Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2017

Small Craft Advisory 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

January 1, 2017

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Jan 1, 2017, 3:38 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 2, 2017, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 1, 2017, 3:38 PM EST (20:38 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 2, 2017, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 4, 2017, 3:22 AM EST
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted.

132 
WHUS71 KPHI 012038
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
338 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017

ANZ450>455-020930-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.170102T1700Z-170103T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
338 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE
  GRADUALLY DIMINISHING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE PROLONGED
  ONSHORE FLOW WILL BUILD THE SEAS AT AND ABOVE 5 FEET MONDAY
  AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-020930-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.170102T1700Z-170103T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
338 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM EST
MONDAY.

* LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE
  DIMINISHING LATER MONDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
8 follow-up statements
465 
WHUS71 KPHI 020855
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
355 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017



ANZ450>455-022200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.170102T1700Z-170103T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
355 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM
EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* WINDS...EAST...SHIFTING TO EAST NORTHEAST LATE TODAY. WIND
  SPEEDS WILL BE 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-022200-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.170102T1700Z-170103T0300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
355 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
  DIMINISHING LATER THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
454 
WHUS71 KPHI 030228
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
928 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

ANZ450>455-031100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
928 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-031000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T1000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
928 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
631 
WHUS71 KPHI 030828
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
328 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017



ANZ450>455-032130-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
328 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE
  WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY, THOUGH
  SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. WINDS MAY PICK UP AGAIN LATE IN THE
  DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT
  THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY 10
  TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-031200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T1200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
328 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
763 
WHUS71 KPHI 031016
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
516 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017



ANZ431-031130-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T1200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
516 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW SCA CRITERIA AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING.

$$

ANZ450>455-032330-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
516 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH THIS EVENING. 
  THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY... THOUGH SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. WINDS MAY PICK 
  UP AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT 
  THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY 
  10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY 
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
833 
WHUS71 KPHI 031018 CCA
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
518 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017



ANZ431-031130-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T1200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
518 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW SCA CRITERIA AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING.

$$

ANZ450>455-032230-
/O.COR.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
518 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH THIS EVENING. 
  THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY... THOUGH SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. WINDS MAY PICK 
  UP AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT 
  THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY 
  10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KT.

* SEAS...5 TO 9 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY 
  NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
199 
WHUS71 KPHI 031517
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1017 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

ANZ450>455-040430-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1017 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING NOW OR HAVE
  OCCURRED. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY
  WEDNESDAY...WHEN DENSE FOG MAY FORM. HOWEVER, SEAS WILL REMAIN
  ELEVATED. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN WEDNESDAY WITH POSSIBLE GALE
  FORCE WESTERLY GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT AFTER 3 PM. A GALE WARNING
  IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR ISSUANCE AT 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
  COVER LATE WEDNESDAYS STRONG WEST WIND BURST.

* WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT 
  THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY 
  10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 10 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...A GALE WARNING MAY BE ISSUED AT 330 PM WHICH WOULD
  ALSO INCLUDE AT LEAST LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
DRAG
042 
WHUS71 KPHI 032025
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

ANZ454-455-040930-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0001.170103T2025Z-170104T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.170103T2300Z-170104T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM
EST WEDNESDAY AND REPLACES THE PREVIOUS WIND RELATED SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS DENSE
FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. IN
ADDITION...A GALE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF DELAWARE.

* TIMING...SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING
  EVEN THOUGH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED. GALE FORCE WESTERLY GUSTS OF
  35 TO 40 KT ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 3 PM.

* WINDS...LIGHT WESTERLY INCREASING TO NEAR GALE FORCE LATE
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

* VISIBILITY...LOWERING BELOW A MILE THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ452-453-040930-
/O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0001.170103T2025Z-170104T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.170103T2300Z-170104T0900Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EST
THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED WITH REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WIND RELATED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. IN ADDITION...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

* TIMING...SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING
  EVEN THOUGH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED. GALE FORCE WESTERLY GUSTS OF
  35 TO 40 KT ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 3 PM.

* WINDS...LIGHT NORTHEAST BECOMING WESTERLY THIS EVENING AND THEN
  WESTERLY WEDNESDAY WITH LATE AFTERNOON GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT. 

* SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET.

* VISIBILITY...LOWERING BELOW A MILE THIS EVENING.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-040930-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.170103T2300Z-170104T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EST
THURSDAY. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS DENSE
FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
  NEW JERSEY.

* TIMING...THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY
  WEDNESDAY...WHEN DENSE FOG MAY FORM. HOWEVER... SEAS WILL REMAIN
  ELEVATED. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN WEDNESDAY WITH GALE FORCE
  WESTERLY GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT AFTER 3 PM. 

* WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT
  DIMINISHING THIS EVENING AND BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST. WINDS
  ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE WESTERLY WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT OR HIGHER,
  LIKELY BEGINNING LATE IN THE DAY.

* SEAS...5 TO 10 FEET.

* VISIBILITY...LOWERING BELOW A MILE THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-040930-
/O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.170103T2300Z-170104T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A DENSE
FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A
GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* VISIBILITY...LOWERING BELOW A MILE THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...WESTERLY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS OF 35
  TO 40 KT BEGINNING DURING MID OR LATE AFTERNOON.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
881 
WHUS71 KPHI 040822
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017



ANZ454-455-042130-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T0900Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.SW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T2000Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF DELAWARE.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON
  THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-451-042130-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T0900Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T2000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
3 AM EST THURSDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL 
  NEW JERSEY.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON
  THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ452-453-042130-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T0900Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.SW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T2000Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
3 AM EST THURSDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS
HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON
  THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-042130-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T0900Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...UP TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON
  THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 1, 12:20 PM EST, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 12:20 PM EST, 3 hours 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1220 PM EST Sun Jan 1 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds over our area through this afternoon before
shifting into New England later tonight. A warm front is expected to
lift north through our region Monday. As low pressure tracks across
the Great Lakes region, an associated cold front will slide through
our region Wednesday morning. At the end of this week, low pressure
will lift from the Southeastern U.S. offshore to the northeast.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A climate section has been added below as 2016 was within the top
10 warmest years on record for our four main climate sites.

An upper-level trough axis is northeast of our region at Midday with
surface high pressure building in. A northwesterly wind has
increased and become a bit gusty for some areas, however this is
expected to diminish by late afternoon since high pressure is
building in.

The 12z Sterling, VA RAOB shows a pronounced subsidence inversion
between 700 MB and 850 MB with a narrow moist layer just under the
inversion. This is resulting in some patches of stratocumulus
hanging on. Otherwise, some high level clouds will move across
the area especially the southern zones associated with a southern
stream system.

Temperatures have jumped in the past few hours given sunshine and
better mixing. The hourly temperature grids were adjusted to
account for this, and the high temperatures were bumped up some
more for much of the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/...
Tonight, an area of low pres will move twd the area from the s and
w. Its assocd wmfnt will approach durg the overnight hours, but not
make it thru until Mon.  There will be some precip out ahead of the
front.  Guid has slowed down the onset of the precip.  However temps
will be cold enough tonight n and central for freezing rain.  The
big question is onset time.  The GFS is faster than the ECMWF.  If
the ECMWF is correct, there would be little, if any precip in the
places where temps are cold enough before daybreak.  If the GFS is
correct, there would be some very light qpf possible in the coldest
locations.  For now, will keep some schc pops and low chc.  The
highest pops are where temps support all rain.

Due to the uncertainty (and low pops), no headlines will be
initiated attm.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Monday...The big question tomorrow will be how quickly the warm
front lifts through the region. Models were slightly slower with
the progress of the front (as compared to yesterdays runs), but
also trended drier ahead of the front. As mentioned in the short
term section, model soundings depict precip as either rain or
freezing rain (depending on surface temperatures) as there is a
rather deep warm layer aloft. However, even in higher terrain,
the warming trend behind the front should be pronounced enough to
support all rain.

Monday night and Tuesday...precipitation (all in the form of rain
thanks to our region being situated in the warm sector) will
continue for much of the period, although some models are
depicting a dry slot developing as early as Tuesday morning
generally for areas near and south of Philly. Temperature wise,
Monday evening the warming trend will continue with temps steady
or even increasing from the day time highs. By Tuesday, highs will
be 15 to 20 degrees above normal, ranging from the mid 40s to
lower 60s.

Wednesday...Models have come into better agreement with the
timing of the cold front, now expected to sweep through our region
by mid to late morning. As mentioned by the previous shift, this
would mean that our highs for the day will likely be reached very
shortly after sunrise, with temps falling through the rest of the
day.

Thursday through Saturday...the polar air mass should stay over
the region through the remainder of the week, keeping our
temperatures about 5 to 10 degrees below normal through this
period. For locations along and northwest of the fall line, this
could mean at least 3 days of sub freezing temperatures. As for
the coastal low that we first discussed yesterday, there seems to
be a bit better agreement (both among the different models and
better run to run consistency) on the track of the low (though
models have sped up the development of this low). However, even
the more minor differences between the track, still mean some
major differences as far as impacts to our region. The GFS which
depicts a further off shore track would result in colder, but
generally dry (except right at the coast) conditions for us. While
the ECMWF, which is actually showing a double barreled low make a
slightly closer approach to the coast, could mean milder, but
snowier conditions for most if not all of the region. For now,
have stayed close to the previous forecast and a blend of model
guidance.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

This Afternoon...VFR. Northwest winds 10-15 knots, diminishing by
late afternoon. The winds should turn more northerly toward early
evening.

Tonight...VFR with increasing clouds overnight. A ceiling around
5000 feet is anticipated to develop after 06z from south to north.
Some light rain may develop toward daybreak mainly south of a line
from RDG to PHL to ACY. Light northeasterly winds.

Monday...VFR/MVFR ceilings lowering to IFR during the day from
south to north. Areas of rain will overspread the area especially
from RDG to TTN on south and east. The steadier rain should be in
the MIV and ACY regions. The visibilities will also lower during
the day. Some light freezing rain/drizzle is possible in the RDG
to ABE areas if it arrives fast enough before temperatures rise
above freezing by mid to late morning. Northeasterly winds
increasing to near 10 knots.

Outlook...
Monday night Tuesday...IFR ceilings, possibly LIFR for parts of the
region. Visibilities as low as IFR will be possible with heavier
rain.

Wednesday...Conditions should improve to VFR behind a cold front
which will move through either very late Tuesday night or Wednesday
morning. The cold front will also bring an abrupt shift to breezy
northwesterly winds.

Thursday...Mostly VFR conditions expected. Breezy west
northwesterly winds continue.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure at the surface continues to build in over our area
today. This will lessen the winds through the afternoon and the seas
continue to subside. The conditions are expected to remain below
advisory criteria through tonight.

Outlook...
Monday and Tuesday...In response to increasing on shore flow,
seas on the ocean waters may increase above 5 feet by Monday
afternoon. A brief period of 25 kt gusts are also possible,
primarily on the ocean waters.

Wednesday and Thursday...Behind a cold front which is expected
Wednesday morning, there will be an abrupt shift to West
Northwesterly winds. Gusts to 30 kt are likely and there is a
chance of gale force gusts primarily Wednesday afternoon and
Wednesday evening on the Ocean waters.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Another year in the books and it looks like we have another top 10
warmest year on record for our climate locations.

Both Philadelphia and Allentown ranked as their 2nd warmest year on
record with Wilmington coming in at #6 and Atlantic City in at #7.

Of further note in Philadelphia, 7 of the top 10 warmest years on
record have occurred since the year 2000. Of the 3 remaining years,
2 occurred in the 1990s.

Here are the top 10 warmest years on record for each climate site:

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

1.  58.9   2012
2.  58.4   2016*
3.  58.2   1931
3.  58.2   1998
5.  58.1   1991
6.  57.8   2015
6.  57.8   2011
8.  57.7   2010
9.  57.6   2006
9.  57.6   2002

Allentown, Pennsylvania

1.  54.6   2012
2.  54.3   2016*
3.  54.1   1998
4.  54.0   1991
4.  54.0   1990
6.  53.7   1949
7.  53.6   2006
8.  53.3   2011
9.  53.0   1973
10. 52.9   1953

Atlantic City, New Jersey

1.  57.2   2011
2.  57.1   2012
3.  56.6   1953
4.  56.5   1949
5.  56.4   2006
6.  56.3   2010
7.  56.2   2016*
8.  56.0   1998
9.  55.9   1931
10. 55.7   1952

Wilmington, Delaware

1.  57.5   2012
2.  57.2   1973
3.  57.0   1990
4.  56.9   1998
4.  56.9   1991
6.  56.7   2016*
7.  56.4   2011
8.  56.3   2006
9.  56.2   2010
10. 56.0   1953

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...Johnson
Near Term...Gorse
Short Term...Nierenberg
Long Term...Johnson
Aviation...Gorse/Johnson
Marine...Gorse/Johnson
Climate...Meola
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 3:47 AM EST, 11 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101-103-105-106-020900-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH
TOTAL ICE GLAZE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...EVEN A LIGHT GLAZE IS
ENOUGH TO CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN COULD LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING, AND INTO
MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE SOUTHERN POCONOS
AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ013-019>022-027-020900-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH
ANY ICE GLAZE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...EVEN A LIGHT GLAZE CAN
CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ014-016>018-023>026-PAZ070-071-
102-104-020900-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-020900-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS ON THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 1, 3:15 PM ESTFreezing Rain AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Hunterdon and 9 more23 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2017Every small craft advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.