Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 9, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

July 31, 2017Manatee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Jul 31, 2017, 9:47 AM EDT for Manatee County, Florida. It took effect at Jul 31, 2017, 3:20 PM EDT. It was in force for 72 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 31, 2017, 9:47 AM EDT (13:47 UTC)
In effect from: Jul 31, 2017, 3:20 PM EDT
Expired: Aug 3, 2017, 3:00 PM EDT
In force: 72 hr
Issued by: NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Manatee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64 (MKHF1). The gauge peaked at 13.71 ft at Jul 31, 2017, 11:00 PM EDT.

Action stage: 9.5 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 15 ft
Major stage: 17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02299950, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

675
WGUS42 KTBW 311347
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
947 AM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers...

Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Horse Creek Near Arcadia

.Heavy rain from Tropical Storm Emily is causing rivers
to rise across the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

FLC057-010247-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0008.170801T0442Z-170804T0100Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.170801T0442Z.170802T0600Z.170803T1900Z.NO/
947 AM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From late tonight until Thursday evening.
* At 09 AM Monday the stage was...7.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to rise to near 13.6 feet by early Wednesday morning.the river is expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Aug 1 1995.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 7.1 Mon 09 AM 12.4 13.5 11.7 9.3 7.4

LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231

FLC081-010247-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0009.170731T1923Z-170803T1900Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.170731T1923Z.170801T1800Z.170803T1300Z.NO/
947 AM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for the Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From this afternoon until Thursday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Monday the stage was...9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.7 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.the river is expected to fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet on Aug 31 1972.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 9.6 Mon 09 AM 13.5 13.3 11.1 8.9 7.2

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224

FLC115-010247-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0010.170731T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.170731T2100Z.170804T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 09 AM Monday the stage was...6.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 8.4 feet by Friday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.4 feet on Aug 30 1949.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 6.7 Mon 09 AM 7.4 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.3

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226

FLC027-010247-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0011.170802T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.170802T0600Z.170804T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a

* Flood Warning for The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From late Tuesday night until further notice.
* At 08 AM Monday the stage was...7.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 12.8 feet by Thursday evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.8 feet on Aug 30 1981.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 7.2 Mon 08 AM 10.3 12.3 12.7 12.7 12.5

LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201

7 follow-up statements

901 
WGUS82 KTBW 311926
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Heavy rain due to Tropical Storm Emily will cause several rivers
across west central Florida to rise above flood stage over the next
couple of days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-011926-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.170731T2121Z-170803T1525Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.170731T2121Z.170801T1800Z.170803T0925Z.NO/
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From late this afternoon through Thursday morning.
* At 3 PM Monday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this
afternoon and continue to rise to near 14.4 feet by tomorrow 
afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by
Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd
and 33rd streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.4
feet on Jul 6 1968.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.1  Mon 03 PM  14.2   13.6   10.7    8.3    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-011925-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.170731T1920Z-170802T1617Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.170731T1616Z.170801T0600Z.170802T1017Z.NO/
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.7 feet by tomorrow
night. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...at 11 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream
flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7
feet on Aug 31 1972.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  11.9  Mon 02 PM  13.4   10.8    9.3    7.6    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-011925-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0010.170731T2130Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.170731T2130Z.170804T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From late this afternoon through further notice.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 8 feet by Friday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet
on Oct 11 1995.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   6.9  Mon 02 PM   7.2    7.5    7.9    8.0    7.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-011925-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0011.170802T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.170802T0600Z.170804T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
326 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From early Wednesday morning through further notice.
* At 2 PM Monday the stage was 8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Wednesday morning and
continue to rise to near 12.8 feet by Thursday evening.
* Impact...at 12 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is
impassable.
* Impact...at 11 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal
palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.8
feet on Aug 30 1981.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0   8.0  Mon 02 PM  10.3   12.3   12.7   12.7   12.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 010140
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
940 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

Rains from TS Emily have risen water levels

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-020140-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.170801T0949Z-170804T0000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.170801T0949Z.170802T0000Z.170803T1800Z.NO/
940 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* From early tomorrow through Thursday evening.
* At 09 PM Monday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue
  to rise to near 14.1 feet by tomorrow evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.1 feet on Oct 4 
  1969.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  10.7  Mon 09 PM  13.4   14.0   13.3   11.9    9.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-020139-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170803T1200Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.170801T0441Z.170802T0000Z.170803T0600Z.NO/
940 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From after midnight tomorrow through Thursday morning.
* At 09 PM Monday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
  continue to rise to near 13.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet on Aug 4 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.4  Mon 09 PM  12.4   12.9   10.5    8.5    6.7


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-020139-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170802T1434Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.170731T1616Z.170801T0600Z.170802T0834Z.NO/
940 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 09 PM Monday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.9 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.9 feet on Sep 19 
  1994.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.6  Mon 09 PM  13.3   10.6    9.3    7.7    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-020139-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.170801T0045Z.170804T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
940 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Monday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.9 feet by early Friday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.9 feet on Aug 4 
  1991.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.0  Mon 09 PM   7.1    7.4    7.8    7.9    7.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-020139-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.170802T0600Z-170805T1200Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.170802T0600Z.170803T1200Z.170805T0600Z.NO/
940 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From early Wednesday morning through Saturday morning.
* At 08 PM Monday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Wednesday morning and
  continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by Thursday evening. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet on Apr 2 
  1993.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0   9.1  Mon 08 PM  10.3   12.1   12.5   12.5   11.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

576 
WGUS82 KTBW 011415
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1015 AM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Florida... 

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Rains from TS Emily have risen water levels along area rivers. The Horse 
Creek near Arcadia has dropped below flood stage but will continue to be
monitored for flooding over the next few days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow 
NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-021415-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170804T1030Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.170801T1211Z.170802T0600Z.170804T0430Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Friday morning.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.9 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.9 feet on May 17 
  1957.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.1  Tue 09 AM  13.9   13.7   12.5   10.2    8.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-021415-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170803T1800Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.170801T2034Z.170802T1200Z.170803T1200Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From late this afternoon through Thursday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 12.2 feet by tomorrow morning. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on Oct 1 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.4  Tue 09 AM  12.2   11.0    9.4    7.5    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-021108-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170802T1108Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.170731T1616Z.170801T0400Z.170802T0508Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  12.9  Tue 09 AM  10.3    9.6    7.9    6.5    5.6


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-021415-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.170801T0045Z.170803T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.9 feet by early Friday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.9 feet on Aug 4 
  1991.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Tue 09 AM   7.7    7.9    7.9    7.8    7.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-011445-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170805T1200Z/
/ARHF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin 
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.0 feet on Sep 7 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  10.2  Tue 09 AM  11.2   11.6   11.7   11.5   10.9


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

424
WGUS82 KTBW 020135
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
935 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...

Alafia River At Lithia
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

Myakka River At Myakka River State Park

.Recent rainfall from Tropial Storm Emily have resulted in elevated water levels along area rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

FLC057-030135-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170804T1200Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.170801T1211Z.170802T0600Z.170804T0600Z.NO/
935 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Friday morning.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.0 feet by after midnight tomorrow.
The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on Sep 16
1979.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun

Alafia
Lithia 13.0 14.9 Tue 09 PM 14.0 12.5 10.4 8.0 MSG

LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218

FLC057-030135-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170804T1200Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.170801T2152Z.170803T0000Z.170804T0600Z.NO/
935 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday morning.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The
river is expected to fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet on Feb 2
1972.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun

Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 11.2 Tue 09 PM 12.7 10.4 7.9 6.3 MSG

LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231

FLC081-021500-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170802T1500Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.170731T1616Z.170801T0400Z.170802T0900Z.NO/
935 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 08 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.5 feet on Jul 21
1968.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun

Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 11.5 Tue 08 PM 9.9 8.2 6.6 5.7 MSG

LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224

FLC115-030135-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.170801T0045Z.170804T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.0 feet by early Friday morning then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet on Oct 11
1995.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun

Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 7.5 Tue 09 PM 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.7 MSG

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226

368 
WGUS82 KTBW 020138
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
938 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Recent rainfall from Tropial Storm Emily have resulted in elevated
water levels along area rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio.
The latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay.
You can follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-030138-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170804T1200Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.170801T1211Z.170802T0600Z.170804T0600Z.NO/
938 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Friday morning.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.0 feet by after midnight tomorrow. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on Sep 16 
  1979.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.9  Tue 09 PM  15.0   14.0   12.5   10.4    8.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-030138-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170804T1200Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.170801T2152Z.170803T0000Z.170804T0600Z.NO/
938 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday morning.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet on Feb 2 
  1972.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.2  Tue 09 PM  12.3   12.7   10.4    7.9    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-021500-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170802T1500Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.170731T1616Z.170801T0400Z.170802T0900Z.NO/
938 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.3 feet on Aug 10 
  1983.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  11.3  Tue 09 PM  10.8    9.9    8.2    6.6    5.7


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-030138-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.170801T0045Z.170804T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.0 feet by early Friday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet on Oct 11 
  1995.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.5  Tue 09 PM   7.6    7.9    7.9    7.8    7.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

986 
WGUS82 KTBW 020320
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1120 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Recent rainfall from Tropial Storm Emily has resulted in elevated
water levels along area rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-030320-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170805T0000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.170801T1211Z.170802T1800Z.170804T1800Z.NO/
1120 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Friday evening.
* At 10 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.9 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. 
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9 feet on Jul 9 
  1939.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  15.0  Tue 10 PM  15.7   15.4   13.8   10.8    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-030320-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170804T1200Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.170801T2152Z.170803T0000Z.170804T0600Z.NO/
1120 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday morning.
* At 11 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet on Feb 2 
  1972.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.3  Tue 11 PM  12.3   12.7   10.4    7.9    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-021500-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170802T1500Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.170731T1616Z.170801T0400Z.170802T0900Z.NO/
1120 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 10 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.2 feet on Sep 5 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  11.2  Tue 10 PM  10.8    9.9    8.2    6.6    5.7


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-030320-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.170801T0045Z.170804T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1120 PM EDT Tue Aug 1 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 10 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.0 feet by early Friday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet on Oct 11 
  1995.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.5  Tue 10 PM   7.6    7.9    7.9    7.8    7.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

084 
WGUS82 KTBW 021457
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1057 AM EDT Wed Aug 2 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Florida... 

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.insert meteorological reasoning here!!!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-031457-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170805T0900Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.170801T1211Z.170802T1800Z.170805T0300Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Aug 2 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until late Friday night.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.8 feet by this afternoon.
The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday night
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State
Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream
of State Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins
to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and
Squirrel Run Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9
feet on Jul 9 1939.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  15.8  Wed 10 AM  15.2   14.0   12.4   10.2    7.1


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-031457-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170804T1525Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.170801T2152Z.170803T0600Z.170804T0925Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Aug 2 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday morning.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.3 feet by tomorrow night.
  The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.3
feet on Aug 28 1968.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  12.5  Wed 10 AM  13.0   10.7    8.2    6.5    5.5


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-031456-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.170801T0045Z.170803T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Aug 2 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.0 feet by early Friday
morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet
on Oct 11 1995.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.7  Wed 10 AM   7.9    8.0    7.9    7.7    7.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC081-021527-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170802T1500Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.170731T1616Z.170801T0400Z.170802T0345Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Aug 2 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until this morning.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0
feet on Jul 15 2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0   9.9  Wed 10 AM   9.1    7.2    5.8    5.1    4.8


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 31, 9:41 AM EDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 9:41 AM EDT, 6 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
941 AM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...Tropical Storm Emily Moving Toward the Florida West Coast...

.UPDATE...
Tropical Storm Emily continues to spin just off the Florida west
coast, with its center inside of 20 nm west of the mouth of Tampa
Bay. Most of the shower and thunderstorm activity is confined to
Pinellas and Hillsborough Counties southward and this should continue
to be the case for the next couple of hours, with the majority of the
activity shifting eastward through the day. Observations so far this
morning have shown wind gusts generally in the 30-40 mph range with
highest rainfall totals so far in the 3-5 inch range. The Flood Watch
remains in effect through today with several more inches of rain
possible. The ongoing forecast will continue to be updated through
the day.

&&

.AVIATION...
Mainly prevailing MVFR/IFR conditions will continue for the next
several hours with brief periods of VFR possible. Waves of showers
and thunderstorms will continue to move across the region as Tropical
Storm Emily continues to move eastward. Wind gusts to 30 knots or
higher will be possible at times. Longer periods of VFR will become
more likely later today.

&&

.MARINE...
Tropical Storm Emily over the eastern Gulf of Mexico will continue to
move eastward through today and tonight, with wind gusts to tropical
storm force possible through the day along with periods of heavy
rainfall and thunderstorms. Conditions will begin to improve later
today and tonight, although increased chances for showers and
thunderstorms will continue for the next several days.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  87  77  90  78 /  80  40  50  40
FMY  86  76  89  77 / 100  50  60  30
GIF  86  74  91  75 /  80  40  60  30
SRQ  87  76  89  78 / 100  50  50  40
BKV  87  73  91  74 /  50  30  50  40
SPG  87  78  90  78 /  90  40  40  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal
     Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands-
     Inland Charlotte-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Lee-
     Inland Manatee-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal
     Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal
     Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Tropical Storm Warning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine
     Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to
     Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood
     to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters-
     Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20
     to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for
     Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out
     20 to 60 NM.

&&

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...05/Carlisle

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 30, 8:44 PM EDT	Rip Current Statement	TBW	Charlotte, Hillsborough, Lee, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota	12 hr
Jul 31, 5:08 AM EDT	Small Craft Advisory	TBW		5 hr
Jul 31, 5:37 AM EDT	Flood Watch	TBW	Charlotte, DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, Hillsborough, Lee and 3 more	11 hr
Jul 31, 6:00 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		60 min
Jul 31, 6:32 AM EDT	Tropical Storm Watch	TBW	Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota	2 hr
Jul 31, 7:11 AM EDT	Special Marine Warning	TBW		64 min
Jul 31, 8:38 AM EDT	Tropical Storm Warning	TBW	Charlotte, Hillsborough, Lee, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota	9 hr
Jul 31, 9:47 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	TBW	Sarasota	10 days
Jul 31, 9:47 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	TBW	DeSoto	24 hr
Jul 31, 9:47 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	TBW	Hillsborough	4 days
Jul 31, 10:38 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TBW	Hillsborough, Manatee, Sarasota	112 min
Jul 31, 10:50 AM EDT	Tornado Warning	TBW	Manatee	25 min
Jul 31, 11:22 AM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	TBW	Manatee	113 min
Jul 31, 11:40 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TBW	Charlotte, Manatee, Sarasota	95 min
Jul 31, 12:29 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TBW	Hillsborough	91 min
Jul 31, 2:50 PM EDT	Small Craft Advisory	TBW		2 hr
Jul 31, 3:19 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	TBW	Hillsborough	3 days
Jul 31, 6:23 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	TBW	Highlands	52 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2017 Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.