering side...23 ft Pacific side.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft Bering side...18 ft Pacific 
side.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ178-121415-
Kiska to Attu-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt Bering side...W 35 kt Pacific side. Seas
14 ft Bering side...22 ft Pacific side.
.WED...Bering side, NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Pacific side, W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft Bering side...21
ft Pacific side.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Bering side, seas 11 ft. Pacific side, seas 19 ft subsiding to 13
ft after midnight. Freezing spray Pacific side.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-121415-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight south of
St. George Island. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ180-121415-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ181-121415-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow
showers.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-121415-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
352 PM AKST Tue Dec 11 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. Snow 
showers.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
426 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A large upper level trough is currently encompassing the Bering
Sea. Just south of this trough, a jet streak with max values near
170 knots is generating a wide swath of zonal flow at the upper
levels across the North Pacific. Over the last few days, this
North Pacific jet has generated multiple lows along the left exit
region, leaving a trail of cyclonic flow over the central
Aleutians.

At the surface, cold air advection persists across Southcentral
ahead of an inbound warm occluded front currently draped across
the AKPEN. This front is associated with a 964 mb parent low
centered near Saint Paul Island. In response, snow showers are
observed on radar this afternoon across the northern AKPEN while a
few residual showers are also spreading in along the north Gulf
coast.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in good agreement on the synoptic
pattern. However, there are some differences in the timing and
strength of various individual features. This lowers the
confidence mainly for precipitation probabilities, where
widespread "chance" Pops are common over the southern mainland.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will continue. Some showers
are possible beginning around noon Monday, but probabilities are
low enough that VCSH was used.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Long story short, a wintery pattern is in store for Alaska as we
finally have driven the Pacific jet stream to the south, allowing
for colder moderated arctic air to infiltrate Southcentral. A
series of fronts and lows will move up along the coast beginning
tonight, with each low bringing coastal rain and snow and
increasing inland snow threats. The first gale force front tonight
will move along the coast then stall, with gale force winds moving
into Prince William Sound. There will be a few isolated snow
showers that will move inland, but most of the interior will
remain downsloped.

The next low will move toward the coast Monday night and Tuesday
and eventually move toward the vicinity or inside of Prince
William Sound. There is a lot of uncertainty at this juncture,
with Gulf moisture in place, cold air infiltrating across the
Alaska Range in conjunction with an arctic trough, and low level
instability, this pattern will become increasingly favorable for
snow threats inland. These chances increase Tuesday and will
continue through Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Sunday
night through Wednesday)...
The warm front associated with the elongated low in the Bering
Sea is now pushing inland. As expected, it is weakening as it
goes. It is producing some areas of light snow, mainly along the
coast. Dillingham and King Salmon are seeing the "heaviest" snow
out of this system, though RADAR and surface observations show
even this snow is still light.

The current low supporting this weak front moves southeast
tonight, causing this front to really fall apart. However, models
have honed in on a second low spinning up and heading into Bristol
Bay early tomorrow morning. Both the GFS and the NAM are in
agreement on this compact feature, so decided to put it in the
forecast. There is a second push of snow forecasted to move
through zone 161, which right now looks like it will provide up to
another 3 inches of snow along the coast. Up to 5 inches are
possible in the Kuskokwim Mountains due to enhanced lift there.

After this second push, the broad low supporting these smaller
systems will move east Tuesday morning to be located over Southcentral
AK. This will induce northwesterly flow over southwest AK and
establish a cooling trend through the middle of this week.
Temperatures will actually get legitimately cold, with lows below
zero inland and in the single digits along the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3/Sunday
night through Wednesday)...
The low in the Bering that has been the subject of much discussion
is still slowly working its way east, with its elongated warm
front now pushing into southwest AK. GOES satellite imagery shows
that several smaller circulations within this low have indeed
spun up, as models indicated. There are at least four different
smaller low centers currently viewable on satellite. These small
lows are creating a forecast challenge to predict specific
locations and timing of precipitation. Areas of heavier snow
showers are embedded within this system, reducing visibility when
they do strike a location with an observation site. This is making
our TAFs a challenge in the Bering today.

This low will continue to push east through Tuesday, with smaller
circulations continuing to spin within it. Right now models are
locking onto these smaller lows about a day out it seems, so there
is some predictability of areas of enhanced precipitation. Wide
spread areas of gale force winds are also still present with this
low and will continue to be present as the low pushes east, which
is a bit stronger than initially expected. The low completely
exits Tuesday morning, with northwest flow and high pressure
building in behind it. This will creating a cool trend with likely
some convective snow showers in the Bering later this week.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

The general trends for the long range forecast is for the most active
weather to continue across area waters with temperatures trending
colder Wednesday night through the weekend. A long wave trough
Wednesday night is projected to have a parent low just south of
the Bering Strait and another low over the southeastern Gulf of
Alaska. Models are generally in good agreement with the closed
center over the Bering Strait remaining the dominant system. They
are struggling with the northward progression and organization of
the Gulf and system and the progressive wave pattern over the
Bering. The main changes for the long range forecast were to
decrease precipitation chances across the southern mainland and to
cool temperatures through the second half of the week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales...119 120 130 131 132 138 139 150 155 160 165 179
				 180.
		 Heavy Freezing Spray...185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KO/BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BB
LONG TERM...KH