Severe Thunderstorm Warning 119, NWS Nashville, TN

631 
WWUS54 KOHX 302019
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
319 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

TNC003-117-302030-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-170430T2030Z/
Marshall TN-Bedford TN-
319 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN MARSHALL AND BEDFORD COUNTIES...

At 319 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line 
extending from Nolensville to near Shelbyville to Huntland, moving 
northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Shelbyville, Chapel Hill, Wartrace, Bell Buckle, Normandy, Rover,
Deason, Raus, Farmington, Unionville and Beechgrove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3553 8685 3570 8681 3570 8654 3564 8646
      3565 8642 3562 8640 3566 8634 3563 8624
      3541 8625 3536 8633 3535 8641 3532 8642
      3536 8649 3537 8659
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 214DEG 42KT 3586 8662 3543 8647 3508 8640 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Shamburger

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
252 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Focus for this forecast will be today as a tornado watch is in
effect until 7 pm for most of the mid state. A few of the short
term models such as the HRRR have indicated 2 waves of precip; one
being this initial line currently approaching the I-65 corridor
and the second band of precip closer to the cold front that will
pass through the area this evening and early overnight. The
initial band will be the best shot at any severe thunderstorms as
instability falls off rapidly after sunset, even with the help of
fropa later on. With the initial band, 0-1km shear is quite high,
along with decent helicity, so isolated tornadoes will be a
possibility. Overall, any strong to severe thunderstorm will have
the potential to produce damaging winds with the strong low to mid
level flow along with decent instability. Model consensus is to
drop instability quickly after 00Z as mentioned earlier, but
thunderstorms will remain possible with the next band of precip
moving through this evening and overnight.

Monday morning will have showers mainly confined to the Plateau
before skies clear out a bit from west to east. NVA isnt too
strong behind the front, so clouds may stick around a bit longer
as the upper low spins northward towards the Great Lakes. Winds
will also be strong similar to today, with wind advisory criteria
probably being met across most of the area, so may need to issue
another wind advisory for Monday mid morning through the
afternoon. As the upper low continues to migrate northward then
eastward by Wednesday, the mid state looks to stay dry Monday and
Tuesday. By Wednesday, another upper trough develops in the
Plains, and some shortwave disturbances out ahead of the trough
will provide enough lift for another round of showers and
thunderstorms Wednesday into Thursday. The ECMWF is just a bit
faster with precip along the warm front Wednesday morning, but
generally agrees with the GFS by Thursday morning. Therefore have
likely pops Wednesday night into Thursday afternoon for the mid
state.

The GFS and ECMWF differ on the upper low for the end of the work
week, as the GFS has it spinning overhead bringing continued
chances for showers, while the ECMWF has the low spin off to the
northeast. Kept in mention of showers for now on Friday and early
Saturday to lean more towards consensus. The remainder of Saturday
and Sunday are back to looking drier as upper ridging tries to
move in by the end of the weekend. The upper low may trigger a few
showers in the northeast as it travels towards New England, but
for now kept the mid state dry for Saturday afternoon through
Monday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Strong winds will continue across the region into this evening
thanks to strong gradient and mixing, but will decrease some later
this evening. Expect band of showers and storms to sweep across
Middle TN...with arrival 19-20Z CKV, 20Z BNA and after 00Z CSV.
Expect additional areas of showers and isolated storms after the
main band passes...and continuing until about 06Z CKV/BNA...but
lingering until after 12Z at CSV. Becoming VFR Monday
morning...though expect gusty winds again most of the day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      56  70  51  77  54 /  90  10   0   0  20
Clarksville    53  65  49  75  52 /  90  10  10  10  20
Crossville     59  67  47  70  50 / 100  40   0  10  10
Columbia       55  69  50  77  54 /  90  10   0  10  20
Lawrenceburg   55  70  49  77  54 /  90  10   0  10  10
Waverly        53  66  50  76  54 /  70   0   0  10  30

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening FOR Bedford-Cannon-
Cheatham-Clay-Coffee-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Giles-Hickman-
Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-Lewis-Macon-Marshall-Maury-
Montgomery-Perry-Robertson-Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-
Trousdale-Wayne-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......Barnwell
AVIATION........49

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
503 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-011015-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
503 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Widespread thunderstorms are expected to move across middle
Tennessee this afternoon and evening. Some storms may be strong to
severe...with damaging winds...hail...and a possible tornado...especially
west of interstate 65. Storms could also contain heavy
rainfall...especially across southern middle Tennessee with the
additional threat of isolated flash flooding.

In addition to thunderstorms, the front will bring strong gusty
winds. A wind advisory is valid for locations outside of the
plateau from 10 am until 10 pm. Winds gusts to 40 mph will be
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday
No hazardous weather expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and tonight.

Spotter Thunderstorm Reporting Criteria
Tornado
Funnel Cloud
Flooding
Hail >= 1/2 inch
Winds > 50 MPH (Measured)
Structural Damage
Trees or Power Lines Down

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
218 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

TNZ026-027-059-301945-
Williamson TN-Davidson TN-Cheatham TN-
218 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN DAVIDSON...
NORTHWESTERN WILLIAMSON AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHEATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 245
PM CDT...

At 217 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southwest of Fairview, or 15 miles west of Franklin, moving
northeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Franklin, Brentwood, Forest Hills, Oak Hill, Belle Meade, Kingston
Springs, Pegram, Fairview, Bellevue, Leipers Fork and Natchez Trace
At Highway 96.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3603 8678 3580 8707 3584 8717 3591 8721
      3594 8720 3594 8721 3596 8720 3597 8721
      3598 8719 3598 8720 3599 8719 3605 8718
      3607 8717 3610 8717 3624 8710
TIME...MOT...LOC 1917Z 224DEG 44KT 3594 8712

Whitehead

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
228 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

TNZ060-061-095-302015-
Maury TN-Giles TN-Marshall TN-
228 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARSHALL...SOUTHEASTERN MAURY AND
GILES COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

At 227 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Columbia to near Ardmore. Movement was
northeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lewisburg, Pulaski, Chapel Hill, Ardmore, Cornersville, Elkton, Minor
Hill, Lynnville, Culleoka, Goodspring, Belfast, Frankewing, Prospect
and Farmington.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3500 8717 3507 8722 3515 8720 3517 8722
      3550 8716 3565 8682 3570 8681 3571 8668
      3569 8664 3558 8666 3558 8663 3557 8665
      3546 8667 3538 8663 3536 8660 3533 8660
      3531 8668 3525 8675 3526 8683 3499 8684
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 230DEG 35KT 3512 8710 3491 8687

Shamburger

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
230 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0151 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S LAWRENCEBURG        35.20N  87.34W
04/30/2017                   LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            2 FEET DIAMETER OAK TREE SNAPPED JUST SOUTH OF HWY 43
            AND HWY 64 INTERSECTION

0153 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ETHRIDGE                35.32N  87.30W
04/30/2017                   LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO NORTHBOUND LANES OF HIGHWAY 43 BLOCKED BY TREE
            ACROSS THE ROADWAY

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700497
EVENT NUMBER OHX1700498

SHAMBURGER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
239 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

TNZ026-027-302030-
Davidson TN-Cheatham TN-
239 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DAVIDSON AND
SOUTHEASTERN CHEATHAM COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

At 238 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bellevue, or 10 miles west of Nashville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland City, Nashville, Madison, Goodlettsville, Pegram, Bellevue,
Joelton, Beaman Park, Bells Bend and Whites Creek.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3637 8688 3637 8686 3638 8686 3637 8685
      3635 8682 3636 8680 3630 8667 3629 8664
      3628 8664 3605 8695 3614 8705 3639 8694
      3638 8693 3639 8689
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 220DEG 39KT 3613 8697

Whitehead

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
252 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBIA                35.62N  87.05W
04/30/2017                   MAURY              TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING BOTH LANES OF DARKS MILLS ROAD

0235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SPRING HILL             35.74N  86.92W
04/30/2017                   MAURY              TN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES REPORTEDLY DOWN ON HIGHWAY 43 IN SPRING HILL

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700499
EVENT NUMBER OHX1700500

SHAMBURGER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
300 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 N COLUMBIA            35.68N  87.05W
04/30/2017                   MAURY              TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE REPORTED DOWN AND BLOCKING BOTH LANES OF
            DARKS MILLS ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1700501

LV