Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Springfield, MO

039 
WWUS53 KSGF 250140
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
840 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOC225-229-250215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-170325T0215Z/
Webster MO-Wright MO-
840 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER AND NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT COUNTIES...

At 838 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm extended from near Niangua to 
northeast of Diggins moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Niangua...                        Duncan...
Grovespring...                    Rader...
Odin...                           

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 105 and 108.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3722 9277 3743 9289 3748 9284 3747 9237
      3729 9249
TIME...MOT...LOC 0138Z 232DEG 29KT 3735 9276 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Runnels

557 
WWUS53 KSGF 250147
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
847 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOC225-250155-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-170325T0215Z/
Webster MO-
847 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved into 
northwest Wright County. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3727 9269 3748 9268 3747 9237 3729 9249
      3725 9265 3725 9268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 234DEG 41KT 3740 9263 

$$

MOC229-250215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-170325T0215Z/
Wright MO-
847 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT COUNTY...

At 845 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles west of 
Grovespring, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. At 833 PM...58 mph winds were 
         measured near Marshfield along with dime size hail. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Odin...                           Grovespring...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3727 9269 3748 9268 3747 9237 3729 9249
      3725 9265 3725 9268
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 234DEG 41KT 3740 9263 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Runnels

739 
WWUS53 KSGF 250159
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
859 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOC229-250215-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-170325T0215Z/
Wright MO-
859 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT COUNTY...

At 859 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 15 miles north of
Hartville, or 16 miles southeast of Lebanon, moving northeast at 35
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Grovespring...                    

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 9265 3747 9263 3747 9237 3733 9250
      3733 9259
TIME...MOT...LOC 0159Z 232DEG 29KT 3747 9252 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Runnels

646 
WWUS53 KSGF 250207
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
907 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOC229-250216-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-170325T0215Z/
Wright MO-
907 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 915 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3737 9265 3747 9263 3747 9237 3733 9250
      3733 9259
TIME...MOT...LOC 0206Z 232DEG 29KT 3750 9247 

$$

Runnels

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
625 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

The main concern will be strong/severe thunderstorm potential and
rainfall.

A band of warm air/moisture advection is occurring over the area
ahead of a strong vertically stacked low over the TX Panhandle.
Showers/isolated thunderstorms have been occurring over the
western cwfa since mid/late morning which has stabilized the
atmosphere. Farther east, temperatures have warmed into 70s over
the eastern cwfa. In the near term this afternoon, basically what
you see is what you get. The north-south band of showers coupled
with storm movement parallel to this band has kept the convection
benign for the most part.

Going into the evening there are two areas of concern.

1. Eastern cwfa east of the current shower activity. We will see a
gradual increase in synoptic scale lift as the upper low moves
east through OK. Convection allowing models (cams) increase/fill
in the convection as it begins to move east late this afternoon
and this evening. Instability/cape is modest, mlcape as high as
500-700 j/kg along the MO/AR south of KUNO/West Plains this
evening. Given favorable shear and low level helicity profiles,
storms may finally develop into a line with some embedded
mesovorts/line segments and/or supercells. This would be primarily
from 02z/9 pm to 06z/1 am before the storms shift east. The main
overall storm risk would be damaging winds as the storms develop
into a line.

2. Eastern cwfa over southeast KS and far western MO. As the low
shifts east, most model guidance develops moderate instability as
colder air aloft moves into the region. High res models show about
1000-1200 j/kg uncapped mlcape into our far western counties this
evening. CAMS have been persistent in developing convection in
low level convergence northeast of the low center late this
afternoon/this evening, and then eventually near the sfc low and
cold front as they move into northeast OK/far se KS/far sw MO late
this evening and overnight. Better instability is expected this
evening before weakening after midnight. Steeper midlevel lapse
rates would favor hail production. Winds will also be a threat
for storms that can stay rooted in the boundary layer. The best
chances for severe storms would be this evening.

Finally for Saturday, the upper low moves across southern MO with
continued chances for showers/scattered thunder. With the cold
core aloft, some brief hail threat may linger.

Rainfall is needed over the area, so hopefully this will be good
news. General forecast amounts range from around a half inch over
southeast KS to just over an inch over parts of the Ozarks.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

An active low latitude storm track will keep rain in the forecast
at times, primarily focused Sunday night into Monday and then
again Wednesday into Thursday. There is fairly good agreement on
these systems with no major changes to the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 607 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

Light to moderate convection ongoing across the region at this
time. Strong low pressure system in western Oklahoma is progged to
move into eastern Missouri by the end of the forecast period.

For this evening...expect mostly MVFR conditions at KSGF/KBBG as
the line of showers and occasional thunderstorms move through the
area...with IFR possible in the heavier cells. Dry slot will move
through KJLN early in the period brining the ceilings up after
03z. During the overnight hours...as the dry slot moves
over the remainder of the area...ceilings should lift but will
still maintain occasional MVFR visibilities within the stratiform
precipitation.

As the upper low passes during the morning hours on
Saturday...rain should gradually come to an end but ceilings will
remain in the MVFR category through the remainder of the forecast
period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
156 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-251900-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
156 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Hail risk.
  Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated Lightning risk.
  Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

A strong storm system approaching the Ozarks from the west will
bring chances for strong to severe thunderstorms...mainly tonight.
The strongest storms will be capable of producing wind gusts over
60 mph and hail to the size of quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Other systems will affect the region Sunday night into Monday and
again Wednesday into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

DSA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
518 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOZ102>104-242300-
Barry MO-Taney MO-Stone MO-
518 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN TANEY...STONE AND
SOUTHEASTERN BARRY COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 517 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Beaver to near Grandview to near Rule.
Movement was northeast at 55 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Branson...                        Lake Taneycomo...
Table Rock Lake...                Table Rock State Park...
Roaring River State Park...       Hollister...
Silver Dollar City...             Kimberling City...
Forsyth...                        Merriam Woods...
Crane...                          Shell Knob...
Reeds Spring...                   Rockaway Beach...
Bull Creek...                     Indian Point...
Branson West...                   Galena...
Mccord Bend...                    Golden...

LAT...LON 3650 9384 3691 9360 3681 9330 3669 9305
      3649 9326
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 205DEG 47KT 3652 9375 3641 9359 3628 9353

Lindenberg

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
818 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

MOZ091-092-250200-
Wright MO-Webster MO-
818 PM CDT FRI MAR 24 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEBSTER AND WESTERN WRIGHT
COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

At 818 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Marshfield to Fordland. Movement was east
at 35 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Marshfield...                     Seymour...
Mansfield...                      Fordland...
Hartville...                      Niangua...
Duncan...                         Diggins...
Rader...                          Grovespring...
Odin...                           Northview...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 94 and 108.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely. Listen for possible warnings
and be prepared to take appropriate action should severe weather
threaten.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 9290 3737 9306 3748 9284 3747 9240
      3711 9250 3707 9286 3707 9290
TIME...MOT...LOC 0118Z 248DEG 28KT 3730 9297 3714 9293

Runnels