Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356

June 19, 201717 counties in Maryland; 107 counties in Virginia; Berkeley County, Jefferson County, West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 19, 2017, 12:48 PM EDT for 17 counties in Maryland; 107 counties in Virginia; Berkeley County, Jefferson County, West Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 19, 2017, 12:48 PM EDT (16:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 19, 2017, 8:45 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 126 counties

Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Washington County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Accomack County, VA, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Botetourt County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Roanoke, VA, City of Salem, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, Henry County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Nelson County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Roanoke County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA, Warren County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA, York County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Jefferson County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 12:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick, Washington40 min
Jun 19, 12:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick, Washington46 min
Jun 19, 1:10 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXNelson5 hr
Jun 19, 1:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick, Washington49 min
Jun 19, 1:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, Nelson29 min
Jun 19, 1:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAlbemarle, Greene, Madison, Page, Rockingham51 min
Jun 19, 2:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXClarke, Fauquier, Frederick, Loudoun, Warren25 min
Jun 19, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXFrederick, Washington38 min
Jun 19, 2:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania37 min
Jun 19, 2:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fauquier, Madison, Rappahannock43 min
Jun 19, 2:37 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXAlbemarle3 hr
Jun 19, 2:44 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWXAlbemarle, Greene, Madison3 hr
Jun 19, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCulpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, Loudoun, Prince William, Rappahannock and 3 more45 min
Jun 19, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery45 min
Jun 19, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Appomattox, Buckingham30 min
Jun 19, 3:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKBedford, Botetourt, Rockbridge, City of Buena Vista, City of Lexington55 min
Jun 19, 3:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXMontgomery, Prince George's41 min
Jun 19, 3:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKAmherst, Rockbridge35 min
Jun 19, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Howard, Prince George's, City of Baltimore45 min
Jun 19, 4:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCalvert, Charles, Saint Mary's41 min
Jun 19, 5:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQIsle of Wight, Southampton, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk40 min
Jun 19, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQDorchester, Wicomico47 min
Jun 19, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Hanover, Henrico and 3 more44 min
Jun 19, 5:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCharles City, Isle of Wight, James City, Southampton, Surry, Sussex and 1 more42 min
Jun 19, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQHanover, King and Queen, King William, New Kent41 min
Jun 19, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCumberland, Fluvanna, Goochland, Louisa, Powhatan50 min
Jun 19, 6:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLunenburg, Nottoway, Prince Edward44 min
Jun 19, 6:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico, Louisa, Powhatan50 min
Jun 19, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Nottoway51 min
Jun 19, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Essex, King and Queen, Northumberland, Richmond, Westmoreland48 min
Jun 19, 6:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Chesterfield, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico, King William and 3 more39 min
Jun 19, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQBrunswick, Lunenburg, Mecklenburg, Nottoway46 min
Jun 19, 7:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQAmelia, Brunswick, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Henrico and 5 more36 min
Jun 19, 8:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-06-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 448 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-06-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 73 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
448 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-97 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1049 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 11:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex9 hr
Jun 19, 2:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle114 min
Jun 19, 12:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Cecil, Charles and 10 more2 hr
Jun 19, 10:45 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHunterdon, Morris, Passaic, Sussex, Warren3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.