Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 475

August 30, 201714 parishes in Louisiana; 46 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 30, 2017, 10:22 AM CDT for 14 parishes in Louisiana; 46 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2017, 10:22 AM CDT (15:22 UTC)
Expired
Aug 30, 2017, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 60 counties

Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Carroll Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 10:26 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBStone19 min
Aug 30, 10:38 AM CDTTornado WarningJANForrest, Lamar52 min
Aug 30, 10:43 AM CDTTornado WarningJANCovington, Forrest, Jones, Lamar62 min
Aug 30, 11:34 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBGeorge26 min
Aug 30, 11:47 AM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLIXJackson28 min
Aug 30, 11:49 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBPerry41 min
Aug 30, 11:50 AM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedJANForrest, Jones25 min
Aug 30, 11:55 AM CDTTornado WarningJANCovington, Jefferson Davis, Marion65 min
Aug 30, 11:59 AM CDTTornado WarningMOBGeorge, Greene46 min
Aug 30, 12:14 PM CDTTornado WarningLIXJackson31 min
Aug 30, 12:18 PM CDTTornado WarningJANForrest, Jones57 min
Aug 30, 12:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGeorge42 min
Aug 30, 12:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClaiborne, Copiah, Franklin, Jefferson, Lincoln50 min
Aug 30, 12:59 PM CDTTornado WarningMOBGreene22 min
Aug 30, 1:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBGreene39 min
Aug 30, 1:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest46 min
Aug 30, 1:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBPerry, Stone40 min
Aug 30, 1:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison33 min
Aug 30, 2:45 PM CDTTornado WarningJANHinds, Warren33 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2017-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 273 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2017-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 235 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
273 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
523 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
218 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

197 
WWUS20 KWNS 301519
SEL5  
SPC WW 301519
LAZ000-MSZ000-302300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 475
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 AM CDT Wed Aug 30 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Louisiana
  Central and southern Mississippi

* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1020 AM until
  600 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible

SUMMARY...Multiple convective bands associated with Tropical Cyclone
Harvey will offer a risk for brief tornadoes into this evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
either side of a line from 50 miles east of Pine Belt MS to 45 miles
northwest of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 19030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 1:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington90 min
Aug 30, 9:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCatahoula, Concordia, East Feliciana, Franklin, LaSalle, Saint Helena and 4 more114 min
Aug 30, 2:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Carroll, Madison2 hr
Aug 30, 5:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvoyelles, Catahoula, Concordia, East Carroll, East Feliciana, Franklin and 8 more55 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2017Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.