Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494

October 6, 20176 counties in Colorado; 34 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 6, 2017, 2:31 PM MDT for 6 counties in Colorado; 34 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2017, 2:31 PM MDT (20:31 UTC)
Expired
Oct 6, 2017, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 40 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Barber County, KS, Clark County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
70%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 2:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson64 min
Oct 6, 3:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Gray, Hodgeman25 min
Oct 6, 3:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Hodgeman, Lane, Ness39 min
Oct 6, 3:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Prowers20 min
Oct 6, 3:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCGrant, Hamilton, Kearny, Stanton61 min
Oct 6, 3:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHodgeman46 min
Oct 6, 3:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley, Wallace54 min
Oct 6, 3:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCNess, Trego36 min
Oct 6, 4:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCGrant, Morton, Stanton, Stevens36 min
Oct 6, 4:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Hodgeman, Pawnee34 min
Oct 6, 4:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Kearny54 min
Oct 6, 4:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Graham26 min
Oct 6, 4:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCPawnee, Stafford54 min
Oct 6, 4:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Gray, Hodgeman, Lane, Ness48 min
Oct 6, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush33 min
Oct 6, 5:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Pawnee53 min
Oct 6, 5:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCRush45 min
Oct 6, 5:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Grant, Haskell, Kearny42 min
Oct 6, 6:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa, Ness, Pawnee and 1 more49 min
Oct 6, 7:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Pawnee, Pratt, Stafford60 min
Oct 6, 9:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCBarber19 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2017-10-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 453 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2017-10-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 174 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
453 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
575 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
174 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 1:55 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Prowers2 hr
Oct 6, 5:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers84 min
Oct 6, 2:14 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCloud, Jewell, Mitchell, Republic, Washington91 min
Oct 6, 2:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarton, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth and 20 more7 hr
Oct 6, 5:50 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellsworth, Geary and 17 more85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.