Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2017
Small Craft Advisory 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Jan 1, 2017, 3:38 PM EST. It took effect at Jan 2, 2017, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 39 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 1, 2017, 3:38 PM EST (20:38 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 2, 2017, 12:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 4, 2017, 3:22 AM EST
- In force
- 39 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
The text
As transmitted.
132 WHUS71 KPHI 012038 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 338 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ANZ450>455-020930- /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.170102T1700Z-170103T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 338 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW WILL BUILD THE SEAS AT AND ABOVE 5 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ431-020930- /O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.170102T1700Z-170103T0300Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 338 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 10 PM EST MONDAY. * LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. * TIMING...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER MONDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
8 follow-up statements
465 WHUS71 KPHI 020855 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 355 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ANZ450>455-022200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.170102T1700Z-170103T2300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 355 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. * WINDS...EAST...SHIFTING TO EAST NORTHEAST LATE TODAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ431-022200- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.170102T1700Z-170103T0300Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 355 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AROUND 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET. * TIMING...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
454 WHUS71 KPHI 030228 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 928 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ANZ450>455-031100- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T1100Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 928 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. * WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ431-031000- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T1000Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 928 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
631 WHUS71 KPHI 030828 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 328 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ANZ450>455-032130- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 328 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY, THOUGH SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. WINDS MAY PICK UP AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * OUTLOOK...THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ431-031200- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T1200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 328 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. * SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
763 WHUS71 KPHI 031016 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 516 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ANZ431-031130- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T1200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 516 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW SCA CRITERIA AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING. $$ ANZ450>455-032330- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 516 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY... THOUGH SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. WINDS MAY PICK UP AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET. * OUTLOOK...THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
833 WHUS71 KPHI 031018 CCA MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 518 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ANZ431-031130- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170103T1200Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 518 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE DROPPED BELOW SCA CRITERIA AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING. $$ ANZ450>455-032230- /O.COR.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 518 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATION...THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY... THOUGH SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. WINDS MAY PICK UP AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KT. * SEAS...5 TO 9 FEET. * OUTLOOK...THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
199 WHUS71 KPHI 031517 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1017 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ANZ450>455-040430- /O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 1017 AM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE. * TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE OCCURRING NOW OR HAVE OCCURRED. THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...WHEN DENSE FOG MAY FORM. HOWEVER, SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN WEDNESDAY WITH POSSIBLE GALE FORCE WESTERLY GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT AFTER 3 PM. A GALE WARNING IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR ISSUANCE AT 330 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO COVER LATE WEDNESDAYS STRONG WEST WIND BURST. * WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KT. * SEAS...6 TO 10 FEET. * OUTLOOK...A GALE WARNING MAY BE ISSUED AT 330 PM WHICH WOULD ALSO INCLUDE AT LEAST LOWER DELAWARE BAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ DRAG
042 WHUS71 KPHI 032025 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ANZ454-455-040930- /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0001.170103T2025Z-170104T2000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.170103T2300Z-170104T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY AND REPLACES THE PREVIOUS WIND RELATED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...A GALE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF DELAWARE. * TIMING...SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING EVEN THOUGH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED. GALE FORCE WESTERLY GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 3 PM. * WINDS...LIGHT WESTERLY INCREASING TO NEAR GALE FORCE LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. * SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET. * VISIBILITY...LOWERING BELOW A MILE THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ ANZ452-453-040930- /O.UPG.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170105T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.SW.Y.0001.170103T2025Z-170104T2000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.170103T2300Z-170104T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- 325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EST THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED WITH REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WIND RELATED SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. IN ADDITION...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * TIMING...SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING EVEN THOUGH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED. GALE FORCE WESTERLY GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 3 PM. * WINDS...LIGHT NORTHEAST BECOMING WESTERLY THIS EVENING AND THEN WESTERLY WEDNESDAY WITH LATE AFTERNOON GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT. * SEAS...4 TO 8 FEET. * VISIBILITY...LOWERING BELOW A MILE THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450-451-040930- /O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T2000Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.170103T2300Z-170104T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM EST THURSDAY. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * TIMING...THERE WILL BE A LULL IN THE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...WHEN DENSE FOG MAY FORM. HOWEVER... SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN WEDNESDAY WITH GALE FORCE WESTERLY GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT AFTER 3 PM. * WINDS...EAST NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT DIMINISHING THIS EVENING AND BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST. WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE WESTERLY WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT OR HIGHER, LIKELY BEGINNING LATE IN THE DAY. * SEAS...5 TO 10 FEET. * VISIBILITY...LOWERING BELOW A MILE THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-040930- /O.NEW.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.170103T2300Z-170104T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 325 PM EST TUE JAN 3 2017 ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY. A GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. * LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY. * VISIBILITY...LOWERING BELOW A MILE THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WESTERLY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT BEGINNING DURING MID OR LATE AFTERNOON. * SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$
881 WHUS71 KPHI 040822 MWWPHI URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017 ANZ454-455-042130- /O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T0900Z/ /O.CAN.KPHI.SW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T2000Z/ /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF DELAWARE. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ450-451-042130- /O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T0900Z/ /O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T2000Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM EST THURSDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ452-453-042130- /O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T0900Z/ /O.CAN.KPHI.SW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T2000Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0800Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- 322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM EST THURSDAY... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ ANZ430-431-042130- /O.CAN.KPHI.MF.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170104T0900Z/ /O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.GL.W.0001.170104T2000Z-170105T0500Z/ DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 322 AM EST WED JAN 4 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. * SEAS...UP TO 4 FEET. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE QUICKLY BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 1, 12:20 PM EST, 3 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 12:20 PM EST, 3 hours 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1220 PM EST Sun Jan 1 2017 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure builds over our area through this afternoon before shifting into New England later tonight. A warm front is expected to lift north through our region Monday. As low pressure tracks across the Great Lakes region, an associated cold front will slide through our region Wednesday morning. At the end of this week, low pressure will lift from the Southeastern U.S. offshore to the northeast. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A climate section has been added below as 2016 was within the top 10 warmest years on record for our four main climate sites. An upper-level trough axis is northeast of our region at Midday with surface high pressure building in. A northwesterly wind has increased and become a bit gusty for some areas, however this is expected to diminish by late afternoon since high pressure is building in. The 12z Sterling, VA RAOB shows a pronounced subsidence inversion between 700 MB and 850 MB with a narrow moist layer just under the inversion. This is resulting in some patches of stratocumulus hanging on. Otherwise, some high level clouds will move across the area especially the southern zones associated with a southern stream system. Temperatures have jumped in the past few hours given sunshine and better mixing. The hourly temperature grids were adjusted to account for this, and the high temperatures were bumped up some more for much of the area. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/... Tonight, an area of low pres will move twd the area from the s and w. Its assocd wmfnt will approach durg the overnight hours, but not make it thru until Mon. There will be some precip out ahead of the front. Guid has slowed down the onset of the precip. However temps will be cold enough tonight n and central for freezing rain. The big question is onset time. The GFS is faster than the ECMWF. If the ECMWF is correct, there would be little, if any precip in the places where temps are cold enough before daybreak. If the GFS is correct, there would be some very light qpf possible in the coldest locations. For now, will keep some schc pops and low chc. The highest pops are where temps support all rain. Due to the uncertainty (and low pops), no headlines will be initiated attm. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Monday...The big question tomorrow will be how quickly the warm front lifts through the region. Models were slightly slower with the progress of the front (as compared to yesterdays runs), but also trended drier ahead of the front. As mentioned in the short term section, model soundings depict precip as either rain or freezing rain (depending on surface temperatures) as there is a rather deep warm layer aloft. However, even in higher terrain, the warming trend behind the front should be pronounced enough to support all rain. Monday night and Tuesday...precipitation (all in the form of rain thanks to our region being situated in the warm sector) will continue for much of the period, although some models are depicting a dry slot developing as early as Tuesday morning generally for areas near and south of Philly. Temperature wise, Monday evening the warming trend will continue with temps steady or even increasing from the day time highs. By Tuesday, highs will be 15 to 20 degrees above normal, ranging from the mid 40s to lower 60s. Wednesday...Models have come into better agreement with the timing of the cold front, now expected to sweep through our region by mid to late morning. As mentioned by the previous shift, this would mean that our highs for the day will likely be reached very shortly after sunrise, with temps falling through the rest of the day. Thursday through Saturday...the polar air mass should stay over the region through the remainder of the week, keeping our temperatures about 5 to 10 degrees below normal through this period. For locations along and northwest of the fall line, this could mean at least 3 days of sub freezing temperatures. As for the coastal low that we first discussed yesterday, there seems to be a bit better agreement (both among the different models and better run to run consistency) on the track of the low (though models have sped up the development of this low). However, even the more minor differences between the track, still mean some major differences as far as impacts to our region. The GFS which depicts a further off shore track would result in colder, but generally dry (except right at the coast) conditions for us. While the ECMWF, which is actually showing a double barreled low make a slightly closer approach to the coast, could mean milder, but snowier conditions for most if not all of the region. For now, have stayed close to the previous forecast and a blend of model guidance. && .AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas. This Afternoon...VFR. Northwest winds 10-15 knots, diminishing by late afternoon. The winds should turn more northerly toward early evening. Tonight...VFR with increasing clouds overnight. A ceiling around 5000 feet is anticipated to develop after 06z from south to north. Some light rain may develop toward daybreak mainly south of a line from RDG to PHL to ACY. Light northeasterly winds. Monday...VFR/MVFR ceilings lowering to IFR during the day from south to north. Areas of rain will overspread the area especially from RDG to TTN on south and east. The steadier rain should be in the MIV and ACY regions. The visibilities will also lower during the day. Some light freezing rain/drizzle is possible in the RDG to ABE areas if it arrives fast enough before temperatures rise above freezing by mid to late morning. Northeasterly winds increasing to near 10 knots. Outlook... Monday night Tuesday...IFR ceilings, possibly LIFR for parts of the region. Visibilities as low as IFR will be possible with heavier rain. Wednesday...Conditions should improve to VFR behind a cold front which will move through either very late Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. The cold front will also bring an abrupt shift to breezy northwesterly winds. Thursday...Mostly VFR conditions expected. Breezy west northwesterly winds continue. && .MARINE... High pressure at the surface continues to build in over our area today. This will lessen the winds through the afternoon and the seas continue to subside. The conditions are expected to remain below advisory criteria through tonight. Outlook... Monday and Tuesday...In response to increasing on shore flow, seas on the ocean waters may increase above 5 feet by Monday afternoon. A brief period of 25 kt gusts are also possible, primarily on the ocean waters. Wednesday and Thursday...Behind a cold front which is expected Wednesday morning, there will be an abrupt shift to West Northwesterly winds. Gusts to 30 kt are likely and there is a chance of gale force gusts primarily Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday evening on the Ocean waters. && .CLIMATE... Another year in the books and it looks like we have another top 10 warmest year on record for our climate locations. Both Philadelphia and Allentown ranked as their 2nd warmest year on record with Wilmington coming in at #6 and Atlantic City in at #7. Of further note in Philadelphia, 7 of the top 10 warmest years on record have occurred since the year 2000. Of the 3 remaining years, 2 occurred in the 1990s. Here are the top 10 warmest years on record for each climate site: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 1. 58.9 2012 2. 58.4 2016* 3. 58.2 1931 3. 58.2 1998 5. 58.1 1991 6. 57.8 2015 6. 57.8 2011 8. 57.7 2010 9. 57.6 2006 9. 57.6 2002 Allentown, Pennsylvania 1. 54.6 2012 2. 54.3 2016* 3. 54.1 1998 4. 54.0 1991 4. 54.0 1990 6. 53.7 1949 7. 53.6 2006 8. 53.3 2011 9. 53.0 1973 10. 52.9 1953 Atlantic City, New Jersey 1. 57.2 2011 2. 57.1 2012 3. 56.6 1953 4. 56.5 1949 5. 56.4 2006 6. 56.3 2010 7. 56.2 2016* 8. 56.0 1998 9. 55.9 1931 10. 55.7 1952 Wilmington, Delaware 1. 57.5 2012 2. 57.2 1973 3. 57.0 1990 4. 56.9 1998 4. 56.9 1991 6. 56.7 2016* 7. 56.4 2011 8. 56.3 2006 9. 56.2 2010 10. 56.0 1953 && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None. MARINE...None. && Synopsis...Johnson Near Term...Gorse Short Term...Nierenberg Long Term...Johnson Aviation...Gorse/Johnson Marine...Gorse/Johnson Climate...Meola
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 3:47 AM EST, 11 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101-103-105-106-020900- SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON- MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY- UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH TOTAL ICE GLAZE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...EVEN A LIGHT GLAZE IS ENOUGH TO CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN COULD LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING, AND INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE SOUTHERN POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ013-019>022-027-020900- WESTERN MONMOUTH-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH ANY ICE GLAZE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...EVEN A LIGHT GLAZE CAN CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ014-016>018-023>026-PAZ070-071- 102-104-020900- NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY- 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-450>455-020900- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS ON THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 3:15 PM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Hunterdon and 9 more | 23 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2017Every small craft advisory in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.