Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 413

July 13, 201710 counties in New Jersey; 23 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 13, 2017, 2:57 PM EDT for 10 counties in New Jersey; 23 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2017, 2:57 PM EDT (18:57 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2017, 8:50 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 33 counties

Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, York County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks60 min
Jul 13, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Somerset55 min
Jul 13, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington40 min
Jul 13, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIChester, Delaware, Montgomery35 min
Jul 13, 5:08 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIBerks22 min
Jul 13, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean54 min
Jul 13, 5:25 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh3 hr
Jul 13, 5:26 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIBerks, Chester, Montgomery28 min
Jul 13, 5:31 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBurlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean3 hr
Jul 13, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBucks, Montgomery46 min
Jul 13, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonmouth, Ocean25 min
Jul 13, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Monmouth, Ocean45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 135 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
135 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1715 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 11:09 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland and 15 more2 hr
Jul 13, 1:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBergen, Essex, Hudson, Morris, Passaic, Sussex and 1 more5 hr
Jul 13, 2:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 3 more57 min
Jul 13, 4:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBergen, Burlington, Camden, Essex, Gloucester, Hudson and 10 more62 min
Jul 13, 6:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Ocean97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.