Alert archive / Alabama / Flash Flood Watches in 2017
Flash Flood Watch 14, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this flash flood watch at May 21, 2017, 3:21 PM CDT for 12 counties in Alabama; 5 counties in Mississippi; Escambia County, Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida. It took effect at May 22, 2017, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 26 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 21, 2017, 3:21 PM CDT (20:21 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 22, 2017, 1:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- May 23, 2017, 2:35 PM CDT
- In force
- 26 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Escambia County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2627 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 556 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 51 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 40 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 2.7
The text
As transmitted.
952 WGUS64 KMOB 212021 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 321 PM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM 1 PM CDT MONDAY UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area early in the week. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning Monday afternoon and lasting through Wednesday morning. Rainfall totals of 3 to 4 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-220430- /O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0014.170522T1800Z-170524T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 321 PM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * From Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning * Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area ahead of the next cold front. Additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 4 inches are expected Monday through early Wednesday with locally higher amounts possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
11 follow-up statements
680 WGUS64 KMOB 220148 AAA FFAMOB Flood Watch...UPDATED National Weather Service Mobile AL 848 PM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM 1 PM CDT MONDAY UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning Monday afternoon and lasting through Wednesday morning. Rainfall totals of 3 to 4 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221200- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0014.170522T1800Z-170524T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 848 PM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * From Monday afternoon through Wednesday morning * Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area ahead of the next cold front. Additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 4 inches are expected Monday through early Wednesday with locally higher amounts possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
084 WGUS64 KMOB 221025 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 525 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM 1 PM CDT MONDAY UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning Monday afternoon and lasting through Wednesday morning. Rainfall totals of 3 to 4 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221830- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0014.170522T1800Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 525 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * From 1 PM CDT this afternoon through late Tuesday night * Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area ahead of the next cold front. Additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 4 inches are expected Monday through early Wednesday with locally higher amounts possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
840 WGUS64 KMOB 221027 CCA FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch...CORRECTED National Weather Service Mobile AL 527 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM 1 PM CDT MONDAY UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning Monday afternoon and lasting through Wednesday morning. Rainfall totals of 3 to 4 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible in addition to the 2.5 to 4 inches already received this weekend. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221830- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0014.170522T1800Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 527 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * From 1 PM CDT this afternoon through late Tuesday night * Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area ahead of the next cold front. Additional rainfall amounts of 3 to 4 inches are expected Monday through early Wednesday with locally higher amounts possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
995 WGUS64 KMOB 221051 CCB FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch...CORRECTED National Weather Service Mobile AL 551 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning this afternoon and lasting through Tuesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible in addition to the 2.5 to 4 inches already received this weekend. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221830- /O.COR.KMOB.FF.A.0014.170522T1800Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 551 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * From 1 PM CDT this afternoon through late Tuesday night * Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning this afternoon and lasting through Tuesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible in addition to the 2.5 to 4 inches already received this weekend. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
271 WGUS64 KMOB 221807 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 107 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning this afternoon and lasting through Tuesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible in addition to the 2.5 to 4 inches already received this weekend. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-230400- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 107 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * Through late Tuesday night * Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning this afternoon and lasting through Tuesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 5 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible in addition to the 2.5 to 4 inches already received this weekend. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
481 WGUS64 KMOB 222014 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 314 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning late this evening and lasting through Tuesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches are expected with locally higher amounts near 5 inches possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-230500- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 314 PM CDT Mon May 22 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * Through late Tuesday night * Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning late this evening and lasting through Tuesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches are expected with locally higher amounts near 5 inches possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
991 WGUS64 KMOB 230500 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 1200 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning late tonight and lasting through Tuesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches are expected with locally higher amounts near 5 inches are possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231300- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 1200 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * Through late Tuesday night * Multiple rounds of heavy rain are expected across the entire area through midweek. The bulk of the rain is expected to impact the area beginning late this evening and lasting through Tuesday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches are expected with locally higher amounts near 5 inches possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
711 WGUS64 KMOB 231232 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 732 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... .Multiple rounds of heavy rain will continue to impact the entire area through tonight, with one round currently ongoing this morning and another round expected late this evening and overnight tonight. Rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches are expected with locally higher amounts of 4 to 5 inches possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-232100- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, Wright, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 732 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Alabama, northwest Florida, and southeast Mississippi, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, Mobile Inland, Monroe, Washington, and Wilcox. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. In southeast Mississippi, George, Greene, Perry, Stone, and Wayne. * Through late tonight * Multiple rounds of heavy rain will continue to impact the entire area through late tonight, with one round currently ongoing this morning and another round expected late this evening and overnight tonight. Rainfall totals of 2 to 3 inches are expected with locally higher amounts of 4 to 5 inches possible. This additional rainfall will likely exacerbate the already saturated ground across the region, which may lead to flash flooding. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
164 WGUS64 KMOB 231541 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 1041 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...Potential for localized flash flooding continues across areas south and east of the Interstate 65 corridor... ALZ051>058-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-231645- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- Including the cities of Butler, Lisman, Silas, Chatom, Millry, Grove Hill, Jackson, Thomasville, Camden, Pine Hill, Homewood, Monroeville, Evergreen, Greenville, Brantley, Luverne, Waynesboro, Beaumont, New Augusta, Richton, Leakesville, McLain, Wiggins, and Lucedale 1041 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Alabama and southeast Mississippi has been cancelled. Rain will come to an end from west to east as the day progresses across inland southwest Alabama and southeast Mississippi. While another round of showers and thunderstorms is likely late tonight, the quick movement of the storms will limit the flooding potential. With the threat of flash flooding diminishing, the Flash Flood Watch has been cancelled for these areas. $$ ALZ059-060-261>266-FLZ201>206-240000- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal- Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, Opp, Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, and Wright 1041 AM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Alabama and northwest Florida, including the following areas, in Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Covington, Escambia, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. * Through late tonight * Numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue into this afternoon across areas south and east of the Interstate 65 corridor. Another round of storms is likely after midnight tonight. These storms have the potential of producing 1 to 3 inches of rain in a short time, which may lead to localized flash flooding, particularly in urban areas. Localized higher totals are possible along and south of Interstate 10. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
421 WGUS64 KMOB 231800 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 100 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...Potential for localized flash flooding continues across areas along and near the Interstate 10 corridor... ALZ059-060-231900- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Escambia-Covington- Including the cities of Atmore, Brewton, Flomaton, Andalusia, and Opp 100 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of south central Alabama has been cancelled. The greatest potential for additional heavy rain has shifted south of Escambia and Covington counties in Alabama. Therefore, the Flash Flood Watch has been cancelled. A few thunderstorms are still possible this afternoon that will produce brief heavy downpours and potentially minor nuisance flooding. $$ ALZ261>266-FLZ201>206-240200- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland- Okaloosa Coastal- Including the cities of Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, and Wright 100 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida, including the following areas, in southwest Alabama, Baldwin Central, Baldwin Coastal, Baldwin Inland, Mobile Central, Mobile Coastal, and Mobile Inland. In northwest Florida, Escambia Coastal, Escambia Inland, Okaloosa Coastal, Okaloosa Inland, Santa Rosa Coastal, and Santa Rosa Inland. * Through late tonight * Numerous showers and thunderstorms are still expected through early this evening along the coastal counties of Alabama and northwest Florida, especially close to Interstate 10. These storms have the potential of producing 1 to 3 inches of rain in a short time, which may lead to localized flash flooding, particularly in urban areas. * Urban, low lying, and poor drainage areas will be the most susceptible to flash flooding. Road closures are possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. && $$
575 WGUS64 KMOB 231935 FFAMOB Flood Watch National Weather Service Mobile AL 235 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...Flash Flood Watch Cancelled... ALZ261>266-FLZ201>206-232045- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0014.000000T0000Z-170524T1100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-Baldwin Central- Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-Escambia Coastal- Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Inland- Okaloosa Coastal- Including the cities of Citronelle, Saraland, Stockton, Mobile, Prichard, Theodore, Bay Minette, Daphne, Fairhope, Foley, Spanish Fort, Bayou La Batre, Dauphin Island, Grand Bay, Fort Morgan, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Century, Molino, Walnut Hill, Beulah, Ensley, Fort Pickens, Pensacola, Pensacola Beach, Perdido Bay, Jay, Milton, Bagdad, Gulf Breeze, Navarre, Crestview, Destin, Eglin AFB, Fort Walton Beach, Niceville, Seminole, Valparaiso, and Wright 235 PM CDT Tue May 23 2017 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southwest Alabama and northwest Florida has been cancelled. While isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will affect the coastal counties of Alabama and northwest Florida through this evening, the overall threat for flash flooding has diminished. Therefore, the Flash Flood Watch has been cancelled. However, the storms will produce periods of heavy rainfall that may result in localized minor flooding, primarily in urban and low lying areas. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at May 21, 1:14 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 21, 1:14 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 114 PM CDT Sun May 21 2017 .DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION... 21/18Z issuance...Occasional MVFR periods early this afternoon along the coast with regard to ceilings and visibility as dissipating area of rain/showers moves east across the area. another area of showers and storms that is expected to develop to the west of the area later this afternoon will be moving east toward the forecast area this evening, but weakening and dissipating as it moves east into the rain cooled and outflow dominated stable airmass that is in place. This trend is supported by majority of mesoscale models. Some patchy light fog tonight across the area with surface visibility generally in the MVFR range. No rain expected early Monday morning, but increasing chances for showers and storms late in the day. Surface winds primarily light and variable through the period. 12/DS && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1230 PM CDT Sun May 21 2017/ DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below. UPDATE...Quite a few changes/updates made to the forecast package for this afternoon. As we noted yesterday, rain cooled-outflow dominated airmass has settled over the region, with very little precipitation noted over inland areas. As such lowered likely PoPs inland to low-end chance (generally around 30 percent) for the remainder of the afternoon. May see some redevelopment inland this afternoon as shortwave aloft approaches area, but with the stable airmass don't anticipate more than scattered activity this afternoon. Left likely PoPs down along the coast as left over light/moderate rains from earlier thunderstorm activity moves east across those areas (although this rain area is on a diminishing trend). May see a few breaks in clouds this afternoon, especially over interior counties, but in general remaining mostly cloudy. With this, and based on latest temperature trends and current observations we have lowered the expected high temperatures today (especially over inland areas). Looking for upper 70s to lower 80s across the entire region. Maintained the high risk of rip currents along the coast, and extended it to continue through tonight. Have already issued updated PFM, ZFP, CFW and SRF products. 12/DS PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 627 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017/ DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. AVIATION... 12Z issuance...Areas away from the coast are seeing general MVFR to VFR CIGS/VISBYS, with MVFR to IFR levels along the coast (where widespread tsra occurred). Am expecting a rise to general MVFR to VFR everywhere today, then drop this afternoon into the evening as shra/tsra again develop. /16 PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 501 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017/ NEAR TERM /Now Through Sunday night/...An outflow from the overnight activity continues to push south of the AL/NW FL coast, helping to position most precip activity, especially thunderstorms, south of the coast attm. A Shortwave is expected to move from over west Tx today into tonight, bringing another round of precip to the area. Guidance is advertising a weak front moving south across the forecast area today then stalling along the northern Gulf Coast tonight. How the overnight activity has affected the current atmosphere over and near the forecast area will define the first two periods of the forecast as the next shortwave and weak front pass. With the strong activity last night leaving a more stabilized airmass over the forecast area, am expecting less strong to severe storms. Enough instability is present for tsra as apposed to shra, especially noontime on, so have left the thunder in. This morning, with areas of the forecast area needing some heating to destabilize, have pushed best chance for rain closer to and south of the coast. With the boundary and shortwave combined with some daytime destabilization, am expecting the precip activity to spread inland from the Gulf and/or move east from the Lower Mississippi River Valley. Instability is down, so any strong to severe storms will less in amount. With wind strength down, am not expecting training cells to be a problem today into tonight as it was the previous night, though with some localities seeing 5+ inches of rain Saturday through last night, these localities may see some addition water problems, though with QPF amounts down, am expecting more mainly nuisance flooding over the area. For temps today, have went between the warmer GFS and cooler NAM solutions, with some daytime heating allowing for some warming. Highs generally in the mid 80s expected. Tonight, cloud cover will limit overnight cooling and with no real cool push with the front, have kept tonight's temps above seasonal. Lows in the mid to upper 60s expected. /16 SHORT TERM /Monday Through Tuesday night/...A closed upper low pressure area over southwest Ontario Monday morning will split into two separate lows, with one ejecting off to the east, and the second migrating southward along the Mississippi River to Saint Louis. As a result, the broad upper trough over the eastern two- thirds of the nation will become more amplified and dig further south to the southern Gulf of Mexico by late Tuesday night. Meanwhile a surface low pressure area across southern Ontario will also split into two separate lows, with one ejecting off to the east, and the second migrating southward to the Ohio River valley region. An associated cold front approaching from the west Tuesday evening will move across the forecast through the overnight hours. A returning deep southwesterly to westerly wind flow will allow abundant moisture to move back over the forecast area with precipitable water values returning to near two inches on Monday, and then decrease slightly again on Tuesday as a potential weak surface low forming along the coastline moves east of the area, sending a surface boundary south through the forecast area. It will continue to be cloudy and rainy through early next week as the combination of abundant moisture, upper level disturbances moving from southwest to northeast over the forecast area, and decreasing stability, especially during the daylight hours, results in numerous to widespread showers and thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday. Flash and areal flooding from heavy rainfall will be the main threat through the short term, with additional widespread rainfall amounts of 3 to 4 inches across the entire forecast area, with locally higher amounts of 6 to 8 inches possible. Flash Flood Watches will likely be issued and expanded as the event nears. In addition, some storms will produce gusty surface winds along with frequent lightning, however widespread severe weather is not anticipated. High temperatures Monday will range from 80 to 85 degrees. Low temperatures Monday night will range from 62 to 67 degrees along and northwest of I-65, and from 67 to 72 degrees to the southeast. High temperatures Tuesday will range from 77 to 82 degrees. Low temperatures Tuesday night will range from 62 to 67 degrees inland areas, with lower 70s at the beaches. /22 LONG TERM /Wednesday Through Saturday/...The broad upper trough over the eastern two-thirds of the nation to the southern Gulf of Mexico will move east of the region through the remainder of the week, followed by zonal flow aloft. A light southwesterly surface wind may try to redevelop on Wednesday, keeping some lingering rain across the area. Meanwhile, a stronger cold front approaching from the northwest midweek moves across the forecast area and into the northern gulf, bring a dry period back into the region through the remainder of the week. /22 MARINE...A surface ridge stretching west over the northern Gulf coast will continue to weak, but generally continue to provide an onshore flow. A front will move over area coastal waters late tuesday night though Wednesday, bringing light to moderate offshore flow for the rest of the week. /16 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266. FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206. MS...None. GM...None. && This product is also available on the web at: http://weather.gov/mob
Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 6:31 AM CDT, 8 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Mobile AL 631 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-221200- Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- 631 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Thunderstorms are expected again today. An isolated strong to severe storm is possible this afternoon into tonight, with strong to damaging winds and small hail possible. Organized severe weather is not expected. Additional rain over area coastal counties may again cause localized nuisance to minor flooding. Moderate onshore winds and long period swell will combine to create a high risk of rip currents on area beaches through today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue across the area through Wednesday. Strong to possibly severe storms are possible Monday into Monday night, with strong to damaging winds the primary threat. Small hail is also possible. With an extended period of rain lasting through Wednesday, an increasing possibility of flooding exists. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not expected through Saturday. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-221200- Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound- Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Choctawhatchee Bay- Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Destin to Pensacola FL out 20 NM- Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Destin to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM- 631 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Moderate winds will create hazardous conditions for small craft today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday A front moving over area coastal waters late Tuesday night through Wednesday will bring moderate to strong offshore winds later Wednesday through Wednesday night, again creating hazardous conditions for small craft.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 7:06 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Mobile | 3 hr |
| May 20, 7:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Mobile | 41 min |
| May 20, 7:38 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Mobile | 6 hr |
| May 20, 7:46 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Mobile | 44 min |
| May 20, 8:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Baldwin, Mobile | 51 min |
| May 20, 8:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Baldwin | 48 min |
| May 20, 8:17 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 88 min | |
| May 20, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Mobile | 39 min |
| May 20, 8:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Mobile | 6 hr |
| May 20, 8:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | MOB | Baldwin, Escambia, Mobile | 7 hr |
| May 20, 9:02 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Escambia | 6 hr |
| May 20, 9:07 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Baldwin, Escambia | 53 min |
| May 20, 9:23 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 52 min | |
| May 20, 9:26 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 2 hr | |
| May 20, 10:21 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Baldwin, Conecuh, Covington, Escambia | 3 hr |
| May 20, 10:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Covington | 65 min |
| May 20, 10:34 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 116 min | |
| May 20, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Covington | 47 min |
| May 20, 11:14 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | Covington, Crenshaw | 3 hr |
| May 20, 11:40 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 2 hr | |
| May 20, 11:59 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington | 12 hr |
| May 21, 12:18 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 57 min | |
| May 21, 1:30 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | MOB | Mobile | 12 hr |
| May 21, 1:55 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 95 min | |
| May 20, 7:59 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | MOB | George, Stone | 3 hr |
| May 21, 5:59 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | MOB | Perry, Wayne | 46 min |
| May 20, 10:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Okaloosa | 43 min |
| May 20, 11:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Okaloosa, Santa Rosa | 6 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2017Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2017Flash Flood Watches in Florida, 2017Every flash flood watch in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.