Severe Thunderstorm Warning 126, NWS Raleigh, NC

173 
WWUS52 KRAH 060142
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
942 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

NCC063-077-145-183-060215-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170706T0215Z/
Person NC-Granville NC-Wake NC-Durham NC-
942 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT
FOR PERSON...GRANVILLE...NORTHWESTERN WAKE AND DURHAM COUNTIES...

At 941 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Roxboro to near Rougemont to near Chapel Hill,
moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill, Oxford, Roxboro, Creedmoor, Butner,
Rougemont, Concord and Stem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Straight line winds can blow down trees, power lines, and damage
mobile homes and other buildings. Seek shelter in a sturdy structure
until the storm has passed. Stay away from windows as flying debris
generated by damaging winds can be deadly.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Raleigh.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Move 
indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading killers. 
Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck 
by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 7850 3646 7851 3618 7850 3588 7862
      3586 7902 3624 7895 3624 7914 3654 7914
      3654 7846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 270DEG 24KT 3647 7899 3624 7884 3599 7904 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

77

387 
WWUS52 KRAH 060157
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
957 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

NCC063-077-145-183-060215-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170706T0215Z/
Person NC-Granville NC-Wake NC-Durham NC-
957 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT
FOR PERSON...GRANVILLE...NORTHWESTERN WAKE AND DURHAM COUNTIES...

At 956 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Alton to 7 miles northeast of Butner to near
Durham, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill, Oxford, Roxboro, Creedmoor, Butner,
Rougemont, Concord and Stem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Straight line winds can blow down trees, power lines, and damage
mobile homes and other buildings. Seek shelter in a sturdy structure
until the storm has passed. Stay away from windows as flying debris
generated by damaging winds can be deadly.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Heavy rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to minor 
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 7850 3646 7851 3618 7850 3588 7862
      3586 7902 3624 7895 3624 7914 3654 7914
      3654 7846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0156Z 272DEG 25KT 3652 7893 3622 7871 3595 7891 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

77

899 
WWUS52 KRAH 060205
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1005 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

NCC063-077-145-183-060215-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170706T0215Z/
Person NC-Granville NC-Wake NC-Durham NC-
1005 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT
FOR EASTERN PERSON...GRANVILLE...NORTH CENTRAL WAKE AND DURHAM
COUNTIES...

At 1003 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Virgilina to 7 miles north of Creedmoor to near
Durham, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Durham, Oxford, Creedmoor, Butner, Stem, Stovall, and Lake Michie

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Straight line winds can blow down trees, power lines, and damage
mobile homes and other buildings. Seek shelter in a sturdy structure
until the storm has passed. Stay away from windows as flying debris
generated by damaging winds can be deadly.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

Heavy rainfall is occurring with these storms, and may lead to minor 
flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 7850 3646 7851 3618 7850 3588 7862
      3589 7895 3625 7888 3635 7894 3654 7904
      3654 7846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0203Z 267DEG 22KT 3652 7888 3622 7866 3595 7886 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

77

794 
WWUS52 KRAH 060215
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1015 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

NCC063-077-145-183-060225-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0126.000000T0000Z-170706T0215Z/
Person NC-Granville NC-Wake NC-Durham NC-
1015 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN PERSON...GRANVILLE...
NORTH CENTRAL WAKE AND DURHAM COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been allowed to expire.  However gusty
winds and heavy rain are still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 3651 7850 3646 7851 3618 7850 3588 7862
      3589 7895 3625 7888 3635 7894 3654 7904
      3654 7846
TIME...MOT...LOC 0215Z 267DEG 22KT 3652 7879 3622 7857 3595 7877 

$$

77

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
700 PM EDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak, nearly stationary front will remain over the region tonight.
This front will lift back north as a warm front into VA on Thursday.
A cold front will approach from the NW late Friday and Friday night.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 635 PM EDT Wednesday...

Several areas of strong to isolated severe storms this evening.

The first area of concern is over the NE zones where a westward
moving outflow boundary will continue to focus showers/storms over
the NE Piedmont. A weak surface low pressure near Louisburg may
focus the stronger development around that region through mid-
evening.

Then, another area of concern was over the SW Piedmont where some
active Severe Thunderstorm Warnings continue from near CLT into the
Albemarle and Wadesboro areas. This area has the highest probability
of organized storms where strong instability exists out ahead of the
rain cooled air to the west. We will keep the higher POP in this
region eastward into the Southern Pines and Asheboro areas.

A line of convection was pushing east across the Appalachians early
this evening providing the third area of concern - our western
Piedmont. Several outflows from these storms and from the storms to
the south could ignite additional storms over the Triad region
through the evening.

Otherwise, a very warm and humid evening. Convection should wane
toward midnight. Lows generally 70-75.

&&

.SHORT TERM /Thursday and Thursday Night/...
As of 135 PM EDT Wednesday...

An upper level low over the central MS river valley will deamplify
and track slowly east into western TN/KY during the day Thu and the
western slopes of the Appalachians by 12Z Fri. The MSLP gradient
will begin to tighten over the Carolinas as the aforementioned wave
approaches the mountains from the west, with unidirectional WSW/SW
flow throughout the column. With small amplitude waves in SW flow
aloft expected to remain well N/NW of central NC and very little in
the way of low-level convergence, expect dry conditions to prevail
over the majority of central NC. Isolated convection cannot be ruled
out invof the seabreeze in the far SE Coastal Plain Thu afternoon,
nor can it be ruled out in the W/NW Piedmont where isolated mountain
convection may drift downstream via 20-30 knot mid-level flow. With
such weak forcing, convection will be diurnal in nature and should
quickly wane after sunset. Expect highs 90 to 95 with lows Thu night
several degrees warmer than previous nights, in the mid 70s, due to
a strengthening MSLP gradient and persistent southwesterly breeze.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 200 PM Wednesday...

The general upper air pattern for this part of the forecast will be
characterized by high pressure over the four corners region of the
U.S. with a trough over the east coast. A series of disturbances
will pass over the region during this time, resulting in some
unsettled weather. The usual diurnal timing of convection, best
chances in the afternoon and evening with a lull overnight, will
prevail.

A shortwave will move over Central NC on Friday, with best chances
for convection will be ahead of the surface boundary associated with
the upper wave as it progresses through the area from the northwest.
More of the same can be expected on Saturday and Saturday night
ahead of an approaching cold front, though the poor diurnal timing
may limit the chances of convection. High in the upper 80s to mid
90s Friday and Saturday, lows in the low to mid 70s Friday nights.

The aforementioned cold front will surge southward into Central NC
Sunday. Latest medium range models bring the front all the way
through Central NC, which would keep the majority of the region dry,
however if it does stall over the area Sunday night into Monday,
convection would be possible in the southeast. As for temperatures,
Lows decrease a bit for Saturday and Sunday nights, mid 60s to low
70s, upper 60s to low 70s Monday and Tuesday nights. Expect highs
Sunday through Tuesday in the mid to upper 80s, upper 80s to around
90 degrees on Wednesday. Chances for precipitation will increase
again for the middle of the week, but there is too much uncertainty
to get into specifics at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z Thursday through Monday/...
As of 700 PM EDT Wednesday...

Through 18Z Thursday: Generally VFR conditions are expected this
evening and overnight. Isolated thunderstorms will produce
MVFR CIGS and VSBYS for a brief 20-30 minute period this evening.
Similar conditions are expected Thursday, with some morning
IFR stratus expected between 09z-12z.

Looking Ahead: VFR conditions will prevail through 12Z Fri.
Scattered diurnal convection and early morning low ceilings will
remain possible through Monday.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Badgett
NEAR TERM...Badgett
SHORT TERM...Vincent/Franklin
LONG TERM...KC
AVIATION...Badgett

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
548 AM EDT Wed Jul 5 2017

NCZ021>025-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-061000-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-
Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
548 AM EDT Wed Jul 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms may produce locally heavy
rainfall this afternoon and evening. Isolated flash flooding will be
possible, primarily north of Highway 64 in urban areas and other
flood prone locations. Additionally, a few storms could become
severe, with a primary threat of damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Isolated severe thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible Friday afternoon and evening as an upper level disturbance
and attendant low pressure system track east across the Mid-Atlantic.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ007>011-026>028-061000-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-
548 AM EDT Wed Jul 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this
afternoon as an upper level disturbance and associated low pressure
system track east in vicinity of the Virginia border. A few storms
could become severe, with a primary threat of damaging winds. A
brief, isolated tornado cannot be entirely ruled out. Locally heavy
rainfall and isolated flash flooding will also be possible,
primarily in urban areas and other flood prone locations.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Isolated severe thunderstorms and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible Friday afternoon and evening as an upper level disturbance
and attendant low pressure system track east across the Mid-Atlantic.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Vincent

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
757 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

NCZ011-028-060030-
Edgecombe NC-Halifax NC-
757 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

...an area of showers and strong thunderstorms will affect portions
of Edgecombe and south central Halifax Counties Until 830 PM EDT...

At 756 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking an area of showers and
strong thunderstorms near Tarboro, moving east at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding and deadly cloud to ground lightning
will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rocky Mount, Tarboro, Princeville, Pinetops, Macclesfield, Hobgood,
Conetoe, Speed, Leggett and Kingsboro.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
40 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other light outdoor
objects.

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning, especially in urban areas where prolonged heavy rain
can quickly lead to flooding.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3600 7741 3590 7734 3582 7735 3583 7739
      3582 7741 3581 7742 3580 7747 3576 7752
      3568 7766 3576 7773 3583 7775 3586 7782
      3601 7777 3605 7775 3607 7733
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 269DEG 14KT 3595 7752

77

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
805 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

NCZ042-078-060045-
Johnston NC-Wayne NC-
805 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

...a strong thunderstorm will affect portions of southeastern
Johnston and northwestern Wayne Counties Until 845 PM EDT...

At 804 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Smithfield, moving east at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and deadly cloud to ground lightning will also be
possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Smithfield, Selma, Four Oaks, Pine Level and Princeton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
45 mph are capable of knocking down tree limbs and blowing around
trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other light outdoor
objects.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3529 7810 3536 7849 3547 7850 3557 7809
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 269DEG 13KT 3543 7842

77

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
828 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0750 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW ROCKINGHAM        34.99N 79.78W
07/05/2017                   RICHMOND           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN AT US 220 AND
            CRESTVIEW DR.

&&

MWS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
828 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

NCZ023-024-060130-
Alamance NC-Orange NC-
828 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

...a line of strong thunderstorms will affect portions of northern
Alamance and Orange Counties Until 930 PM EDT...

At 827 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Camp Springs to
Burlington. Movement was east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Heavy rain and deadly cloud to ground lightning will also be
possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Burlington, Graham, Hillsborough, Mebane, Elon College, Gibsonville,
Haw River, Swepsonville, Alamance and Carr.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
50 mph are capable of knocking down small or weakened trees and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 7915 3624 7895 3602 7899 3602 7948
      3614 7954 3625 7953
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 261DEG 16KT 3632 7955 3610 7944

77

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
838 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 SW ELLERBE            35.02N 79.82W
07/05/2017                   RICHMOND           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN.

&&

MWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
913 PM EDT WED JUL 5 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSW UNION RIDGE       36.17N 79.41W
07/05/2017                   ALAMANCE           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE REPORTED DOWN AT 3547 UNION RIDGE RD AT
            839 PM. TIME OF OCCURRENCE ESTIMATED BY
            RADAR.

&&

MWS