Small Craft Advisory 22, NWS Milwaukee, WI

191 
WHUS73 KMKX 010328
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
928 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...DENSE FOG THIS EVENING IMPROVING DURING THE OVERNIGHT...

...GUSTY WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH MILD AND MOIST AIR 
FLOWING OVER THE COOL LAKE MICHIGAN WATERS. STRENGTHENING NORTH
WINDS WILL HELP DISSIPATE THE FOG DURING THE OVERNIGHT. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...
AS LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OVER LOWER MICHIGAN. GUSTS TO
25 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH BUILDING WAVES. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT DURING THIS TIME.

LMZ643>646-011130-
/O.CON.KMKX.MF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170301T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0022.170301T0600Z-170302T1000Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
928 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES: INCREASING TO 3 TO 4 FEET.

* VISIBILITY: 1 MILE OR LESS AT TIMES INTO THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE MILE. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

047 
WHUS73 KMKX 010947
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
347 AM CST WED MAR 1 2017

...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL
RESULT IN GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THESE
WINDS WILL CAUSE HIGH OFFSHORE WAVES. THE HIGHEST GUSTS TO 30 
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH GALE FORCE FOR AN HOUR OR TWO
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT 
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

LMZ643>646-011800-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-170302T1000Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
347 AM CST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS: NORTH TURNING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS
  WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. 

* WAVES: INCREASING TO 4 TO 7 FEET TOWARD THE OPEN WATER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

MBK

540 
WHUS73 KMKX 011546
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
946 AM CST WED MAR 1 2017

...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

.STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES WILL 
RESULT IN GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS TODAY INTO TONIGHT. THESE
WINDS WILL CAUSE HIGH OFFSHORE WAVES. THE HIGHEST GUSTS TO 30 
KNOTS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH GALE FORCE FOR AN HOUR OR TWO 
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT 
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

LMZ643>646-020000-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-170302T1000Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
946 AM CST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS INTO THIS EVENING...WITH GUSTS 
  TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES: INCREASING TO 4 TO 7 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
  HIGHEST TOWARD THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
WOOD
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

747 
WHUS73 KMKX 012059
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
259 PM CST WED MAR 1 2017

...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

.GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. THESE
WINDS WILL CAUSE HIGH OFFSHORE WAVES. GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

LMZ643>646-020500-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-170302T1000Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
259 PM CST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. 

* WAVES: 4 TO 7 FEET, HIGHEST TOWARD THE OPEN WATERS

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
SPM

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

455 
WHUS73 KMKX 020343
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
943 PM CST WED MAR 1 2017

...BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES SUBSIDING LATE TONIGHT...

.GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
BUT THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. 

LMZ643>646-021000-
/O.CON.KMKX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-170302T1000Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
943 PM CST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS: NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 25
  KNOTS...SUBSIDING TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS DURING THE EARLY MORNING 
  HOURS.

* WAVES: 4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 4 FEET DURING THE EARLY
  MORNING HOURS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

501 
WHUS73 KMKX 020926
MWWMKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
326 AM CST THU MAR 2 2017

...WINDS AND WAVES CONTINUED TO SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT...

.WINDS AND WAVES CONTINUED TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AND HAVE FALLEN
BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS. HENCE THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

LMZ643>646-021030-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SC.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-170302T1000Z/
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
326 AM CST THU MAR 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS CANCELLED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. HIGHER WAVES TO AROUND 5 FEET ARE STILL
POSSIBLE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS TOWARDS THE OPEN WATER. 

$$
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

MBK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1211 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

.UPDATE...
Due to strong forcing, strong deep layer wind shear, and steep
mid-level lapse rates, two severe storms developed in southern
Wisconsin this morning.

These elevated storms developed north of a warm front draped
across far southern Wisconsin, extending from a low pressure
system in central Iowa. Most guidance suggests that the warm
front will remain in roughly the same location until the low
pressure center tracks along the front this evening. Though wind
shear will diminish somewhat as we approach the evening, it will
remain strong enough to support severe thunderstorms. Moreover,
mid level lapse rates will remain steep. Instability will remain
limited, but given the other ingredients present, more severe
storms are possible late this afternoon and into the evening as
the low approaches this area. The best chances for severe will be
in the warm sector, highlighted nicely by slight risk in the
updated D1 outlook from SPC. However, instability was underdone
with this morning's convection, so I would not be surprised to
see isolated severe storms north of the slight risk area.

&&

.AVIATION/18Z TAFS/...

Expect LIFR cigs north areas with mainly IFR south.  Some MVFR cigs
possible far south as warm front get close.

Mainly IFR/LIFR in the cold air later tonight.  IFR/LIFR in mixed
precipitation changing to snow Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory today with a few gusts to 25 knots as pressure
gradient tightens.  With lake surface temps in the upper 30s to
lower 40s, will also have to watch for dense fog development later
today into tonight as warm, moist air moves northward from the
central MS Valley region.  A few thunderstorms may also produce some
hail into the evening.

A strong surge of cold air behind passing low pressure will likely
produce more frequent wind gusts to Small Craft Advisory levels
later tonight into Wednesday.  This surge of colder air will end the
dense fog threat overnight. A Small craft advisory will be needed
for this.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for LMZ643>646.

&&

UPDATE...BSH/HENTZ
TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...MBK
Wednesday THROUGH Monday...DDV

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1056 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-011700-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
1056 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin, and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Thunderstorms are likely over southeast and far south central
Wisconsin this afternoon and early evening. There is a Marginal
Risk of a severe thunderstorm along and south of a line from near
Port Washington to Madison to Darlington where large hail is the
primary risk. A slight risk of severe thunderstorms extends across
from west pf janesville, and across Racine and kenosha counties
where large hail and damaging winds are possible.

Localized dense fog is possible today into this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday

A wintry mix of rain and snow will change to snow Wednesday
morning. Snowfall of 2 to 5 inches is expected across most of the
area on Wednesday. Some of the snow will melt, however slushy
accumulations can be expected to cause deteriorating travel
conditions and slippery roads.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and early evening.

LMZ643>646-011700-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
1056 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Fog may become dense over the near shore waters this afternoon
into tonight.

Thunderstorms are likely especially south of Port Washington
this afternoon and evening. There is a Marginal Risk of a severe
thunderstorm producing large hail.

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect today for occasional wind
gusts to 25 knots and building waves.

Another Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed late tonight as
low pressure passes to the east.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday

A Small Craft Advisory will be needed for Wednesday into Wednesday
night as colder air rides northwest winds across Lake Michigan.

Hentz

www.weather.gov/mkx

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1121 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

WIZ047-051-052-057-058-281800-
Dodge-Columbia-Green Lake-Sheboygan-Fond Du Lac-
1121 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT FOND DU LAC...SOUTHEASTERN GREEN
LAKE AND NORTHERN DODGE COUNTIES...

At 1121 AM CST, a strong thunderstorm was located near Waupun, moving
east at 55 mph.

Pea size hail is possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fond Du Lac, Beaver Dam, Waupun, North Fond Du Lac, Lomira, Markesan,
Oakfield, Rosendale, Brandon, Southern Lake Winnebago, Burnett,
Taycheedah, Lamartine, Byron, Fox Lake, Alto, Manchester, Eden, Mount
Calvary and Brownsville.

LAT...LON 4372 8814 4341 8881 4369 8910 4390 8865
      4389 8841 4394 8840 4394 8834
TIME...MOT...LOC 1721Z 247DEG 47KT 4364 8887

SPM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1123 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

WIZ052-060-281800-
Sheboygan-Ozaukee-
1123 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL OZAUKEE AND
SOUTHERN SHEBOYGAN COUNTIES...

At 1123 AM CST, a strong thunderstorm was located near Random Lake,
or 9 miles south of Plymouth, moving east at 65 mph.

Pea size hail is possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sheboygan, Sheboygan Falls, Oostburg, Kohler, Cedar Grove, Random
Lake, Cascade, Adell, Waldo, Silver Creek, Gibbsville, Batavia and
Hingham.

LAT...LON 4368 8770 4357 8779 4355 8779 4351 8803
      4368 8811 4378 8771 4376 8770 4372 8771
      4370 8770
TIME...MOT...LOC 1723Z 253DEG 55KT 4362 8793

SPM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1144 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1102 AM     HAIL             CEDAR GROVE             43.57N 87.82W
02/28/2017  M1.00 INCH       SHEBOYGAN          WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            .

&&

RS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1146 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     HAIL             RANDOM LAKE             43.55N 87.96W
02/28/2017  M1.00 INCH       SHEBOYGAN          WI   PUBLIC

            .

&&

RS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1154 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

WIZ051-052-281830-
Sheboygan-Fond Du Lac-
1154 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN FOND DU LAC AND
SHEBOYGAN COUNTIES...

At 1154 AM CST, a strong thunderstorm was located 8 miles north of
Campbellsport, or 12 miles southeast of Fond Du Lac, moving east at
45 mph.

Pea size hail is possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sheboygan, Plymouth, Sheboygan Falls, Howards Grove, Kohler, Elkhart
Lake, Greenbush, Cascade, Waldo, St. Cloud, Glenbeulah, Haven,
Dundee, Johnsonville and Waucousta.

LAT...LON 4376 8770 4373 8771 4356 8823 4377 8836
      4389 8804 4389 8773 4381 8773 4377 8770
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 250DEG 39KT 4371 8822

SPM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
156 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     HAIL             RANDOM LAKE             43.55N 87.96W
02/28/2017  M1.00 INCH       SHEBOYGAN          WI   PUBLIC

            .

1103 AM     HAIL             PARDEEVILLE             43.53N 89.30W
02/28/2017  U0.25 INCH       COLUMBIA           WI   PUBLIC

            .

1102 AM     HAIL             CEDAR GROVE             43.57N 87.82W
02/28/2017  M1.00 INCH       SHEBOYGAN          WI   BROADCAST MEDIA

            .

1055 AM     HAIL             HUSTISFORD              43.35N 88.60W
02/28/2017  U0.50 INCH       DODGE              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1/2 INCH HAIL.

1048 AM     HAIL             HORICON                 43.44N 88.64W
02/28/2017  M0.88 INCH       DODGE              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN
            CITY.

1032 AM     HAIL             3 NNW HARTFORD          43.37N 88.41W
02/28/2017  M1.00 INCH       WASHINGTON         WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL OBSERVED 3 MI SOUTH OF HWY 33 ON COUNTY
            P.

1006 AM     HAIL             LOWELL                  43.34N 88.82W
02/28/2017  M0.25 INCH       DODGE              WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

1006 AM     HAIL             DE FOREST               43.25N 89.35W
02/28/2017  E0.75 INCH       DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL COVERING GROUND.

0941 AM     HAIL             SUN PRAIRIE             43.18N 89.23W
02/28/2017  M0.50 INCH       DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE
            HAIL IN THE CITY.

0940 AM     HAIL             4 N CROSS PLAINS        43.17N 89.65W
02/28/2017  M0.25 INCH       DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SOME PENNY SIZED HAIL MIX IN.

0925 AM     HAIL             WINDSOR                 43.22N 89.34W
02/28/2017  M0.88 INCH       DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL COVERING GROUND.

&&

NWS MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
IRIS SYSTEM