Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

March 28, 2017Jeff Davis County, Reeves County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Mar 28, 2017, 5:13 PM CDT for Jeff Davis County, Reeves County, Texas. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 28, 2017, 5:13 PM CDT (22:13 UTC)
Expired: Mar 28, 2017, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Counties Jeff Davis County, TX, Reeves County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 209 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1482 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -151 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 784 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 125 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.3
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 28, 3:03 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 3:03 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
303 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Active weather pattern is expected through this evening as a
strong upper level storm system tracks through New Mexico. Strong
lift and instability ahead of the upper low and dryline/cold front
will produce thunderstorms across portions of southeast New Mexico
near the upper low, and especially across the central and eastern
portions of the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos ahead of the
dryline/cold front. Some of the storms will be severe the remainder
of this afternoon and this evening in the eastern Permian Basin
ahead of the dryline and cold front as strong instability and lift
interact with a strongly sheared atmosphere. In addition, winds
will increase significantly across the mountains and the plains
immediate adjacent to the mountains behind a dryline surge. Will
continue the High Wind Warning through 8 pm MDT for the Guadalupe
Mountains and the Wind Advisory for the southeast New Mexico
Plains, Upper Trans Pecos, Van Horn Highway 54 Corridor, Davis
Mountains and Marfa Plateau.

Conditions should improve significantly after midnight as the dry
line/cold front moves into central texas and winds diminish with
nocturnal cooling.

The upper low is forecast to track slowly across the Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles on Wednesday. Much cooler and below normal
temperatures are expected across southeast New Mexico and much
of west Texas behind the cold front. There will also be a chance
of wraparound cyclonic showers across southeast New Mexico and the
northern and central Permian Basin associated with the upper low.
It will be windy again across the region and Wind Advisories will
probably be needed across portions of the forecast area.

Beyond Wednesday above normal temperatures are expected to resume
again. Another Pacific storm system will approach the region
Friday and will only slowly move through the forecast area
Saturday and Sunday. There are model differences in the track and
intensity of this upper low. However it appears that the bulk of
the precipitation with this system will track east of the forecast
area. At this time it appears that winds will be the main concerns
with this system with breezy to windy conditions developing.

Another system is forecast to track across the central or southern
Plains early to the middle of next week. This system also looks
like it will be mainly a wind producer as well.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Will continue the Red Flag Warning through mid evening along and
west of a Seminole to Fort Stockton line. As an upper level storm
system approaches New Mexico late today the associated surface dryline
is sharpening. 20 foot winds of 20 mph or greater are beginning to
materialize in the warning area as the gradient increases. Min rh/s
are a bit more problematic as some areas are currently struggling
to reach 15 percent or less. Will error on the side of caution
and continue the Red Flag Warning due to high temperatures 5-10
degrees above normal and fuels dry enough for high to very high
fire danger. In addition virga showers and dry lightning can not
be ruled out in the Warning area behind the dryline through early
this evening near the upper low.

Mainly poor to fair recovery is expected tonight. Cooler and more
moist conditions are expected tomorrow behind the cold front
across much of the region despite windy conditions expected. The
exceptions could be portions of the Lower Trans Pecos, Big Bend,
Presidio Valley. Later shifts will need to monitor these areas
for a possible Red Flag Warning or Fire Danger Statement.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     50  69  46  77 /  40  20  10   0
Carlsbad                       48  61  42  80 /  10  30  10   0
Dryden                         54  82  51  83 /  20   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  52  68  46  81 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 43  55  43  72 /   0  20   0   0
Hobbs                          45  53  40  75 /  10  30  10   0
Marfa                          42  67  37  76 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           50  65  47  77 /  20  10  10   0
Odessa                         50  61  45  78 /  20  10  10   0
Wink                           50  64  44  80 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Guadalupe
     Mountains-Southeast Plains.

     High Wind Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County.

     Wind Advisory until 8 PM MDT this evening for Central Lea County-
     Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea County-Southern Lea County.

TX...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for
     Andrews-Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Gaines-Guadalupe
     Mountains-Loving-Marfa Plateau-Pecos-Reeves County and
     Upper Trans Pecos-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Ward-
     Winkler.

     High Wind Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for Guadalupe
     Mountains.

     Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for
     Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Marfa Plateau-Van Horn and
     Highway 54 Corridor.

&&

44/12

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 2:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
200 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-291900-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
200 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017 /100 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Severe thunderstorms are likely over the upper Colorado River
Valley, eastern Permian Basin, Stockton Plateau, and lower Trans
Pecos through late this evening.  Large hail, damaging winds, and
frequent lightning are the main threats from any storms that do
develop.  A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect.

Warm, dry, and windy conditions will result in critical fire weather
conditions along and west of a Seminole to Fort Stockton line,
excluding the Guadalupe, Davis, and Apache Mountains through early
evening.  A Red Flag Warning is in effect.

Strong west winds will continue through the Guadalupe Mountains
through early evening.  A High Wind Warning is in effect.  Windy
conditions are also occurring across the Southeast New Mexico Plains,
Van Horn and the Highway 54 corridor, Marfa Plateau, and Davis and
Apache Mountains through early evening. A Wind Advisory is in
effect.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A few hours of critical fire weather conditions will be possible
along the Rio Grande Wednesday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested late this afternoon or this
evening.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 28, 3:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
351 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     HAIL             2 SE SNYDER             32.69N 100.89W
03/28/2017  E1.75 INCH       SCURRY             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

JULIE.PHILLIPSON

Local storm report, Mar 28, 3:56 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
356 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0309 PM     HAIL             4 N DUNN                32.63N 100.89W
03/28/2017  E1.00 INCH       SCURRY             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RHLUCHAN

Local storm report, Mar 28, 4:22 PM CDT, 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
422 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             9 SSW ST. LAWRENCE      31.58N 101.60W
03/28/2017  E1.00 INCH       REAGAN             TX   PUBLIC

&&

MSCHULDT

Local storm report, Mar 28, 4:42 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
442 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HAIL             5 SW ST. LAWRENCE       31.65N 101.60W
03/28/2017  E1.00 INCH       REAGAN             TX   PUBLIC

&&

RHLUCHAN

Special weather statement, Mar 28, 5:08 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
508 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

TXZ045-050-060>062-067-068-282300-
Midland TX-Andrews TX-Crane TX-Ector TX-Ward TX-Gaines TX-Winkler TX-
508 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ECTOR...ANDREWS...WARD...
NORTHWESTERN MIDLAND...SOUTHWESTERN GAINES...WINKLER AND NORTHWESTERN
CRANE COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 508 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms near
Monahans Sandhills State Park, or 11 miles northeast of Monahans,
moving northeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Odessa, Andrews, Monahans, Kermit, Wink, West Odessa, Wickett,
Thorntonville, Goldsmith, Pyote, Monahans Sandhills State Park,
Notrees, Frankel City, Penwell, Winkler County Airport, Florey, Roy
Hurd Memorial Airport, Odessa Schelemeyer Field, North Cowden and
Andrews County Airport.

THIS INCLUDES Interstate 20 between mile markers 52 and 113.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3282 10293 3255 10255 3198 10225 3141 10277
      3142 10336 3200 10318 3200 10306 3238 10307
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 222DEG 43KT 3172 10277

29

Special weather statement, Mar 28, 5:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
513 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

TXZ057-058-067-074-075-080-081-282300-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor TX-Pecos TX-
Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos TX-Ward TX-Big Bend Area TX-
Marfa Plateau TX-Davis/Apache Mountains Area TX-
513 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN PECOS...NORTHWESTERN
BREWSTER...REEVES...WEST CENTRAL WARD...JEFF DAVIS...NORTHEASTERN
PRESIDIO AND SOUTHEASTERN CULBERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 512 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a showers and isolated
thunderstorms producing very strong winds near Marfa, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pecos, Alpine, Marfa, Kent, Toyah, Fort Davis, Balmorhea, Barstow,
Valentine, Hovey, McDonald Observatory, Toyahvale, Saragosa,
Alpine-Casparis Municipal Airport, Davis Mountains State Park,
Verhalen, Boracho, Camp Mitre Peak, Balmorhea Lake and Marfa
Municipal Airport.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 between mile markers 161 and 237.
 Interstate 20 between mile markers 0 and 52.

LAT...LON 3171 10417 3140 10307 3012 10355 3047 10476
      3051 10477
TIME...MOT...LOC 2212Z 222DEG 43KT 3041 10397

29

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 28, 3:37 AM CDT	Red Flag Warning	MAF	Andrews, Gaines, Loving, Pecos, Ward, Winkler	17 hr
Mar 28, 3:41 AM CDT	High Wind Warning	MAF	Loving, Pecos, Ward, Winkler	18 hr
Mar 28, 3:41 AM CDT	Wind Advisory	MAF		15 hr
Mar 28, 1:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Glasscock	35 min
Mar 28, 1:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	45 min
Mar 28, 2:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Upton	44 min
Mar 28, 2:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	53 min
Mar 28, 2:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	45 min
Mar 28, 2:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Scurry	66 min
Mar 28, 2:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Howard, Mitchell	59 min
Mar 28, 2:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reagan, Upton	61 min
Mar 28, 3:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell, Scurry	33 min
Mar 28, 3:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Borden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry	112 min
Mar 28, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell, Scurry	65 min
Mar 28, 3:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Reagan	34 min
Mar 28, 4:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock	25 min
Mar 28, 5:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Ward, Winkler	52 min
Mar 28, 5:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Glasscock	59 min
Mar 28, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Glasscock, Reagan	62 min
Mar 28, 6:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Gaines, Martin, Winkler	45 min
Mar 28, 6:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler	42 min
Mar 28, 6:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	45 min
Mar 28, 6:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector, Glasscock, Martin, Midland, Upton	33 min
Mar 28, 6:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Borden, Dawson, Howard, Martin	68 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.