Alert archive / Wisconsin / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 41, NWS Milwaukee, WI

July 12, 2017Rock County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this river flood warning at Jul 12, 2017, 8:52 PM CDT for Rock County, Wisconsin. It took effect at Jul 13, 2017, 8:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 42 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2017, 8:52 PM CDT (01:52 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 13, 2017, 8:00 AM CDT
Expired
Jul 15, 2017, 2:12 AM CDT
In force
42 hr
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Rock County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Turtle Creek at Beloit (BOIW3).

Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
7.5 ft
Moderate stage
10.5 ft
Major stage
12.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

924 
WGUS43 KMKX 130152
FLWMKX


Flood Warning
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
852 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

...The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Wisconsin...

  Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE affecting Rock COUNTY


&& 
WIC105-131352-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0041.170713T1300Z-170715T0712Z/
/BOIW3.1.ER.170713T1300Z.170714T0600Z.170715T0112Z.UU/
852 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 8.5 feet by early Friday morning.the river will 
  fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* Impact...At 7.8 feet...Floodwaters are in the back yards of some 
  homes on East Ridge Road, Mocassin Drive, and in the Turtle Creek 
  subdivision.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4256 8903 4254 8896 4251 8896 4250 8897
      4251 8907 4253 8905

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Thu  Fri  Sat  Sun
Beloit-1 SE      7.5   6.0   6.30 09 PM 07/12   8.3  7.6  5.7  5.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Beloit-1 SE      4.87  10 AM 07/12       M       8.50 01 AM 07/14

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through August.

Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Wed Jul 12  0.22
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Thu Jul 13  0.05
Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00

$$
HAHN
4 follow-up statements
977 
WGUS83 KMKX 130154
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
854 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock COUNTY 
  East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville affecting Lafayette
  COUNTY 
  Turtle Creek Near Clinton affecting Rock COUNTY 
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...
  Fox River At Burlington affecting Racine COUNTY 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Kenosha AND Lake COUNTIES 
  Root River Canal At Raymond affecting Racine COUNTY 
  Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE affecting Rock COUNTY 
 

&& 
WIC105-131354-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-170713T2100Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.170712T1456Z.170712T1715Z.170713T1500Z.NO/
854 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 9.1 feet...Floodwaters affect property of a home on 
  South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4275 8910 4276 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC065-131354-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0038.170713T0507Z-170713T2024Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.170713T0507Z.170713T0600Z.170713T0824Z.NO/
854 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 11.2 feet by after midnight tomorrow.the 
  river will fall below flood stage by early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters cover a portion of Highway H 
  and floodwaters are into McKellar Park in Blanchardville.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4283 8992 4284 8984 4279 8981 4272 8984
      4272 8991 4279 8991

$$

WIC101-131354-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRGW3.3.ER.170712T1207Z.170713T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
854 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River At Burlington.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.5 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow then begin falling.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Riverside park in Burlington is flooded. 
  Floodwaters affect some streets adjacent to the river in 
  Burlington. A portion of Brever Road is flooded about 4 miles south
  of Burlington.

$$

WIC059-ILC097-131354-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.3.ER.170712T0823Z.170713T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
854 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet...This level is the 2 percent chance flood 
  meaning that there is a 2 percent chance of the river reaching this
  level in any given year. There is widespread flooding in the Town 
  of Salem and the Village of Silver Lake. Floodwaters are into the 
  lower levels of some homes in those areas.

$$

WIC101-131354-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0040.170713T0730Z-170715T1200Z/
/RAYW3.1.ER.170713T0730Z.170714T0000Z.170715T0000Z.NO/
854 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Root River Canal At Raymond.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 9.6 feet by tomorrow evening.the river 
  will fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...This level is the 20 percent chance flood 
  meaning there is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the river
  reaching this level. Floodwaters cover a baseball diamond on 6 Mile
  Road. There is extensive flooding to lowland and agricultural land.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4286 8803 4286 8798 4282 8796 4280 8796
       4279 8803 4282 8803

$$

WIC105-131354-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170715T0030Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.170713T0245Z.170713T1800Z.170714T1230Z.UU/
854 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turtle Creek Near Clinton.
* At  5:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 9.4 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 9.8 feet...This level is the 20 percent chance flood 
  meaning that there is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the 
  river reaching this level. There is widespread flooding of lowland 
  and agricultural land.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4268 8880 4253 8871 4249 8884 4250 8889
      4260 8899 4263 8885

$$

WIC105-131354-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0041.170713T1300Z-170715T0712Z/
/BOIW3.1.ER.170713T1300Z.170714T0600Z.170715T0112Z.UU/
854 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE.
* At  8:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 8.5 feet by early Friday morning.the river will 
  fall below flood stage by Friday evening.
* Impact...At 7.8 feet...Floodwaters are in the back yards of some 
  homes on East Ridge Road, Mocassin Drive, and in the Turtle Creek 
  subdivision.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4256 8903 4254 8896 4251 8896 4250 8897
      4251 8907 4253 8905

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Thu  Fri  Sat  Sun
Blanchardville  11.0   9.0   9.83 07 PM 07/12   9.4  5.9  5.6  5.6
New Munster     11.0  10.0  15.86 08 PM 07/12  17.4 16.6 15.9 15.2
Afton            9.0   8.0   8.79 07 PM 07/12   8.7  8.4  8.4  8.5
Raymond          9.0   7.0   8.46 07 PM 07/12   9.6  9.0  7.3  6.4
Burlington      11.0   9.0  15.94 09 PM 07/12  16.1 14.6 13.5 12.7
Clinton          8.0   6.0   4.39 05 AM 07/12   9.3  6.4  5.3  4.8
Beloit-1 SE      7.5   6.0   6.30 09 PM 07/12   8.3  7.6  5.7  5.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Blanchardville   9.83  07 PM 07/12    4.22      11.20 01 AM 07/13
Afton            9.10  12 PM 07/12    0.39       9.10 07 AM 07/13
Raymond          8.46  07 PM 07/12    2.34       9.60 07 PM 07/13
Burlington      15.94  09 PM 07/12    7.41      16.50 01 AM 07/13
New Munster     15.62  07 PM 07/12    5.95      17.50 07 AM 07/13
Clinton          4.39  05 AM 07/12    0.21       9.40 01 PM 07/13
Beloit-1 SE      4.87  10 AM 07/12       M       8.50 01 AM 07/14

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through August.

Blanchardville: 7 pm-1 am  Wed Jul 12  0.12
Blanchardville: 1 am-7 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00

New Munster: 7 pm-1 am  Wed Jul 12  0.22
New Munster: midn-6 am  Thu Jul 13  0.06
New Munster: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.01
New Munster: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
New Munster: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
New Munster: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
New Munster: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00

Afton: 7 pm-1 am  Wed Jul 12  0.19
Afton: 1 am-7 am  Thu Jul 13  0.03
Afton: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Afton: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Afton: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Afton: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Afton: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Afton: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00

Raymond: 7 pm-1 am  Wed Jul 12  0.24
Raymond: 1 am-7 am  Thu Jul 13  0.06
Raymond: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Raymond: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Raymond: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Raymond: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00

Burlington: 7 pm-1 am  Wed Jul 12  0.23
Burlington: 1 am-7 am  Thu Jul 13  0.06
Burlington: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Burlington: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Burlington: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Burlington: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00

Clinton: 7 pm-1 am  Wed Jul 12  0.22
Clinton: 1 am-7 am  Thu Jul 13  0.05
Clinton: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00

Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Wed Jul 12  0.22
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Thu Jul 13  0.05
Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00

HAHN
132 
WGUS83 KMKX 130950
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
450 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville affecting Lafayette
  COUNTY 
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...

  Fox River At Burlington affecting Racine COUNTY 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Kenosha AND Lake COUNTIES 
  Root River Canal At Raymond affecting Racine COUNTY 
  Turtle Creek Near Clinton affecting Rock COUNTY 
  Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE affecting Rock COUNTY 
 
&& 
WIC065-132150-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-170714T0412Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.170713T0730Z.170713T1200Z.170713T1612Z.NO/
450 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville.
* At  3:00 AM Thursday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters cover a portion of Highway H 
  and floodwaters are into McKellar Park in Blanchardville.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4283 8992 4284 8984 4279 8981 4272 8984
      4272 8991 4279 8991

$$

WIC101-132150-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BRGW3.3.ER.170712T1207Z.170713T0745Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
450 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River At Burlington.
* At  3:45 AM Thursday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 15.1 feet 
  by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Riverside park in Burlington is flooded. 
  Floodwaters affect some streets adjacent to the river in 
  Burlington. A portion of Brever Road is flooded about 4 miles south
  of Burlington.

$$

WIC059-ILC097-132150-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.3.ER.170712T0823Z.170713T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
450 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  4:00 AM Thursday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by this
  morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet...This level is the 2 percent chance flood 
  meaning that there is a 2 percent chance of the river reaching this
  level in any given year. There is widespread flooding in the Town 
  of Salem and the Village of Silver Lake. Floodwaters are into the 
  lower levels of some homes in those areas.

$$

WIC101-132150-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-170715T1200Z/
/RAYW3.1.ER.170713T0655Z.170714T0000Z.170715T0000Z.NO/
450 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Root River Canal At Raymond.
* At  3:00 AM Thursday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.6 feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...This level is the 20 percent chance flood 
  meaning there is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the river
  reaching this level. Floodwaters cover a baseball diamond on 6 Mile
  Road. There is extensive flooding to lowland and agricultural land.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4286 8803 4286 8798 4282 8796 4280 8796
       4279 8803 4282 8803

$$

WIC105-132150-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170715T0030Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.170713T0530Z.170713T1800Z.170714T1230Z.UU/
450 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turtle Creek Near Clinton.
* At  5:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight this morning 
  and continue to rise to near 9.4 feet by this afternoon.the river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 9.8 feet...This level is the 20 percent chance flood 
  meaning that there is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the 
  river reaching this level. There is widespread flooding of lowland 
  and agricultural land.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4268 8880 4253 8871 4249 8884 4250 8889
      4260 8899 4263 8885

$$

WIC105-132150-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0041.170713T1300Z-170715T0712Z/
/BOIW3.1.ER.170713T1300Z.170714T0600Z.170715T0112Z.UU/
450 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE.
* At  4:45 AM Thursday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 8.5 feet by after midnight tomorrow.the river will 
  fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 7.8 feet...Floodwaters are in the back yards of some 
  homes on East Ridge Road, Mocassin Drive, and in the Turtle Creek 
  subdivision.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4256 8903 4254 8896 4251 8896 4250 8897
      4251 8907 4253 8905

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Fri  Sat  Sun  Mon
Blanchardville  11.0   9.0  11.03 03 AM 07/13   9.9  5.9  5.6  5.6
New Munster     11.0  10.0  17.11 04 AM 07/13  17.4 16.6 15.9 15.2
Raymond          9.0   7.0   9.10 03 AM 07/13   9.6  9.0  7.3  6.4
Burlington      11.0   9.0  16.08 04 AM 07/13  15.6 14.6 13.5 12.7
Clinton          8.0   6.0   4.39 05 AM 07/12   9.3  6.4  5.3  4.8
Beloit-1 SE      7.5   6.0   6.48 05 AM 07/13   8.3  7.6  5.7  5.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Blanchardville  11.03  03 AM 07/13    5.35      11.21 07 AM 07/13
Raymond          9.11  03 AM 07/13    3.54       9.60 07 PM 07/13
Burlington      16.15  03 AM 07/13    6.03      16.04 07 AM 07/13
New Munster     15.98  08 PM 07/12    6.33      17.50 07 AM 07/13
Clinton          4.39  05 AM 07/12    0.21       9.40 01 PM 07/13
Beloit-1 SE      4.87  10 AM 07/12       M       8.50 01 AM 07/14

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through August.

Blanchardville: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.12
Blanchardville: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 am-1 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 pm-7 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00

New Munster: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.22
New Munster: midn-6 am  Fri Jul 14  0.06
New Munster: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.01
New Munster: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
New Munster: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00
New Munster: 7 am-1 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00
New Munster: 1 pm-7 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Raymond: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.24
Raymond: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.06
Raymond: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Raymond: 7 am-1 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Raymond: 1 pm-7 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Burlington: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.23
Burlington: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.06
Burlington: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Burlington: 7 am-1 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Burlington: 1 pm-7 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Clinton: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.22
Clinton: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.05
Clinton: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Clinton: 7 am-1 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Clinton: 1 pm-7 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.22
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.05
Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Sat Jul 15  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00
125 
WGUS83 KMKX 131509
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1009 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...


  Fox River
    at Waukesha
    near New Munster
    at Burlington
    
  Turtle Creek
    near Clinton
    at Beloit-1 SE
    
  East Branch Pecatonica River
    near Blanchardville
    
  Root River Canal
    at Raymond 
 

&& 

WIC133-140309-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WKEW3.1.ER.170713T1000Z.170714T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River At Waukesha.
* At 8 AM Thursday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Water spreads into parks and lowland areas 
  in the city of Waukesha. At this level, there are no known flooding
  effects to homes or streets.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4304 8824 4304 8817 4300 8821 4297 8823 4300 8832 4302 8826

$$

WIC101-140309-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-170720T0300Z/
/BRGW3.3.ER.170712T1207Z.170713T0745Z.170719T2100Z.NR/
1009 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River At Burlington.
* At 8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river crested at 16.15 feet last night around midnight
  and is forecast to fall to near flood stage Wednesday.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4277 8832 4277 8812 4269 8815 4262 8813 4262 8832 4267 8838

$$

WIC059-ILC097-140309-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NMSW3.3.ER.170712T0823Z.170714T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1009 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near 17.6 feet this
  evening.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet...There is widespread flooding in the Town 
  of Salem and the Village of Silver Lake. Floodwaters are into the 
  lower levels of some homes in those areas.

$$

WIC105-140309-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170714T1920Z/
/CLIW3.1.ER.170713T1211Z.170713T1800Z.170714T0720Z.UU/
1009 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turtle Creek Near Clinton.
* The 7 AM estimated stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near 8.8 feet this 
  afternoon and fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 8.3 feet...There is flooding of agricultural land and 
  lowland.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4268 8880 4253 8871 4249 8884 4250 8889 4260 8899 4263 8885

$$

WIC105-140309-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170715T0600Z/
/BOIW3.1.ER.170714T0000Z.170714T1200Z.170715T0000Z.UU/
1009 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE.
* At 9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 6.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to rise above flood stage this
  evening, crest near 8.0 feet Friday morning and fall below
  flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 7.8 feet...Floodwaters are in the back yards of some 
  homes on East Ridge Road, Mocassin Drive, and in the Turtle Creek 
  subdivision.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4256 8903 4254 8896 4251 8896 4250 8897 4251 8907 4253 8905

$$

WIC065-140309-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-170715T0515Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.170713T0730Z.170714T0000Z.170714T1715Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville.
* At 8 AM Thursday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near 12.4 feet this
  evening and fall below flood stage Friday.
* Impact...At 12.8 feet...Water covers a portion of Highway H and 
  floodwaters are into McKellar Park in Blanchardville.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4283 8992 4284 8984 4279 8981 4272 8984 4272 8991 4279 8991

$$

WIC101-140309-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-170715T1200Z/
/RAYW3.1.ER.170713T0655Z.170714T0000Z.170715T0000Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Root River Canal At Raymond.
* At 8 AM Thursday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near 9.7 feet this 
  evening and  fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...Floodwaters cover a baseball diamond on
  6 Mile Road. There is extensive flooding to lowland and agricultural land.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4286 8803 4286 8798 4282 8796 4280 8796 4279 8803 4282 8803

$$
&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 7 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Thu  Fri  Sat  Sun

Blanchardville  11.0   9.0  11.52 08 AM 07/13  12.4  9.8  6.2  6.1
New Munster     11.0  10.0  17.36 09 AM 07/13  17.6 17.0 16.2 15.4
Raymond          9.0   7.0   9.40 08 AM 07/13   9.7  9.0  7.6  6.2
Burlington      11.0   9.0  15.89 09 AM 07/13  15.6 14.4 13.3 12.6
Clinton          8.0   6.0   4.39 05 AM 07/12   8.7  6.1  5.1  4.8
Beloit-1 SE      7.5   6.0   6.37 10 AM 07/13   7.5  7.5  5.8  5.0
Waukesha         6.0   5.0   6.07 08 AM 07/13   not a forecast point

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days

Blanchardville  11.52  08 AM 07/13    5.43      12.40 07 PM 07/13
Raymond          9.41  08 AM 07/13    3.43       9.70 07 PM 07/13
Burlington      16.15  03 AM 07/13    4.09      15.80 01 PM 07/13
New Munster     17.32  08 AM 07/13    4.95      17.60 07 PM 07/13
Clinton          4.39  05 AM 07/12    0.21       8.80 01 PM 07/13
Beloit-1 SE      4.87  10 AM 07/12       M       8.00 07 AM 07/14
Waukesha         6.98  04 AM 07/12    0.80      ..Not available..

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from September through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through August.

Blanchardville: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Blanchardville: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00

New Munster: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
New Munster: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
New Munster: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
New Munster: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
New Munster: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
New Munster: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Raymond: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Raymond: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Raymond: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Raymond: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Raymond: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Waukesha: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Waukesha: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Waukesha: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Waukesha: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Waukesha: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Waukesha: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Waukesha: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Waukesha: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Burlington: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Burlington: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Burlington: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Burlington: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Burlington: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Clinton: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00
639 
WGUS83 KMKX 132143
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
443 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

...The Food Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  Turtle Creek Near Clinton affecting Rock COUNTY
  Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE affecting Rock COUNTY
 

&& 
WIC105-132213-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170714T1920Z/
/CLIW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
443 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Turtle Creek Near Clinton.
* At  3:00 PM Thursday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 6.2 feet. The 
  river will fall to 5.1 feet by .
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...There is minor lowland flooding

&&
 
LAT...LON 4268 8880 4253 8871 4249 8884 4250 8889
      4260 8899 4263 8885

$$

WIC105-132213-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170715T0600Z/
/BOIW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
443 PM CDT THU JUL 13 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Turtle Creek at Beloit-1 SE.
* At 10:20 AM Wednesday the stage was 4.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.5 feet.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...There is minor lowland flooding in the 
  Beloit area.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4256 8903 4254 8896 4251 8896 4250 8897
      4251 8907 4253 8905

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 7 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Thu  Fri  Sat  Sun
Clinton          8.0   6.0   6.23 03 PM 07/13   5.9  4.9  4.8  4.7
Beloit-1 SE      7.5   6.0   4.87 10 AM 07/12   6.1  5.1  4.8  4.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Clinton          6.23  03 PM 07/13       M       5.90 07 PM 07/13
Beloit-1 SE      4.87  10 AM 07/12       M       6.10 07 PM 07/13

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from September through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through August.

Clinton: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Clinton: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Clinton: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00

Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 pm-7 pm  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Thu Jul 13  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 am-1 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 pm-7 pm  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 7 pm-1 am  Fri Jul 14  0.00
Beloit-1 SE: 1 am-7 am  Sat Jul 15  0.00

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 12, 8:33 PM CDT, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 8:33 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
833 PM CDT Wed Jul 12 2017

.UPDATE...

The two active areas of storms suggests southern Wisconsin may
shoot the gap and escape another round of storms tonight. But,
don't take it to the bank just yet. The storms to the north, close
to Marquette, Green Lake and Waushara counties is in a better
area of deep layer shear and instability, coupled with frontal
convergence. The other area is across far eastern Iowa moving into
northwest Illinois. This is in a more thermodynamically
supportive region, but the shear is very weak. The short range
guidance continues to show very little activity moving through
southern Wisconsin this evening. CIN/capping does increase
steadily through the evening. But, we still have a front moving
through with decent instability, even if it is elevated. So, we
can't rule out any storms until we clear the front out of here.
That will happen shortly after midnight for southeast WI. For now,
trends are very encouraging for the flooded areas in southern
Wisconsin.

&&

.MARINE...

Winds and waves are expected to remain below small craft advisory
levels through the weekend.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 625 PM CDT Wed Jul 12 2017)

UPDATE...
Discrete storms are developing along the advancing cold front
stretching from northeast to southwest WI early this evening.
Convergence along the front is rather weak, but the instability is
very large and effective deep layer shear is around 40 kts. Short
range guidance suggests these storms may stay more discrete vs a
larger line of multicellular stuff. We'll see how this evolves
with time. During the past 24hrs the short range guidance has
really struggled. We should see this activity continue through the
evening and expand quickly. The atmosphere is certainly primed.
Timing-wise, it should get into Madison by 8 pm and exit by 10 pm
or so. If it survives, it would get to Milwaukee closer to 10 pm.

AVIATION(00Z TAFS)...

Generally, VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. We
do expect a band of showers and storms to move through southern
Wisconsin traverses the area this evening, reaching KMSN about
8-9 pm and KMKE around 10 pm, then exiting within 2 hours after
arrival. As always, we could see brief IFR/MVFR CIGS/VSBYS with
the strong activity. Look for winds to shift to the northwest with
the passage of the cold front.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 338 PM CDT Wed Jul 12 2017)

SHORT TERM...

Tonight and Thursday...Forecast confidence is medium to high:

Sunshine continues to increase this afternoon. This is allowing
the atmosphere to recover, with CAPE values on the rise. Upstream
ML CAPE values are 2K-4K J/KG over northeast IA and southeast MN
ahead of the approaching low and associated cold front. Plenty of
moisture remains in the area, with precipitable water values of
around 2 inches. 0-6 km shear isn't particularly impressive,
around 25-30 kt. Should be enough though given the high
instability for a severe storm threat. SPC is maintaining a Slight
Risk for severe storms across the area.

Current model timing suggests storms could develop/arrive in the
western forecast area between 5 and 7 pm. The chance for storms
will then progress across the forecast area through the evening
hours, with the threat ending southeast toward midnight. Given the
progressive nature of the front and expected average storm motion
of around 30-40 mph, the threat for additional widespread
flooding should be on the low end. Individual storms or clusters
of storms could still produce locally heavy rainfall.

Should be mainly quiet overnight after the storms wind down, with
dry weather expected for most of Thursday. There will be some
lingering moisture and instability, so an isolated shower/storm is
not out of the question southeast half of the forecast area late
morning into early afternoon.

Between a fair amount of cloudiness tomorrow and cooler temps
aloft, should see highs mainly in the mid to upper 70s.

Thursday night through Saturday night...Forecast confidence high.

Nly winds and cold advection will be underway for Thu nt and will
linger into Fri. The associated upper trough will track across
the nrn Great Lakes into the Lower Great Lakes during this time
followed by sfc high pressure from MN to IA. Broken stratocumulus
will likely continue Thu nt into Fri with the relatively cool air
aloft. The high will then move to IL and IN for Sat with swly
winds and warm advection for srn WI. A cold front will then pass
Sat nt with chances of showers & tstorms. Slightly below normal
temps are forecast for Fri followed by warm temps for Sat.

LONG TERM...

Sunday through Wednesday...Forecast confidence medium.

Nely sfc flow and cooler temps will prevail for Sun followed by
high pressure for Mon as an upper trough tracks from the nrn Great
Lakes to the Lower Great Lakes. Very warm and humid conditions
will then return for Tue-Wed with a cold frontal possibly stalling
in the vicinity of srn WI for Wed-Thu.

AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...

An approaching low and associated cold front may kick off more
storms late afternoon into the evening, some of which may be
severe. Storms are expected to fire 22-00Z in the west, winding
down in the southeast by midnight.

Looks mainly dry Thursday, though could be an isolated
shower/storm late morning into early afternoon.

Expect lower ceilings and visibilities with thunderstorms. Also,
could see a period of MVFR ceilings behind the cold front later
tonight into at least early Thursday afternoon.

MARINE...

Southwest winds may gust to around 20 knots today through late
afternoon, but are expected to stay below Small Craft Advisory
limits. More storms are possible this evening, some of which may
be severe.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...None.
&&

Update...Davis
Tonight/Thursday and Aviation/Marine...DDV
Thursday Night through Wednesday...Gehring
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 3:47 PM CDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
347 PM CDT Wed Jul 12 2017

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-132100-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
347 PM CDT Wed Jul 12 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin, and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Another round of scattered thunderstorms is expected from late
afternoon through the evening hours. A few storms could be severe
with damaging winds and large hail being the primary threats. A
tornado or two is possible. There is a small threat of flash
flooding with this new round of storms. The storms will be moving
quickly which will limit the threat of flash flooding. The most
susceptible area for flash flooding would be Walworth, Racine, and
Kenosha Counties but also including any large urban areas over
southern Wisconsin.

The Heat Index is expected to climb into the 90s this afternoon
and early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday

There is a chance of thunderstorms Thursday morning, Saturday
night and Tuesday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later this afternoon and this
evening. Rainfall and flooding reports are appreciated.

LMZ643>646-132100-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
347 PM CDT Wed Jul 12 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

More scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening over the
western near shore of Lake Michigan. Some of these storms could be
severe with damaging winds and large hail. A waterspout cannot be
ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Wednesday

There is a chance of thunderstorms Thursday morning, Saturday
night and again Tuesday afternoon.

www.weather.gov/mkx

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 12, 3:48 PM CDT, 5 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
348 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0348 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SSE PADDOCK LAKE      42.55N 88.09W
07/12/2017  M7.54 INCH       KENOSHA            WI   PUBLIC

            UPDATED STORM TOTAL. MONTGOMERY LAKE
            PERSONAL WEATHER STATION.

&&

SPM
Local storm report, Jul 12, 3:56 PM CDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
356 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE LAKE GENEVA       42.63N 88.39W
07/12/2017  M7.60 INCH       WALWORTH           WI   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL AT WHITE RIVER PERSONAL WEATHER
            STATION.

&&

SPM
Local storm report, Jul 12, 4:50 PM CDT, 4 hours 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
450 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0449 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 WSW BURLINGTON        42.65N 88.36W
07/12/2017  M8.09 INCH       WALWORTH           WI   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL AT LYONS PERSONAL WEATHER
            STATION.

&&

SPM
Special weather statement, Jul 12, 7:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
722 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

WIZ046-130100-
Marquette-
722 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MARQUETTE COUNTY...

At 721 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located 8 miles south of
Dellwood, or 9 miles northeast of Mauston, moving northeast at 45
mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4377 8921 4376 8925 4364 8925 4364 8960
      4398 8960 4398 8920
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 239DEG 40KT 4386 8991

SPM
Special weather statement, Jul 12, 7:55 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
755 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

WIZ046-130130-
Marquette-
755 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MARQUETTE COUNTY...

At 754 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Westfield, or
15 miles southeast of Friendship, moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Westfield, Lawrence, Oxford, Neshkoro, Springfield Corners and
Harrisville.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4391 8917 4375 8960 4398 8960 4398 8917
TIME...MOT...LOC 0054Z 252DEG 25KT 4385 8956

SPM
Special weather statement, Jul 12, 8:26 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
826 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

WIZ046-047-130200-
Marquette-Green Lake-
826 PM CDT WED JUL 12 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN GREEN LAKE
COUNTY...

At 826 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located north of Princeton,
or 8 miles west of Berlin, moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Berlin and Neshkoro.

LAT...LON 4390 8889 4388 8914 4398 8924 4398 8889
TIME...MOT...LOC 0126Z 252DEG 24KT 4394 8912

SPM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 12, 7:22 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXMarquette38 min
Jul 12, 7:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXMarquette35 min
Jul 12, 8:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMKXMarquette24 min
Jul 12, 8:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMKXGreen Lake34 min
Jul 12, 8:42 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXRacine67 hr
Jul 13, 4:47 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMKXWaukesha24 hr
Jul 13, 4:05 PM CDTRiver Flood WatchMKXJefferson24 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.