Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 219, NWS Omaha, NE

July 3, 2017Cedar County, Nebraska

NWS Omaha, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 3, 2017, 5:41 PM CDT for Cedar County, Nebraska. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 3, 2017, 5:41 PM CDT (22:41 UTC)
Expired
Jul 3, 2017, 6:15 PM CDT
In force
34 min
Issued by
NWS Omaha, NE
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
50.0 mph

County Cedar County, NE

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-07-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2244 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-07-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2244 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-68 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
914 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 3, 3:06 PM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 3, 3:06 PM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
306 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

Isolated storms are possible through the remainder of the holiday
period.

Scattered thunderstorms had popped up in a narrow band from
southeast Nebraska across central Iowa into northern Illinois in
vicinity of a weak surface boundary at 19Z. A weak upper low was
also indicated over northeast Kansas helping to lift convection
slowly north. Forecast soundings show plenty of instability over
the area this afternoon but weak shear resulting in limited
movement.

CAM models generally weaken and dissipate the current convection
over the area by 00Z with primary focus shifting to western
Nebraska and eastern Kansas for the evening period as weak short
waves move into those respective areas. After 06Z main development
is expected across South Dakota and Oklahoma as the short waves
continue to dig eastward. This northern and southern split
continues into Tuesday with the forecast area generally between
the two convective complexes. Have kept PoPs on the low end for
the area through Tuesday for mainly popup storms.

Upper ridge over the western CONUS then begins to push into the
plains region Tuesday night and Wednesday with rain chances
diminishing. Hot temperatures then become the main forecast
feature for Wednesday and Thursday with the heat index around 100
degrees Thursday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

Pattern returns to a western ridge eastern trough configuration in
the extended period. This results in a bit less heat with a return
to periodic chances of thunderstorms as northwest flow sets up
again over the area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1244 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

VFR conditions are forecast through Tuesday morning outside of any
thunderstorms that could affect TAF sites. Isolated thunderstorms
which developed just before 18Z in southwest Iowa will likely
spread northwest toward the KOMA and KOFK TAF sites during the
afternoon and evening, and could produce MVFR cigs/vsbys.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Fobert
LONG TERM...Fobert
AVIATION...Dergan
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 3, 12:43 PM CDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
1243 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-040745-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
1243 PM CDT Mon Jul 3 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
IOWA...WEST CENTRAL IOWA...EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Isolated thunderstorms are possible across most of eastern
Nebraska, and especially southwest Iowa, through the afternoon and
evening. Some of the storms could produce small hail and gusty
winds, but a few could become stronger and produce large hail.
Brief heavy rain is also possible as storms only slowly drift to
the northeast.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A chance of thunderstorms will remain in the forecast through
Tuesday night. Isolated strong to severe storms will be possible,
especially during the afternoon and evening hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Storm spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:18 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 3, 4:55 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 3, 4:56 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 3, 5:21 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jul 3, 5:28 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Omaha, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 3, 2:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOAXJohnson45 min
Jul 3, 3:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOAXPawnee30 min
Jul 3, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDodge30 min
Jul 3, 4:10 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOAXLancaster35 min
Jul 3, 4:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOAXSaunders36 min
Jul 3, 4:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOAXDouglas35 min
Jul 3, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXDouglas, Saunders, Washington25 min
Jul 3, 5:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOAXCedar32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2017Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.