Storm Warning 164, NWS Anchorage, AK

683 
FZAK51 PAFC 071313
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-080215-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 980 mb low 300 nm south of Middleton Island Fri morning will 
move to 100 nm west of Middleton Island at 976 mb Sat morning. 
The associated front will move to the North Gulf coast through 
Sat morning. A 981 mb low Sat afternoon 200 nm southeast of 
Middleton Island will move to the North Gulf coast by Sun morning.

$$

PKZ119-080215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt shifting to S 50 kt toward morning. 
Seas 30 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft.

$$

PKZ120-080215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt shifting to SW toward morning. 
Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 20 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ121-080215-
Resurrection Bay-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain 
and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-080215-
Prince William Sound-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming S 50 kt toward morning. 
Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ126-080215-
Port Valdez-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas to 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt 
after midnight. Seas to 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-080215-
Valdez Narrows-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-080215-
Valdez Arm-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-080215-
Passage Canal-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Widespread 
rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ130-080215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft subsiding to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ131-080215-
Barren Islands East-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt, except NW wind 25 kt near 
the Barren Islands. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. 
Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ132-080215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt, increasing to 30 kt S of Dangerous Cape 
in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt, except W 25 kt N of Dangerous Cape. 
Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ136-080215-
Chiniak Bay-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-080215-
Marmot Bay-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-080215-
Shelikof Strait-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt becoming W 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ139-080215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ140-080215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 55 kt out of Turnagain Arm. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 
4 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt during the morning. 
Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ141-080215-
Kachemak Bay-
413 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

114 
FZAK51 PAFC 080058
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-081415-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 969 mb low in the southern Gulf will move to 30 nm northwest of
Middleton Island at 970 mb Sat morning. The low will then move 
inland over western Prince William Sound Sat afternoon. A second 
981 mb low develops in the southeastern Gulf Sat afternoon then 
it will move inland over eastern Prince William Sound at 976 mb 
Sun morning. A front will move into the southwestern Gulf Sun 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-081415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas building to 28 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...S wind 45 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft
subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ120-081415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas 22 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ121-081415-
Resurrection Bay-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt early becoming S 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Snow showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ125-081415-
Prince William Sound-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 4
ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-081415-
Port Valdez-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Snow.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-081415-
Valdez Narrows-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-081415-
Valdez Arm-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-081415-
Passage Canal-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-081415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 12 ft.
Rain.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-081415-
Barren Islands East-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 40 kt after midnight. Seas 14 ft
building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 40 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-081415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ136-081415-
Chiniak Bay-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-081415-
Marmot Bay-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-081415-
Shelikof Strait-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft building to 9 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-081415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ140-081415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ141-081415-
Kachemak Bay-
358 PM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow showers and rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

033 
FZAK51 PAFC 081314
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-090200-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 972 mb low near 60N 146W Sat morning moves inland over western 
Prince William Sound by late morning. A 983 mb low 205 nm south of 
Middleton Island Sat afternoon moves inland across Prince William
Sound Sat night. A front will move into the southwestern Gulf by 
Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-090200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 45 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E of Middleton Island, E wind 40 kt becoming 
SW 30 kt after midnight. W of Middleton Island, N wind 25 kt 
becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ120-090200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt by late morning. 
Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-090200-
Resurrection Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt shifting to S 20 kt 
with gusts to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft. 
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-090200-
Prince William Sound-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E of Naked Island, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt in 
the late afternoon. W of Naked Island, N wind 25 kt becoming S 30 kt 
by midday, then diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt during the evening, then 
becoming SW 25 kt around midnight. Seas 5 ft. Rain with snow.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-090200-
Port Valdez-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-090200-
Valdez Narrows-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt 
by midday. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming Variable 10 kt toward morning. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-090200-
Valdez Arm-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 35 kt during the morning. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt toward morning. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-090200-
Passage Canal-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt becoming E 15 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt with gusts 
to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after 
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-090200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ131-090200-
Barren Islands East-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to W 25 kt toward morning. 
Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ132-090200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-090200-
Chiniak Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-090200-
Marmot Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt by late morning. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ138-090200-
Shelikof Strait-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to W 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ139-090200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. N of Anchor Point, N wind 15 kt 
becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. N of Anchor Point, S wind 25 kt 
shifting to W around midnight. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ140-090200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ141-090200-
Kachemak Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft 
by afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
506 AM AKST Thu Dec 6 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A deep upper level trough covers most of the eastern Bering Sea
and western mainland, while an upper ridge is centered right over
the southeast Panhandle. The upper trough extends as far south as
30N as a strong upper jet taps into subtropical moisture, sending
it north into the Gulf of Alaska and Southcentral. General
southerly surface flow associated with this feature is keeping
warm moist air moving into the southern mainland with temperatures
well above normal in most locations. Radar imagery shows rain
showers moving north across the coast from Valdez to Cordova as
well as across the southern Kenai Peninsula. Further west, a very
weak and subtle surface trough is producing a narrow band of
precipitation over the western half of the Kuskokwim River Delta.
ASOS stations in these areas have been reporting mixed
precipitation, with some areas of freezing rain.

Over the Central Bering and Aleutians, an upper level ridge is
building in from the west leading to a brief period of tranquil
weather with light winds and scattered clouds. A front associated
with a low over Siberia is pushing east across the Western Bering
and Aleutians, shearing apart as it runs into the upstream ridge.
Strong post-frontal winds are ramping up over the Western
Aleutians as a 150 kt westerly jet streak pushes in south of the
island chain. Recent scatterometer passes show high end gales to
even low end storm force winds just to the south of Attu.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models have been struggling to sort out a series of lows in the
Gulf of Alaska today and tomorrow, differing with placement and
timing as the lows interact with each other. Overnight model runs
have begun to zero in on a solution so forecast confidence has
increased through Friday night. Heading into the weekend, models
are struggling with the details as another surface low swings up
into the Gulf from the North Pacific. Regardless, there is
increasing agreement in the synoptic level features through the
end of the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Light winds and VFR conditions will prevail through the
day. Conditions should begin to deteriorate some by tomorrow night
as the next system moves into the gulf.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Today
through Friday night)...
This forecast is about as challenging as it gets, as a complex
series of surface lows and upper level waves move up from the
North Pacific. There is a large spread in numerical guidance,
along with poor run-to-run continuity and the environment over
much of Southcentral is right on the edge of rain and snow.
Thus forecast confidence is low.

Most model guidance is now picking up on a frontal wave tracking
northward across the Gulf to Prince William Sound early this
afternoon, then quickly inland late this afternoon. Precipitation
will spread westward out ahead of this low from eastern Prince
William Sound across the Copper River Basin and backing into the
Matanuska Valley and portions of Anchorage. The latest Anchorage
sounding shows a prominent above freezing warm nose in place,
indicative of rain or freezing rain. However, if you saturate the
sounding it would be right on the threshold between rain and
snow. Precipitation is most likely north of the Anchorage bowl up
to the Matanuska Valley where the airmass is likely a bit cooler
(away from the warming influence of Turnagain Arm winds). Thus,
expect whatever falls to be primarily in the form of snow. No
matter what, it does look like a quick shot of precipitation.
Elsewhere, precipitation will be rain along the coast and mostly
snow in the Copper River Basin.

Meanwhile, a weak vertically stacked low will lift northward
toward Kodiak Island, with rain continuing along a stationary
front out ahead of it, namely for Kodiak Island. More significantly,
a strong trough further south will become negatively tilted and
lift northward toward the Gulf tonight through Friday. This will
bring a reinforcing deeper low to Kodiak Island and spread rain
and strong winds across the Gulf to Prince William Sound. The
leading upper waves will likely bring another shot of precipitation
to interior portions of Southcentral this evening. Temperatures
across much of the Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage, and the Matanuska
valley will be at or above freezing by this point in time, so
freezing rain should not be a big problem (though there may be
some localized areas).

For Friday night and beyond there is very large uncertainty in
whether a frontal wave will develop into a full blown low or
whether another system will move up from the Pacific - both
scenarios being advertised by different models. Stay tuned as
we continue to work out the details of this very active weather
pattern.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Thu and Fri)...
The area will be split by two weather patterns to start the period
before cold air spills over the whole region by the weekend.
First, a couple of weak shortwaves are helping to produce some
light precipitation this morning. One is stretching through the
eastern YK-Delta from Quinhagak through Aniak. Temperatures in
this corridor are hovering right near freezing, so a mix of rain
and snow will continue there through the early morning. The other
is a weak deformation axis along the eastern side of the Aleutian
Range. This shield of precipitation is sliding slowly east. It is
a bit more rain near the coast and a bit more snow inland.
Surrounding both of these features is widespread fog with abundant
low level moisture. This fog could linger through the day with
little wind or strong forcing to clear it out.

The first major shift in the pattern will be a sweeping cold front
plowing through the YK-Delta later today into tonight. This will
produce some steady snow with a couple of inches accumulating west
of the Kuskokwim Mountains. The bigger story with this weather
system will be the cold air. 850 mb (5000') temperatures start at
-4C this morning. They will plummet down to -13C by this time
 tomorrow morning.

The other weather pattern will hold to the eastern half of SW AK.
This will be more or less continuous precipitation right along the
Alaskan and Aleutian Ranges, highlighting the Lower Kuskokwim
Valley. As a stronger, wetter low develops in the Gulf of AK, it
spins more moisture in from the east Fri morning. This will allow
the steady precipitation to intensify. As the aforementioned cold
air moves in from the west, it will drive under some of this
moisture helping to create even more lift. This could result in
some fairly significant snow accumulations across the Kuskokwim
Valley. Stay tuned for exact amounts as models come into better
agreement and the event draws closer in time.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...Thu and
Fri)...
An elongating col will create adverse conditions over the Western
Aleutians while a compact low delivers cold, northerly winds to
the Eastern Bering. First, the col is being stretched out by a
potent upper level shortwave. This is create a quick switch from
southeast winds to westerly winds. As the westerly flow pushes in,
it will bring in widespread gales and seas greater than 20 feet.
Precipitation associated with this feature should be mostly snow
with some cold air advecting in.

The Eastern Bering will see a developing low dictate the weather
for the next couple of days. It is currently just south of the
Seward Peninsula. As it taps into some colder air, it will start
to gather strength and slowly track to the east. This will allow
for some much colder air to dive south across the Eastern Bering
into the Alaska Peninsula. The net effect will be gusty (gale-
force) winds and snow showers. These showers will be especially
pronounced along the north side of the Alaska Peninsula as we head
into the weekend. Mariners should also be on the lookout for some
gusty NW winds to develop out of bays and passes on the south side
of the Peninsula late Fri.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
An active pattern will continue for the region through the
upcoming week, with southwest/southcentral Alaska becoming the
"battle zone". It'll definitely be interesting to see if the
models, which continue to come into better agreement, push some
Arctic air into southcentral, or keep it bottled up west of the
Alaska Range. Conversely, how much tropical-laden moisture gets
thrown into a developing deformation band near the Alaska Range
and into southwestern parts of the state.

Now for the details. Model continuity remains good regarding a
strong mid-level low dropping south from the Chukchi Sea. There
is a new wrinkle though in that they now stall the system near
Norton Sound on Friday and hold it there through the weekend. As
the surface reflection develops, much colder air will plunge into
the eastern two-thirds of the Bering and southwest Alaska, through
the eastern half of the Aleutians, and into the north Pacific.
The further north positioning (compared to near Nunivak Island
yesterday) then in turn allows a pair of strong storms to move
north to northwest into the north-central Gulf. With the further
west track, warmer air will push across most of Southcentral. This
means rain will likely be the predominant precipitation type,
with snow across southwest Alaska and the eastern half of the
Aleutians, and a mix for Kodiak Island.

These Gulf lows will weaken while moving northeast, as a new
system enters the picture to start the week. This storm will
undergo significant deepening, as it drops from 980 mb (per the
GFS) south of Adak late Sunday morning to 958 mb south of Kodiak
Island late Monday morning. This will put the AKPEN and the
southern part of southwest Alaska in a potential for some fairly
decent snowfall accumulations if the current forecast holds. It'll
then take up residence in the southern Prince William Sound region
for Tuesday and Wednesday, as the storm slowly fills and weakens.
This is perhaps the "best" potential to see some snowfall for
Southcentral, but even then, seems like the dynamics and moisture
will be on the downward trend before enough cold air makes in into
the region. Still, with it being several days out things can
change. Stay tuned!

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 120 125 130 131 138 139 150 177 178 185
351 352.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KVP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...PD