Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 405

July 9, 201740 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 9, 2017, 7:05 PM CDT for 40 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2017, 7:05 PM CDT (00:05 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2017, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXStevens, Swift40 min
Jul 9, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMille Lacs, Morrison40 min
Jul 9, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMcLeod, Meeker, Renville39 min
Jul 9, 7:57 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXStevens, Swift33 min
Jul 9, 8:09 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXSwift28 min
Jul 9, 8:21 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXChippewa, Lac qui Parle39 min
Jul 9, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Morrison38 min
Jul 9, 8:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKanabec, Mille Lacs40 min
Jul 9, 8:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMcLeod, Renville, Sibley42 min
Jul 9, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Lac qui Parle, Yellow Medicine66 min
Jul 9, 8:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Sherburne25 min
Jul 9, 8:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Le Sueur, Rice, Scott34 min
Jul 9, 8:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Swift47 min
Jul 9, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXNicollet, Sibley42 min
Jul 9, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXKandiyohi, Pope, Stearns27 min
Jul 9, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChippewa, Lac qui Parle, Swift20 min
Jul 9, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Le Sueur, Nicollet, Waseca49 min
Jul 9, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington44 min
Jul 9, 9:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDakota, Rice, Scott53 min
Jul 9, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Brown, Nicollet49 min
Jul 9, 9:30 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXNicollet30 min
Jul 9, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Steele, Waseca54 min
Jul 9, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Nicollet35 min
Jul 9, 10:19 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBlue Earth41 min
Jul 9, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXNicollet, Sibley41 min
Jul 9, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Freeborn, Steele, Waseca64 min
Jul 9, 10:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMcLeod, Renville, Sibley39 min
Jul 9, 10:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBrown, Redwood, Renville35 min
Jul 9, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth40 min
Jul 9, 11:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Freeborn43 min
Jul 9, 11:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Brown, Nicollet, Watonwan37 min
Jul 9, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRedwood18 min
Jul 10, 12:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Faribault, Martin40 min
Jul 10, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Freeborn30 min
Jul 10, 12:47 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXNicollet26 min
Jul 10, 1:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Brown, Watonwan35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 627 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 222 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
627 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1764 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

843 
WWUS20 KWNS 100003
SEL5  
SPC WW 100003
MNZ000-100600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
705 PM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Parts of central and southern Minnesota

* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 705 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm development is expected this evening
across central Minnesota, and storms will move subsequently to the
southeast through early tonight.  There will be a threat for
supercells and a couple of tornadoes and large hail with initial,
more cellular storms, while convection should grow upscale into a
larger convective system tonight.  Damaging winds will become the
main threat overnight, though embedded circulations will still be
possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 70 miles northwest of Redwood Falls
MN to 30 miles south southeast of Minneapolis MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 31030.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa and 38 more65 min
Jul 9, 9:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCottonwood, Dodge, Fillmore, Houston, Jackson, Lyon and 5 more5 hr
Jul 9, 11:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota, Dodge and 21 more60 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.