Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Tulsa, OK

104 
WWUS54 KTSA 010438
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1038 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

OKC113-010500-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170301T0500Z/
Osage OK-
1038 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST
FOR NORTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY...

At 1038 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Chautauqua,
moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations in or near the path include...
Elgin...                          Wah Sha She State Park...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 400 AM CST for northeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3700 9600 3694 9600 3688 9625 3696 9628
      3700 9630
TIME...MOT...LOC 0438Z 250DEG 49KT 3698 9616 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Lacy

994 
WWUS54 KTSA 010451
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1051 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

OKC113-010500-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170301T0500Z/
Osage OK-
1051 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 1100 PM CST...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 400 AM CST for northeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3700 9600 3694 9600 3688 9625 3696 9628
      3700 9630
TIME...MOT...LOC 0450Z 247DEG 50KT 3704 9598 

$$

Lacy

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
835 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Have increased pops across far northeast Oklahoma and for
later tonight as a cold front currently across southeast
Oklahoma moves into the area. The latest runs of the HRRR
are beginning to highlight upscale growth of thunderstorms
across northeast Oklahoma as the front moves into the state
and a surface low tracks across the area. Also expect to
see development southward along the front as it moves across
the area overnight. The front is expected to exit the area
to the south and east as we approach sunrise on Wednesday.
Any of the storms that develop tonight are expected to have
the potential become severe with more than adequate shear and
instability in place. Tornadoes, very large hail and damaging
winds of around 70 mph possible.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...10

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
849 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
849 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
TORNADO.
	RISK...Elevated.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Significant.
	AREA...MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS .

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN
TO INCREASE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH THE
FRONT AND THE THUNDERSTORMS QUICKLY SPREADING TO THE EAST AS THE
NIGHT WEARS ON. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO BE SEVERE WITH VERY LARGE HAIL, WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH AND
POSSIBLY TORNADOES. THE THREAT FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL END BEFORE
SUNRISE WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONT EXITS TO THE EAST.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...High Wind Potential.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Breezy northwesterly winds will prevail on Wednesday
behind the passing cold front.  A return to warmer
temperatures and gusty south winds arrive on Saturday.
This will raise fire weather concerns.  Thunderstorm
chances increase on Sunday along as the next storm
system moves through the Plains.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1025 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

OKZ054-010515-
Osage OK-
1025 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY UNTIL
1115 PM CST...

At 1025 PM CST, a strong thunderstorm was located 7 miles southwest
of Elgin, moving northeast at 60 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Elgin...                          Wah Sha She State Park...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 400 AM CST for northeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3700 9600 3694 9600 3682 9643 3698 9651
      3700 9646
TIME...MOT...LOC 0425Z 247DEG 50KT 3694 9639

Lacy