Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 300

May 31, 20176 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 31, 2017, 1:22 PM EDT for 6 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 31, 2017, 1:22 PM EDT (17:22 UTC)
Expired
May 31, 2017, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 51 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Franklin County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Essex County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVEssex45 min
May 31, 3:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVAddison, Chittenden, Franklin, Lamoille, Washington46 min
May 31, 3:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren, Washington33 min
May 31, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWarren, Washington41 min
May 31, 3:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVAddison, Rutland44 min
May 31, 4:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Essex, Orleans, Washington40 min
May 31, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Montgomery, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady, Washington54 min
May 31, 4:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYSaratoga, Warren, Washington51 min
May 31, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Columbia, Greene, Rensselaer65 min
May 31, 4:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos, Grafton42 min
May 31, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Essex27 min
May 31, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos, Grafton47 min
May 31, 4:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia, Greene46 min
May 31, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire60 min
May 31, 5:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVOrange, Windsor33 min
May 31, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton, Merrimack, Sullivan58 min
May 31, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll, Coos, Grafton61 min
May 31, 5:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin24 min
May 31, 6:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia, Dutchess, Ulster57 min
May 31, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire33 min
May 31, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Worcester48 min
May 31, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region61 min
May 31, 6:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford, York44 min
May 31, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region31 min
May 31, 7:14 PM EDTTornado WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region31 min
May 31, 7:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland, Oxford, York38 min
May 31, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Merrimack48 min
May 31, 7:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region43 min
May 31, 7:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region46 min
May 31, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Delaware46 min
May 31, 8:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXHillsborough, Rockingham62 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
690 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 31, 12:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC61 min
May 31, 4:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
May 31, 7:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.