Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 251

May 19, 201721 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 19, 2017, 7:44 PM CDT for 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2017, 7:44 PM CDT (00:44 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2017, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 21 counties

Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 7:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Tom Green43 min
May 19, 8:07 PM CDTTornado WarningSJTBrown, Coleman38 min
May 19, 8:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTBrown3 hr
May 19, 8:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, McCulloch21 min
May 19, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton46 min
May 19, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Tom Green55 min
May 19, 8:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTBrown, San Saba63 min
May 19, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSchleicher, Tom Green43 min
May 19, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTThrockmorton42 min
May 19, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Tom Green52 min
May 19, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSchleicher, Tom Green34 min
May 19, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, San Saba38 min
May 19, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Menard, Schleicher, Tom Green59 min
May 19, 10:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSan Saba36 min
May 19, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSchleicher40 min
May 19, 11:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, McCulloch, Menard52 min
May 20, 12:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, McCulloch, Mason, Menard45 min
May 20, 12:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, Mason, San Saba58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

608 
WWUS20 KWNS 200042
SEL1  
SPC WW 200042
TXZ000-200800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 251
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  West central Texas

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 745 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Isolated severe thunderstorms will remain possible across
the watch area this evening and into the overnight period, with a
few cells capable of large hail and tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Abilene TX
to 60 miles southeast of San Angelo TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 246...WW 247...WW
248...WW 249...WW 250...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27025.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 7:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Fisher and 11 more60 min
May 19, 11:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho and 14 more115 min
May 20, 7:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bandera, Bee, Bexar, Caldwell and 21 more94 min
May 20, 10:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bee, Bexar, DeWitt, Dimmit, Duval and 18 more11 hr
May 20, 12:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bee, Bexar, DeWitt, Dimmit, Frio and 13 more94 min
May 20, 3:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bee, Bexar, DeWitt, Dimmit, Duval and 19 more59 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.