Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 447, NWS Anchorage, AK

August 2, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Aug 2, 2018, 3:56 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2018, 3:56 AM AKDT (11:56 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2018, 3:56 PM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

551 
FZAK51 PAFC 021156
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-030030-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front in the western Gulf moves to the southeastern Gulf
tonight. The associated 985 mb low moves 120 nm south of Middleton
Island tonight and then moves 400 nm southeast of Middleton Island at
993 mb Fri night.

$$

PKZ119-030030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-030030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-030030-
Resurrection Bay-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-030030-
Prince William Sound-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. 
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-030030-
Port Valdez-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-030030-
Valdez Narrows-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 15 becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-030030-
Valdez Arm-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-030030-
Passage Canal-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-030030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-030030-
Barren Islands East-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-030030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming NW 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt decreasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-030030-
Chiniak Bay-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-030030-
Marmot Bay-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-030030-
Shelikof Strait-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-030030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-030030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-030030-
Kachemak Bay-
356 AM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
005 
FZAK51 PAFC 022352
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-031230-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front in the western Gulf moves to the southeastern Gulf
tonight. A 995 mb low near Kodiak Island will strengthen to 985 mb and
move to 120 nm south of Middleton Island tonight. It then moves to
400 nm southeast of Middleton Island at 993 mb Fri night. North 
to northeasterly flow will prevail through the Gulf through Sunday.

$$

PKZ119-031230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-031230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-031230-
Resurrection Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Gusts to 30
kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft. Rain 
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-031230-
Prince William Sound-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-031230-
Port Valdez-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-031230-
Valdez Narrows-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-031230-
Valdez Arm-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3 
ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-031230-
Passage Canal-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-031230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-031230-
Barren Islands East-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming NE 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-031230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt becoming N 35 kt by midnight. Seas 8 
ft building to 11 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-031230-
Chiniak Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-031230-
Marmot Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-031230-
Shelikof Strait-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft building to 6 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-031230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-031230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-031230-
Kachemak Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Aug 2 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
908 
FZAK51 PAFC 031219
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-040115-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 mb low 140 nm south of Middleton Island exits the Gulf to 
the south tonight and remains in the North Pacific at 997 mb 
through Sat night. A ridge of high pressure approaches the western
Gulf Sat night.

$$

PKZ119-040115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ120-040115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-040115-
Resurrection Bay-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Higher winds and seas south of
Caines Head. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-040115-
Prince William Sound-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-040115-
Port Valdez-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-040115-
Valdez Narrows-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-040115-
Valdez Arm-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-040115-
Passage Canal-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-040115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ131-040115-
Barren Islands East-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 40 kt, except NW 30 kt toward the 
Barren Islands. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-040115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-040115-
Chiniak Bay-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-040115-
Marmot Bay-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-040115-
Shelikof Strait-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-040115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-040115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-040115-
Kachemak Bay-
419 AM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
051 
FZAK51 PAFC 032356
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-041230-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 mb low 225 NM SE of Kodiak will weaken to 994 mb while 
moving to 500 NM SW of Sitka Sat afternoon, sliding further south 
on Sun. A ridge of high pressure will build across the western Gulf 
through the period.

$$

PKZ119-041230-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-041230-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-041230-
Resurrection Bay-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-041230-
Prince William Sound-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-041230-
Port Valdez-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-041230-
Valdez Narrows-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-041230-
Valdez Arm-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming N variable 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-041230-
Passage Canal-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-041230-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-041230-
Barren Islands East-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-041230-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-041230-
Chiniak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-041230-
Marmot Bay-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-041230-
Shelikof Strait-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-041230-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-041230-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy morning fog.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-041230-
Kachemak Bay-
356 PM AKDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Aug 1, 4:51 PM AKDT, 11 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 4:51 PM AKDT, 11 hours 5 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
451 PM AKDT Wed Aug 1 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A broad upper low continues over the NE Bering Sea with a
negatively oriented ridge extending from the NE Pacific to over
the Yukon Territory. Satellite imagery shows upper waves and
moisture caught in a broad nearly zonal jet stream moving eastward
from the Western Bering Sea/Aleutians to across Southcentral
Alaska. At the surface, a stacked low continues near Saint
Matthew Island with surface front/troughs bringing abundant cloud
cover from the Western Aleutians to over the Mainland. Rain was
observed from the western Aleutians to over mainland. Rain ended
across much of Southcentral this morning just after transiting to
drizzle. Low stratus and patchy fog across the Eastern Bering
Sea/SW Alaska, and portions of Southcentral make for challenging
TAF forecasts.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good synoptic agreement through the short term. The
GFS is generally bringing easterly gales into the northern Gulf
late Thursday into Friday as the surface low intensifies over the
Gulf. Will be leaning toward max small craft winds for this
package.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The ceiling should remain VFR this evening, but the
terminal could see MVFR ceiling again Thursday morning as a front
brings in rain. Winds should be fairly light through tonight, but
possibly a little stronger out of the southeast Thursday
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (through Saturday
afternoon)...
Despite a cooler air mass overhead, this evening should be fairly
pleasant with some breaks appearing around the Cook Inlet region.
A weakly unstable air mass lingers over the Copper River Basin
where isolated thunderstorms are possible early this evening. The
pattern changes very quickly overnight as upper-level heights fall
and a trough moves overhead. Widespread rain will move into Cook
Inlet Thursday morning. As the surface low pressure moves into the
Gulf, a period of easterly cross-barrier flow will set up, which
could limit rain amounts in the normal downslope areas. The
Turnagain wind will tick up at this time, but shouldn't impact the
Anchorage Bowl much at all. Rain will linger along the north Gulf
coast on Friday morning, but otherwise the low will exit to the
southeast fairly quickly. Friday has the potential to be dry and
warm as the offshore flow establishes. Saturday will feature some
middle and high clouds streaming overhead from the northwest but
should otherwise be a warm late-summer day.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

As the main upper-level low continues to track north toward the
Bering Strait a more progressive weather pattern is taking shape
across the southern Bering. This pattern features a series of
quick-moving troughs and fronts, the first of which will continue
to produce rain across the Y-K Delta tonight as it lifts farther
into the mainland interior. The second, a warm front situated over
the eastern Aleutians with a trailing cold front, will push
another slug of clouds and moisture across the Alaska Peninsula
and through Bristol Bay overnight tonight into Thursday. Rain and
clouds continue through early Friday morning as a surface low
positioned south of Norton Sound dives south along with its upper-
level counterpart in the northern Bering. Conditions improve
briefly for Friday as high pressure builds over the southwest
mainland. This will be short-lived, however, as a weak warm front
approaches the forecast area Friday night with increasing clouds
and a chance of rain for the start of the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...

It will remain quite active over the Bering through the forecast
period. To begin, a vertically stacked low continues to lift
northwest toward Saint Matthew Island overnight. Farther south, a
a warm front will continue to produce widespread rain over the
eastern Aleutians through the evening hours. Rain and fog will
also persist over the central and western Aleutians through
tomorrow as a shortwave rides the boundary of an upper-level low
to the north and a building ridge to the south. The building ridge
takes hold over the central Aleutians by Thursday afternoon and
remains through Saturday with low stratus and patchy fog likely
under the ridge. The resultant northwesterly flow upstream of the
ridge should keep some clouds and showers over the eastern
Aleutians through Friday. To the west, a storm system will ride up
and over the ridge with a warm front entering the western Bering
Thursday reaching the eastern Bering Friday evening. The trailing
cold front will produce some gales across the western Aleutians
late Thursday then weaken and stall while keeping things unsettled
through Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...
Beginning this weekend a stagnant pattern will begin to setup as a
cutoff low from the Gulf moves southward into the North Pacific
and becomes nearly stationary. This will allow for a ridge of high
pressure to ride up along a broad trough that will setup over the
Northern Mainland, providing persistent zonal flow for most of
the Bering and South Mainland into early next week. This will
allow for a series of frontal systems from the Bering to move
through the South Mainland for later this weekend into the early
part of next week, allowing for a wet start to next week for most
areas.

By the middle of next week there uncertainty begins to develop
with how deep a trough diving from Eastern Russia will move into
the Bering. This will erode away the ridging that will setup over
the Bering, and allow for continued active and likely wet weather
for most of the area into the later portions of wet week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TM
LONG TERM...DEK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 3:56 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Aug 2, 3:57 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Aug 2, 4:03 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Aug 2, 4:03 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 days
Aug 2, 3:36 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Aug 2, 3:36 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Aug 2, 3:47 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Aug 2, 3:52 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Aug 2, 3:52 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.