Hurricane Force Wind Warning 5, NWS Anchorage, AK

457 
FZAK52 PAFC 030811 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-032115-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 962 mb low 385 nm South of Amchitka moves to 90 nm South of
Seguam Island at 974 mb by Tue afternoon. Its front wraps over 
the Aleutians and Bering into the Southern Alaska Peninsula for 
Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-032115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-032115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt
after midnight. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, E wind 30 kt
increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft building to 29 ft after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands
E, seas 20 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 32 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ160-032115-
Bristol Bay-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ165-032115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9  ft. 
.MON...E wind 50 kt. From Port Moller E, E wind 30 kt increasing
to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
From Port Moller E, E wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ170-032115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ171-032115-
Unalaska Bay-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ172-032115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. 
.MON...SE wind 60 kt diminishing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
31 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 37 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...S wind 45 kt. Seas 34 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-032115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming E 60 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft building to 27 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 60 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
30 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ174-032115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 60 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 32 ft after
midnight. Isolated thunderstorms late. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 60 kt diminishing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
34 ft. Isolated thunderstorms in the morning. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 39 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ175-032115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt increasing to 60 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft building to 26 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 60 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ176-032115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 60 kt. Seas 30 ft. Isolated thunderstorms. 
Rain.
.MON...E wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
31 ft. Isolated thunderstorms in the morning. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 28 ft subsiding to 20 ft after midnight. 
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft.

$$

PKZ177-032115-
Adak to Kiska-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt increasing to 55 kt by late evening.
Bering  side, seas 17 ft building to 24 ft after midnight.
Pacific side, seas 27 ft. Isolated thunderstorms. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind wind 50 kt becoming N 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
24 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ178-032115-
Kiska to Attu-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt increasing to 60 kt by late evening.
Gusts to 75 kt after midnight. Seas 16 ft building to 26 ft after
midnight.  Rain and snow. 
.MON...N wind 65 kt. Seas 29 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 50 kt. Seas 28 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft.

$$

PKZ179-032115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft. 
.MON...E wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 23 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas  24 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ180-032115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-032115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ185-032115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
1111 PM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 20 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, N wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.  and rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

647 
FZAK52 PAFC 031302
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-040200-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 961 mb low 205 nm south of Adak Mon morning moves over Adak at 968
mb by Tue morning and then moves to 210 nm east of Adak at 985 mb by
Wed morning.

$$

PKZ150-040200-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-040200-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, E wind 30 kt
increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft early building to 18
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft
building to 26 ft after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, seas 
18 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
29 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-040200-
Bristol Bay-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt early increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft early
building to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-040200-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt. From Port Moller E, E wind 30 kt increasing
to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, E wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt except SE 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 9
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ170-040200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 55 kt. Seas 11 ft early building to 17
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ171-040200-
Unalaska Bay-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt early increasing to 50 kt. Seas building to 8
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ172-040200-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 29 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 35 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 34 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-040200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 60 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 27 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ174-040200-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
30 ft. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 37 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
27 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ175-040200-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
24 ft. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ176-040200-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 27 ft
subsiding to 21 ft after midnight. Isolated thunderstorms in
the evening.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-040200-
Adak to Kiska-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. Isolated thunderstorms in
the evening.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt. Bering side, seas 20 ft building to 27 ft in
the afternoon. Pacific side, seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-040200-
Kiska to Attu-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 65 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-040200-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 
ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ180-040200-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.  and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-040200-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ185-040200-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
402 AM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
building to 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

849 
FZAK52 PAFC 040031
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-041330-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 962 mb low 95 nm Southwest of Atka moves to 90 nm South of Dutch
Harbor at 990 mb by Wed afternoon. Its front arches over the 
Aleutians and Bering and pushes into the Gulf of Alaska for Wed 
afternoon. A 984 mb Kamchatka low extends a front across the 
Western Aleutians through Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-041330-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-041330-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 20
ft building to 30 ft after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, 
seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 31 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-041330-
Bristol Bay-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt with gusts to 45 kt diminishing to
20 kt with gusts to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-041330-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ170-041330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ171-041330-
Unalaska Bay-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ172-041330-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 36 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 36 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-041330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-041330-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 39 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Gusts up to 50 kt in the morning. Seas 30 ft
subsiding to 24 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-041330-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-041330-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ177-041330-
Adak to Kiska-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ178-041330-
Kiska to Attu-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...N wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 26 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ179-041330-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 to 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-041330-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-041330-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15
ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 to 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ185-041330-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
331 PM AKST Mon Dec 3 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 to 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
456 AM AKST Sun Dec 2 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

An area of low pressure located off the coast of Cape Newenham is
bringing a push of warmer air across southwest Alaska as showery
precipitation spreads across the area. Most stations around
Bristol Bay are above freezing, and most areas that are seeing
precipitation this morning are reporting rain. The low is being
supported by a negatively tilted trough which is enhancing the
lift out ahead of it, helping to cause the precipitation. This
feature is forecasted to push eastward today and cause tonight's
snow event across Southcentral. More on that below.

A strengthening, expansive low over the North Pacific well south
of Shemya will be the primary weather maker across the Bering for
the next several days.

The warming winds from yesterday that diminished overnight have
allowed temperatures to fall back into the 30s for most areas
around Anchorage, with 20s being reported further north.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models are in good agreement with the tracks of the low and
precipitation timing with the next snow event moving into
Southcentral this evening. However, differences that are causing
big challenges continue to be timing the changeover of
precipitation from rain over to snow, when the heaviest snow moves
into different parts of Southcentral, how quickly it ends, and
where and how strong the strongest winds will be around the low
moving into the Aleutians. Thus, while confidence is high on a
continuing active weather pattern, confidence in the
aforementioned details remains fairly low.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC... The winds will increase again this morning out of the
southeast off of the mountains. While these are expected to remain
below wind shear criteria and above 2,000 ft, they may approach
the criteria at times today. This evening, the winds will taper
off as precipitation moves in. It appears most likely to begin as
a rain and snow mix this evening, then turn to all snow and
increase in intensity overnight before diminishing early Monday
morning. IFR to briefly LIFR conditions are possible during the
heaviest snow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A front associated with the low in the eastern Bering is tracking
toward Southcentral Alaska with it impacting the Kenai Peninsula
by this afternoon. Many of the southern areas of Southcentral
Alaska will start as rain when the front moves in. However, they
will gradually transition over to snow with coastal locations
holding on to warmer temps through much of tonight. The most
challenging part of the forecast is identifying when the rain will
fully transition to snow.

The track of the front makes for a good setup for potentially
heavy snow in areas from Anchorage north into the Susitna Valley.
The heaviest snowfall looks to be in the late evening but will
last into Monday morning before tapering off for these areas. Snow
will last through the morning for eastern portions of
Southcentral Alaska before ridging builds in from the west.
Clearing caused by the ridging will be short lived as another
front will push up from the southwest Monday night, when it will
bring rain to Kodiak Island.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Sunday and
Monday)...
Currently, the last low of the quick succession of lows is moving
through southwest AK, bringing rain showers and warmer temps with
it. Temperatures will cool down after the exit of this frontal system,
with highs back below freezing for inland areas tomorrow. This is
due to a shortwave ridge that will work its way across the region
later today and tonight, offering a break in the weather.

Monday will again see the influence of low pressure, with winds
becoming strong out of the southeast. Precipitation will also
move in, as the outer band of a large low pressure system moving
into the central Aleutians reaches the coast. Temperatures are
such that the rain/snow line will setup right along the coast,
with a chance of freezing precip in some coastal areas.
Temperatures will stay cold enough inland to keep precip as snow.
This low will be the dominant weather feature for early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2/ Sunday
and Monday)...
The compact low moving through the eastern Bering will quickly
exit today. Behind it, a shortwave ridge of high pressure will
slide eastward across the Aleutians and Bering Sea the next couple
of days, offering some respite from the succession of lows that
has been passing over the eastern Aleutians.

However, a large and powerful low will be moving into the Bering
Sea the next couple of days. Its impacts will begin to be felt
later today in the western Aleutians, with storm force winds and
gusts to 75mph in the forecast for tonight. This storm will
slowly work eastward through Monday, with the low center tracking
right along the Aleutian Islands. The storm will slowly weaken as
it goes, but large swaths of gale force winds can be expected
through most of the Bering Sea and all along the Aleutian Island
Chain. This low will be the dominant weather feature for the next
several days.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The forecast period commences with a longwave trough spanning
from the central Bering to the North Pacific and a high amplitude
ridge over the Gulf Of Alaska extending into the Yukon Territory.
The GFS/ECMWF and Canadian all ping into several potent
shortwaves embedded in the upper level trough. At the surface,
there is a deep mature low near the central Aleutians, however the
GFS has the surface low south of Nikolski at 12Z Wednesday and
the ECMWF has the surface low near St. Paul at 12Z Wednesday.
Additionally, to the west, the same models are out of sync with
the cyclone over the Sea of Okhotsk. As time elapses, expect this
eastern low to rapidly decay. The GFS continues to keep the
remnants south of the Chain and the ECMWF keeps it quasi-
stationary over the Bering. With the cyclone near Russia, the GFS
is more bullish bringing it into the Bering. By late
Thursday/Friday the next round of cyclogenesis is well under way
in the vicinity of the Gulf of Alaska. The intensity and the
track of this new low is present on both the GFS and ECMWF but the
timing is slightly off. Generally expecting a progressive and
active pattern.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 101 111 145
MARINE...Gale 150 155 160 165 170 171 179>181 185 411 412.
		  Storm 172>178 413 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JPW
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BJB
LONG TERM...PJS