Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Melbourne, FL

April 4, 2017Lake County, Orange County, Florida

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 4, 2017, 1:12 PM EDT for Lake County, Orange County, Florida. It was in force for 63 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 4, 2017, 1:12 PM EDT (17:12 UTC)
Expired
Apr 4, 2017, 2:15 PM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
NWS Melbourne, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Lake County, FL, Orange County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 4, 1:13 PM EDTTSTM WND GST 39Leesburg Airport, FL

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2017-04-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1001 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2017-04-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 148 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1001 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
699 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
5.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

405 
WUUS52 KMLB 041712
SVRMLB
FLC069-095-041815-
/O.NEW.KMLB.SV.W.0019.170404T1712Z-170404T1815Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
112 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2017

The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Central Lake County in east central Florida...
  Northwestern Orange County in east central Florida...

* Until 215 PM EDT

* At 111 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Tavares,
  moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Apopka, Leesburg, Eustis, Tavares and Mount Dora. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2890 8195 2895 8137 2884 8140 2882 8142
      2879 8141 2873 8143 2871 8146 2864 8146
      2860 8195
TIME...MOT...LOC 1711Z 281DEG 20KT 2878 8173 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Sedlock
1 follow-up statement
109 
WWUS52 KMLB 041741
SVSMLB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
141 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2017

FLC069-095-041815-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-170404T1815Z/
Lake FL-Orange FL-
141 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EDT
FOR CENTRAL LAKE AND NORTHWESTERN ORANGE COUNTIES...

At 140 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Mount Dora,
moving east-southeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Apopka, Leesburg, Eustis, Tavares and Mount Dora. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2890 8195 2895 8137 2884 8140 2882 8142
      2879 8141 2873 8143 2871 8146 2864 8146
      2860 8195
TIME...MOT...LOC 1740Z 279DEG 14KT 2879 8165 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Sedlock

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 4, 10:00 AM EDT, 3 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 4, 10:00 AM EDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
10 AM EDT Tue Apr 4 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Strong divergence aloft is supporting a band of strong storms across
north FL shifting south toward greater instability over north
Lake/Volusia counties. The divergence is forecast to weaken
considerably by afternoon so the threat for strong/isolated severe
storms will be over Lake and Volusia counties through noon to 1 pm.
Updated the forecast to increase PoPs for Lake and Volusia and lower
max temps based on clouds and precip.

&&

.AVIATION...Primary concern is band of storms slipping south toward
LEE/DAB/SFB with potential for gusty downburst winds and frequent
lightning through 16-17Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Today...small craft exercise caution over much of the waters today
as south winds up to 15-20 knots will persist with seas 4-6 feet.

&

.CLIMATE...
Daytona Beach, Orlando and Melbourne broke their record warm minimum
temperature yesterday, April 3rd. Additional high and warm low
temperature records may be set or tied today and Wednesday.

Current High and Warm Low Temperature Records for the 4th and 5th:

LOC  DATE   HI-MAX   HI-MIN
DAB 4-Apr  93 1974  70 1991
MCO 4-Apr  93 1918  69 1974
MLB 4-Apr  92 1977  71 1974
VRB 4-Apr  92 2012  73 1960

DAB 5-Apr  90 1957  70 1954
MCO 5-Apr  91 1999  68 1957
MLB 5-Apr  91 1977  72 1957
VRB 5-Apr  90 1977  73 1957

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  89  69  90  68 /  30  10  10  50
MCO  92  69  92  69 /  20  10  10  40
MLB  92  71  90  71 /  10  10  10  30
VRB  90  71  89  70 /  10  10  10  30
LEE  88  70  92  68 /  30  10  10  50
SFB  92  70  93  68 /  30  10  10  40
ORL  92  71  92  70 /  20  10  10  40
FPR  90  70  89  69 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

Kelly/Sedlock
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 4, 4:39 AM EDT, 8 hours 33 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
439 AM EDT Tue Apr 4 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-042045-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
439 AM EDT Tue Apr 4 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Deeper moisture ahead of a stalled front north of the area, may
generate isolated to scattered showers and lightning storms across
north central Florida, mainly from late this morning into the
afternoon. While main threats will be dangerous cloud to ground
lightning and heavy downpours, isolated stronger storms could
develop and produce strong wind gusts up to 40 to 50 mph and small
hail. Storms will move toward the east-northeast up to 30 to 35
mph.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A moderate risk for rip currents will continue at the beaches of
east central Florida today. Always swim within sight of a
lifeguard and never swim alone.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
Isolated thunderstorms that develop over north central Florida
this afternoon will move toward the east to northeast up to 25 to
30 knots. Any stronger storms will have the potential to produce
wind gusts around 34 knots or greater as they move offshore, north
of Melbourne.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Southerly winds up to 15 to 20 knots will continue across much of
the adjacent Atlantic waters today. Small craft should exercise
caution.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
Isolated lightning storms will again be possible ahead of a
stronger cold front late Wednesday night into Thursday.

Poor to hazardous boating conditions will continue across the
coastal waters from mid to late week with the next frontal
passage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today.

Weitlich

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 4, 10:54 AM EDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1054 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2017

FLZ041-141-041530-
Inland Volusia County FL-Coastal Volusia County FL-
1054 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL VOLUSIA COUNTY UNTIL 1130
AM EDT...

At 1053 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Ormond Beach to near Port Orange to Deltona.
Movement was east at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Deltona, Daytona Beach, Port Orange, Ormond Beach and DeLand.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2910 8090 2900 8083 2894 8130 2926 8127
      2927 8115 2932 8115 2936 8103
TIME...MOT...LOC 1453Z 260DEG 38KT 2927 8105 2908 8102 2892 8119

Sedlock
Local storm report, Apr 4, 11:01 AM EDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1101 AM EDT TUE APR 04 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1048 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 5 N EDGEWATER           29.05N 80.90W
04/04/2017  M40.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            WEATHERFLOW SITE AT NEW SMYRNA BEACH MEASURED A PEAK WIND
            GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH A THUNDERSTORM
            JUST TO THE NORTHEAST.

&&

KR
Special weather statement, Apr 4, 12:34 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1234 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2017

FLZ041-044-144-041730-
Northern Lake County FL-Inland Volusia County FL-
Southern Lake County FL-
1234 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL and Northern LAKE
County AND NORTHWESTERN VOLUSIA COUNTy UNTIL 130 PM EDT...

At 1233 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Salt Springs to 8 miles northwest of
Mascotte. Movement was east-southeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
DeLand, Leesburg, Eustis, Tavares and Lady Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

If on or near a lake, get out of the water and move indoors or
inside a vehicle. If you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning. Move to safe shelter now! Do not be caught
on the water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 2888 8195 2896 8193 2896 8166 2905 8166
      2906 8164 2928 8164 2932 8168 2938 8145
      2940 8142 2926 8142 2926 8133 2900 8122
      2885 8135 2886 8135 2888 8136 2883 8142
      2879 8142 2879 8165 2874 8166 2868 8195
TIME...MOT...LOC 1633Z 290DEG 20KT 2929 8170 2869 8196

Sedlock
Local storm report, Apr 4, 12:42 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1242 PM EDT TUE APR 04 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 1 S PLAYALINDA BEACH    28.63N 80.62W
04/04/2017  M40.00 MPH       BREVARD            FL   MESONET

            USAF TOWER 0397 MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST OF 35 KTS OUT
            OF THE NORTHEAST.

1200 PM     MARINE TSTM WIND 4 NNE HAULOVER CANAL    28.80N 80.74W
04/04/2017  M44.00 MPH       VOLUSIA            FL   MESONET

            USAF TOWER 0022 MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST OF 38 KTS FROM
            THE NORTHEAST

&&

KR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 4, 10:07 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB3 hr
Apr 4, 10:54 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBVolusia36 min
Apr 4, 12:07 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB53 min
Apr 4, 12:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBLake56 min
Apr 4, 2:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBOrange, Seminole49 min
Apr 4, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Orange, Seminole, Volusia56 min
Apr 4, 3:04 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB116 min
Apr 4, 3:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBBrevard24 min
Apr 4, 3:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBOkeechobee, Osceola62 min
Apr 4, 3:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBBrevard23 min
Apr 4, 3:41 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB64 min
Apr 4, 3:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard49 min
Apr 4, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBIndian River, Okeechobee, Osceola38 min
Apr 4, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBOsceola67 min
Apr 4, 4:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBIndian River48 min
Apr 4, 4:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBIndian River66 min
Apr 4, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBIndian River35 min
Apr 4, 4:44 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMLB91 min
Apr 4, 6:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementMLBOkeechobee59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2017Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.