Brisk Wind Advisory 11, NWS Anchorage, AK

987 
FZAK51 PAFC 080057
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-081400-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1006 mb low 80 nm east of Middleton Island will dissipate in 
the eastern Gulf Thu morning. A 987 mb low will move over Chignik 
Thu morning then it will move to 55 nm southeast of Homer at 961 
mb Thu night. The low will then move over Kenai at 964 mb Fri 
morning then it will move inland and dissipate Fri afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-081400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 20 ft. Rain with snow.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-081400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 45 kt after midnight. Seas
14 ft building to 20 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-081400-
Resurrection Bay-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
Snow.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-081400-
Prince William Sound-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 50 kt becoming SE 40 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-081400-
Port Valdez-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-081400-
Valdez Narrows-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-081400-
Valdez Arm-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-081400-
Passage Canal-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.THU...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-081400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Snow.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray W of
Augustine. Light freezing spray E of Augustine. Snow.
.FRI...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-081400-
Barren Islands East-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 19 ft. Snow and rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-081400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight.
Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-081400-
Chiniak Bay-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-081400-
Marmot Bay-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-081400-
Shelikof Strait-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.THU...W wind 20 kt becoming NW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft
building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Widespread snow and rain
showers.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-081400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft. Freezing
spray. Snow.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-081400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt in the afternoon. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Snow.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt.
.MON...N wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-081400-
Kachemak Bay-
357 PM AKST Wed Mar 7 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft 
building to 4 ft after midnight. Snow.
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft
building to 4 ft in the afternoon. Snow.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
Snow.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

096 
FZAK51 PAFC 081258
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-090200-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1003 mb low 115 nm southwest of Yakutat exits the southeastern 
Gulf Thu afternoon. A front in the western Gulf moves to 
southeastern Alaska by Fri afternoon. A 967 mb low forms 60 nm 
northwest of Kodiak City Thu afternoon and loops to 10 nm west of
Kenai for Fri morning. Its front remains nearly stationary over 
the western Gulf through Sat morning. 

$$

PKZ119-090200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming SE 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 55 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas
21 ft. Rain and snow.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-090200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 45 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 15 ft 
building to 21 ft after midnight. Snow showers and rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft
subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-090200-
Resurrection Bay-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread snow and rain
showers.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow 
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-090200-
Prince William Sound-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. Widespread snow and rain
showers.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-090200-
Port Valdez-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-090200-
Valdez Narrows-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Widespread snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-090200-
Valdez Arm-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-090200-
Passage Canal-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Widespread snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-090200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt in the morning increasing to 40 kt. Seas 11 
ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11 ft 
subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-090200-
Barren Islands East-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt in the evening becoming W 45 kt. Seas 15 ft 
building to 20 ft after midnight. Freezing spray after midnight. 
Snow showers and widespread rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
18 ft subsiding to 11 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the
morning.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-090200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 50 kt in the afternoon, Seas 10
ft building to 21 ft in the afternoon. N of Dangerous Cape, S wind 
30 kt, Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain 
showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 55 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-090200-
Chiniak Bay-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-090200-
Marmot Bay-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the
morning.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-090200-
Shelikof Strait-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt becoming SW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. Widespread rain and snow 
showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-090200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Freezing 
spray. Snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 10 ft. Snow and
rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in ice 
free waters 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-090200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Snow.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 15 kt.
.MON...N wind 10 kt.

$$

PKZ141-090200-
Kachemak Bay-
358 AM AKST Thu Mar 8 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 6 ft 
building to 10 ft after midnight. Snow showers and rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon. Freezing spray. Snow showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
428 PM AKST Tue Mar 6 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper trough and associated weather front are moving east
across Southwest Alaska and Bristol Bay. The heavier snow at noon
today was clearing eastern Bristol Bay. The Kenai Radar showed
increased reflectivity returns across Cook Inlet and the Kenai
Peninsula. Snow has started over the Cook Inlet and the Western
Kenai Peninsula and is heading north. Pressure rising on the
backside of the front generated gusty southwest winds across much
of the Southwest Mainland. Brisk and gusty southwest winds were
evident across much of the Aleutians and the Bering Sea.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Synoptic level features are in general agreement through
Wednesday night. The GFS/ECMWF looks to be the preferred solutions
in the Bering Sea/Southwest Alaska through Thursday. 12z models
differ significantly with the handling of the triple point which
heads toward Southcentral on Thursday. The run to run trend has
been to take the surface low further west. See long term
discussion for further details.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...MVFR to IFR conditions in snow and stratus are expected to
develop by early evening and continue into Wednesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The remnants of a frontal boundary have moved into Southcentral.
The upper level trough that is driving this system has already
become negatively-tilted. Both the radars at Middleton Island
(PAIH) and Kenai (PAHG) have pinged into bands of precipitation.
The ASOS at Homer has already recorded snow this afternoon. The
models continue to depict the moisture moving up Cook Inlet and
into the Anchorage Metro Area and the Mat-Su valleys. Generally
expecting 1-3 inches of fresh snow to blanket the region this
evening and overnight. This system is shaping up to be an all snow
event for Southcentral although its possible that some random
location in Prince William Sound may get a rain/snow mix with the
water temperature impacting the lowest levels of the boundary
layer. This is a quick moving storm and will move east of
Anchorage by Wednesday morning becoming an issue for Valdez.
Wednesday ridging will build back into the region from the southwest.
Which will be the quiet before the storm. The models continue to
spin up another low later in the week but the solutions are not in
sync yet. Stay tuned for more details.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A progressive wave pattern continues to impact Southwest as
another shortwave trough and associated front moves through the
region. Onshore westerly flow behind the front which moved through
earlier is leaving snow showers over the Kuskokwim Delta and Lower
Kuskokwim Valley. As the winds weaken this evening, and clouds
break up, fog is expected to increase and possibly become locally
dense. The next, and more significant front, moves into Southwest
Wednesday and Wednesday night. This will bring widespread snow to
interior Southwest (mixing with some rain along the immediate
coast). Accumulations will be highest along and near the
Alaska/Aleutian Ranges, especially from east of King Salmon north
to Iliamna and Port Alsworth. Snow accumulations through Thursday
may upwards of 6", but track of the low Thursday evening and night
remains uncertain. Should it even go slightly eastward, the total
snow accumulations will drop significantly. For now, a middle
ground approach was favored for this forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A storm force low will move into the Bering Sea tonight and last
through Thursday night. Most of the Bering Sea will see maximum
gale force winds with storm force winds relegated to the northern
Bering Sea. The low will track east Thursday, and will begin
tapping colder arctic air coming off of Eastern Siberia. This will
bring a swath of strong northwest gales and snow showers and
threats for freezing spray.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The latter half of this week will be marked by a rapidly
developing strong storm system that will develop near Kodiak
Island on Thursday and move to somewhere near the Kenai Peninsula
Thursday night and Friday. As always, the exact track of the low
will make all the difference for the locations prone to
downsloping like Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley. There is
definitely potential for the seasons biggest snowfall somewhere in
the Cook Inlet area, but recent models trends have shifted the
heaviest snow over the western Susitna Valley and perhaps even the
western Kenai Peninsula, while the Anchorage and Palmer areas
would see much lower amounts. Stay tuned over the next 24 hours,
as hopefully the models will come into much better agreement and
we can start refining some of the forecast details for this storm.

For the start of the weekend, a generally showery and unstable
airmass over the Gulf will keep showers mainly along the coast,
while much of the Bering Sea remains under high pressure and
quiescent weather. Another weather front moves into the western
Bering Sea Saturday evening but looks at this point like it will
fall apart significantly by the time in reaches the Southwest
Mainland on Monday. Model agreement falls apart significantly from
Monday onward, though in general it looks like the progressive
southwest-to-northeast storm track of the last few weeks will
continue, with periodic chances for snow/active weather across
most of the forecast domain.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm 185.
         Gale 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 181.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RMC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...AMD