Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 406

July 9, 201728 counties in Iowa; 11 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 9, 2017, 9:40 PM CDT for 28 counties in Iowa; 11 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 9, 2017, 9:40 PM CDT (02:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 10, 2017, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 39 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clay County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Cottonwood County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Houston County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Lyon County, MN, Mower County, MN, Murray County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 165 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 9:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLyon49 min
Jul 9, 11:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWinnebago, Worth50 min
Jul 10, 12:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXHancock, Kossuth, Winnebago44 min
Jul 10, 12:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Hancock, Winnebago, Worth40 min
Jul 10, 1:28 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Franklin, Hancock, Winnebago, Wright47 min
Jul 10, 2:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXButler, Franklin, Grundy, Hardin, Wright36 min
Jul 10, 2:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXGrundy, Hardin, Tama46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 627 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 222 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
627 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1764 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 9, 9:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Bremer, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw, Clayton and 16 more65 min
Jul 9, 11:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo and 23 more60 min
Jul 10, 1:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clinton, Davis, Delaware and 26 more116 min
Jul 10, 2:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Franklin, Grundy, Hamilton, Hardin, Jasper and 7 more2 hr
Jul 10, 6:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Davis, Decatur, Van Buren, Wayne86 min
Jul 9, 7:05 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa and 34 more7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Iowa, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Minnesota, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.