Alert archive / Oklahoma / Heat Advisories in 2017

Heat Advisory 7, NWS Tulsa, OK

August 15, 20177 counties in Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this heat advisory at Aug 15, 2017, 3:30 PM CDT for 7 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2017, 3:30 PM CDT (20:30 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2017, 7:03 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK

Counties Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2017-08-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1305 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2017-08-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 144 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1305 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1087 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this heat advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heat advisory went out at Aug 15, 3:10 PM CDT, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 3:10 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
310 PM CDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Messy forecast over the next few days, with multiple rounds of
showers and thunderstorms, including some continued heavy rain
potential, through at least the end of this week.

Immediate concern is the developing area of showers and
thunderstorms near the I-35 corridor across central and northern
Oklahoma. This convection should continue to increase as a mid
level wave moves to the northeast across northern Oklahoma and
into southern Kansas this evening. Instability is higher across
northeast Oklahoma than in areas near I-35, per current
mesoanalysis, which should lead to an increase in the intensity as
the showers/storms push eastward. At the very least, the stronger
storms should pose a locally heavy rain threat, with at least some
potential for hail and strong winds as well. Most the afternoon
and evening storms should be north of the Kansas and Missouri
borders by midnight.

There should be a lull in the shower and storm activity across
most of the forecast area through much of tomorrow morning, but
chances should increase once again during the afternoon and
definitely by evening as a stronger upper level disturbance and an
associated front approach the region. These storms may pose a
greater threat of severe weather, given the stronger wind fields,
in conjunction with high instability. The aforementioned front
will push through the forecast area Thursday, moving the
thunderstorm potential with it to the southeast.

Yet another disturbance will approach from the west late Thursday
night and into Friday, with an accordant increase in the
thunderstorm potential, generally from southwest to northeast.

Things may finally dry out somewhat during the weekend, with
thunderstorm potential likely limited to diurnal afternoon
development by early next week. Upper level high pressure will
build into the forecast area next week, which should bring a
return to more seasonal temperatures by Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   76  89  72  90 /  70  60  60  10
FSM   77  92  77  90 /  20  30  50  50
MLC   76  88  75  90 /  30  30  50  40
BVO   73  91  71  88 /  70  60  60  10
FYV   72  86  73  86 /  30  40  50  40
BYV   73  88  72  87 /  30  40  50  40
MKO   77  88  74  89 /  40  50  60  30
MIO   74  90  70  87 /  50  60  60  10
F10   76  88  73  89 /  50  50  60  20
HHW   76  91  76  91 /  10  20  40  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

LONG TERM....22
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 15, 11:13 AM CDT, 4 hours 17 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 8:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAChoctaw45 min
Aug 15, 2:10 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSALeFlore3 hr
Aug 15, 3:56 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSALeFlore3 hr
Aug 15, 3:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee31 min
Aug 15, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa63 min
Aug 15, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner, Washington42 min
Aug 15, 5:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSARogers, Tulsa, Wagoner58 min
Aug 15, 5:56 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACreek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Tulsa3 hr
Aug 15, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner31 min
Aug 15, 6:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAOkfuskee, Okmulgee51 min
Aug 15, 3:47 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAFranklin3 hr
Aug 15, 5:10 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAFranklin4 hr
Aug 15, 5:43 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAFranklin3 hr
Aug 15, 6:13 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACrawford, Franklin3 hr
Aug 15, 8:54 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSACrawford, Franklin9 hr
Aug 15, 10:09 AM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryTSACrawford, Franklin24 hr

Nearby

Heat Advisories in Oklahoma, 2017Heat Advisories in Arkansas, 2017Every heat advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.