Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 254

May 20, 20179 counties in Indiana; 49 counties in Kentucky; 17 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 20, 2017, 4:23 PM EDT for 9 counties in Indiana; 49 counties in Kentucky; 17 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2017, 4:23 PM EDT (20:23 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2017, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 75 counties

Clark County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Jefferson County, IN, Orange County, IN, Perry County, IN, Scott County, IN, Washington County, IN, Adair County, KY, Allen County, KY, Anderson County, KY, Barren County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clinton County, KY, Cumberland County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Green County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Larue County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Logan County, KY, Madison County, KY, Marion County, KY, Meade County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY, Monroe County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Russell County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Warren County, KY, Washington County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Bedford County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Giles County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKPerry36 min
May 20, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan40 min
May 20, 4:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Robertson34 min
May 20, 4:43 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKCrawford, Perry17 min
May 20, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Williamson31 min
May 20, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison32 min
May 20, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Logan, Warren39 min
May 20, 5:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson, Williamson23 min
May 20, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Harrison22 min
May 20, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXRobertson31 min
May 20, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXWilliamson28 min
May 20, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Floyd, Harrison, Washington32 min
May 20, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKButler, Edmonson, Grayson31 min
May 20, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAllen, Barren, Simpson, Warren38 min
May 20, 6:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark, Floyd37 min
May 20, 6:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKClark16 min
May 20, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson30 min
May 20, 7:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKJefferson25 min
May 20, 7:09 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKJefferson21 min
May 20, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAnderson, Franklin, Shelby, Spencer44 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2017-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 268 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2017-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
268 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-127 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1494 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 12:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 22 more92 min
May 20, 6:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 22 more2 hr
May 20, 7:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Benton, Blackford, Boone, Carroll, Cass and 31 more2 hr
May 19, 10:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBreathitt, Clay, Floyd, Jackson, Johnson, Knott and 16 more87 min
May 20, 2:45 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard90 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.