Small Craft Advisory 22, NWS Anchorage, AK

047 
FZAK51 PAFC 081228
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-090130-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A slow moving front enters the western Gulf tonight and then 
dissipates Tue afternoon. A 984 mb low 335 nm south of Akhiok 
enters the western Gulf by Wed morning.

$$

PKZ119-090130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt except NE 20 kt near the coast. Gusts to
30 kt out of the Copper River Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight.
Near the coast, NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper 
River Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-090130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ121-090130-
Resurrection Bay-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Seward in the morning. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-090130-
Prince William Sound-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-090130-
Port Valdez-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-090130-
Valdez Narrows-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-090130-
Valdez Arm-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-090130-
Passage Canal-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-090130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-090130-
Barren Islands East-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ132-090130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-090130-
Chiniak Bay-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ137-090130-
Marmot Bay-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-090130-
Shelikof Strait-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-090130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ140-090130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ141-090130-
Kachemak Bay-
328 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

513 
FZAK51 PAFC 090055
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091400-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1002 mb low 30 nm southwest of Middleton Island
remains nearly stationary through Tue evening at 1004 mb then 
dissipates Tue night. A trough of low pressure moves into the 
southwestern Gulf Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-091400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight.
Near the coast, NE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper 
River Delta. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper 
River Delta. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of the Copper 
River Delta. Seas 10 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091400-
Resurrection Bay-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091400-
Prince William Sound-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091400-
Port Valdez-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt early becoming 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft.
Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091400-
Valdez Narrows-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091400-
Valdez Arm-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091400-
Passage Canal-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 10 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091400-
Barren Islands East-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091400-
Chiniak Bay-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091400-
Marmot Bay-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091400-
Shelikof Strait-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas increasing to 7 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas
building to 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091400-
Kachemak Bay-
355 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

361 
FZAK51 PAFC 091300
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100200-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1001 mb low 100 nm southeast of Middleton Island remains nearly
stationary as it weakens and dissipates by Wed morning. A 995 mb 
low 325 nm south of Akhiok Wed morning moves to 140 nm south of 
Akhiok and dissipates by Thu morning. 

$$

PKZ119-100200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River Delta. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100200-
Resurrection Bay-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100200-
Prince William Sound-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100200-
Port Valdez-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts 
to 35 kt near Valdez in the early morning. Seas 5 ft. Freezing 
spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100200-
Valdez Narrows-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100200-
Valdez Arm-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100200-
Passage Canal-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 12 
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100200-
Barren Islands East-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100200-
Chiniak Bay-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100200-
Marmot Bay-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100200-
Shelikof Strait-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy Freezing spray in the morning.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Heavy freezing
spray in the morning.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100200-
Kachemak Bay-
400 AM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

529 
FZAK51 PAFC 100040
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101400-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 1003 mb low 140 nm Southeast of Middleton Island
dissipates Wed afternoon. A front pushes across the Gulf by Thu 
afternoon. A 993 mb North Pacific low moves to 115 nm Southeast of 
Chignik at 986 mb Wed evening and dissipates Thu morning. A 977 mb 
North Pacific low moves to 235 nm Southeast of Chignik for Thu 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-101400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River
Delta in the evening. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas building to 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101400-
Resurrection Bay-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101400-
Prince William Sound-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101400-
Port Valdez-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101400-
Valdez Narrows-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101400-
Valdez Arm-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101400-
Passage Canal-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable wind less 
than 10 kt. Gusts to 15 kt near Whittier in the evening. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101400-
Barren Islands East-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101400-
Chiniak Bay-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101400-
Marmot Bay-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after
midnight.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101400-
Shelikof Strait-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas building to 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray and patchy freezing fog.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101400-
Kachemak Bay-
340 PM AKST Tue Jan 9 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

168 
FZAK51 PAFC 101302
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-110200-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 996 mb low in the southcentral Gulf dissipates tonight. A front
in the southwestern Gulf will move into the northern Gulf Fri 
morning. The associated 964 mb low develops in the Northern
Pacific Fri morning. 

$$

PKZ119-110200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ120-110200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. Snow with rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ121-110200-
Resurrection Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

.TODAY...N wind less than 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-110200-
Prince William Sound-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-110200-
Port Valdez-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-110200-
Valdez Narrows-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 
ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-110200-
Valdez Arm-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-110200-
Passage Canal-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-110200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-110200-
Barren Islands East-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Snow.
.THU...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ132-110200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-110200-
Chiniak Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-110200-
Marmot Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
7 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
Snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ138-110200-
Shelikof Strait-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-110200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-110200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-110200-
Kachemak Bay-
402 AM AKST Wed Jan 10 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
425 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The upper level pattern consists of a departing upper level low
over the northwestern Bering moving into Siberia, which is soon to
be replaced by a deepening upper level low moving into the central
and western Aleutians. Brief ridging is also pushing eastward
ahead of the second upper low. Meanwhile over mainland Alaska, the
upper level pattern is in very weak troughing along the coast,
with a building, but as yet weak upper level ridge moving
southward out of the Arctic. The weak and ill-defined flow through
much of southern Alaska is keeping the weather largely the same.
It is characterized by lots of cloud cover, weak surface
troughing along the Gulf occasionally producing a few showers, and
otherwise low stratus and fog issues. The low stratus and fog is
the primary forecast challenge this morning. Temperatures in this
pattern are around average for highs and a bit above average for
lows as the cloud cover largely keeps any heat from radiating out,
but the low sun angle and clouds prevent much daytime heating. The
Anchorage area is maintaining a robust atmospheric inversion set
up just above the surface, allowing temperatures in the Bowl to
drop to around 20, while at higher elevations, temperatures are
closer to 30.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models remain in very good agreement through the next few
days. The pattern remains one of two extremes: Either very little
is going on synoptically, such as over much of mainland Alaska,
or conversely, a powerful low moves into the Aleutians by Tuesday,
which is very easy for the models to track as it covers such a
large area of real estate. Thus, the primary forecast challenges
again lie with local effects, namely the strength of the upcoming
gap winds as a truly Arctic air mass moves into the Copper River
Basin, and also even shorter term dealings with low stratus and
fog in a very weak flow pattern. Forecast confidence is high. With
its high resolution and good agreement with the other models, the
NAM was the model of choice for this morning's forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the
day. The potential for fog and low ceilings is increasing from
midnight tonight onward, which would lower conditions to IFR if it
develops.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The weakening front along the north Gulf coast will dissipate
later today as high pressure builds in from the north. The high
pressure will bring cold and dry air into the area from the north.
Some fog is possible in the Cook Inlet area with steep inversions
and fairly light winds. The surface offshore gradient will begin
to increase on Monday, becoming fairly strong Monday night. With
northeast flow fairly deep through the atmosphere, conditions are
favorable for winds to blow through the Matanuska Valley. The
Valdez area should also see some decent breezes. Colder
temperatures will also begin to work their way into the northern
portions of the area, especially the Copper River Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Today through Tuesday)

A baggy area of low pressure stretches from the Alaska Peninsula
across the Alaska Range early this morning, and it's responsible
for shower development across much of Southwest Alaska as just
enough forcing combined with upslope flow has been efficient for
shower development south of a Dillingham to Port Alsworth line.
This looks to continue through the afternoon hours before a
transient short-wave ridge builds northward across the region for
tonight. With no real increase in 850 mb temps, we don't think fog
will be too much of an issue. The exception to this will be the
typical fog-prone river valleys and deltas, as light winds and
clearing skies will offer some potential for this. However,
confidence in areal coverage looked sufficiently low to preclude
mention of this in the zone forecasts.

With the clearing skies and a tightening pressure gradient across
the northern portions of the lower Kuskokwim Delta, colder air
will drain into the area from the north, helping to cool
temperatures for the Monday into Tuesday time frame. Our attention
then turns to an occluded front approaching the region from the
southwest during the day Tuesday, with precipitation developing
along and immediately ahead of it.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days through 3)...
(Today through Tuesday)

A strengthening area of low pressure was located a few hundred
miles south of Shemya this morning, with the latest observations
placing the strength near 960 mb. This storm will deepen another
10 mb or so as it treks towards Adak tonight. This system is
pretty similar to the storm that impacted the region during the
last few days. Overall, look for a strongly occluded front to
sweep eastward across the chain, while the parent low stalls.
Widespread precipitation, some of which will be moderate to heavy
in intensity will accompany the front, with more showery type
precipitation behind it and closer to the area of low pressure.

Winds will rapidly increase along and ahead of the front. For the
land zones, current indications are these winds will remain below
headline criteria. For the coastal and offshore waters, storm
force winds are likely for west central portions of the Aleutian
waters and into the southern Bering Sea, with winds increasing to
gales elsewhere along the front and near the low.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The long range forecast beginning on Monday night through the end
of the work week generally keeps drier and colder conditions
across the southern mainland with an active windy and
precipitation pattern along the southern Bering and Gulf of
Alaska. On Monday night, an Arctic ridge shifts south across the
interior advecting a cold dense air mass toward the northern
Gulf. Dry offshore flow increases late Monday night through
Tuesday bringing gusty winds across typical gap locations.
Meanwhile, a powerful low pressure system slowly weakens over the
Bering.

Wednesday through the end of the week...a slow transition in the
pattern begins as the subtropical jet flattens out with strong
zonal flow setting up just south of the Aleutian Chain. The jet
sends the next North Pacific low further to the east than
previous systems, before taking a northward turn. This low works
against the ridge to break it down. There is still a bit of
uncertainty on how quickly the ridge influence will be overridden
by low pressure. A nearly equal blend of operational models
including their ensembles was used for updating the forecast mid
week, then trends toward ensemble solutions for the latter part of
the week. Temperatures should moderate slightly warmer at the end
of the week for the southern mainland with continued active
weather across area waters and coastal communities.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm: 173 174 175 176 177 178 413.
Gale: 155 165 170 171 172 179 180 181 185 411 412 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...KH