Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 92

March 27, 20178 counties in Georgia; 31 counties in Kentucky; 22 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 27, 2017, 6:02 PM EDT for 8 counties in Georgia; 31 counties in Kentucky; 22 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2017, 6:02 PM EDT (22:02 UTC)
Expired
Mar 27, 2017, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Catoosa County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Dade County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Murray County, GA, Walker County, GA, Whitfield County, GA, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Union County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 6:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLLaurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle33 min
Mar 27, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLWayne47 min
Mar 27, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Laurel46 min
Mar 27, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLPulaski, Wayne22 min
Mar 27, 7:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Jackson, Lee, Owsley, Perry56 min
Mar 27, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLEstill, Jackson, Lee, Montgomery, Powell, Rockcastle41 min
Mar 27, 7:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCGilmer, Murray37 min
Mar 27, 8:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Jackson, Laurel, Pulaski, Rockcastle24 min
Mar 27, 8:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Estill, Jackson, Lee, Owsley and 2 more52 min
Mar 27, 8:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Owsley, Perry46 min
Mar 27, 8:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXBlount, Knox, Sevier32 min
Mar 27, 9:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMRXCocke, Greene, Hamblen, Jefferson, Knox, Sevier23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 221 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2017-03-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 48 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2017-03-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 170 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
48 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-156 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1296 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 2:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Coosa and 19 more56 min
Mar 27, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne, Colbert and 25 more7 hr
Mar 27, 4:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 26 more87 min
Mar 27, 6:59 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLauderdale91 min
Mar 27, 5:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCatoosa92 min
Mar 27, 12:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ballard, Barren, Butler, Caldwell, Calloway and 18 more3 hr
Mar 27, 1:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 13 more8 hr
Mar 27, 2:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Allen, Barren, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Butler and 30 more2 hr
Mar 27, 3:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Allen, Anderson, Barren, Bourbon, Boyle and 46 more8 hr
Mar 27, 4:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Caldwell, Calloway, Carlisle, Christian, Crittenden and 13 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Georgia, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.