Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018
Gale Warning 38, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 7, 2018, 3:27 AM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 7, 2018, 3:27 AM AKST (12:27 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 8, 2018, 3:32 PM AKST
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
121 FZAK52 PAFC 071227 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-080100- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 977 mb low 370 nm northwest of St. Paul moves over the Gulf of Anadyr at 985 mb by Sun afternoon. A 957 mb low 460 nm south of Shemya moves to 75 nm southwest of Adak at 949 mb by Mon morning and then to 30 nm northwest of Adak at 960 mb by Tue morning. $$ PKZ150-080100- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ155-080100- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .MON...SE wind 40 kt except SE 35 kt from the Shumagin Islands E. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 26 ft. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 25 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ160-080100- Bristol Bay- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray north of Cape Newenham. .MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ165-080100- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .MON...E wind 40 kt except E 35 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 10 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ170-080100- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Gusts to 60 kt out of bays and passes through late morning. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ171-080100- Unalaska Bay- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ172-080100- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft building to 29 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 33 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ173-080100- Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. .TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ174-080100- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 28 ft building to 35 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 34 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 21 ft. $$ PKZ175-080100- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming E 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 19 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .MON...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ176-080100- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 23 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers. .MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 33 ft. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 31 ft. .TUE...W wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. $$ PKZ177-080100- Adak to Kiska- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming E 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft building to 19 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow. .TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt becoming NE 30 kt after midnight. Seas 19 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE...W wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ178-080100- Kiska to Attu- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .MON...N wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 23 ft. .TUE...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ179-080100- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. .TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ180-080100- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ181-080100- North and West of Nunivak Island- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. .MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft. .TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-080100- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 327 AM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$
3 follow-up statements
081 FZAK52 PAFC 080031 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-081400- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 951 mb low 460 nm southwest of Adak moves over Adak at 952 mb Mon afternoon and then moves 140 nm southeast of Adak at 972 mb Tue afternoon. The associated front reaches the Alaska Peninsula Mon morning and weakens as it moves northward through Tue. $$ PKZ150-081400- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Widespread rain showers. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 20 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ155-081400- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft building to 27 ft after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 26 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ160-081400- Bristol Bay- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ165-081400- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. .MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ170-081400- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ171-081400- Unalaska Bay- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .MON...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-081400- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 19 ft after midnight. Rain. .MON...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 ft building to 27 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 33 ft. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ173-081400- Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ174-081400- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain. .MON...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft building to 37 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 37 ft subsiding to 30 ft after midnight. Rain showers. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ175-081400- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Patchy fog. Rain and snow. .MON...E wind 40 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-081400- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 21 ft. Patchy fog. Rain. .MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 33 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 29 ft subsiding to 23 ft after midnight. .TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ177-081400- Adak to Kiska- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Patchy fog. Rain and snow. .MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ178-081400- Kiska to Attu- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers. .MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .TUE...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ179-081400- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 40 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft. .MON...E wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. $$ PKZ180-081400- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft. .MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ181-081400- North and West of Nunivak Island- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-081400- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 331 PM AKST Sun Jan 7 2018 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 11 ft. .MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$
262 FZAK52 PAFC 081239 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-090115- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 948 mb low 120 nm southwest of Adak moves to 65 nm southwest of Adak at 960 mb by Tue morning then moves to 290 nm southeast of Adak at 978 mb by Wed morning. The associated front moves across the Alaska Peninsula this morning. $$ PKZ150-090115- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ155-090115- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 40 kt except E 35 kt from the Shumagin Islands E. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt, Seas 18 ft building to 25 ft after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight, Seas 18 ft. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 24 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ160-090115- Bristol Bay- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ165-090115- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 40 kt except E 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ170-090115- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ171-090115- Unalaska Bay- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-090115- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft building to 25 ft in the afternoon. Rain. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 31 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 26 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ173-090115- Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ174-090115- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S wind 40 kt. Seas 26 ft building to 37 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 36 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 24 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ175-090115- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ176-090115- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 36 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 31 ft subsiding to 23 ft after midnight. .TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. $$ PKZ177-090115- Adak to Kiska- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... .TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Bering side, seas 20 ft. Pacific side, seas 28 ft subsiding to 22 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$ PKZ178-090115- Kiska to Attu- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...N wind 45 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers and snow showers. .TUE...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. .THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ179-090115- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ180-090115- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TUESDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ181-090115- North and West of Nunivak Island- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-090115- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 339 AM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$
351 FZAK52 PAFC 090032 CWFALU Coastal Waters Forecast National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out. Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height. PKZ199-091330- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS... A 952 mb low 40 nm southwest of Adak moves 180 nm southeast of Adak at 969 mb Tue afternoon and then dissipates Wed morning. A second 975 mb low 350 nm southwest of Adak moves 280 nm southeast of Adak at 965 mb Wed afternoon. $$ PKZ150-091330- South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$ PKZ155-091330- South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt, Seas 18 ft building to 25 ft after midnight. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight, Seas 18 ft. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 24 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, SE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas 18 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. .FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ160-091330- Bristol Bay- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ165-091330- Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. From Port Moller E, E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ170-091330- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ171-091330- Unalaska Bay- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ172-091330- Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 31 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ173-091330- Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ174-091330- Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 35 ft. .TUE...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 21 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ175-091330- Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. .TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. .SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ176-091330- Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 31 ft subsiding to 24 ft after midnight. .TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. .FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. .SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ177-091330- Adak to Kiska- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain. .TUE...N wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 23 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ178-091330- Kiska to Attu- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt except NW 45 kt from Shemya W. Seas 20 ft. Rain and snow showers. .TUE...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft. .TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. .WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 22 ft. .FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ179-091330- Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain and snow showers. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. .SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ PKZ180-091330- Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. .THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ PKZ181-091330- North and West of Nunivak Island- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Freezing spray. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. $$ PKZ185-091330- Saint Matthew Island Waters- 332 PM AKST Mon Jan 8 2018 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .THU THROUGH SAT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 6, 4:21 PM AKST, 11 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 6, 4:21 PM AKST, 11 hours 6 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
421 PM AKST Sat Jan 6 2018
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The pattern consists of a broad long wave trough over the North
Pacific and Bering Sea. There is a closed blocking high over the
interior of Alaska. This is causing a triple point low/front over
the North Gulf Coast this afternoon to rapidly weaken and
elongate as it tries to move inland (aka frontolysis). Over
Southwest Alaska, the remnants of the first low has moved into
inland Bristol Bay and weakened. However, rain and snow is still
impacting a large part of Southwest Alaska as the front itself
stalls and weakens in place. Over Southcentral, the effect of the
upper blocking high is more pronounced with dry air and the
easterly flow component in the mid levels keeping most
precipitation relegated to the immediate coastline.
The next major weather feature, expected to move into the Bering
Sea Sunday and Monday, is already forming on satellite imagery
near 40N latitude south of Kamchatka. This low will undergo over 1
Bergeron of rapid deepening (defined as 24 mb in 24 hours at
latitude 60N) as it moves into the Bering as a storm force low.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical weather models are in excellent agreement with the
large scale synoptic pattern for the next 5 days. They are also in
excellent agreement with a deep cyclone moving into the Bering Sea
Sunday and Monday, and are in great agreement with the overall
sensible weather pattern for mainland Alaska through Tuesday.
Forecast confidence is extremely high.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist through the
forecast period.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A weak weather front currently bringing precipitation to areas
along the Gulf Coast will stall out this evening as it weakens
which should slowly taper off the rain and snow along the coast
tomorrow. A surface low behind the front will continue to move
north through the Gulf and weaken through the day tomorrow. This
will bring continued cloudy weather to most of Southcentral but
inland locations will remain dry. This should help to keep
temperatures mild and slightly above normal through tonight and
tomorrow. By Monday, an upper level ridge to the north will begin
to drift south and take over as the predominate weather maker
across the region as clearing skies and offshore flow will lead to
much colder and drier conditions through at least the first half
of next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Weak troughing and onshore flow will keep showers along the
Kuskokwim mountains and areas south through most of tonight. A
weak, but transient ridge will slide in from the west and allow
the region to dry out through Monday night. Colder air that is
being brought south with a weakening low in the Bering will
invade the southwest into the short term and beyond. 850mb
temperatures will be in the -6 to -8 range on Monday and Monday
night. With clearing skies, highs in the Kuskokwim Valley will be
falling from the mid to lower 20s to the teens on Monday.
Overnight temperatures are expected to dip below zero. For the
Kuskokwim Delta and Bristol Bay the same downward trend in
temperatures are expect, but they are not going to be nearly as
extreme.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Low pressure currently in the Western Bering will continue to
weaken and lift north through Sunday afternoon. A new low will be
lifting across the Western Bering late Sunday evening and into
Monday. At this stage, it is looking nearly identical to the
system that just impacted the region these last few days. A strong
front will sweep from west to east, bringing storm force wind
gusts across the island and marine areas. High pressure across
the interior will again impede the movement of the front deep
into Southwest Monday night. With this system, modest rainfall can
be expected with the front as it moves along the chain. Weather
behind the front see the typically expected windy and showery
conditions.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The long range forecast beginning on Monday night through the end
of the work week generally keeps drier and colder conditions
across the southern mainland with an active windy and
precipitation pattern along the southern Bering and Gulf of
Alaska. On Monday night, an Arctic ridge shifts south across the
interior advecting a cold dense air mass toward the northern
Gulf. Dry offshore flow increases late Monday night through
Tuesday bringing gusty winds across typical gap locations.
Meanwhile, a powerful low pressure system slowly weakens over the
Bering.
Wednesday through the end of the week...a slow transition in the
pattern begins as the subtropical jet flattens out with strong
zonal flow setting up just south of the Aleutian Chain. The jet
sends the next North Pacific low further to the east, than
previous systems, before taking a northward turn. This low works
against the ridge to break it down. There is still a bit of
uncertainty on how quickly the ridge influence will be overridden
by low pressure. A nearly equal blend of operational models
including their ensembles was used for updating the forecast mid
week, then trends toward ensemble solutions for the latter part
of the week. Temperatures should moderate slightly warmer at the
end of the week for the southern mainland with continued active
weather across area waters and coastal communities.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms 173-177 413. Gales 150 155 165 170-172 178 179 411
412 414.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KVP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SS
LONG TERM...KHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 3:06 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Jan 6, 3:06 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 6, 3:14 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Jan 6, 3:14 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jan 7, 3:18 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jan 7, 3:27 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 7, 3:27 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.