Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018
Gale Warning 832, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 29, 2018, 3:56 AM AKST. It was in force for 61 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 29, 2018, 3:56 AM AKST (12:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 31, 2018, 5:15 PM AKST
- In force
- 61 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
325 FZAK51 PAFC 291256 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-300215- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A strong front over the western Gulf will weaken as it moves to the northern to eastern Gulf Sat night. A second front, associated with an eastern Bering low, will move into the southwestern Gulf Sun morning and track to the northern to central Gulf Sun night. $$ PKZ119-300215- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 35 kt in the afternoon. Near the coast, SE wind 25 kt becoming Variable wind 15 kt by midday. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. .SUN...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. .MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ120-300215- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W wind increasing to 35 kt. Near the coast, NW wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ121-300215- Resurrection Bay- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N wind less than 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 5 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray in the evening. Snow. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-300215- Prince William Sound- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-300215- Port Valdez- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Snow showers. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT AND MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-300215- Valdez Narrows- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Widespread snow showers. .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the afternoon. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-300215- Valdez Arm- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers. .SUN...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-300215- Passage Canal- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TODAY...E wind less than 10 kt becoming W wind 20 kt by afternoon. Gusts to 30 kt developing near Whittier midday. Seas building to 3 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier early. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers. .SUN...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-300215- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. .MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ131-300215- Barren Islands East- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 10 ft. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. .MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 28 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-300215- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Snow and rain. .SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft. .MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ136-300215- Chiniak Bay- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft subsiding. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Snow and rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-300215- Marmot Bay- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TODAY...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-300215- Shelikof Strait- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt out of bays and passes in the morning. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Heavy freezing spray in the morning. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt overnight. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. .MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ139-300215- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S of Anchor Point, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 12 ft. N of Anchor Point, W wind 30 kt diminishing to variable 15 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow changing to rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ140-300215- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 .TODAY...Variable mainly W wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt out of western bays and passes. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft. .MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 17 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-300215- Kachemak Bay- 356 AM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers. .TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
4 follow-up statements
244 FZAK51 PAFC 300108 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-301400- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A strong front over the western Gulf reaches the central Gulf Sun morning. A second front associated with a 955 mb eastern Bering low moves across the Gulf through Mon morning. A third front enters the western Gulf Mon afternoon. $$ PKZ119-301400- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Along the coast, E wind 10 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 30 kt. Seas 7 ft in the morning building to 11 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 50 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ120-301400- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 25 kt in the morning increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft in the morning building to 14 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft in the evening building to 22 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 29 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ121-301400- Resurrection Bay- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after midnight. Gusts to 30 kt near Seward in the evening. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Freezing spray in the evening. Snow. .SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-301400- Prince William Sound- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ126-301400- Port Valdez- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers. .SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming E wind 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-301400- Valdez Narrows- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-301400- Valdez Arm- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ129-301400- Passage Canal- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Widespread snow showers. .SUN...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts near Whittier up to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Gusts near Whittier up to 50 kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-301400- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ131-301400- Barren Islands East- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 28 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 28 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-301400- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain. .SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft. .MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 27 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ136-301400- Chiniak Bay- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Snow and rain. .SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight. .MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ137-301400- Marmot Bay- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Snow and rain. .SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Widespread rain showers. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-301400- Shelikof Strait- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Snow and rain. .SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 23 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ139-301400- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray after midnight. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ140-301400- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Snow. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 45 kt. Seas in ice free waters 14 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-301400- Kachemak Bay- 408 PM AKST Sat Dec 29 2018 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .SUN...SE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
067 FZAK51 PAFC 301258 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-310200- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Several well developed lows track over Western Alaska, with their associated fronts crossing the Gulf through Tue morning. $$ PKZ119-310200- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 50 kt overnight, then becoming SW 35 kt toward morning. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ120-310200- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 45 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ121-310200- Resurrection Bay- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...S wind increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-310200- Prince William Sound- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-310200- Port Valdez- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 .TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .MON...SW wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow showers. .MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-310200- Valdez Narrows- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow showers. .MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-310200- Valdez Arm- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-310200- Passage Canal- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .MON...Variable wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-310200- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt becoming S 50 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ131-310200- Barren Islands East- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 45 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ132-310200- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 40 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ136-310200- Chiniak Bay- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-310200- Marmot Bay- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ138-310200- Shelikof Strait- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming SW 55 kt overnight. Seas 12 ft building to 25 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 50 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ139-310200- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...S of Anchor Point, SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow and rain. N of Anchor Point, N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...S of Anchor Point, E wind 50 kt becoming S 45 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. N of Anchor Point, NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt overnight. Seas 6 ft building to 18 ft after midnight. .MON...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ140-310200- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt toward morning. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft building to 10 ft toward morning. Rain and snow. .MON...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 20 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. .WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. $$ PKZ141-310200- Kachemak Bay- 358 AM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$
804 FZAK51 PAFC 310100 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-311400- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A front associated with a 957 mb low 100 nm southwest of Cold Bay Sun afternoon moves across the Gulf through Mon morning. A new front enters the Gulf followed by a third front associated with lows moving over the Alaska Peninsula through Tue afternoon. $$ PKZ119-311400- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 12 ft in the evening building to 20 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 in the evening increasing to 55 kt . Seas 17 ft in the morning building to 22 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ120-311400- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 16 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt in the evening becoming SE 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ121-311400- Resurrection Bay- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .MON...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain showers. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ125-311400- Prince William Sound- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt becoming SE 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening increasing to 50 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 13 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-311400- Port Valdez- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .MON...SW wind 15 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-311400- Valdez Narrows- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .MON...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain with snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-311400- Valdez Arm- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming E 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt in the evening becoming NE. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-311400- Passage Canal- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt in the evening then diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .MON...Variable wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening increasing to 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers and snow. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-311400- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 55 kt becoming SW 50 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 50 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 60 kt after midnight. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ131-311400- Barren Islands East- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming SW 45 kt after midnight. Seas 22 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 45 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt in the evening increasing to 55 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ132-311400- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain. .MON...SW wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft subsiding to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 21 ft building to 29 ft after midnight. .TUE...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 28 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 24 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ136-311400- Chiniak Bay- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt in the evening increasing to 45 kt. Seas 9 ft in the evening building to 16 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-311400- Marmot Bay- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 9 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt in the evening increasing to 45 kt. Seas 9 ft in the evening building to 17 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ138-311400- Shelikof Strait- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt in the evening becoming S 55 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 25 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SW wind 45 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 9 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt in the evening becoming SE 50 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-311400- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt in the evening becoming S 50 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 45 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-311400- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft building to 12 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .MON...S wind 50 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 19 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. $$ PKZ141-311400- Kachemak Bay- 400 PM AKST Sun Dec 30 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 50 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
195 FZAK51 PAFC 311303 CWFAER Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ197-010215- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... Well developed lows over Western Alaska spread strong winds over the Gulf of Alaska through Wed morning. A front pushes over the North Gulf Coast Mon night. A second front drives into the Central Gulf for Wed morning. $$ PKZ119-010215- Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 55 kt after midnight. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .TUE...S wind 45 kt becoming SW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ120-010215- Cape Cleare to Gore Point- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 50 kt around midnight. Seas 14 ft building to 21 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 27 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ121-010215- Resurrection Bay- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ125-010215- Prince William Sound- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind 50 kt early, shifting to S 35 kt then diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 45 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ126-010215- Port Valdez- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 .TODAY...E wind 15 kt early, shifting to SW 20 kt then diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 3 ft. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. .TUE...W wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ127-010215- Valdez Narrows- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt early, shifting to SW 25 kt then diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft this morning. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ128-010215- Valdez Arm- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt early, becoming S 30 kt then diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ129-010215- Passage Canal- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt early, becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .TUE...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ130-010215- West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 50 kt becoming S 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. Seas 10 ft building to 24 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ131-010215- Barren Islands East- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt becoming S 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 19 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE 55 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ132-010215- Marmot Island to Sitkinak- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 40 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 45 kt during the evening, then shifting to SW late. Seas 19 ft building to 25 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. .THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ136-010215- Chiniak Bay- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt by late evening, then shifting to S 35 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ137-010215- Marmot Bay- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 40 kt by late evening, then shifting to S 30 kt late. Seas 5 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ138-010215- Shelikof Strait- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW wind 50 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 45 kt during the evening, then shifting to S 35 kt late. Seas 12 ft. Rain. .TUE...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ139-010215- Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 45 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the late afternoon. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt becoming NE 40 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft building to 14 ft after midnight. Rain and snow. .TUE...NE wind 40 kt shifting to S 35 kt by afternoon. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ140-010215- Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...S wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the late afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 17 ft diminishing to 10 ft late. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Snow. .TUE...NE wind 35 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. $$ PKZ141-010215- Kachemak Bay- 403 AM AKST Mon Dec 31 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the late afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 28, 5:37 PM AKST, 10 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 5:37 PM AKST, 10 hours 19 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
537 PM AKST Fri Dec 28 2018
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A broad negatively-tilted upper level trough centered along an
axis extending from Norton Sound all the way down into the Gulf of
Alaska continues to drift eastward across the state today. A weak
upper level ridge is centered over the central Aleutians ahead of
a strong, deepening low approaching the western Aleutians.
At the surface, a 995 mb low centered over the Alaska Peninsula is
bringing a cold front into the western Gulf. Relatively warmer air
ahead of the front is moving inland over Southcentral. As a
result, precipitation is moving in from the south with radar
imagery showing bands of showers beginning to form over the
southern Kenai Peninsula. Precipitation is also lifting northward
over Southwest Alaska and the AKPEN, with temperatures warm enough
for rain over the southern AKPEN this morning. On the backside of
this low, cold Arctic air is descending, bringing strong
northerly flow over the eastern Bering and Southwest coast.
Lastly, a strong and well-defined front is visible on satellite
imagery this afternoon as the deepening low approaches the
western Aleutians. The front continues to traverse eastward over
Adak and is beginning to close in on Dutch Harbor. This has
resulted in strong, gusty southeasterly winds across the western
and central Aleutians.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in generally good agreement for the near-term synoptic
pattern for the next 24-36 hours, but continue to struggle with
the important details further out, where significant differences
arise.
Over the south central mainland, the models are consistent with
bringing the low up into Prince William Sound overnight into
Saturday morning and wrapping around strong northwest flow across
lower Cook Inlet and Shelikof Strait. The models are consistent
with this low decaying over the Prince William Sound area through
Saturday. At the same time, the models handle the incoming Bering
Sea storm similarly and push the front into the eastern Bering
Sea overnight while holding the cold air in place over the
Pribilofs. Where the models are struggling mightily is with the
next Bering Sea storm that is pin-wheeling around the anchoring
low over the western Aleutians. Here the models diverge in both
the placement and depth of this storm with significant differences
in the sensible weather, especially in the Pribilofs. This also
impacts how the models resolve bringing in the next storm across
the southwest mainland Sunday night into Monday morning. What is
consistent by Monday morning is a solution that supports warming
and chinook winds across the Chugach mountains.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...As the ground fog issue ends we await the onset of snow
moving up Cook Inlet from the south. The trough and low moving up
into south central Alaska tonight will kick out the fog, but usher
in snow. Initially this should hold in VFR then deteriorate to
MVFR due to CIGS and VSBY by 09-10Z. The low will stall in Prince
William Sound as the upper trough moves through Saturday
morning/afternoon, thus expect the MVFR to IFR conditions to
persist through Saturday morning and improving to VFR by around
21Z.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Today
through Saturday night)...
A strong, upper-level trough moving east across the Bristol Bay
interior this afternoon will interact with a surface low lifting
north toward the Kenai Peninsula and its associated front sweeping
across the southcentral coast to produce widespread snow for most
of the region tonight into tomorrow. With low-level instability
ahead of the front and accompanying the low, precipitation from
the Cook Inlet to Prince William Sound will initially be on the
showery side. With cold air in place, precipitation type with this
event is expected to be all snow except for Kodiak island and the
immediate coastline. Snow showers will spread northward through
this evening to all but the Copper River Basin. A band of heavier
snow will then develop overnight as the upper-level trough moves
into southcentral Alaska and becomes negatively tilted. Snowfall
totals will be on the light side, with a general 3 to 6 inches
across the region as the trough slides east rather quickly. Strong
cold air advection behind the surface low will produce strong
westerly gusts across Kachemak Bay overnight tonight through
tomorrow morning. This, combined with lingering snow showers, will
reduce the visibility in the Homer area (especially along the
bluff) to as low as one quarter mile at times. A blizzard warning
has been issued for this region.
This system departs the region late Saturday; however, the
weather pattern remains quite active as a frontal boundary
originating from a deep Aleutian Low approaches the western Gulf
and Kodiak Island. Guidance continues to struggle with both the
overall frontal placement and with the position of the surface
lows. The general consensus, though, is for strong southeasterly
winds over the Gulf along the frontal boundary as well as the
increase of gusty southeasterly gap winds as a coastal ridge
and Cook Inlet trough develop ahead of the front. Warmer air
advecting north with this system will change snow to rain along
the coast. Strong downsloping winds along the lee of the Chugach
and Kenai Mountains will also allow temperatures to climb well
above normal from the western Kenai Peninsula north trough the
Mat-Su Valleys for the second half of the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 2: Tonight
through Sunday)...
A very active pattern will continue for the southwest mainland
this weekend as a series of strong storm systems will impact the
area. First, an area of snowfall over the Kuskokwim River Valley
will continue pulling north and east tonight, bringing
accumulating snowfall from Sleetmute east to the western slopes of
the Alaska Range.
A deep upper trough will move in behind the departing system tonight
bringing very cold air down into the southwest mainland, with
temperatures dropping rapidly tonight, bottoming out tomorrow
morning in the negative single digits to even negative teens in
places. Skies will remain mostly clear Saturday before the next
system approaches Saturday evening. A warm front extending all the
way out from a strong low over the Western Aleutians will spread
inland Saturday night through Sunday morning. This front will
bring strong winds and periods of heavy snow, especially along the
coast and over the Y-K Delta Saturday night, leading to possible
blizzard conditions in these areas, thus a blizzard watch was
issued for the Kuskokwim Delta and Nunivak Island for this time.
Cold surface temperatures should remain entrenched over most
inland locations until Sunday afternoon when strong easterly
surface winds and overrunning warm air aloft mix out the
atmosphere, rapidly increasing the temperatures towards, or even
above, the freezing mark. By Sunday night, models are indicating
yet another system riding north across the AKPEN, bringing another
round of strong winds, precipitation, and an even warmer surge of
air to the mainland.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 2:
Tonight through Sunday)...
The Bering is heading into a very active storm pattern this
weekend, beginning tonight with a 945 mb low moving north and
crossing over the Western Aleutians. A combination of rapid
intensification and cold air wrapping into the system will lead to
very strong winds on the north and south side of the low.
Hurricane force wind gusts are expected in vicinity of Shemya and
over the open water, thus the high wind warning is still on track
for that area tonight. The low will stall out some on Saturday
and slowly weaken as it begins to retrograde back east across the
Western and Central Aleutians through the weekend, keeping strong
winds over the area.
The strong warm front extending out from the Western Aleutian low
will sweep east across the Bering and over the Pribilof Islands on
Saturday. Strong winds accompanied with periods of heavy snow will
lead to blizzard conditions over the Pribilofs on Saturday, thus a
blizzard warning was issued for that area. By Saturday night, a
secondary low looks to develop south of Dutch Harbor and move
north into the Bering. Models have been struggling quite a bit
with this system but seem to have around a 960 mb low placed
somewhere near or just east of the Pribilofs by early Sunday
morning. This will bring strong southerly flow to the Central
Bering with increasing temperatures through the area.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The run to run consistency with the global models has been poor.
Generally speaking, anticipate a wet pattern for this forecast
period for the southern tier of Alaska with the possibility of a
rain/snow/freezing rain mix for Southwest Alaska. The forecast
period commences Monday Dec 31st with a broad trough over the
Bering and Aleutians and a high amplitude ridge from the Eastern
Pacific to British Columbia. Meanwhile at the surface at 12z
Monday, both the GFS and the ECMWF have a potent low now north of
the chain between Unalaska and Adak. And the GFS has a specious
cyclone near St Matthew Island that the ECMWF doesn't have at all.
South of the chain the models have an additional low but the
position of the GFS feature is more than 100 NM from the ECMWF's
position. Both models show this feature moving towards the Gulf Of
Alaska. The lack of consensus is echoed at 500 mb at 12z Monday,
which compounds with time. The timing of the precipitation shield
and the gusty winds is dependent the placement of the lows that
develop and on the ensuing track. There was a hefty amount of
blending and hedging this forecast period as a result of the
models' poor performance record.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING: 121 195.
WINTER STORM WATCH: 155.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY: 152 161.
HIGH WIND WARNING: 191.
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS: 178 411.
STORM: 130 175 176 177 412 413.
GALES: 119 120 131 132 138 139 141 150 155 160 165
170 172 174 179 180 181 185 352 414.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY: 160 179 180 185 412 414.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA/KO
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TM
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KVP
LONG TERM...PSThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 3:30 PM AKST | Hurricane Force Wind Warning | AFC | 25 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:48 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:51 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 25 hr | |
| Dec 28, 3:51 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 25 hr | |
| Dec 28, 4:07 PM AKST | Blizzard Warning | AFC | 32 hr | |
| Dec 28, 4:07 PM AKST | Winter Storm Watch | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:36 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:53 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:56 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Dec 29, 3:56 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:05 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:05 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Dec 29, 4:54 AM AKST | Blizzard Warning | AFC | 28 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.