Alert archive / New Jersey / Freezing Rain Advisories in 2017
Freezing Rain Advisory 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this freezing rain advisory at Jan 1, 2017, 3:15 PM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Jan 2, 2017, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 1, 2017, 3:15 PM EST (20:15 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 2, 2017, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 2, 2017, 2:00 PM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
All 27 counties
New Castle County, DE, Cecil County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1331 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 79 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 173 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 258 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
439 WWUS41 KPHI 012015 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 315 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 NJZ007-PAZ060>062-021000- /O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1100Z-170102T1500Z/ WARREN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...READING...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 315 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 600 AM UNTIL 1000 AM MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...BERKS COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA...AND WARREN COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TOWARD DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. INITIALLY, THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FREEZE ON UNTREATED SURFACES. TEMPERATURES ARE THEN ANTICIPATED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30 DEGREES NEAR DAYBREAK ON MONDAY RISING INTO THE MIDDLE 30S BY MIDDAY. * IMPACTS...THE FREEZING RAIN MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS MAY BECOME ICE COVERED AND SLIPPERY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-021000- /O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1300Z-170102T1900Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 315 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 2 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 800 AM UNTIL 200 PM MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE POCONO REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA...AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TOWARD DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE QUICKLY TO FREEZING RAIN. THE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY MID AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S NEAR DAYBREAK ON MONDAY RISING INTO THE MIDDLE 30S BY MID AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...THE FREEZING RAIN MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS MAY BECOME ICE COVERED AND SLIPPERY. * OUTLOOK...ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY IN THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ IOVINO
7 follow-up statements
006 WWUS41 KPHI 020216 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 916 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>022-027-PAZ070-071-101>106-021300- /O.EXB.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T0900Z-170102T1300Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE- PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY- EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE... GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY... JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA... PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER... KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN... LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 916 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 8 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 400 AM UNTIL 800 AM MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IN SPOTS. * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TOWARD DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. INITIALLY...THE RAIN MAY FREEZE ON UNTREATED SURFACES AT SOME LOCATIONS ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM HIGHLY URBANIZED AREAS. TEMPERATURES ARE THEN ANTICIPATED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING THROUGHOUT THE REGION DURING THE COURSE OF THE EARLY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S NEAR DAYBREAK ON MONDAY RISING INTO THE LOWER 40S BY MIDDAY. * IMPACTS...THE FREEZING RAIN MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AT SOME LOCATIONS. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS MAY BECOME ICE COVERED AND SLIPPERY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ008>010-012-013-015-021300- /O.EXA.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1100Z-170102T1500Z/ MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE... NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON 916 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 600 AM UNTIL 1000 AM MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TOWARD DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. INITIALLY...THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FREEZE ON UNTREATED SURFACES. TEMPERATURES ARE THEN ANTICIPATED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S NEAR DAYBREAK ON MONDAY RISING INTO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 30S BY MIDDAY. * IMPACTS...THE FREEZING RAIN MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS MAY BECOME ICE COVERED AND SLIPPERY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ007-PAZ060>062-021300- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1100Z-170102T1500Z/ WARREN-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...READING...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 916 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 AM EST MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...BERKS COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA...AND WARREN COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TIMING...LIGHT RAIN IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TOWARD DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. INITIALLY...THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO FREEZE ON UNTREATED SURFACES. TEMPERATURES ARE THEN ANTICIPATED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S NEAR DAYBREAK ON MONDAY RISING INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S BY MIDDAY. * IMPACTS...THE FREEZING RAIN MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS MAY BECOME ICE COVERED AND SLIPPERY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-021300- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1300Z-170102T1900Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 916 PM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 2 PM EST MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE POCONO REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA...AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TIMING...LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TOWARD DAYBREAK ON MONDAY. THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE QUICKLY TO FREEZING RAIN. THE LIGHT FREEZING RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS... ESPECIALLY IN THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY MID AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MIDDLE 20S NEAR DAYBREAK ON MONDAY RISING INTO THE MIDDLE 30S BY MID AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...THE FREEZING RAIN MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. UNTREATED ROADS AND WALKWAYS MAY BECOME ICE COVERED AND SLIPPERY. * OUTLOOK...ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...MAINLY IN THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ IOVINO
159 WWUS41 KPHI 020911 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 411 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016-021-PAZ070-071-021015- /O.CAN.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1300Z/ NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-CUMBERLAND-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE... MILLVILLE...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA 411 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND CONTINUE TO RISE. THEREFORE, FREEZING RAIN IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED, SO THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ PAZ060-021300- /O.EXT.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T0911Z-170102T1300Z/ BERKS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...READING 411 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...BERKS COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA...AND WARREN COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND A TRACE TO A HUNDREDTH OR TWO. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ007>010-012-013-015-PAZ061-062-021500- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1100Z-170102T1500Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- MERCER-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 411 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S INTO THE MID 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-021900- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1300Z-170102T1900Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 411 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...THE POCONO REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA...AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S WILL SLOWLY RISE INTO THE 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. * OUTLOOK...ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...MAINLY IN THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ017>020-022-027-PAZ101>106-021300- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1300Z/ GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-ATLANTIC- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL... MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...HAMMONTON... WHARTON STATE FOREST...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER... KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN... LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 411 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHERN DELAWARE... SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IN SPOTS. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S WILL RISE INTO THE MID 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
124 WWUS41 KPHI 021015 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 515 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 NJZ017>019-022-027-021115- /O.CAN.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1300Z/ GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-ATLANTIC- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL... MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...HAMMONTON...WHARTON STATE FOREST 515 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND CONTINUE TO RISE, THEREFORE NO FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED. AS A RESULT THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NJZ007>010-012-013-015-PAZ061-062-021500- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1100Z-170102T1500Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- MERCER-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...ALLENTOWN... BETHLEHEM...EASTON 515 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...PARTS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE FROM THE LOWER 30S INTO THE MID 30S AND UPPER BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-021900- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1300Z-170102T1900Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 515 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...THE POCONO REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA...AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S WILL SLOWLY RISE INTO THE 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. * OUTLOOK...ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...MAINLY IN THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ020-PAZ060-101>106-021300- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1300Z/ OCEAN-BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY- EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACKSON...READING...HONEY BROOK... OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE... POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE... MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 515 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IN SPOTS. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S WILL RISE INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
682 WWUS41 KPHI 021121 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 621 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 NJZ020-PAZ102-104-106-021230- /O.CAN.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1300Z/ OCEAN-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACKSON...WEST CHESTER... KENNETT SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 621 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND CONTINUE TO RISE. FREEZING RAIN IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEREFORE, THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NJZ013-015-021230- /O.CAN.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1500Z/ WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...TRENTON 621 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND CONTINUE TO RISE. FREEZING RAIN IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEREFORE, THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ NJZ007>010-012-PAZ061-062-021500- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1500Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON 621 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE FROM THE LOWER 30S INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-021900- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.170102T1300Z-170102T1900Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 621 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...THE POCONO REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA...AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S WILL SLOWLY RISE INTO THE 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. * OUTLOOK...ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...MAINLY IN THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ PAZ060-101-103-105-021300- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1300Z/ BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...READING...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD... COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT...PERKASIE 621 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPE...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IN SPOTS. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S WILL RISE INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S BY LATHER THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
099 WWUS41 KPHI 021302 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 802 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 NJZ012-021415- /O.CAN.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1500Z/ MIDDLESEX- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEW BRUNSWICK 802 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S AND NO ICING IS EXPECTED. $$ PAZ060-101-103-105-021500- /O.EXT.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1500Z/ BERKS-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...READING...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD... COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT...PERKASIE 802 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPE...POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH IN SPOTS. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S WILL RISE INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S BY LATHER THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ007>010-PAZ061-062-021500- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1500Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON 802 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * LOCATIONS...PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE FROM THE LOWER 30S INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-021900- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1900Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 802 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...THE POCONO REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA...AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S WILL SLOWLY RISE INTO THE 30S BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. * OUTLOOK...ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...MAINLY IN THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
548 WWUS41 KPHI 021457 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 957 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 NJZ007>010-PAZ060>062-101-103-105-021600- /O.CAN.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1500Z/ WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON... SOMERVILLE...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON... HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...CHALFONT... PERKASIE 957 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES IN MOST AREAS HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING...ALTHOUGH A FEW ISOLATED POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE MAY PERSIST FOR A WHILE LONGER. $$ NJZ001-PAZ054-055-021900- /O.CON.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1900Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 957 AM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * LOCATIONS...MAINLY HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN CARBON AND MONROE COUNTIES IN PENNSYLVANIA...AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY. * HAZARD TYPE...FREEZING RAIN. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A LIGHT GLAZE OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOW 30S WILL SLOWLY RISE THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...ICING MAY CREATE SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS AND PRODUCE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN MAY CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
278 WWUS41 KPHI 021905 WSWPHI URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 205 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017 NJZ001-PAZ054-055-022015- /O.EXP.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170102T1900Z/ SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG 205 PM EST MON JAN 2 2017 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... PRECIPITATION HAS MOSTLY ENDED BUT TEMPERATURES REMAIN AT OR BELOW FREEZING AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A FEW ICY SPOTS ON ROADWAYS ARE STILL POSSIBLE. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this freezing rain advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this freezing rain advisory went out at Jan 1, 12:20 PM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 12:20 PM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1220 PM EST Sun Jan 1 2017 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure builds over our area through this afternoon before shifting into New England later tonight. A warm front is expected to lift north through our region Monday. As low pressure tracks across the Great Lakes region, an associated cold front will slide through our region Wednesday morning. At the end of this week, low pressure will lift from the Southeastern U.S. offshore to the northeast. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A climate section has been added below as 2016 was within the top 10 warmest years on record for our four main climate sites. An upper-level trough axis is northeast of our region at Midday with surface high pressure building in. A northwesterly wind has increased and become a bit gusty for some areas, however this is expected to diminish by late afternoon since high pressure is building in. The 12z Sterling, VA RAOB shows a pronounced subsidence inversion between 700 MB and 850 MB with a narrow moist layer just under the inversion. This is resulting in some patches of stratocumulus hanging on. Otherwise, some high level clouds will move across the area especially the southern zones associated with a southern stream system. Temperatures have jumped in the past few hours given sunshine and better mixing. The hourly temperature grids were adjusted to account for this, and the high temperatures were bumped up some more for much of the area. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY/... Tonight, an area of low pres will move twd the area from the s and w. Its assocd wmfnt will approach durg the overnight hours, but not make it thru until Mon. There will be some precip out ahead of the front. Guid has slowed down the onset of the precip. However temps will be cold enough tonight n and central for freezing rain. The big question is onset time. The GFS is faster than the ECMWF. If the ECMWF is correct, there would be little, if any precip in the places where temps are cold enough before daybreak. If the GFS is correct, there would be some very light qpf possible in the coldest locations. For now, will keep some schc pops and low chc. The highest pops are where temps support all rain. Due to the uncertainty (and low pops), no headlines will be initiated attm. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Monday...The big question tomorrow will be how quickly the warm front lifts through the region. Models were slightly slower with the progress of the front (as compared to yesterdays runs), but also trended drier ahead of the front. As mentioned in the short term section, model soundings depict precip as either rain or freezing rain (depending on surface temperatures) as there is a rather deep warm layer aloft. However, even in higher terrain, the warming trend behind the front should be pronounced enough to support all rain. Monday night and Tuesday...precipitation (all in the form of rain thanks to our region being situated in the warm sector) will continue for much of the period, although some models are depicting a dry slot developing as early as Tuesday morning generally for areas near and south of Philly. Temperature wise, Monday evening the warming trend will continue with temps steady or even increasing from the day time highs. By Tuesday, highs will be 15 to 20 degrees above normal, ranging from the mid 40s to lower 60s. Wednesday...Models have come into better agreement with the timing of the cold front, now expected to sweep through our region by mid to late morning. As mentioned by the previous shift, this would mean that our highs for the day will likely be reached very shortly after sunrise, with temps falling through the rest of the day. Thursday through Saturday...the polar air mass should stay over the region through the remainder of the week, keeping our temperatures about 5 to 10 degrees below normal through this period. For locations along and northwest of the fall line, this could mean at least 3 days of sub freezing temperatures. As for the coastal low that we first discussed yesterday, there seems to be a bit better agreement (both among the different models and better run to run consistency) on the track of the low (though models have sped up the development of this low). However, even the more minor differences between the track, still mean some major differences as far as impacts to our region. The GFS which depicts a further off shore track would result in colder, but generally dry (except right at the coast) conditions for us. While the ECMWF, which is actually showing a double barreled low make a slightly closer approach to the coast, could mean milder, but snowier conditions for most if not all of the region. For now, have stayed close to the previous forecast and a blend of model guidance. && .AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas. This Afternoon...VFR. Northwest winds 10-15 knots, diminishing by late afternoon. The winds should turn more northerly toward early evening. Tonight...VFR with increasing clouds overnight. A ceiling around 5000 feet is anticipated to develop after 06z from south to north. Some light rain may develop toward daybreak mainly south of a line from RDG to PHL to ACY. Light northeasterly winds. Monday...VFR/MVFR ceilings lowering to IFR during the day from south to north. Areas of rain will overspread the area especially from RDG to TTN on south and east. The steadier rain should be in the MIV and ACY regions. The visibilities will also lower during the day. Some light freezing rain/drizzle is possible in the RDG to ABE areas if it arrives fast enough before temperatures rise above freezing by mid to late morning. Northeasterly winds increasing to near 10 knots. Outlook... Monday night Tuesday...IFR ceilings, possibly LIFR for parts of the region. Visibilities as low as IFR will be possible with heavier rain. Wednesday...Conditions should improve to VFR behind a cold front which will move through either very late Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. The cold front will also bring an abrupt shift to breezy northwesterly winds. Thursday...Mostly VFR conditions expected. Breezy west northwesterly winds continue. && .MARINE... High pressure at the surface continues to build in over our area today. This will lessen the winds through the afternoon and the seas continue to subside. The conditions are expected to remain below advisory criteria through tonight. Outlook... Monday and Tuesday...In response to increasing on shore flow, seas on the ocean waters may increase above 5 feet by Monday afternoon. A brief period of 25 kt gusts are also possible, primarily on the ocean waters. Wednesday and Thursday...Behind a cold front which is expected Wednesday morning, there will be an abrupt shift to West Northwesterly winds. Gusts to 30 kt are likely and there is a chance of gale force gusts primarily Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday evening on the Ocean waters. && .CLIMATE... Another year in the books and it looks like we have another top 10 warmest year on record for our climate locations. Both Philadelphia and Allentown ranked as their 2nd warmest year on record with Wilmington coming in at #6 and Atlantic City in at #7. Of further note in Philadelphia, 7 of the top 10 warmest years on record have occurred since the year 2000. Of the 3 remaining years, 2 occurred in the 1990s. Here are the top 10 warmest years on record for each climate site: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 1. 58.9 2012 2. 58.4 2016* 3. 58.2 1931 3. 58.2 1998 5. 58.1 1991 6. 57.8 2015 6. 57.8 2011 8. 57.7 2010 9. 57.6 2006 9. 57.6 2002 Allentown, Pennsylvania 1. 54.6 2012 2. 54.3 2016* 3. 54.1 1998 4. 54.0 1991 4. 54.0 1990 6. 53.7 1949 7. 53.6 2006 8. 53.3 2011 9. 53.0 1973 10. 52.9 1953 Atlantic City, New Jersey 1. 57.2 2011 2. 57.1 2012 3. 56.6 1953 4. 56.5 1949 5. 56.4 2006 6. 56.3 2010 7. 56.2 2016* 8. 56.0 1998 9. 55.9 1931 10. 55.7 1952 Wilmington, Delaware 1. 57.5 2012 2. 57.2 1973 3. 57.0 1990 4. 56.9 1998 4. 56.9 1991 6. 56.7 2016* 7. 56.4 2011 8. 56.3 2006 9. 56.2 2010 10. 56.0 1953 && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None. MARINE...None. && Synopsis...Johnson Near Term...Gorse Short Term...Nierenberg Long Term...Johnson Aviation...Gorse/Johnson Marine...Gorse/Johnson Climate...Meola
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 3:47 AM EST, 11 hours 28 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-101-103-105-106-020900- SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON- MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY- UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH TOTAL ICE GLAZE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...EVEN A LIGHT GLAZE IS ENOUGH TO CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN COULD LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING, AND INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE SOUTHERN POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ013-019>022-027-020900- WESTERN MONMOUTH-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH ANY ICE GLAZE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT...EVEN A LIGHT GLAZE CAN CAUSE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ014-016>018-023>026-PAZ070-071- 102-104-020900- NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY- 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-450>455-020900- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 347 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2017 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS ON THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 3:38 PM EST | Small Craft Advisory | PHI | 60 hr |
Nearby
Freezing Rain Advisories in New Jersey, 2017Freezing Rain Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2017Freezing Rain Advisories in Maryland, 2017Every freezing rain advisory in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.