Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Warnings in 2017

Tornado Warning 30, NWS Little Rock, AR

April 4, 2017Johnson County, Newton County, Searcy County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this tornado warning at Apr 4, 2017, 9:49 PM CDT for Johnson County, Newton County, Searcy County, Arkansas. It was in force for 26 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Apr 4, 2017, 9:49 PM CDT (02:49 UTC)
Expired
Apr 4, 2017, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.5 in

Counties Johnson County, AR, Newton County, AR, Searcy County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Apr 4, 9:54 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG1 Se Deer, ARTHIS IS A DELAYED REPORT. NEWTON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A PORCH WAS DAMAGED BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS NEAR DEER.
Apr 4, 9:55 PM CDTTSTM WND DMGDeer, ARA ROOF WAS REMOVED FROM A PORCH AT A HOME IN DEER.
Apr 4, 10:09 PM CDTTSTM WND DMG2 S Piercetown, AREM REPORTED TREES DOWN

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Apr 4, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-04-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 326 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-04-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 312 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
326 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1384 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
743 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
12.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

286 
WFUS54 KLZK 050249
TORLZK
ARC071-101-129-050315-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0030.170405T0249Z-170405T0315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
949 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017

The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Northeastern Johnson County in western Arkansas...
  Eastern Newton County in north central Arkansas...
  West central Searcy County in north central Arkansas...

* Until 1015 PM CDT
    
* At 948 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Dillen, or 16 miles south of Jasper, moving
  northeast at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Western Grove...                  Marsena...
  Eula...                           Piercetown...
  Dillen...                         Carver...
  Moore...                          Point Peter...
  Bass...                           Yardelle...
  Crossroad...                      Vendor...
  Gum Springs in Newton County...   Mt Judea...
  Deer...                           Snowball...
  Cowell...                         Nail...
  Hasty...                          Lurton...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3586 9271 3572 9305 3573 9316 3568 9316
      3566 9320 3578 9336 3612 9298
TIME...MOT...LOC 0248Z 227DEG 40KT 3577 9321 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN

$$

Brown
2 follow-up statements
265 
WWUS54 KLZK 050257
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
957 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017

ARC071-050306-
/O.CAN.KLZK.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170405T0315Z/
Johnson AR-
957 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of Johnson county. Therefore the warning is cancelled for that 
county.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 300 AM CDT for
western, central and north central Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3586 9271 3572 9305 3573 9324 3583 9330
      3612 9298
TIME...MOT...LOC 0256Z 227DEG 40KT 3583 9313 

$$

ARC101-129-050315-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170405T0315Z/
Newton AR-Searcy AR-
957 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
NEWTON AND WEST CENTRAL SEARCY COUNTIES...
    
At 956 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles north of Bertha, or 12 miles south of Jasper,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and ping pong ball size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Western Grove...                  Marsena...
Eula...                           Piercetown...
Carver...                         Moore...
Point Peter...                    Bass...
Yardelle...                       Crossroad...
Vendor...                         Gum Springs in Newton County...
Mt Judea...                       Deer...
Snowball...                       Cowell...
Hasty...                          Lurton...
Woolum Recreation Area...         Nail...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3586 9271 3572 9305 3573 9324 3583 9330
      3612 9298
TIME...MOT...LOC 0256Z 227DEG 40KT 3583 9313 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.50IN

$$

Brown
993 
WWUS54 KLZK 050305
SVSLZK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1005 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017

ARC101-129-050315-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0030.000000T0000Z-170405T0315Z/
Newton AR-Searcy AR-
1005 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
NEWTON AND WEST CENTRAL SEARCY COUNTIES...
    
At 1005 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Piercetown, or 11 miles southeast of Jasper, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. 

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely. 

Locations impacted include...
Western Grove...                  Marsena...
Eula...                           Piercetown...
Carver...                         Point Peter...
Bass...                           Yardelle...
Crossroad...                      Vendor...
Gum Springs in Newton County...   Mt Judea...
Snowball...                       Cowell...
Hasty...                          Woolum Recreation Area...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3586 9271 3577 9305 3580 9318 3590 9322
      3612 9298
TIME...MOT...LOC 0305Z 227DEG 40KT 3590 9304 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

Brown

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 4, 8:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 4, 8:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Update
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
830 PM CDT Tue Apr 2017

.Discussion...

Area of convection will gradually move east into the CWA this
evening and an isolated severe storm will be possible, with mainly
large hail and damaging winds the main threats. These storms were
associated with an upper low pressure storm system moving through
the region. Later tonight, the surface system and cold front will
move across AR and push the storms to eastern AR, then on Monday out
of AR. Some lighter convection may still be possible mainly over
northern AR before the entire system moves out of the region. Models
are consistent that winds will be elevated on Wednesday from the
west and be 10 to 20 mph with gusts around 30 mph over much of the
state, and a lake wind advisory will be issued for most of AR from
mid-morning to the evening. Late evening update will fine tune
convection chances, timing and include the lake wind advisory. (59)

&&

.Prev Discussion.../ Issued 620 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017/
.Aviation...

VFR flight conditions will start the forecast. An upper and surface
low pressure systems, as well as a cold front, with move across AR
tonight to Wednesday morning, and bring VFR ceilings with patchy
MVFR ceilings with showers and thunderstorms. The main area affected
will be northern AR. An isolated strong to severe storm may be seen.
Winds ahead of the system will be southeast at 5 to 15 mph with some
gusts to around 20 mph. Winds will become south to southwest later
tonight, then west to northwest behind the cold front. Winds will
remain elevated behind the front and be 10 to 25 mph with some gusts
around 30 to 35 mph on Wednesday. Most of the convection will push
east of AR during the day Wednesday. A low level jet will be present
this evening and early into the overnight, and some wind shear may
be seen at all Tafs. (59)

&&

.Prev Discussion.../ Issued 254 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017/

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday
19z subjective surface analysis indicates developing low pressure
between Lawton and Oklahoma City, with a warm front extending
northeastward to southwest Missouri. Strong pressure falls were
noted near and to the north of the warm front. Satellite imagery
indicates short amplitude yet potent short wave energy moving
northeast into southwest Oklahoma.

Convection is expected to develop quickly late this afternoon,
focused on the warm frontal boundary. Forecast storm motion vectors
indicate a northeast movement with storms that develop this
afternoon. Much of this activity should affect areas to the
northwest of the LZK forecast area. As the evening progresses,
convection should obtain a more eastward movement, while overall
intensity decreases with increasing stability.

Gusty westerly surface winds are expected during the afternoon on
Wednesday, in the wake of a cold front moving eastward through the
mid south. Afternoon temperatures on Wednesday will average 15-20
degrees lower than those of this afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday
A deep upper low pressure system will be over New England to begin
the long term period with an upper ridge over the Rockies. The upper
low will slowly move through the northeast U.S. through Friday. The
upper ridge moves into the Plains for Friday and Saturday...then to
the eastern U.S. for Sunday. Another upper low moves into the
northern Plains Sunday but should move into the Great Lakes for
Monday and Tuesday. Southwest flow will return to Arkansas for
Sunday night through Tuesday.

Models are in good agreement with a dry period Thursday night
through Sunday with high pressure generally in control. The high
moves east of Arkansas Sunday and moisture will return. A cold front
moves into the Plains Monday and we will see rain chances increase
over Arkansas on Sunday night and Monday then decrease on Tuesday.
The cold front moves through Arkansas on Tuesday. After a cool
Friday, temperatures will return to above normal values.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     57  60  44  62 /  40  20  10   0
Camden AR         57  64  45  70 /  20  10   0   0
Harrison AR       51  53  40  58 /  70  40  10   0
Hot Springs AR    56  60  45  67 /  40  20   0   0
Little Rock   AR  59  61  46  66 /  30  20  10   0
Monticello AR     61  65  47  67 /  20  10   0   0
Mount Ida AR      53  58  43  66 /  50  20   0   0
Mountain Home AR  53  57  41  61 /  60  40  10   0
Newport AR        58  62  45  62 /  30  20  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     59  63  46  67 /  20  10   0   0
Russellville AR   54  57  43  65 /  60  20   0   0
Searcy AR         57  61  43  64 /  30  20  10   0
Stuttgart AR      61  63  45  65 /  30  10  10  10
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Short Term...55 / Long Term...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 4, 7:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...Update
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
730 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-051000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-
Bradley-Drew-
730 PM CDT Tue Apr 4 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to move into western Arkansas
this evening, and move across the state tonight. The storms are
ahead of a storm system to the west of Arkansas. This activity will
affect much of northern and parts of central Arkansas, while less
over southern areas. A few strong or severe storms will be possible,
primarily this evening, over northwest Arkansas. Large hail and
damaging winds are the main threats. The storms are expected to
gradually weaken as the move across the state overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Windy conditions are expected during the late morning to evening on
Wednesday. Cooler air will move into the region Wednesday and
Thursday. Patchy frost will be possible in sheltered valley areas of
northern and western Arkansas early Friday morning.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Limited spotter activation may be required across northwest sections
during the evening hours.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

55/44/57/59

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 4, 8:56 PM CDT, 53 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
856 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017

ARZ003-012-050245-
Newton AR-Boone AR-
856 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN NEWTON AND BOONE
COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...

At 856 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Berryville to Rudd to near Kingston to
Pettigrew. Movement was northeast at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Harrison...                       Bergman...
Omaha...                          Myrtle...
Roberson Hollow...                Self...
Erbie...                          Upper Buffalo Wilderness Area...
Red Bank...                       Lost Valley State Park...
Capps...                          Alpena...
Crumpler Subdivision...           Batavia...
Bear Creek Springs...             New Hope in Boone County...
Marble Falls...                   Ridgeway...
Gaither...                        Burlington...

LAT...LON 3649 9299 3629 9301 3590 9327 3583 9352
      3588 9352 3589 9350 3594 9349 3597 9345
      3608 9344 3608 9348 3612 9348 3612 9330
      3650 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 0156Z 234DEG 38KT 3637 9352 3622 9348 3602 9354 3581
9367

64

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 4, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan44 min
Apr 4, 8:56 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKBoone49 min
Apr 4, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Newton35 min
Apr 4, 9:30 PM CDTLake Wind AdvisoryLZKArkansas, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne and 28 more24 hr
Apr 4, 9:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy39 min
Apr 4, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Marion37 min
Apr 4, 9:46 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBoone, Marion29 min
Apr 4, 10:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKBoone, Marion, Newton, Searcy34 min
Apr 4, 10:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKYell48 min
Apr 4, 10:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKMontgomery45 min
Apr 4, 10:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Scott, Yell32 min
Apr 4, 10:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Searcy31 min
Apr 4, 11:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKSearcy, Stone38 min
Apr 4, 11:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKHot Spring, Pike44 min
Apr 4, 11:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKIzard, Stone47 min
Apr 4, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Independence, Izard, Sharp, Stone25 min
Apr 5, 12:22 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKIzard, Sharp38 min
Apr 5, 1:11 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKConway, Faulkner, Perry, Van Buren49 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Arkansas, 2017Every tornado warning in 2017Tornadoes in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.