Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2017
Tornado Watch 405
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 9, 2017, 7:05 PM CDT for 40 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 9, 2017, 7:05 PM CDT (00:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 10, 2017, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 40 counties
Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Stevens, Swift | 40 min |
| Jul 9, 7:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Mille Lacs, Morrison | 40 min |
| Jul 9, 7:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | McLeod, Meeker, Renville | 39 min |
| Jul 9, 7:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Stevens, Swift | 33 min |
| Jul 9, 8:09 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Swift | 28 min |
| Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Chippewa, Lac qui Parle | 39 min |
| Jul 9, 8:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Morrison | 38 min |
| Jul 9, 8:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Kanabec, Mille Lacs | 40 min |
| Jul 9, 8:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | McLeod, Renville, Sibley | 42 min |
| Jul 9, 8:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chippewa, Lac qui Parle, Yellow Medicine | 66 min |
| Jul 9, 8:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Benton, Sherburne | 25 min |
| Jul 9, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Le Sueur, Rice, Scott | 34 min |
| Jul 9, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chippewa, Swift | 47 min |
| Jul 9, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Nicollet, Sibley | 42 min |
| Jul 9, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Kandiyohi, Pope, Stearns | 27 min |
| Jul 9, 9:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Chippewa, Lac qui Parle, Swift | 20 min |
| Jul 9, 9:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Le Sueur, Nicollet, Waseca | 49 min |
| Jul 9, 9:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington | 44 min |
| Jul 9, 9:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Dakota, Rice, Scott | 53 min |
| Jul 9, 9:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet | 49 min |
| Jul 9, 9:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Nicollet | 30 min |
| Jul 9, 9:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Steele, Waseca | 54 min |
| Jul 9, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Nicollet | 35 min |
| Jul 9, 10:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MPX | Blue Earth | 41 min |
| Jul 9, 10:34 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Nicollet, Sibley | 41 min |
| Jul 9, 10:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Faribault, Freeborn, Steele, Waseca | 64 min |
| Jul 9, 10:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | McLeod, Renville, Sibley | 39 min |
| Jul 9, 10:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Brown, Redwood, Renville | 35 min |
| Jul 9, 11:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth | 40 min |
| Jul 9, 11:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Faribault, Freeborn | 43 min |
| Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet, Watonwan | 37 min |
| Jul 9, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Redwood | 18 min |
| Jul 10, 12:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Faribault, Martin | 40 min |
| Jul 10, 12:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Faribault, Freeborn | 30 min |
| Jul 10, 12:47 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Nicollet | 26 min |
| Jul 10, 1:30 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX | Blue Earth, Brown, Watonwan | 35 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 627 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -187 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1764 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 222 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 278 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.6
The text
As transmitted.
843
WWUS20 KWNS 100003
SEL5
SPC WW 100003
MNZ000-100600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
705 PM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Parts of central and southern Minnesota
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 705 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm development is expected this evening
across central Minnesota, and storms will move subsequently to the
southeast through early tonight. There will be a threat for
supercells and a couple of tornadoes and large hail with initial,
more cellular storms, while convection should grow upscale into a
larger convective system tonight. Damaging winds will become the
main threat overnight, though embedded circulations will still be
possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 70 miles northwest of Redwood Falls
MN to 30 miles south southeast of Minneapolis MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 31030.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 9:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa and 38 more | 65 min |
| Jul 9, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cottonwood, Dodge, Fillmore, Houston, Jackson, Lyon and 5 more | 5 hr |
| Jul 9, 11:45 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota, Dodge and 21 more | 60 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.