Alert archive / New Mexico / Special Weather Statements in 2017
Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at May 9, 2017, 6:07 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 9, 2017, 6:07 PM MDT (00:07 UTC)
- Expired
- May 9, 2017, 7:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 53 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
County Eddy County, NM
The radar
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 189 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 203 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 929 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -88 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1712 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 56 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 2.5
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 9, 6:07 PM MDT, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 9, 6:07 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 707 PM CDT Tue May 9 2017 .DISCUSSION... && .AVIATION... Have storms ongoing across SE NM and may spread to other TAF sites overnight. Very gusty wind near any storm with hail possible. Wind speeds should stay up overnight. Expect low clouds with MVFR cigs to return in the morning. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 329 PM CDT Tue May 9 2017/ UPDATE... See public discussion below. DISCUSSION... Will update the public products for tornado watch box # 200 for southeast New Mexico and portions of west Texas until 04z Wednesday. updated products to be sent shortly. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 256 PM CDT Tue May 9 2017/ DISCUSSION... Thunderstorms have begun to develop this afternoon, with more extensive development anticipated this evening, and the potential for widespread severe thunderstorms capable of all severe threats. The risk of severe weather will shift east on Wednesday, with the potential for thunderstorms continuing across the far southeastern CWA in the vicinity of Terrell county Wednesday night. Near/below normal temperatures and dry conditions are then expected through the end of the week, emphasized by a cold front Thursday night. Above normal temperatures will then return for the upcoming weekend into early next week. Per visible satellite imagery and observations, the low cloud deck from this morning has eroded to the east, with a scattered cumulus field developing in its wake across the Permian Basin, Southeast New Mexico, and the Lower Trans Pecos. The first thunderstorms of the day have developed in western Eddy county, with additional agitated cumulus development extending southward into Culberson county. Dewpoints across the area have climbed into the 50s east of higher terrain, with CAPE values steadily increasing to the 1500-2000 J/kg range for most of the area. Instability will continue to increase through the afternoon, with additional storms anticipated across southeastern New Mexico and perhaps the western Permian Basin/Upper Trans Pecos through early this evening. 0-6 km bulk shear values have already reached 50-60kt across the west, with these higher shear values expected to expand areawide through tonight. Latest water vapor imagery shows that the low that has been churning over Baja has now lifted to the Arizona/Mexico border, and will continue lifting northeastward into New Mexico over the next 24 hours. In response to this, height falls are overspreading the area, and given a strong 125kt 300mb jet rounding the base of the trough, lift is going to continue to be amplified through this evening and tonight. Between 00-03Z (700PM-1000PM CDT), CAPE values are expected to exceed 2000 J/kg for all but far western portions of the area behind a rapidly sharpening dryline, which is progged to develop in the vicinity of the Eddy/Lea county line, extending southward to the Rio Grande. Maximized CAPE values over 2500 J/kg are progged across portions of the Upper Trans Pecos and southeastern New Mexico at that time, and models are in good agreement that multiple rounds of convection will occur in this area. Given the amount of shear and instability, the initial storm mode is expected to be supercells, and with midlevel lapse rates of 8-9C/km, very large hail will be possible, along with damaging winds, and heavy rainfall. Tornadoes will also be possible, especially with cells that remain discrete. Storm motion will be northeasterly, and while discrete cells look to persist through the evening, guidance indicates that storms will develop into multicellular clusters and eventually a linear MCS overnight, trekking eastward across the Trans Pecos and Permian Basin through the early morning. On Wednesday, the severe threat will shift east, with thunderstorms remaining possible across the far eastern Permian Basin and the Lower Trans Pecos Wednesday and Wednesday night. Much drier air will filter into the region in the wake of this system, as the low lifts into the Northern Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles by Wednesday evening. Temperatures will remain near and below normal Wednesday and Thursday, and as the low moves toward the Mississippi Valley Thursday night, a trailing cold front will move through the area. Friday looks to be the coolest day, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s for all but the Rio Grande Valley. A warm up is expected this weekend as ridging develops over the area, with highs returning to the upper 80s and 90s for most locations, and the potential for diurnally driven thunderstorms over the higher terrain, and perhaps into the Permian Basin on Sunday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 65 84 56 86 / 40 10 10 0 Carlsbad 54 78 52 84 / 40 10 10 0 Dryden 64 91 64 89 / 40 10 40 0 Fort Stockton 58 85 56 86 / 30 10 10 0 Guadalupe Pass 48 67 50 77 / 20 10 0 0 Hobbs 53 74 50 79 / 70 10 10 0 Marfa 46 75 42 79 / 20 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 61 82 56 85 / 50 10 10 0 Odessa 62 81 56 84 / 50 10 10 0 Wink 56 81 52 86 / 50 10 10 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 9, 12:37 PM MDT, 5 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 137 PM CDT Tue May 9 2017 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-101845- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos- Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan- Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau- Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains- 137 PM CDT Tue May 9 2017 /1237 PM MDT Tue May 9 2017/ This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT Thunderstorm are possible this afternoon and tonight. Any storms that do develop may be severe, and accompanied by frequent lightning, large hail, damaging winds, and brief, heavy rainfall. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY There is a chance of thunderstorms across the far eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos Wednesday and Wednesday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is likely. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... http://weather.gov/midland 44
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 9, 4:58 PM MDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
458 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017
NMZ028-029-033-100000-
Eddy County Plains NM-Northern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM-
458 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN EDDY AND
NORTHWESTERN LEA COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM MDT...
At 458 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles northeast of Avalon, or 19 miles northeast of Carlsbad, moving
northeast at 45 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Maljamar, Halfway, Loco Hills and Lea County Zip Franklin Memorial
Airport.
A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for southeastern
New Mexico.
LAT...LON 3301 10338 3245 10378 3256 10412 3297 10397
3297 10377 3323 10377 3332 10355
TIME...MOT...LOC 2258Z 206DEG 49KT 3259 10400
67Special weather statement, May 9, 5:43 PM MDT, 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 543 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017 NMZ028-100045- Eddy County Plains NM- 543 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL EDDY COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM MDT... At 543 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Carlsbad, moving north at 15 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Carlsbad, Avalon, Living Desert State Park, Carlsbad North, Lake Avalon, Otis and Cavern City Air Terminal. A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for southeastern New Mexico. LAT...LON 3227 10419 3229 10437 3259 10435 3256 10404 TIME...MOT...LOC 2343Z 191DEG 13KT 3234 10426 67
Special weather statement, May 9, 5:54 PM MDT, 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
554 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017
NMZ029-100045-
Northern Lea County NM-
554 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LEA COUNTY UNTIL 645
PM MDT...
At 554 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Caprock, or 15 miles west of Tatum, moving north
at 45 mph.
Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Caprock and Crossroads.
A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for southeastern
New Mexico.
LAT...LON 3309 10339 3307 10377 3340 10377 3340 10372
3357 10372 3357 10326
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 175DEG 40KT 3332 10356
67Local storm report, May 9, 5:56 PM MDT, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
656 PM CDT TUE MAY 09 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0654 PM HAIL 2 WSW CARLSBAD 32.39N 104.27W
05/09/2017 E1.00 INCH Eddy NM TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
RHLUCHANSpecial weather statement, May 9, 5:59 PM MDT, 8 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 559 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017 NMZ029-033-100045- Northern Lea County NM-Central Lea County NM- 559 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL LEA COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM MDT... At 558 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11 miles southwest of Buckeye, or 24 miles southwest of Lovington, moving northeast at 30 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Lovington and Buckeye. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service office in Midland. && A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for southeastern New Mexico. LAT...LON 3262 10369 3268 10380 3304 10367 3291 10331 TIME...MOT...LOC 2358Z 202DEG 26KT 3271 10367 44
Special weather statement, May 9, 6:07 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 607 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017 NMZ028-100100- Eddy County Plains NM- 607 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN EDDY COUNTY UNTIL 700 PM MDT... At 607 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Avalon, or 10 miles north of Carlsbad, moving northeast at 45 mph. Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Artesia, Loco Hills, Cottonwood, Avalon, Lakewood, Brantley Lake State Park, Lea County Zip Franklin Memorial Airport, Atoka, Lake Avalon and Dayton. A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for southeastern New Mexico. LAT...LON 3296 10387 3247 10413 3248 10437 3297 10442 TIME...MOT...LOC 0007Z 204DEG 37KT 3254 10420 67
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 6:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Gaines | 28 min |
| May 9, 8:16 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | 44 min | |
| May 9, 11:20 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Loving, Reeves | 25 min |
| May 9, 11:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler | 26 min |
| May 9, 11:46 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Loving | 44 min |
| May 10, 12:20 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | 55 min | |
| May 10, 12:39 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Andrews, Gaines, Winkler | 51 min |
| May 10, 1:29 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | 46 min | |
| May 10, 1:31 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Andrews, Gaines | 44 min |
| May 9, 6:47 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Lea | 58 min |
| May 9, 6:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 63 min |
| May 9, 7:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Lea | 20 min |
| May 9, 9:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 57 min |
| May 9, 10:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 63 min |
| May 10, 12:01 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Eddy | 44 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in New Mexico, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.