Severe Thunderstorm Warning 97, NWS Springfield, MO

019 
WWUS53 KSGF 250403
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1103 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOC067-250413-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-170325T0430Z/
Douglas MO-
1103 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3657 9195 3682 9205 3699 9210 3705 9209
      3705 9212 3710 9213 3741 9166 3663 9168
TIME...MOT...LOC 0403Z 229DEG 26KT 3711 9212 3661 9193 

$$

MOC091-215-250430-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-170325T0430Z/
Howell MO-Texas MO-
1103 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT
FOR HOWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTIES...

At 1103 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Cabool to 9 miles southwest of West Plains, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
West Plains...                    Mountain View...
Willow Springs...                 Cabool...
Pomona...                         Summersville...
South Fork...                     Brandsville...
Peace Valley...                   Arroll...
Eunice...                         Yukon...
White Church...                   Hartshorn...
Clear Springs...                  Elk Creek...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3657 9195 3682 9205 3699 9210 3705 9209
      3705 9212 3710 9213 3741 9166 3663 9168
TIME...MOT...LOC 0403Z 229DEG 26KT 3711 9212 3661 9193 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Burchfield

308 
WWUS53 KSGF 250424
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1124 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOC091-215-250434-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0097.000000T0000Z-170325T0430Z/
Howell MO-Texas MO-
1124 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HOWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1130 PM CDT...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 3657 9195 3682 9205 3699 9210 3705 9209
      3705 9212 3710 9213 3741 9166 3663 9168
TIME...MOT...LOC 0424Z 229DEG 26KT 3721 9198 3671 9179 

$$

Burchfield

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
625 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

The main concern will be strong/severe thunderstorm potential and
rainfall.

A band of warm air/moisture advection is occurring over the area
ahead of a strong vertically stacked low over the TX Panhandle.
Showers/isolated thunderstorms have been occurring over the
western cwfa since mid/late morning which has stabilized the
atmosphere. Farther east, temperatures have warmed into 70s over
the eastern cwfa. In the near term this afternoon, basically what
you see is what you get. The north-south band of showers coupled
with storm movement parallel to this band has kept the convection
benign for the most part.

Going into the evening there are two areas of concern.

1. Eastern cwfa east of the current shower activity. We will see a
gradual increase in synoptic scale lift as the upper low moves
east through OK. Convection allowing models (cams) increase/fill
in the convection as it begins to move east late this afternoon
and this evening. Instability/cape is modest, mlcape as high as
500-700 j/kg along the MO/AR south of KUNO/West Plains this
evening. Given favorable shear and low level helicity profiles,
storms may finally develop into a line with some embedded
mesovorts/line segments and/or supercells. This would be primarily
from 02z/9 pm to 06z/1 am before the storms shift east. The main
overall storm risk would be damaging winds as the storms develop
into a line.

2. Eastern cwfa over southeast KS and far western MO. As the low
shifts east, most model guidance develops moderate instability as
colder air aloft moves into the region. High res models show about
1000-1200 j/kg uncapped mlcape into our far western counties this
evening. CAMS have been persistent in developing convection in
low level convergence northeast of the low center late this
afternoon/this evening, and then eventually near the sfc low and
cold front as they move into northeast OK/far se KS/far sw MO late
this evening and overnight. Better instability is expected this
evening before weakening after midnight. Steeper midlevel lapse
rates would favor hail production. Winds will also be a threat
for storms that can stay rooted in the boundary layer. The best
chances for severe storms would be this evening.

Finally for Saturday, the upper low moves across southern MO with
continued chances for showers/scattered thunder. With the cold
core aloft, some brief hail threat may linger.

Rainfall is needed over the area, so hopefully this will be good
news. General forecast amounts range from around a half inch over
southeast KS to just over an inch over parts of the Ozarks.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

An active low latitude storm track will keep rain in the forecast
at times, primarily focused Sunday night into Monday and then
again Wednesday into Thursday. There is fairly good agreement on
these systems with no major changes to the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

Light to moderate convection ongoing across the region at this
time. Strong low pressure system in western Oklahoma is progged to
move into eastern Missouri by the end of the forecast period.

For this evening...expect mostly MVFR conditions at KSGF/KBBG as
the line of showers and occasional thunderstorms move through the
area...with IFR possible in the heavier cells. Dry slot will move
through KJLN early in the period brining the ceilings up after
03z. During the overnight hours...as the dry slot moves
over the remainder of the area...ceilings should lift but will
still maintain occasional MVFR visibilities within the stratiform
precipitation.

As the upper low passes during the morning hours on
Saturday...rain should gradually come to an end but ceilings will
remain in the MVFR category through the remainder of the forecast
period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1034 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-260345-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1034 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  A strong storm system approaching the Ozarks from the west
  will bring chances for strong to isolated severe
  thunderstorms...mainly east of Highway 63 during the remainder
  of the overnight hours. The strongest storms will be capable
  of producing wind gusts over 60 mph and hail to the size of
  quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Other systems will affect the region Sunday night into Monday
  and again Wednesday into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation is not needed for the remainder of tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Gaede

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
518 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOZ102>104-242300-
Barry MO-Taney MO-Stone MO-
518 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN TANEY...STONE AND
SOUTHEASTERN BARRY COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 517 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Beaver to near Grandview to near Rule.
Movement was northeast at 55 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Branson...                        Lake Taneycomo...
Table Rock Lake...                Table Rock State Park...
Roaring River State Park...       Hollister...
Silver Dollar City...             Kimberling City...
Forsyth...                        Merriam Woods...
Crane...                          Shell Knob...
Reeds Spring...                   Rockaway Beach...
Bull Creek...                     Indian Point...
Branson West...                   Galena...
Mccord Bend...                    Golden...

LAT...LON 3650 9384 3691 9360 3681 9330 3669 9305
      3649 9326
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 205DEG 47KT 3652 9375 3641 9359 3628 9353

Lindenberg

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
818 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOZ091-092-250200-
Wright MO-Webster MO-
818 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEBSTER AND WESTERN WRIGHT
COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

At 818 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Marshfield to Fordland. Movement was east
at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Marshfield...                     Seymour...
Mansfield...                      Fordland...
Hartville...                      Niangua...
Duncan...                         Diggins...
Rader...                          Grovespring...
Odin...                           Northview...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 94 and 108.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely. Listen for possible warnings
and be prepared to take appropriate action should severe weather
threaten.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 9290 3737 9306 3748 9284 3747 9240
      3711 9250 3707 9286 3707 9290
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 248DEG 28KT 3730 9297 3714 9293

Runnels

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
917 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 N MOUNT VERNON        37.15N 93.82W
03/24/2017                   LAWRENCE           MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            MEASURED 56MPH WIND GUST WITH A 30 FOOT
            METAL ROOF BLOWN OFF 60 FOOT LONG BARN/SHED.
            THIS WAS NON THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE.

&&

BURCHFIELD