Severe Thunderstorm Warning 202, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

602 
WWUS54 KMAF 190036
SVSMAF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
736 PM CDT SUN JUN 18 2017

TXC371-383-461-190046-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0202.000000T0000Z-170619T0100Z/
Pecos TX-Reagan TX-Upton TX-
736 PM CDT SUN JUN 18 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL PECOS...
SOUTHWESTERN REAGAN AND SOUTHEASTERN UPTON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3108 10158 3108 10207 3107 10206 3100 10205
      3099 10198 3092 10188 3089 10189 3087 10186
      3084 10185 3101 10231 3105 10225 3103 10221
      3100 10219 3100 10214 3099 10208 3102 10206
      3107 10207 3109 10219 3127 10189 3120 10151
TIME...MOT...LOC 0035Z 070DEG 8KT 3116 10186 

$$

49

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
612 PM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
The cold front has moved s of FST, farther n post-frontal winds
are decreasing, which will be the trend into the night. Main
concern for tonight is the potential for low MVFR CIGS to develop
at MAF/HOB. Soundings from NAM12/RAP13 are insisting that CIGS
will develop with some hints in MOS data. As such we have included
TEMPO CIGS at MAF/HOB between 09Z-13Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 233 PM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017/

DISCUSSION...
The cold front came through this morning as expected, however the
trailing cool air mass was too not deep enough to prevent it from
mixing out and temperatures warming to near 100 degrees in
Midland/Odessa. Clouds and a deeper cold pool in the northern
Permian Basin have allowed temperatures to remain in the 80s and
even a few 70s, leaving me envious. The cooler air and clouds will
eventually push south tonight but the low clouds will burn off
tomorrow afternoon and we should heat back up to near normal for
this time of year, being only a few degrees cooler than today.
The ECMWF still shows a chance for precipitation tomorrow
afternoon and will continue the slight chance PoPs in the northern
CWA for this forecast.

Temperatures climb the remainder of this week prolonged southerly
flow advects in warmer air. Will keep an eye on the Gulf of Mexico
for the possibility of a tropical system developing and moving
into Texas, but at this time it does not appear as if it will have
any impact on our area except possibly making us even hotter than
currently forecast. All models are showing a cold front arriving
next weekend giving us our next chance for cooler weather and
precipitation.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     68  93  71  97 /  10  20  10   0
Carlsbad                       67  95  70 100 /   0  20  10   0
Dryden                         73  98  75  97 /   0  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  69  98  71  96 /   0  10  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 63  84  67  89 /   0  20  10   0
Hobbs                          63  93  67  96 /   0  20  10   0
Marfa                          61  92  63  89 /   0  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           68  94  72  97 /   0  20  10   0
Odessa                         68  95  72  97 /   0  20  10   0
Wink                           68  98  72  99 /   0  20  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
209 PM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-191915-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Reeves County and Upper Trans Pecos-
Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-
Davis/Apache Mountains Area-Pecos-Presidio Valley-Marfa Plateau-
Big Bend Area-Terrell-Guadalupe Mountains-
209 PM CDT Sun Jun 18 2017 /109 PM MDT Sun Jun 18 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
http://weather.gov/midland

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
519 PM CDT SUN JUN 18 2017

TXZ079-080-182300-
Presidio Valley TX-Marfa Plateau TX-
519 PM CDT SUN JUN 18 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN PRESIDIO COUNTY
UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 519 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms 11
miles northeast of Ruidosa, or 11 miles southeast of Candelaria,
moving southwest at 5 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Candelaria, Chinati Mountains and Ruidosa.

LAT...LON 3038 10444 2996 10439 2977 10457 2983 10462
      2983 10461 2989 10466 2990 10466 2992 10468
      2995 10467 2998 10469 3002 10469 3005 10471
      3008 10469 3018 10469 3023 10471 3026 10475
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 055DEG 5KT 3006 10452

27