Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Charleston, WV

009 
WWUS51 KRLX 062007
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
407 PM EDT THU JUL 6 2017

OHC079-062017-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-170706T2015Z/
Jackson OH-
407 PM EDT THU JUL 6 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3921 8226 3920 8227 3920 8226 3917 8223
      3912 8237 3919 8243 3927 8232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 258DEG 14KT 3916 8236 

$$

OHC105-163-062015-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-170706T2015Z/
Meigs OH-Vinton OH-
407 PM EDT THU JUL 6 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MEIGS AND EAST CENTRAL VINTON COUNTIES...

At 407 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles southeast of
Mcarthur, moving east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Meigs and east central Vinton Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

Please report Severe Weather to the National Weather Service by
calling toll free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely.

You may also report severe weather by posting your report to the
Charleston West Virginia National Weather Service Facebook Page, or
by using the Twitter Hashtag, NWSRLX.

&&

LAT...LON 3921 8226 3920 8227 3920 8226 3917 8223
      3912 8237 3919 8243 3927 8232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 258DEG 14KT 3916 8236 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

30

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
230 PM EDT Thu Jul 6 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Stationary front and a series of passing disturbances will keeps
chances for convection through Friday. Cooler and less humid under
high pressure Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A stationary boundary remains in the vicinity with abundant
moisture with pwats exceeding 2 inches and dewpoints in the
lower 70s. A series of shortwaves will move over this boundary
and enhance showers and storms this afternoon.

Convection will continue tonight as a weak sfc low moves over
the area. Models suggest that the bulk of pcpn will fall across
the northern sections. In fact, WPC has an area of slight risk
for excessive rainfall across the northeast, extending east
into MD. Rainfall accumulations area expected to be 2-3 inches
with higher localized amounts. There could be a lull in
convection activity Friday morning and part of the afternoon
hours.

Based on coordination with surrounding offices, issued a Flash
Flood Watch for the northeast quadrant of WV until 12Z Friday
morning.

An upper level trough crosses the area Friday to provide
unstable conditions and a slight risk for severe thunderstorms.
SFC CAPE exceeding 2000 J/Kg, strong deep layered shear reaching
50 knots and strong boundary layer convergence will allow storms
to grow to severe potential. There is a slight risk for severe
storms Friday. Additional water problems can be anticipated.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 230 PM Thursday...

S/W trof axis and associated cold front will cross Friday night
with a line of strong to perhaps severe storms. Front will be
east of the area Saturday morning but lingering low level
moisture and an approaching s/w trof axis may be enough for a
few afternoon mountain showers or thundershowers. Surface high
builds in Saturday night and Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 240 PM Thursday...

The mean longwave trof will loosen its grip over the region next
week but still in the trajectory for disturbances within the
mean flow, with one slated for midweek.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 130 PM Thursday...

Stationary frontal boundary meanders over the area while weak
short waves pass overhead. Radar images show a large area of
convection that have been moving slowly east over WV. Radar
detected additional convection across central KY moving our way.
Expect some of these showers to become storms and to produce
heavy rain and associated IFR/LIFR conditions along their path.

The bulk of the convection will focus across the northern
sections. Brief periods of fog can be possible over areas that
received rain. Conditions will improve by Friday morning.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of showers and thunderstorms, along
with flight restrictions associated with fog and stratus may
vary from forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    L
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    M    L    M    M    M    M    H    H    M    H    L
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    L
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    M    L    H    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    L
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    L    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    L    L

AFTER 18Z FRIDAY...
IFR possible in showers and thunderstorms and stratus/fog early
Friday, and again Friday night and Saturday in additional
showers and storms.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for WVZ008>011-
     016>020-027>032-039-040-519-521-525-526.
OH...Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for OHZ076.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ARJ/30
NEAR TERM...ARJ
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM...30
AVIATION...ARJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1058 AM EDT Thu Jul 6 2017

OHZ076-WVZ008>011-016>020-029>032-039-040-525-526-071500-
Washington-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-
Ritchie-Doddridge-Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-
Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
1058 AM EDT Thu Jul 6 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio,
and portions of central West Virginia, northeast West Virginia and
northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, there is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, there is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms Friday.
Major impacts will be damaging winds and large hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ101>103-OHZ066-067-075-083>087-WVZ006-007-014-071500-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-
Gallia-Lawrence OH-Cabell-Mason-Putnam-
1058 AM EDT Thu Jul 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky, portions of southeast Ohio, and portions of southern West
Virginia and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms Friday. Major
impacts will be damaging winds and large hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ105-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-013-015-024>026-033-034-515>518-520-522>524-
071500-
Lawrence KY-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-Lincoln-Kanawha-Mingo-Logan-
Boone-McDowell-Wyoming-Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-
Northwest Fayette-Southeast Fayette-Southeast Nicholas-
Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-
1058 AM EDT Thu Jul 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky, southwest Virginia, and portions of northeast West
Virginia, southeast West Virginia, southern West Virginia and
western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

In addition, there is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms
through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms Friday. Major
impacts will be damaging winds and large hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

WVZ027-028-519-521-071500-
Clay-Braxton-Northwest Nicholas-Northwest Webster-
1058 AM EDT Thu Jul 6 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central West
Virginia, northeast West Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, there is a marginal risk for severe weather through
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

In addition, there is a slight risk for severe thunderstorms Friday.
Major impacts will be damaging winds and large hail.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
322 PM EDT THU JUL 6 2017

WVZ024-025-061945-
Logan-Mingo-
322 PM EDT THU JUL 6 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN MINGO AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTIES...

At 320 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Hinch, or 12
miles south of Logan, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds 40 to 50 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Man, Mallory, Hinch, Amherstdale-Robinette, Red Jacket, Bruno,
Chauncey, Varney, Hampden, Sarah Ann, Switzer and Pie.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3768 8215 3787 8193 3776 8175 3775 8176
      3773 8174 3759 8201
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 228DEG 29KT 3767 8204

30