Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 56, NWS Springfield, MO

May 12, 2017Vernon County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at May 12, 2017, 12:02 AM CDT for Vernon County, Missouri. It took effect at May 12, 2017, 9:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 52 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 12, 2017, 12:02 AM CDT (05:02 UTC)
In effect from
May 12, 2017, 9:00 AM CDT
Expired
May 14, 2017, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
52 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Marmaton River near Nevada (NVDM7). The gauge peaked at 21.13 ft at May 13, 2017, 7:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate1015202505/1205/1305/1405/15
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
26 ft
Major stage
31 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06918060, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

782 
WGUS43 KSGF 120502
FLWSGF


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1202 AM CDT Fri May 12 2017


...The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County.
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County.

.The warning for the Sac River near Caplinger Mills is based 
on releases from the dam. As the warning for the Marmaton River
near Nevada is based off run off from recent rains. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Those with property and livestock along the river should continue to 
monitor river conditions.Additional river information can be found on
our Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service page at 
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC217-121702-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0056.170512T1400Z-170514T1800Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170512T1400Z.170513T0000Z.170513T1800Z.UU/
1202 AM CDT Fri May 12 2017

For the Marmaton River near Nevada.    ...For the Marmaton River near
Nevada...
* At 11:45 PM Thursday The stage was 14.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 20.8 feet by this evening. The
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs near the gage site and
  affects low lying areas along the river.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  14.6 Fri 12 AM  20.4  18.4  14.8


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

MOC039-121701-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0057.170512T0502Z-170513T2040Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.170512T0350Z.170512T1200Z.170512T2040Z.NO/
1202 AM CDT Fri May 12 2017

For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills.    ...For the Sac River near 
Caplinger Mills...
* At 11:45 PM Thursday The stage was 16.3 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.8 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor Flooding occurs at the gage site.  The
  campground at Caplinger Mills floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  16.3 Fri 12 AM  14.1  13.5  12.5


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
5 follow-up statements
146 
WGUS83 KSGF 121403
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
903 AM CDT Fri May 12 2017

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
  Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
   
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC217-130503-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170515T0400Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170512T1739Z.170513T0600Z.170514T0400Z.UU/
903 AM CDT Fri May 12 2017

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  8:45 AM Friday The stage was 18.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 21.5 feet by around midnight.  The river will fall 
  below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Flood waters impact the county road west of 
  Nevada at the gage site. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  18.9 Fri 09 AM  21.4  19.2  15.5


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

MOC013-217-130503-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCZM7.2.ER.170430T0455Z.170505T1715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
903 AM CDT Fri May 12 2017

...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At  8:45 AM Friday The stage was 31.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.8 feet by 
  Sunday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Flood waters impact all of the low lying 
  areas in the Schell Osage Conservation Area as well as several 
  county roads west of Schell City.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon

Osage River Basin
  Schell City      30  31.1 Fri 09 AM  31.5  31.8  31.8


&&


LAT...LON 3807 9415 3806 9406 3799 9406 3803 9416

 

$$

MOC039-130503-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-170513T2136Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.170512T0350Z.170512T1330Z.170512T2136Z.NO/
903 AM CDT Fri May 12 2017

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At  8:45 AM Friday The stage was 16.8 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor Flooding occurs at the gage site.  The
  campground at Caplinger Mills floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  16.8 Fri 09 AM  13.8  13.0  12.4


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
776 
WGUS83 KSGF 130116
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
816 PM CDT Fri May 12 2017

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
  Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC217-131616-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170515T0224Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170512T1851Z.170513T1200Z.170514T0224Z.UU/
816 PM CDT Fri May 12 2017

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At 7:45 PM Friday The stage was 20.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning.  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  late evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Flood waters impact the county road west of 
  Nevada at the gage site. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  20.7 Fri 08 PM  19.1  15.2  11.2


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

MOC013-217-131615-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170517T1200Z/
/SCZM7.2.ER.170430T0455Z.170505T1715Z.170516T1200Z.NO/
816 PM CDT Fri May 12 2017

...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At 7:45 PM Friday The stage was 30.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Flood waters impact low lying areas west of 
  Schell City.  County roads west and north of Route M become 
  flooded. The Four River Conservation Area 10 miles west of Schell 
  City floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon

Osage River Basin
  Schell City      30  30.9 Fri 08 PM  30.7  30.6  30.0


&&


LAT...LON 3807 9415 3806 9406 3799 9406 3803 9416

 

$$

MOC039-131615-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-170515T1800Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.170512T0350Z.170513T0600Z.170514T1800Z.NO/
816 PM CDT Fri May 12 2017

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At 7:46 PM Friday The stage was 17.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.7 feet by 
  around midnight.  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate Flood Stage. Flood waters reach 
  approximately three feet in depth at the Caplinger Mills 
  Campground.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sat   Sun   Mon

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  17.6 Fri 08 PM  16.2  15.2  14.9


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
889 
WGUS83 KSGF 131327
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
827 AM CDT Sat May 13 2017

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
  Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
   

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC217-140427-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170515T0447Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170512T1851Z.170513T1200Z.170514T0447Z.UU/
827 AM CDT Sat May 13 2017

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At  7:45 AM Saturday The stage was 21.1 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Flood waters impact the county road west of 
  Nevada at the gage site. 

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  21.1 Sat 08 AM  19.2  14.6  11.1


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

MOC013-217-140427-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170515T1800Z/
/SCZM7.2.ER.170430T0455Z.170505T1715Z.170514T1800Z.NO/
827 AM CDT Sat May 13 2017

...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At  7:45 AM Saturday The stage was 30.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Flood waters impact low lying areas west of 
  Schell City.  County roads west and north of Route M become 
  flooded. The Four River Conservation Area 10 miles west of Schell 
  City floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue

Osage River Basin
  Schell City      30  30.7 Sat 08 AM  30.2  29.7  29.0


&&


LAT...LON 3807 9415 3806 9406 3799 9406 3803 9416

 

$$

MOC039-140427-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-170515T2200Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.170512T0350Z.170513T0515Z.170514T2200Z.NO/
827 AM CDT Sat May 13 2017

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At  7:45 AM Saturday The stage was 17.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.

* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor Flooding occurs at the gage site.  The
  campground at Caplinger Mills floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  17.4 Sat 08 AM  16.4  15.4  15.0


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
198 
WGUS83 KSGF 140056
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
756 PM CDT Sat May 13 2017

 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County 
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County 
 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties 
   

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC217-141556-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170515T0824Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170512T1851Z.170513T1200Z.170514T0824Z.UU/
756 PM CDT Sat May 13 2017

...For the Marmaton River near Nevada...
* At 7:45 PM Saturday The stage was 20.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs near the gage site and
  affects low lying areas along the river.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  20.5 Sat 08 PM  15.9  11.5   8.9


&&


LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

 

$$

MOC013-217-141555-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170515T1800Z/
/SCZM7.2.ER.170430T0455Z.170505T1715Z.170514T1800Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Sat May 13 2017

...For the The Osage River near Schell City...
 * At 7:45 PM Saturday The stage was 30.5 feet. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Flood waters affect the Schell Osage 
  Conservation Area, the Old River Road North of Schell City and Lost
  Creek west of Schell Lake. Flood waters overflow the main river 
  channel at the gage site.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue

Osage River Basin
  Schell City      30  30.5 Sat 08 PM  29.7  29.0  28.1


&&


LAT...LON 3807 9415 3806 9406 3799 9406 3803 9416

 

$$

MOC039-141555-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-170515T2000Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.170512T0350Z.170513T0515Z.170514T2000Z.NO/
756 PM CDT Sat May 13 2017

...For the Sac River near Caplinger Mills...
* At 7:45 PM Saturday The stage was 16.6 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor Flooding occurs at the gage site.  The
  campground at Caplinger Mills floods.

&&


               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Sun   Mon   Tue

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  16.6 Sat 08 PM  15.4  15.0  14.8


&&


LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

 

$$
914 
WGUS83 KSGF 141455
FLSSGF
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
955 AM CDT Sun May 14 2017

 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Marmaton River near Nevada affecting Vernon County.
  Sac River near Caplinger Mills affecting Cedar County.
  
 ...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Osage River near Schell City affecting Bates and Vernon Counties. 
   
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio for later statements.

Additional river information can be found on our Advanced Hydrologic 
Prediction Service page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/ 
index.php?wfo=sgf 

&&

MOC013-217-150555-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170517T0000Z/
/SCZM7.2.ER.170430T0455Z.170505T1715Z.170516T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CDT Sun May 14 2017

...For the Osage River near Schell City...
* At  9:45 AM Sunday The stage was 30.2 feet. 
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.3 feet by this
  afternoon.  
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Flood waters affect the Schell Osage 
  Conservation Area, the Old River Road North of Schell City and Lost
  Creek west of Schell Lake. Flood waters overflow the main river 
  channel at the gage site.

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed

Osage River Basin
  Schell City      30  30.2 Sun 10 AM  30.1  29.6  28.6

&&

LAT...LON 3807 9415 3806 9406 3799 9406 3803 9416

$$

MOC217-141525-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-170515T0824Z/
/NVDM7.1.ER.170512T1851Z.170513T1200Z.170514T0630Z.UU/
955 AM CDT Sun May 14 2017

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for  The Marmaton River near 
Nevada.* At  9:45 AM Sunday The stage was 18.4 feet. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 15.9 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding occurs near the gage site and
  affects low lying areas along the river.

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed

Marmaton River Basin
  Nevada           20  18.4 Sun 10 AM  15.9  11.5   8.9

&&

LAT...LON 3793 9438 3791 9435 3784 9441 3785 9454

$$

MOC039-141525-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-170515T2000Z/
/CMZM7.1.ER.170512T0350Z.170513T0515Z.170514T1255Z.NO/
955 AM CDT Sun May 14 2017

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for  The Sac River near 
Caplinger Mills.* At  9:45 AM Sunday The stage was 15.9 feet. 
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 15.3 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor Flooding occurs at the gage site.  The
  campground at Caplinger Mills floods.

&&

               FLOOD  OBSERVED           FORECAST 7 AM

LOCATION       STAGE STAGE  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed

Sac River Basin
  Caplinger Mills  16  15.9 Sun 10 AM  15.3  15.0  14.8

&&

LAT...LON 3783 9384 3783 9381 3770 9372 3769 9377

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 11, 7:09 PM CDT, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 11, 7:09 PM CDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
709 PM CDT Thu May 11 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Thu May 11 2017

Currently seeing a break in the thunderstorm activity early this
afternoon, with clearing occurring across the southern portions
of the CWA. This has allowed temperatures to quickly warm into the
mid 70s where sun has broken through. Combined with dewpoints in
the mid to upper 60s, 2000-2500 J/kg of MLCAPE is in place across
the region, along with plenty of deep layer shear.

Convection has already started to develop across northeastern
Oklahoma, and should continue to expand in coverage toward the
north and east this afternoon and this evening. This initial
convection will yield a wind and especially a hail threat, with
very steep mid level lapse rates suggesting hail up to 2" in
diameter. There will also be a conditional tornado threat with any
storm that is able to move along the front or a mesoscale
boundary.

Convection will continue to develop into and through the evening
hours, and along with the severe weather threat, a localized flood
threat will be possible as well where multiple storms train over
the same area.

Convective intensity should begin to diminish late this evening,
though occasional rain and thunderstorms will continue through the
night as the upper level low swings through the area.

Rain will then end from northwest to southeast on Friday as the
front sweeps across. Temperatures tomorrow will be cooler, with
highs in the upper 60s and low 70s. Skies will gradually clear
through the day, eventually becoming clear by evening.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Thu May 11 2017

Beautiful conditions are then expected on Saturday as high
pressure builds into the region. Temperatures will be right around
average with light winds and clear skies. Southerly winds will
start to kick in on Sunday, helping to boost temperatures back
to around 80. Warm weather is then expected through at least mid
week, as southerly flow dominates. Rain chances really don't look
to increase again until at least mid week, or perhaps later.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 707 PM CDT Thu May 11 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Scattered thunderstorms will occur with a
frontal passage over the next few hours. Lower ceilings will
occur behind the front with mvfr/ifr ceilings expected.
Improvement is expected late in the taf period as clouds lift and
scatter out.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch until 3 AM CDT Friday for MOZ077-079>083-
     088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch until 3 AM CDT Friday for KSZ097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Boxell
LONG TERM...Boxell
AVIATION...DSA
Hazardous weather outlook, May 11, 11:10 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1110 PM CDT Thu May 11 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-130415-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
1110 PM CDT Thu May 11 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Flooding risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

 Showers and a few thunderstorms will occur during the overnight
 hours. No severe weather will occur. Occasional cloud to ground
 lightning strikes will be the risk with any storms. Localized
 minor flooding will remain possible south of Interstate 44
 overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

  The chance of thunderstorms will return during the middle and
  later part of next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Wise

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 11, 8:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
831 PM CDT THU MAY 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RACINE                  36.89N 94.53W
05/11/2017                   NEWTON             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            HIGHWAY CC FLOODED AND IMPASSIBLE AT LOST
            CREEK.

&&

DSA
Local storm report, May 11, 9:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
934 PM CDT THU MAY 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NNE MONETT            36.96N 93.90W
05/11/2017                   LAWRENCE           MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FARM ROAD 1090 FLOODED. CLOSED.

&&

DSA
Local storm report, May 11, 9:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
937 PM CDT THU MAY 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SENECA                  36.84N 94.61W
05/11/2017                   NEWTON             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HWY 43 FLOODED AND CLOSED.

&&

DSA
Local storm report, May 11, 9:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
942 PM CDT THU MAY 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S ROGERSVILLE         37.07N 93.05W
05/11/2017                   CHRISTIAN          MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            MO HIGHWAY U FLOODED AND CLOSED AT PEDELO
            CREEK.

&&

DSA
Local storm report, May 11, 9:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
949 PM CDT THU MAY 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW BOSTON            37.40N 94.31W
05/11/2017                   BARTON             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HWY 126 FLOODED AND CLOSED AT THE NORTH FORK
            OF THE SPRING RIVER.

&&

DSA
Local storm report, May 11, 10:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1059 PM CDT THU MAY 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     HAIL             10 W ANDERSON           36.67N 94.62W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   AMATEUR RADIO

1015 AM     HAIL             4 WNW NEOSHO            36.88N 94.43W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT A BUSINESS
            LOCATED AT I-49 AND HIGHWAY 86.

1022 AM     HAIL             3 NW NEOSHO             36.90N 94.42W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

1031 AM     HAIL             2 WSW DIAMOND           36.99N 94.35W
05/11/2017  E0.88 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

1033 AM     HAIL             DIAMOND                 37.00N 94.32W
05/11/2017  E0.75 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

1037 AM     HAIL             1 NW DIAMOND            37.00N 94.32W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   PUBLIC

1055 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 SSE PURDY             36.80N 93.91W
05/11/2017  E55 MPH          BARRY              MO   PUBLIC

1117 AM     HAIL             3 NNE MADRY             36.91N 93.70W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       BARRY              MO   PUBLIC

            HAIL WAS COVERING THE GROUND.

1216 PM     HAIL             1 W OZARK               37.02N 93.23W
05/11/2017  E0.75 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   PUBLIC

1217 PM     HAIL             2 NNE OZARK             37.05N 93.20W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   PUBLIC

            HAIL WAS COVERING THE GROUND.

1235 PM     HAIL             ROGERSVILLE             37.12N 93.06W
05/11/2017  E0.88 INCH       WEBSTER            MO   PUBLIC

0240 PM     HAIL             RACINE                  36.90N 94.53W
05/11/2017  E1.25 INCH       NEWTON             MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL - RELAYED
            BY MEDIA.

0325 PM     HAIL             3 SW NEOSHO             36.84N 94.42W
05/11/2017  E1.75 INCH       NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0325 PM     HAIL             4 NNW GOODMAN           36.80N 94.42W
05/11/2017  E1.25 INCH       NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0336 PM     HAIL             KIRBYVILLE              36.62N 93.16W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       TANEY              MO   911 CALL CENTER

0342 PM     HAIL             FORSYTH                 36.69N 93.12W
05/11/2017  E0.75 INCH       TANEY              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0345 PM     HAIL             FORSYTH                 36.69N 93.12W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       TANEY              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0347 PM     HAIL             FORSYTH                 36.69N 93.12W
05/11/2017  E1.75 INCH       TANEY              MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0355 PM     HAIL             1 SSW NEOSHO            36.85N 94.38W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       NEWTON             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE AURORA             36.98N 93.71W
05/11/2017                   LAWRENCE           MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BLEACHES AT BALDWIN PARK IN AURORA WERE
            BLOWN OVER. TIME WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0422 PM     HAIL             AURORA                  36.97N 93.72W
05/11/2017  E0.88 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   PUBLIC

0425 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARIONVILLE             37.00N 93.63W
05/11/2017                   LAWRENCE           MO   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN IN MARIONVILLE. PICTURE WAS
            FROM SOCIAL MEDIA.

0427 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ESE MARIONVILLE       36.98N 93.57W
05/11/2017                   STONE              MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREES DOWN ON HWY M NEAR HWY 413.

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N BOAZ                37.06N 93.41W
05/11/2017                   CHRISTIAN          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            SEVERAL 3-6 INCH LIMBS DOWN PLUS ONE 12-14
            INCH LIMB DOWN ON HOLDER RD EAST OF HWY ZZ.

0444 PM     HAIL             3 S REPUBLIC            37.08N 93.48W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0447 PM     HAIL             1 N CLEVER              37.04N 93.47W
05/11/2017  E1.00 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NNE MONETT            36.96N 93.90W
05/11/2017                   LAWRENCE           MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            FARM ROAD 1090 FLOODED. CLOSED.

0552 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SSE STRAFFORD         37.22N 93.09W
05/11/2017                   GREENE             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            6 INCHES OF WATER OVER THE ROAD NW RIDGE DR
            AND DIVISION (HWY YY).

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SENECA                  36.84N 94.61W
05/11/2017                   NEWTON             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HWY 43 FLOODED AND CLOSED.

0615 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 N BOAZ                37.05N 93.40W
05/11/2017                   CHRISTIAN          MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            LOW WATER CROSSINGAT KERR RD AND HOLDER RD
            CHRISTIAN COUNTY...INUNDATED BY FLASH
            FLOOD...14 INCHES OF WATER AND RISING
            RAPIDLY...ONE VEHICLE STALLED IN WATER AND
            WAS PULLED OUT BY REPORTING MOBILE INTERCEPT
            SPOTTER.

0631 PM     HAIL             HOUSTON                 37.32N 91.95W
05/11/2017  E0.75 INCH       TEXAS              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

0644 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SUMMERSVILLE            37.18N 91.66W
05/11/2017                   TEXAS              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN WITH SOME ON HOMES, ROOF
            OF GROCERY STORE BLOWN OFF.

0657 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ESE SUMMERSVILLE      37.14N 91.57W
05/11/2017                   SHANNON            MO   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            TREES UPROOTED.

0813 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WSW BOSTON            37.40N 94.31W
05/11/2017                   BARTON             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HWY 126 FLOODED AND CLOSED AT THE NORTH FORK
            OF THE SPRING RIVER.

0820 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 ENE RACINE            36.94N 94.44W
05/11/2017                   NEWTON             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSIBLE NEAR THE
            INTERSECTION OF HOLLY ROAD AND IBEX ROAD.

0820 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RACINE                  36.89N 94.53W
05/11/2017                   NEWTON             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            HIGHWAY CC FLOODED AND IMPASSIBLE AT LOST
            CREEK.

0900 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S ROGERSVILLE         37.07N 93.05W
05/11/2017                   CHRISTIAN          MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            MO HIGHWAY U FLOODED AND CLOSED AT PEDELO
            CREEK.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 11, 9:15 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFNewton6 hr
May 11, 9:51 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFBarry, Lawrence12 hr
May 12, 12:02 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFCedar58 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.