Gale Warning 781, NWS Anchorage, AK

033 
FZAK51 PAFC 081314
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-090200-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 972 mb low near 60N 146W Sat morning moves inland over western 
Prince William Sound by late morning. A 983 mb low 205 nm south of 
Middleton Island Sat afternoon moves inland across Prince William
Sound Sat night. A front will move into the southwestern Gulf by 
Mon morning.

$$

PKZ119-090200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 45 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E of Middleton Island, E wind 40 kt becoming 
SW 30 kt after midnight. W of Middleton Island, N wind 25 kt 
becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ120-090200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt by late morning. 
Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-090200-
Resurrection Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt shifting to S 20 kt 
with gusts to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 4 ft. 
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-090200-
Prince William Sound-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E of Naked Island, SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 15 kt in 
the late afternoon. W of Naked Island, N wind 25 kt becoming S 30 kt 
by midday, then diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt during the evening, then 
becoming SW 25 kt around midnight. Seas 5 ft. Rain with snow.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ126-090200-
Port Valdez-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ127-090200-
Valdez Narrows-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt 
by midday. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming Variable 10 kt toward morning. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-090200-
Valdez Arm-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt becoming SE 35 kt during the morning. 
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt toward morning. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-090200-
Passage Canal-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt becoming E 15 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt with gusts 
to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft after 
midnight. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-090200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ131-090200-
Barren Islands East-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to W 25 kt toward morning. 
Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ132-090200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-090200-
Chiniak Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ137-090200-
Marmot Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt by late morning. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ138-090200-
Shelikof Strait-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to W 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ139-090200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. N of Anchor Point, N wind 15 kt 
becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. N of Anchor Point, S wind 25 kt 
shifting to W around midnight. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ140-090200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ141-090200-
Kachemak Bay-
414 AM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft 
by afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

857 
FZAK51 PAFC 090101
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-091430-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 980 mb low 70 nm southeast of Middleton Island moves inland Sat
evening. A front enters the western Gulf Sun morning and reaches 
the central Gulf Sun evening. The associated 964 mb low moves 90
nm southeast of Middleton Island Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-091430-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Middleton Island, E wind 40 kt becoming SW 30 kt 
after midnight. W of Middleton Island, NW wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 
kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Near the coast, SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ120-091430-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-091430-
Resurrection Bay-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming N 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow with rain.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-091430-
Prince William Sound-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain with snow.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-091430-
Port Valdez-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-091430-
Valdez Narrows-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain and snow.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-091430-
Valdez Arm-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain
and snow.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-091430-
Passage Canal-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 35 kt after midnight near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-091430-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Snow and rain.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 50 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ131-091430-
Barren Islands East-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft. Rain with snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ132-091430-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-091430-
Chiniak Bay-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-091430-
Marmot Bay-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-091430-
Shelikof Strait-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-091430-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-091430-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-091430-
Kachemak Bay-
401 PM AKST Sat Dec 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming E 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Snow showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

599 
FZAK51 PAFC 091300
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-100215-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front enters the Southwestern Gulf Sun morning and moves onshore 
of the north Gulf coast Sun night. A second front enters the western 
Gulf Mon morning and moves to the north Gulf coast by Tue morning. 
A 967 mb low 80 nm East of Chignik Mon afternoon moves to 90 nm 
south of Seward at 970 mb for Tue morning.

$$

PKZ119-100215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. 
Near the coast, SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt around midnight. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ120-100215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt midday, then 
becoming SE 25 kt late. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-100215-
Resurrection Bay-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt toward morning. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt 
late. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-100215-
Prince William Sound-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 2 ft building to 
7 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-100215-
Port Valdez-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. 
Snow and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming 
E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow with rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-100215-
Valdez Narrows-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-100215-
Valdez Arm-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
Snow and rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-100215-
Passage Canal-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt with gusts to 20 kt in the morning 
becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-100215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 10 kt by late morning, 
then increasing to E 30 kt during the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 13 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ131-100215-
Barren Islands East-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ132-100215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. N of Dangerous Cape, SE wind 15 kt 
becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-100215-
Chiniak Bay-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE and increasing to 30 kt 
by afternoon. Seas 2 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-100215-
Marmot Bay-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-100215-
Shelikof Strait-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming NE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 6 ft after midnight.
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ139-100215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt by late morning, 
then becoming NE 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft subsiding 
to 5 ft by afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-100215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt becoming Variable 10 kt by late morning. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding.
.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 
9 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-100215-
Kachemak Bay-
400 AM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 10 kt by late morning, 
then becoming E 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Snow and rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

344 
FZAK51 PAFC 100031
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-101330-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the central Gulf moves to the eastern Gulf Mon morning.
A 966 mb complex low in the Bering moves 80 nm southwest of Seward at
966 mb Mon evening. The low then moves 70 nm southeast of Whittier 
at 970 mb Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-101330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ120-101330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt then diminishing to 25 kt 
after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ121-101330-
Resurrection Bay-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-101330-
Prince William Sound-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 7 ft. 
Rain with snow.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-101330-
Port Valdez-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow with rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-101330-
Valdez Narrows-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-101330-
Valdez Arm-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE wind 20 kt after midnight.
Seas building to 4 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-101330-
Passage Canal-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Snow.
.MON...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 
ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-101330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. Snow
and rain.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-101330-
Barren Islands East-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-101330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. N of Dangerous Cape, seas
13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.THU...W wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ136-101330-
Chiniak Bay-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ137-101330-
Marmot Bay-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-101330-
Shelikof Strait-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft building to 9 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-101330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. 
Freezing spray. Snow.
.MON...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-101330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-101330-
Kachemak Bay-
331 PM AKST Sun Dec 9 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft 
subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
503 AM AKST Fri Dec 7 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A very deep upper level trough is located over the Eastern Bering
and western mainland extending well into the Pacific, digging as
far south as 30 S. A strong southerly jet is tapping into
subtropical moisture and sending it north into the Gulf of Alaska
and Southcentral. Several surface lows are seen rotating around
the upper trough, with one located north of Nunivak Island and
several others over the North Pacific south of Kodiak. The
southerly flow is helping to keep temperatures well above the
freezing mark along the coast, with only locations well inland
across Southcentral remaining below freezing. Radar imagery shows
a wide swath of moderate precipitation filling in over the North
Gulf Coast as a warm front ahead of the next low coming in from
the south moves ashore. Winds are also beginning to ramp up
through the channeled terrain, including Turnagain Arm, as well as
the upper elevation spots. This is leading to some downsloping
helping to keep leeward locations mostly dry this morning.

Further west, a front is pushing east across the Kuskokwim River
Delta with a band of snow showers seen on radar moving past
Bethel as cold dry air filters in behind the front. Weak ridging
covers most of the Eastern/Central Bering with generally tranquil
conditions, though cold and dry air filtering down from the north
is helping to enhance northerly winds over the area. Over the
Western Bering/Aleutians, satellite imagery shows clouds pushing
north ahead of the next system, with strong zonal flow leading to
some gale force winds, as seen on the most recent scatterometer
pass.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models have come into better agreement regarding the surface low
moving north into the Gulf of Alaska today. There is still some
disagreement regarding specific details, including how much wind
will get into the Anchorage Bowl as well as precipitation type
and amount before downsloping kicks in this morning. Models are
also locking in on the next system moving up into the Gulf Friday
night into Saturday morning, with only some placement and timing
issues, though the Canadian seems to be the slower outlier. By
Saturday morning, guidance shows another low rapidly moving into
the Gulf, though there is still a fair amount of disagreement,
with the GFS/NAM generally showing the low moving over the Eastern
Kenai Coast early Saturday morning while the EC brings the low
into Prince William Sound later in the day.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Some LIFR ceilings may linger for a few hours early this
morning before low level drying from downsloping completely
eradicates any remaining low level moisture in the Anchorage Bowl
by sunrise, keeping conditions VFR. The forecast challenge then
shifts to low level windshear as a warm front pushes into the
area, ramping up the low level winds through the Turnagain Arm and
upper elevations. Hi-res models indicate the Turnagain Arm wind
will bend south down through Cook Inlet as the low center pushes
between Homer and Kodiak. Stiff northwesterly surface winds
combined with southeasterly winds of 40-50 kt around 2000 ft will
lead to decent low level windshear over the terminal later this
morning through the afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Today
through Saturday night)...
A steady stream of storms will track northward from the Pacific to
Southcentral the next couple days. These will generally be powerful
storms, producing widespread strong winds and heavy precipitation
across the Gulf of Alaska and along the Gulf coastal zone. Expect
rapidly changing conditions as each of these storms passes through.

A strong surface front oriented roughly northwest to southeast
across the western Gulf this morning will lift northward out ahead
of a high amplitude negatively tilted trough approaching from the
northeast Pacific. This trough will induce cyclogenesis along the
front, leading to a storm force low tracking right across the
central Gulf tonight, then inland across the Kenai Peninsula
sometime early Saturday morning. Strong dynamic lift ahead of
the trough will maintain moderate to heavy precipitation for
coastal areas. Persistent low level southeast flow will favor
western Prince William Sound/eastern Kenai Peninsula for the
heaviest precipitation. The steady supply of warm air means this
will be all in the form of rain at lower elevations, with snow
levels running roughly 1500 feet or higher. Deformation and
upslope will also maintain heavy precipitation along the west side
of Cook Inlet and the Susitna Valley. Temperatures are a little
cooler here, so expect mostly mountain snow, with a wintry mix
closer to sea level. With the front sitting right near the
southern tip of the Kenai Peninsula, also expect steady rain on
the western Kenai Peninsula south of Clam Gulch. Elsewhere, expect
mostly dry conditions thanks to downslope flow across the coastal
mountains. There may be a bit of light rain making it over the
Kenai and Chugach Mountains this morning, but flow will strengthen
through the morning hours which should bring an end to this.

There will be very strong surface pressure rises behind the low
center, with the isallobaric max on the order of 4 mb/hour. There
is some uncertainty in the exact track of the low as it heads to
the Kenai Peninsula early Saturday, but would expect these
pressure rises to contribute to a very strong uptick in south to
east winds across the Prince William Sound region late tonight
through early Saturday, then continuing inland across
Southcentral during the morning hours. This will favor strong
southeast winds through Turnagain Arm into Anchorage, the Knik
River Valley into Palmer and Wasilla, and along the Copper River.
Would expect a nice jump in temperatures as these winds spread
inland.

Meanwhile, arctic air will advect from the Bering Sea into the
western Gulf beginning this afternoon then continue northward to
Southcentral during the day Saturday. While the air aloft looks
cold enough to support snow, the near surface layer will be well
above freezing most places thanks to the aforementioned winds.
However, as the next storm system moves up from the Pacific
Saturday and into Southcentral Saturday night would expect
precipitation to fall mainly as snow inland. The track of this
storm is very much in question, so it's hard to say at this point
in time which areas will see snow. Stay tuned as this very active
weather pattern continues.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Sunday)...

The primary active weather across Southwest Alaska today is the
expectation of a deformation band developing within the broad
moisture plume streaming northward out of the Gulf and across the
Alaska Range. This area of precipitation will be focused along the
Alaska Range, but the western side of it is likely to result in
accumulating snow for areas north of Iliamna and from Sparrevohn
eastward. The snow will begin as early as this morning, picking up
in intensity this evening, then slowly drift back eastward and
weaken overnight tonight. As such, by far the greatest
accumulations are expected for communities nearest the Alaska
Range, especially Port Alsworth. The exact location of where the
western edge of the snow will set up will be the determining
factor as to which communities get how much snow. Unfortunately
that is very rarely a certain thing before the snow is actually
falling. Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect, but lower
elevation communities should expect to be closer to the 4 inch
side of the forecast accumulations.

An Arctic cold front currently over the Kuskokwim Delta will
slowly push eastward today, and will be what ultimately pushes the
deformation band back eastward across the Alaska Range tonight.
The arrival of the cold air behind the front will likely end most
of the precipitation activity for Bristol Bay and the Lower
Kuskokwim Delta. However, a small area of low pressure in western
Norton Sound will keep a steady onshore flow continuing across the
Kuskokwim Delta. This means occasional snow showers and patchy
fog are expected for the Kuskokwim Delta area into the day
Saturday, since the low is barely moving. Otherwise, quiet and
cold weather will persist through Saturday night.

On Sunday, the next area of low pressure off the Bering will bring
the next round of wintry precipitation and warmer temperatures to
Southwest Alaska. There is a large degree of uncertainty as to
where the low center tracks. The GFS/EC keep the low center off
the coast and the low's warm front will be the primary driver of
precipitation. Meanwhile the NAM and Canadian have more easterly
tracks and the center of the low itself provides the
precipitation. Either way this marginally warm air will be
overtopping a cold air mass, which are significant ingredients
for somewhere in Southwest Alaska to get freezing rain. However,
if the low center tracks eastward then it's likely to be mostly a
snow event. Windy conditions will also be a concern, so stay
tuned as more winter weather products may be needed with this
event.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Sunday)...

The Arctic air mass over the Bering producing widespread snow
shower activity will slowly move eastward into mainland Alaska
today. Meanwhile a warm front with associated rain will be moving
into the western Aleutians tonight. As the deepening low tracks
over or just north of the western Aleutians Saturday afternoon,
its intensification and westward movement are likely to create a
rather rare phenomenon called dynamic fetch. In this case, strong
westerly winds in the area south of the low center will persist
along with the low, which itself is moving eastward. Thus, strong
winds with essentially unlimited fetch will be impacting the same
area of ocean waves for an extended period of time. The result
will be a region of very high waves, exceeding 40 feet high in
places on the Pacific side of the western Aleutians. The primary
time period of this dangerously high swell will be Saturday
afternoon through Sunday morning. Mariners are urged to avoid this
area through the stated time period. As the low moves into the
Bering, it is forecast to begin weakening and elongating eastward
as new triple-point lows develop closer to the greatest
temperature gradients. This will effectively end the threat of 30
foot and higher waves by Sunday night. Warmer air associated with
the low should change the precipitation type across the Aleutians
to mostly rain until the low center passes and more cold air
follows behind the low.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...
(Monday through Thursday)

A very active pattern will continue through the week, with
forecast confidence growing as model continuity continues to
improve. Monday will feature a rapidly deepening low which
undergoes bombogenesis (defined as a rapidly deepening cyclone
with a pressure decrease of 24 mb in 24 hours), as its pressure
lowers from 970 mb southeast of Sand Point late Monday morning, to
947 mb south of Seward by early Tuesday morning. This storm will
also draw up tropical moisture, with current water vapor values
forecast to be 300 to 400 percent above normal. Thus, some of the
precipitation will probably be of a moderate to heavy intensity at
times. Another important aspect associated with this system is
wind speeds, with current indications suggesting some hurricane
force winds possible for the coastal waters, as a strong barrier
jet develops.

Next in the active pattern will be another area of low pressure
that will track along or just south of the Aleutians in the Monday
through Tuesday time frame, This system will also undergo
bombogenesis, as mid-level energy drives into the backside of a
central Bering trough, with current indications showing this low
dropping from the around 983 mb to 949 mb (34 mb drop in 24 hours)
as it moves to just east of Kodiak Island by Wednesday morning.
This storm will also tap the tropicals with a similar moisture
feed in terms of percentage above normal. Similar to its
predecessor, warm air will be pumped north with very strong
winds, especially for the marine waters, a good bet.  This storm
will weaken as it fills across the northern Gulf, with yet another
rapidly deepening and moisture-laden storm moving into the west
central Aleutians on Thursday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 152 161.
MARINE...Storms 119 125.
Heavy Freezing Spray 185.
Gales 120 128 130 131 132 150 177 178 185 351 352 411 413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KVP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW
LONG TERM...PD