Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 14, 2017Pawnee County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jul 14, 2017, 5:47 PM CDT for Pawnee County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2017, 5:47 PM CDT (22:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2017, 6:30 PM CDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK

County Pawnee County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2017-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 625 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2017-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
625 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1396 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 14, 2:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 2:50 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
250 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Residual cloud cover from the morning thunderstorm complex has
helped to keep temperatures below normal across a good chunk of
northeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas this afternoon. An outflow
boundary produced by the complex stretches across southeast
Oklahoma and into west central and southwest Arkansas. The weak
and somewhat diffuse synoptic cool front remains north of the
Oklahoma and Arkansas borders this afternoon but will move toward
the south and west overnight and into tomorrow. Additional
thunderstorms should develop along the front late tonight and
early tomorrow morning, with locally heavy rain existing with the
stronger, slow moving storms. The main thunderstorm axis will
shift southward into tomorrow night and Sunday, as the front sags
through the area. While widely scattered afternoon thunderstorms
will be possible into early next week, especially in the higher
terrain areas, the overall coverage should be low enough after
Sunday to keep below mentionable levels for now.

Behind the cool front, temperatures will be close to normal
tomorrow and maybe a degree or two warmer for Sunday. Ridging will
build back into the region next week, with above normal
temperatures returning and likely peaking toward the mid to latter
part of the work week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  92  72  93 /  40  30  10  10
FSM   74  92  73  93 /  40  40  20  20
MLC   72  92  71  92 /  20  40  20  20
BVO   70  91  67  93 /  40  30  10  10
FYV   69  87  66  89 /  40  30  10  20
BYV   68  86  67  90 /  40  30  10  10
MKO   72  91  71  91 /  40  30  20  20
MIO   70  91  68  92 /  40  30  10  10
F10   73  91  71  92 /  20  30  20  20
HHW   74  92  73  92 /  20  40  20  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

LONG TERM....22
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 4:44 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
444 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
444 PM CDT Fri Jul 14 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This evening through Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...between 5 and 6 pm.

DISCUSSION...

An outflow boundary has pushed south through much of eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas this afternoon. On the western
periphery of the boundary, strong to severe thunderstorms have
developed across north-central Oklahoma. A few of these storms could
move southeast into portion of northeast Oklahoma by early evening
with a marginally severe threat of large hail and damaging winds.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms may linger overnight, but these
storms are not expected to be severe.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY and SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will continue Saturday into Sunday across
Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas in response to a weak
surface boundary forecast to move through the region. High
pressure looks to build back over the Southern Plains next week
with a return of hot and humid conditions across Eastern Oklahoma
and Northwest Arkansas.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 5:47 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 7:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore36 min
Jul 14, 7:41 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Ottawa, Rogers3 hr
Jul 14, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee47 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.