Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 23, 2017Crawford County, Arkansas

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jul 23, 2017, 3:07 PM CDT for Crawford County, Arkansas. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 23, 2017, 3:07 PM CDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
Jul 23, 2017, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
38 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK

County Crawford County, AR

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-07-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 39 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-07-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -184 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
39 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-410 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1476 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-184 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 23, 2:13 PM CDT, 54 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 2:13 PM CDT, 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
213 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Surface boundary currently located near highway 412 this afternoon,
near a Oilton, Tulsa, Kansas line, extending into northwest Arkansas.
Moderate instability has developed south of boundary with lifted indices
running around -5 to -7. Isolated thunderstorms have started to
develop south of the boundary and expect this trend to continue as
CAP erodes and MCV moves SSE into southeast Oklahoma.

Still the potential for damaging down burst winds/locally heavy rainfall
in the stronger storms through mid evening before convection pushes
south and dissipates. Storms will likely remain more multicellular
in nature given the weak shear but slow storm motions may lead to
some localized flooding. Current excessive heat warning remains
on track with heat indices in the 110-113 degree range expected
before storms/outflow sweeps through. North of I-44 the heat
advisory may be cancelled early as drier air continues to filter
into region behind boundary.

Limited precipitation chances will continue across southeast Oklahoma
and northwest Arkansas both Monday and Tuesday, however storms are
expected to remain more isolated in nature. Hot/humid conditions
will also persist with heat indices climbing back to around heat
advisory criteria Tuesday and especially Wednesday/Thursday.

Next cold front forecast to move into the area around the Friday
time frame, however ECMWF a little slower compared with the more
progressive GFS. Regardless, scattered showers/thunderstorms will
be possible as front moves through. It looks like we will finally
see a break from the heat into next weekend, behind the front, as
longwave upper trough develops over the eastern CONUS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   72  98  73  97 /  20  10  20  10
FSM   74  95  76  96 /  60  30  20  20
MLC   71  93  72  95 /  60  30  20  10
BVO   65  96  67  97 /  20  10  10  10
FYV   66  92  68  92 /  30  20  20  20
BYV   68  94  70  93 /  30  20  20  20
MKO   71  94  72  95 /  30  20  20  10
MIO   67  95  68  96 /  20  10  10  10
F10   72  95  72  96 /  40  20  20  10
HHW   74  92  73  95 /  60  40  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ054>064-067>069-
     072-076.

     Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ049-
     053-065-066-070-071-073>075.

AR...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

&&

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....12
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 23, 1:03 PM CDT, 2 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
103 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
103 PM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...DANGEROUS HEAT CONTINUES TODAY...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
    AREA...Mainly south and east of Interstate 44.
    ONSET...After 2PM.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
    RISK...Significant.
    AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
    ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
This afternoon, an outflow boundary from early morning storms
extended from far northeast Oklahoma through south central
Oklahoma. This boundary will be the focus for afternoon
thunderstorms across the area. Wind shear is weak...but hot
afternoon temperatures could result in a few strong to severe
thunderstorms capable of producing strong winds. Thunderstorms
should diminish into the early evening hours.

Afternoon heat index values ranged from the upper 80s to lower 90s
along the Kansas/Oklahoma border with values from 105 to 110
across southeast Oklahoma. A heat advisory remains in effect til 8
PM across northeast portions of Oklahoma and western Arkansas,
with an excessive heat warning in effect until 8 PM for portions
of southeast Oklahoma, generally south of Interstate 40.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Low chances of showers and thunderstorms will continue for Monday into
Tuesday...especially across southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
Hot and humid conditions will persist as well...with the next chance of
storms coming late into the week as a front approaches.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

CORFIDI

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 23, 2:27 PM CDT, 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
227 PM CDT SUN JUL 23 2017

ARZ010-019-OKZ069-232000-
Washington AR-Crawford AR-Adair OK-
227 PM CDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND EAST CENTRAL ADAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM
CDT...

At 227 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles west of
Strickler, moving southeast at 10 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Lincoln...                        Odell...
Clyde...                          Morrow...
Canehill...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Tulsa.

&&

LAT...LON 3587 9460 3596 9440 3577 9428 3567 9449
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 332DEG 11KT 3583 9445
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 2:56 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
256 PM CDT SUN JUL 23 2017

OKZ069-232030-
Adair OK-
256 PM CDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ADAIR COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM
CDT...

At 256 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Christie,
moving south at 10 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Westville...                      Proctor...
Christie...                       Baron...
Maryetta...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Tulsa.

&&

LAT...LON 3604 9459 3585 9454 3583 9481 3590 9481
      3590 9480 3602 9480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 355DEG 10KT 3596 9470
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 3:07 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
307 PM CDT SUN JUL 23 2017

ARZ019-OKZ069-072-232045-
Crawford AR-Adair OK-Sequoyah OK-
307 PM CDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...
NORTHEASTERN SEQUOYAH AND SOUTHEASTERN ADAIR COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM
CDT...

At 307 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 3 miles northeast of
Short, moving south at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Cedarville...                     Natural Dam...
Rudy...                           Figure Five...
Lee Creek...                      Short...
Uniontown...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Tulsa.

&&

LAT...LON 3565 9459 3573 9433 3553 9425 3545 9451
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 340DEG 13KT 3562 9446

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 23, 2:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair33 min
Jul 23, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair30 min
Jul 23, 2:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAAdair34 min
Jul 23, 4:01 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACherokee29 min
Jul 23, 4:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMuskogee33 min
Jul 23, 4:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACherokee23 min
Jul 23, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAMuskogee33 min
Jul 23, 4:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAHaskell26 min
Jul 23, 4:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee37 min
Jul 23, 4:55 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAMuskogee2 hr
Jul 23, 4:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAMuskogee32 min
Jul 23, 5:13 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore32 min
Jul 23, 5:29 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee31 min
Jul 23, 6:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPittsburg28 min
Jul 23, 6:48 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAPittsburg27 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.