Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 972

June 8, 201716 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 8, 2017, 9:38 PM CDT for 16 counties in Texas. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2017, 9:38 PM CDT (02:38 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2017, 10:45 PM CDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Randall County, TX, Swisher County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 339 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 9 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
339 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-31 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2782 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
190 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

415 
ACUS11 KWNS 090238
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090238 
TXZ000-090345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0972
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0938 PM CDT Thu Jun 08 2017

Areas affected...Portions of the TX Panhandle into west TX

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308...

Valid 090238Z - 090345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 308
continues.

SUMMARY...A severe supercell thunderstorm moving southward across
Randall County TX remains the primary threat for large hail and
damaging winds across WW 308.

DISCUSSION...A long-lived supercell with a history of producing 1-2+
inch hail and 60-70 mph measured wind gusts across Amarillo TX and
vicinity continues southward across Randall and towards Swisher
County TX as of 0230Z. An arcing line of thunderstorms has formed
east of this supercell across the TX Panhandle within a narrow
corridor of greater low-level moisture per latest surface
observations. This line of convection may also pose an isolated
damaging wind/large hail threat as it moves south of the TX
Panhandle over the next several hours. The airmass to the south of
ongoing activity remains favorable for maintenance of thunderstorm
updraft intensity and organization in the short term, with MLCAPE
generally ranging 500-1500 J/kg, and effective bulk shear values of
35-45 kt. Over the next few hours, the loss of diurnal heating
should weaken instability and increase convective inhibition, with a
slow weakening trend in convection expected through late evening.

..Gleason.. 06/09/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   34590302 33860300 33860009 35190004 35170189 34590302

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 7:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 22 more56 min
Jun 8, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress and 24 more5 hr
Jun 9, 4:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Edwards, Gillespie and 10 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.