Gale Warning 698, NWS Anchorage, AK

907 
FZAK52 PAFC 180000
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-181245-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 988 mb low 10 nm West of Port Heiden moves to 20 nm West of
Shishmaref at 990 mb for Mon afternoon. Its front pushes into 
Western Alaska and the Gulf of Alaska through Mon afternoon. A 990
mb Kamchatka low slips to 270 nm West of St Matthew Island at 999
mb by Mon afternoon. Its front glides into the Eastern Aleutians 
for Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-181245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ155-181245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt except W 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt except NW 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt except W 30 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-181245-
Bristol Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft after
midnight.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ165-181245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt except W 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 8 ft
building to 14 ft in the afternoon. From Port Moller E, seas 6 ft.
Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-181245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-181245-
Unalaska Bay-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-181245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-181245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-181245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ175-181245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ176-181245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-181245-
Adak to Kiska-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-181245-
Kiska to Attu-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ179-181245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 
ft.
.SUN...W wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 12 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-181245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-181245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. 
Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ185-181245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
300 PM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NW 20 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

507 
FZAK52 PAFC 181236
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-190130-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 992 mb low over Mekoryuk will remain nearly stationary through 
Mon morning then it will move inland over Bethel Mon afternoon. 
High pressure builds in the western Bering Tue morning. 

$$

PKZ150-190130-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-190130-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt except NW 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-190130-
Bristol Bay-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft after
midnight.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-190130-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. From Port Moller E, seas
6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-190130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ171-190130-
Unalaska Bay-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-190130-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ173-190130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ174-190130-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ175-190130-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ176-190130-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ177-190130-
Adak to Kiska-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ178-190130-
Kiska to Attu-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.

$$

PKZ179-190130-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-190130-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-190130-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-190130-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
336 AM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NW 20 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

881 
FZAK52 PAFC 190018
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-191300-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 992 mb low over Mekoryuk will remain nearly stationary through 
Mon morning then it will move inland over Bethel Mon afternoon. 
High pressure builds in the western Bering Tue morning. 

$$

PKZ150-191300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-191300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt except NW 30 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-191300-
Bristol Bay-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 
ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas
11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 
7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-191300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt except W 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
11 ft. Rain showers.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-191300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming NW. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ171-191300-
Unalaska Bay-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-191300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-191300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-191300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ175-191300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-191300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 
15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.THU...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ177-191300-
Adak to Kiska-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 35 kt becoming NW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-191300-
Kiska to Attu-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 
10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ179-191300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ180-191300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft subsiding to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-191300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ185-191300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
318 PM AKST Sun Nov 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...NW 20 kt W of 
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
501 AM AKST Sat Nov 17 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Upper levels show ridging continuing to push east over the Alcan
border, while a low sits in the northern Bering. Showery
conditions, mostly rain, are still occurring out west along the
Chain and Southwest as a surface low makes its way eastward.

For Southcentral, widespread precipitation was observed overnight
and continues along the north Gulf coast associated with the
front moving across the Gulf. Radar imagery shows precipitation
pushing over the coastal areas, the Kenai Peninsula, and into the
Anchorage Bowl. Rainfall was the main p-type observed from Kodiak
to Cordova, with the exception being Valdez and Gulkana, which
continues to see snow. The Copper River Basin will be the main
concern this morning with the Winter Weather Advisory issued for
mixed precipitation with snow changing over to freezing rain this
morning.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Based on satellite imagery and METAR data, the models initialized
fairly well. The one caveat being the precipitation over the
Kenai Peninsula which the NAM and GFS did not have. There is
decent consensus with the synoptic pattern for 36 hrs. However,
there are some pesky timing issues with the precipitation shield
and the p-type. Past 36 hrs, the the models diverge significantly
at both the surface and 500 mb. The divergence in the guidance is
not limited to the Bering, its also very glaring over the Gulf of
Alaska.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2/Today
through Sunday night)...
A strong negatively tilted upper level trough over the northern
Gulf will lift northward across eastern Prince William Sound this
morning and the Copper River Basin this afternoon, with rain along
the coast and mostly snow inland. A Winter Weather Advisory for
snow and freezing rain remains in effect until Noon for the
Copper River Basin from Glennallen southward. However, the extent
of warming aloft does not look as significant as previous model
runs indicated. Thus, have backed off freezing rain this morning,
confining it to the southeastern basin, from about Chitina to
McCarthy. Areas north of Glennallen will see snow as well, but
expect very little accumulation. Warming aloft will continue
northward this afternoon through tonight, but the heart of the
basin will dry out.

Meanwhile, a weaker short-wave trough back over Cook Inlet and the
Kenai Peninsula will lift northward early this morning, producing
a brief period of light precipitation. While temperatures on the
Kenai are all above freezing, much of Anchorage and the Mat-Su
remain below freezing. Thus, could see some light freezing rain
or sprinkles. Based on short duration and light intensity do not
expect any significant icing or impacts from this.

As we head through the next couple days, a series of short-wave
troughs will traverse Southcentral as a high amplitude long-wave
trough moves in from the Bering Sea. Forecast confidence remains
low as models continue to struggle with the details of each
feature moving through the upper level trough. There are also
major differences on the track and strength of a surface low
moving up from the northeast Pacific Sunday through Sunday night.
So what can we say with confidence about the forecast? Coastal
areas will remain wet no matter which solution pans out. Surface
temperatures will be on a steady rise across the region today
through tonight. This means that wherever precipitation does
fall, it will be primarily in the form of rain. The only areas
which look to remain cold enough for all snow are the far northern
Susitna Valley and Copper River Basin (near the Alaska Range).

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
(Today through Sunday)

The weather will remain active through tomorrow, with wintry type
precipitation and amounts being the main forecast challenge. A
trio of low pressure systems to our west and southwest continues
to funnel warm moist air into the region this morning, and these
lows will consolidate into a single low moving northward through
the AKPEN into Bristol Bay by this evening. This system will swing
a warm front northward reaching the Nushagak Hills shortly after
sunset. This will let some of the cold air at the surface remain
entrenched in the valleys to the north of these hills and east of
the Kilbuck Mountains through Sunday morning. Additional vort
maxes crossing the area aloft will provide bursts of ascent which
will periodically aid in precipitation efficiency as well, with
some of the latest numerical data suggesting a few inches of snow
along with up to two tenths of an inch of ice are likely in the
valleys for this area.

Further south and west, precipitation will be in the form of rain,
except for some locations near/north of the Kuskokwim river across
the delta, where temperatures will be marginally sufficient for a
wintry mix or periods of freezing rain to persist through the
evening. However, temporal and area coverage of this threat is low
enough to preclude any headline issuance. Look for periods of
precipitation to continue through Sunday in this active weather
pattern.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
(Today through Sunday)

Several vort maxes in the cyclonic flow aloft will continue to
produce showery type precipitation across the region through
Sunday. Winds will mainly be of the small craft variety, with a
few periods of localized sustained gales possible. This will be a
result of increased dry and cold advection on the backside of the
disturbances, which increases the downward mixing potential,
leading to the increase in winds. Wave heights will also increase
across central portions of the Bering as this region will have a
long fetch length and be closer to the path of these
disturbances.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7/Monday Night through
Friday)...

Disorganization and uncertainty continues for the long term.
Solutions are at least similar to yesterday in that we start next
week with troughing over southcentral AK and a closed upper level
low near SW Alaska. However, models are struggling with their
placement of the low over SW Alaska with variation in the
troughing extending from this low over the eastern and central
Aleutians. This means any frontal systems associated with this
low will be placed much differently at the surface. Therefore, we
still know weather will be active for much of the forecast area,
but the details are still very fuzzy.

Going forward through next week, a broad area of troughing
remains over southcentral AK, with disorganized lows spinning
through this trough. Once again, too far in out in time to predict
particulars of these systems. Ridging exists over the central
Aleutians, while a trough is over the western Aleutians. This
trough/ridge pattern will be slowly working its way east through
the week, with models hinting at the ridge arriving over
southcentral AK on Friday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 141 152.
MARINE...Gale Warning 119 120 130 131 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...PAMBER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...BB