Gale Warning 730, NWS Anchorage, AK

050 
FZAK52 PAFC 010054
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-011315-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 978 mb low 115 nm northeast of St. Paul will move into the 
Northern Bering Sat morning. A 990 mb North Pacific low will move 
to 250 nm southeast of Adak Sat morning then it will move to 75 nm
west of Cape Newenham at 990 mb Sun morning. The low will then 
move inland over the Lower Kuskokwim Delta Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-011315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 20 ft after midnight.
Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 
ft diminishing to 18 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt om the evening increasing to 30 kt. Seas 
16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ155-011315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...Storm WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt becoming SW 35 kt after midnight. Seas 25 
ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. From the 
Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
From he Shumagin Islands E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft, except 16 ft 
from the Shumagin Islands E.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-011315-
Bristol Bay-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt becoming S 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-011315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 35 kt. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45 kt becoming S
25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-011315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Rain 
showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-011315-
Unalaska Bay-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-011315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 50 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft.
Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 22 ft subsiding to 16 ft after midnight.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-011315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-011315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. 
Widespread rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-011315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-011315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-011315-
Adak to Kiska-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming variable 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt in the morning becoming E wind 45 kt. 
Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-011315-
Kiska to Attu-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Snow showers.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ179-011315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-011315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 30 kt in the evening increasing to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-011315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-011315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
354 PM AKST Fri Nov 30 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, NE wind 20 kt becoming W
after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, variable wind 10 kt 
becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...W wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SW 20 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 25 kt diminishing
to 15 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt. 
Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

232 
FZAK52 PAFC 011304
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-020215-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 990 mb low 180 nm southeast of Adak moves 210 nm northeast of
Saint Paul at 989 mb Sat night and then moves inland. A 969 mb 
North Pacific low moves 500 nm southwest of Adak Sun morning and 
then moves 200 nm south of Adak at 960 mb Sun night.


$$

PKZ150-020215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ155-020215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. From the
Shumagin Islands E, SW wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 22 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-020215-
Bristol Bay-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-020215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. From Port Moller E, SW wind 45 kt becoming
S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-020215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-020215-
Unalaska Bay-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-020215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
20 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ173-020215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...E wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-020215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft.
Widespread rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 31 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-020215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13
ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...E wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...N wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ176-020215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-020215-
Adak to Kiska-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.MON...N wind 50 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-020215-
Kiska to Attu-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt becoming NW 20 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft.
Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON...N wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ179-020215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ180-020215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-020215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-020215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
404 AM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 25 kt diminishing to
15 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 15 kt.
Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...W 15 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

005 
FZAK52 PAFC 020037
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-021400-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 990 mb low 40 nm SE of Dutch Harbor will move onshore along 
the Kuskokwim Delta coast Sun morning. A 970 mb North Pacific 
low will track to 450 nm south-southwest of Adak Sun afternoon 
at 960 mb, then maintain strength as it moves to 65 nm southeast
of Adak Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-021400-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-021400-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt except S 30 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. From
the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after 
midnight. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-021400-
Bristol Bay-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-021400-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW 40 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-021400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-021400-
Unalaska Bay-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind increasing to 30 kt then becoming SW 20 kt after 
midnight. Seas building to 5 ft then subsiding to 3 ft after 
midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 
5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-021400-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft building to 21 ft after midnight.
.MON...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 35 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-021400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming E 55 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft building to 26 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ174-021400-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 21 ft building to 31 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 35 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 39 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-021400-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 45 kt increasing to 55 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft building to 24 ft after midnight. Rain.
.MON...E wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ176-021400-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
17 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 55 kt. Seas 31 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 32 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-021400-
Adak to Kiska-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...E wind 25 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Bering
side, seas 12 ft. Pacific side, seas 13 ft building to 19 ft in
the afternoon. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft Bering side...26 ft Pacific 
side. Rain and snow.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ178-021400-
Kiska to Attu-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
16 ft.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 55 kt. Bering side, seas 12 ft building to 22
ft after midnight. Pacific side, seas 20 ft building to 27 ft after 
midnight. Snow and rain.
.MON...N wind 60 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ179-021400-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft.
.MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ180-021400-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-021400-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-021400-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
337 PM AKST Sat Dec 1 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
507 PM AKST Thu Nov 29 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper level longwave pattern has a trough extending out of
Russia over the Bering Strait and then curving southeastward to
Southcentral Alaska and into the Gulf of Alaska. The 250 mb jet
stream is running west-to-east just below the Aleutian Islands
and then splits with the main push heading southward under a
trough in the Pacific and then continuing eastward. The section
that splits northeastward is bringing a jet streak over the
Eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula today which will amplify
some as it heads over southwest mainland Alaska Friday afternoon
and then weakens Saturday over Southcentral Alaska. This is a big
source for the warmer air moving into the area, but the big push
of warm air will remain south of Alaska.

At the surface there is an elongated low in the Bering Sea with
centers in the northwest Bering Sea. The front associated with
this low is moving into Southwest Mainland Alaska and then curves
over the Alaska Peninsula. A low is beginning to develop along
this front southwest of the Alaska Peninsula which will rapidly
deepen tonight as it moves northeastward. The impacts of this will
be talked about later in the discussion.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models continue to show a similar synoptic pattern but change
run-to-run on details such as how far northward the warm sector of
air reaches Friday and Saturday. Overall, the NAM and GFS look to
be giving good enough information to be used, but there are still
some challenges especially in forecasting precipitation type
Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...With some partial clearing after the snowfall from the
past day, it looks increasingly likely that there will be stratus
and/or fog that will produce reduced ceilings and/or visibilities
tonight through tomorrow morning. The current state of the
atmosphere tilts a little more toward the stratus and less fog,
but reduced visibility is likely.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
(Tonight through Saturday)

An interesting weather day is in store for the region as we head
into the Friday evening through Saturday morning timeframe. More
on that in a minute. Earlier we hoisted a dense fog advisory for
the Glenn Hwy from Chickaloon to near Glennallen, as area web cams
showed visibilities to near zero at times. With a transient ridge
building overhead, this will likely continue through early
afternoon tomorrow. As a side note, the afternoon sounding from
Anchorage showed multiple low-level inversions already developing,
but this can be seen even better on the King Salmon sounding.

Then the real fun part of the forecast begins Friday evening, with
the fun being will the models lock onto a solution in terms of the
finer details, such as how fast will surface temperatures warm and
thickness levels increase. As has been the case for the past
couple of days, the NAM appears to be too aggressive with the
warm advection at 850 mb. Meanwhile, the Canadian Regional, ARW,
and HRRR models are slower with the warming at this level, and
more so at the surface. This then leads to concerns for a period
of freezing rain developing, as 850 temps warm above zero while
the surface temps remain below freezing. The latter of the three
models all differ on how long of a period this potential is.

So in short, look for patchy fog overnight and during your morning
commute, then for snow to gradually change from snow, to freezing
rain, to rain for portions of Southcentral in the Friday evening
through Saturday morning timeframe, with all locations changing
back to snow Saturday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Thursday
night through Sunday)...

The first of two fronts is currently on the doorstep of the
Southwest coast with snow beginning to spread inland over the YK
Delta. Ahead of the front, southeasterly winds are increasing and
are expected to peak overnight as the front pushes inland.
Snowfall totals will be on the lighter side with this system due
to the quick movement of the front; however, blowing snow will be
a concern overnight from Dillingham to Bethel as the southerly
wind gusts in combination with the falling snow will reduce
visibilities to around one mile at times. Although warmer air is
advecting in aloft, temperatures are expected to stay cold enough
for precipitation north and east of Dillingham to fall primarily
as snow. Enough warmer air is expected to move in for areas around
Bristol Bay where a changeover to rain will take place by early
tomorrow morning.

A North Pacific low will then begin to track northward, lifting a
warm front across the region beginning midday Friday. With the
center of the low tracking to the west of the mainland and a
strong southerly flow ahead of it, this system will advect much
warmer air over the southwest mainland. Rain will continue along
the AKPEN and around Bristol Bay with snow quickly transitioning
to rain farther inland as the front lifts north and the moves into
the eastern Bering. Snowfall amounts will once again be light and
mainly confined to far interior location like Aniak and Sleetmute
as well as into portions of the Kuskokwim Delta where the colder
air will linger the longest. As the warmer air works north, there
will also be a narrow band of mixed precipitation as snow
transitions to rain. Most of it will be a rain/snow mix, though
there is a chance for a brief period freezing rain north of
Bethel toward Hooper Bay. By early morning Saturday, colder air
will begin to wrap around the northward tracking low changing any
lingering rain showers back to snow. This weather pattern then
repeats itself for late Saturday into Sunday as yet another
system moves toward the southwest mainland from the north
Pacific with another snow to rain precipitation event.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through
3/Thursday night through Sunday)...

Behind this front, zonal flow will develop over the western Bering
for the next couple of days as vertically stacked low east of
Kamchatka remains stationary. Intermittent small craft winds and
periods of rain/snow will develop within this zonal flow as
shortwaves eject from the parent low and transit over the
southern Bering. Conditions remain quite active over the eastern
Aleutians and Bering, however, as the first of two North Pacific
lows lift north into the eastern Bering. The first is a double-
barrel low and slides into the eastern Bering tomorrow. As this
system intensifies, widespread gales and areas of storm-force wind
will develop from the eastern Aleutians north to Cape Newenham.
The second low then lifts north Saturday with another round of
widespread rain and gales for the eastern half of the Bering and
Aleutians.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The forecast period commences with a longwave trough across the
Central Bering and portions of the North Pacific with a ridge
axis over the Yukon Territory and the Gulf Of Alaska. Between
these longwave features southwest flow aloft will dominate much of
the mainland. There are numerous shortwaves embedded in the upper
level trough. At the onset of the forecast period, the
Canadian/GFS and ECMWF have a surface low near Dutch Harbor,
another surface low west of St. Matthew Island and a dome of high
pressure east of SE AK. Even at the onset of the forecast period
the global models struggle with the placement of the surface low
although they have these features. As the forecast period
elapses, the model divergence becomes more amplified. Generally
speaking, expecting a progressive and unsettled pattern for the
Bering, the Aleutians and SW AK. However, due to the lack
consistency, this forecast package reflects a blend of models.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms 155 165 172. Gales 132 138 150 160 170 173-176 180
181 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
LONG TERM...PS