Severe Thunderstorm Warning 40, NWS Albuquerque, NM

226 
WWUS55 KABQ 212324
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
524 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

NMC027-053-212333-
/O.CAN.KABQ.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180522T0000Z/
Lincoln-Socorro-
524 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL LINCOLN AND
NORTHEASTERN SOCORRO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore the warning has been cancelled for Lincoln and 
Socorro Counties only.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 PM MDT for
central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3426 10544 3426 10604 3448 10594 3468 10601
      3475 10548 3445 10539
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 249DEG 20KT 3469 10584 3448 10579 3435 10590 

$$

NMC057-220000-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180522T0000Z/
Torrance-
524 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TORRANCE COUNTY...

At 523 PM MDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 12 miles northeast of Willard to 9 miles northwest of
Cedarvale to 12 miles northeast of Gran Quivira, moving east at 25
mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Encino, Cedarvale and Duran. 

This includes Highway 285 between Mile Markers 223 and 229.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People outside
should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away from
windows.

&&

LAT...LON 3426 10544 3426 10604 3448 10594 3468 10601
      3475 10548 3445 10539
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 249DEG 20KT 3469 10584 3448 10579 3435 10590 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

DPorter

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
326 PM MDT Mon May 21 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level low pressure system stalled over the Great Basin will
interact with abundant low level moisture already in place for
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms east of the
continental divide tonight. Storms will then return mainly along and
east of the central mountain chain Tuesday through Wednesday, then
across southeast areas Thursday; however, coverage will trend
downward each day as the upper low lifts northeastward across the
northern mountains and drier air filters over New Mexico from the
southwest. There is a risk of severe thunderstorms across central and
eastern areas for the remainder of this afternoon and into the
evening, then again across the east on Tuesday afternoon and evening.
With the drier air will come warmer temperatures with highs reaching
above normal areawide during the latter half of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The closed upper level low pressure system stalled over the southern
Great Basin has created favorable dynamics for severe thunderstorms
over central parts of the forecast area this afternoon. The risk of
severe storms will spread onto the eastern plains this evening, then
return to eastern areas on Tuesday afternoon and evening. Storms
will be capable of producing over 1 inch of rain, large hail and
damaging winds.

The upper low will weaken as it lifts northeastward across the
northern Rockies through mid week, steering drier air over NM from
the southwest in the process. There will be a notable downtick in the
coverage of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the west where
dry weather will return on Tuesday. Storms along and east of the
central mountain chain will become spottier and their wetting
footprints will decrease through mid week, with dry weather pretty
much areawide again on Friday.

During the coming weekend another upper level low pressure system
will move through the Great Basin from the west strengthening wind
and potentially increasing fire weather concerns over portions of New
Mexico. There will also be a risk of dryline thunderstorms across the
far eastern and especially southeastern plains each afternoon and
evening.

44

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Showers and storms with locally heavy rainfall have developed along
and east of the Cont Dvd this afternoon. This activity will spread
eastward across the Rio Grande Valley and into the eastern plains
through tonight. Meanwhile, much drier southwest flow has already
spread into far western NM today. This drier air will move east
toward the Rio Grande Valley Tuesday with breezy to locally windy
conditions. Widespread marginal critical fire weather is likely
along and west of the central mountain chain for several hours
Tuesday afternoon. Meanwhile, more showers and storms with locally
heavy rainfall will impact eastern NM.

Drier air will spread even farther east into central NM Wednesday as
an upper level trough lifts across the Great Basin. The coverage of
marginal critical fire weather however will decrease as relatively
lighter winds are expected for central and western NM. Eastern NM
will remain in the deeper moisture where showers and storms with
locally heavy rainfall continue.

A ridge will build over NM Thursday through Saturday and allow
temperatures to warm above normal for the entire area with very dry
air and light winds. Multiple days of single digit min humidity is
likely again for central and western NM with poor to fair overnight
recoveries.

Guyer

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
A moderate to high impact period is expected for the next 12-18 hrs.
SHRA/TSRA has already begun developing along the Cont Dvd w/ strong
to locally severe storms likely. TSRA will develop over the remainder
of the central and western high terrain thru 20Z and move north-
northeast around 20 kt. Storms will organize into clusters and line
segments as the afternoon progresses. Any direct hit will be capable
of strong, erratic outflow winds to 45 kt, hail, frequent cloud to
ground lightning, and brief heavy rain. The focus for TSRA will shift
into the eastern plains aft 02Z with more severe weather possible
thru 06Z before activity tapers to MVFR low cigs and patchy FG.

Guyer

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  51  81  47  83 /  10   0   5   0
Dulce...........................  43  75  41  78 /  40  20  20   5
Cuba............................  48  74  46  77 /  60  10  10   5
Gallup..........................  39  80  38  82 /   5   0   0   0
El Morro........................  39  75  37  78 /  10   0   5   0
Grants..........................  41  79  38  82 /  20   0   5   0
Quemado.........................  42  75  41  78 /   5   0   5   0
Glenwood........................  51  84  51  86 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  37  69  36  72 /  50  20  20  10
Los Alamos......................  53  72  52  76 /  70  20  20   5
Pecos...........................  51  70  51  74 /  80  40  30  20
Cerro/Questa....................  46  69  44  73 /  70  30  20  10
Red River.......................  40  60  40  63 /  70  50  30  20
Angel Fire......................  32  65  30  69 /  80  50  40  20
Taos............................  43  74  41  78 /  60  20  20  10
Mora............................  43  67  43  73 /  80  40  40  20
Espanola........................  51  78  49  82 /  60  10  10   5
Santa Fe........................  53  72  52  77 /  80  20  20  10
Santa Fe Airport................  51  77  49  82 /  70  20  20  10
Albuquerque Foothills...........  55  82  53  85 /  50  10  10   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  57  84  55  87 /  40   0   5   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  55  85  52  88 /  40   0   5   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  56  83  53  87 /  40   0   5   0
Los Lunas.......................  53  86  49  88 /  30   0   5   0
Rio Rancho......................  56  83  53  86 /  50   5   5   0
Socorro.........................  57  87  55  89 /  30   0   5   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  51  76  51  80 /  60  20  10  10
Tijeras.........................  51  78  50  82 /  50  10  10   5
Moriarty/Estancia...............  44  80  42  83 /  60  20  20  10
Clines Corners..................  48  73  48  77 /  70  30  20  20
Gran Quivira....................  52  78  52  81 /  60  20  20  10
Carrizozo.......................  55  79  55  83 /  60  10  10  10
Ruidoso.........................  49  72  50  76 /  80  40  20  20
Capulin.........................  49  71  50  76 /  50  30  30  20
Raton...........................  48  75  47  80 /  50  40  40  20
Springer........................  48  75  47  80 /  60  30  30  20
Las Vegas.......................  46  70  46  74 /  80  40  40  20
Clayton.........................  54  77  55  82 /  50  20  30  20
Roy.............................  51  72  52  77 /  70  20  30  20
Conchas.........................  57  79  57  84 /  60  30  30  20
Santa Rosa......................  55  77  55  81 /  60  30  30  20
Tucumcari.......................  60  81  60  85 /  60  30  40  30
Clovis..........................  57  77  58  82 /  60  30  40  30
Portales........................  58  78  60  84 /  60  30  40  30
Fort Sumner.....................  58  80  59  84 /  60  30  40  30
Roswell.........................  60  84  62  89 /  70  30  30  30
Picacho.........................  56  78  56  82 /  70  30  30  20
Elk.............................  52  75  52  81 /  70  30  30  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

44

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
349 AM MDT Mon May 21 2018

NMZ501>540-221100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
349 AM MDT Mon May 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated severe storms are possible later today and tonight across
much of central and eastern New Mexico, with large hail and damaging
winds being the primary threats. A few dry storms are possible near
the Continental Divide this afternoon and may produce strong and
erratic wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Isolated severe storms are possible late Tuesday across much of
eastern New Mexico then again on Wednesday, but closer to the Texas
border.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required later today for much of central
and eastern New Mexico due to the potential for severe storms.

11

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
309 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0241 PM     HAIL             3 ENE ALBUQUERQUE       35.12N 106.58W
05/21/2018  M0.88 INCH       BERNALILLO         NM   COCORAHS

            AZTEC AND SAN MATEO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800629

TRM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
313 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

NMZ518-521>523-212145-
Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Santa Fe Metro Area-Central
Highlands-Estancia Valley-
313 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SANTA FE...
BERNALILLO AND NORTH CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT...

At 312 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Sedillo to near McIntosh to near Willard.
Movement was northeast at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Heavy rain will also be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Edgewood, Moriarty, Estancia, Willard, McIntosh, Stanley, Cedar
Grove, Sedillo and Chilili.

This includes Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 178 and 211.

If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 PM MDT for
central and north central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3541 10608 3523 10592 3496 10576 3476 10576
      3457 10580 3449 10606 3450 10608 3449 10610
      3449 10612 3446 10616 3450 10617 3481 10617
      3511 10635
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 239DEG 18KT 3513 10626 3484 10608 3457 10611

DPorter

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
320 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 PM     HAIL             6 ESE ALBUQUERQUE       35.08N 106.53W
05/21/2018  E1.00 INCH       BERNALILLO         NM   TWITTER FEED

            MENAUL AND JUAN TABO

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800630

KJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
347 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

NMZ527-528-212215-
Far Northeast Highlands-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
347 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN COLFAX COUNTY UNTIL
415 PM MDT...

At 347 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Raton to 11 miles west of Raton Crews Airport.
These storms were nearly stationary.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Raton, Raton Pass, Sugarite, Raton Crews Airport and Sugarite Canyon
State Park.

This includes Interstate 25 between Mile Markers 440 and 460.

If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3681 10419 3663 10476 3691 10476 3700 10453
      3699 10420
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 191DEG 2KT 3688 10444 3675 10471

DPorter

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
416 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

NMZ527-528-212245-
Far Northeast Highlands-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
416 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN COLFAX COUNTY UNTIL
445 PM MDT...

At 416 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Sugarite Canyon State Park to 8 miles
northwest of Raton Crews Airport. Movement was northeast at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Heavy rain will also be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Raton, Raton Pass, Sugarite and Sugarite Canyon State Park.

This includes Interstate 25 between Mile Markers 446 and 460.

If threatening weather approaches your area, take shelter in a sturdy
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3685 10422 3672 10475 3686 10474 3700 10451
      3699 10408
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 230DEG 19KT 3698 10431 3681 10460

DPorter

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
429 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

NMZ522>524-212315-
South Central Highlands-Central Highlands-Estancia Valley-
429 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTY UNTIL 515
PM MDT...

At 429 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Willard, or 18 miles south of Estancia, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Willard.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor your preferred
media outlets and NOAA Weather Radio for additional information and
possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

Heavy rains will cause water to pond on roads and in low spots. Fast
running water will quickly fill arroyos and ditches.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 PM MDT for
central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3436 10604 3454 10620 3487 10587 3452 10553
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 231DEG 29KT 3450 10603

54