River Flood Warning 48, NWS Little Rock, AR

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
700 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017

.AVIATION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms in northern and western
Arkansas will shift into southern and eastern sections of the
state today. There will be some low clouds/areas of MVFR
conditions, especially this morning.

Chances of rain will linger across mainly the southeast half
of the state tonight, with drier air building into the north/west
behind a cold front. VFR conditions will be noted across much
of the region.

Southerly winds will shift to the west and northwest this afternoon
and tonight behind the front. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Sunday Night
Showers/thunderstorms were widespread across the northern half of
Arkansas overnight. Precipitation was slowly building to the south
and east.

Rain will continue to be likely today. This will be ahead of a
cold front pushing into the state from the west. The front was
getting a nudge to the east from a large storm system aloft
that will track from the central Plains to the upper Midwest.

Chances for rain will shift into southern/eastern Arkansas
tonight and Sunday, with drier air working into areas farther
northwest behind the front. In fact, sunshine will be noted
across much of the north/west on Sunday.

Additional rainfall is not expected to be excessive, and
any severe weather today will be confined to areas south/east
of Little Rock. Even then, severe storms should be isolated
at most.

After above average temperatures in recent days, readings
will be closer to seasonal in the near term.
&&

.LONG TERM...Monday Through Friday
Upper low pressure will be over the Great Lakes to begin the long
term period with an upper ridge over the west coast. This upper low
will move to the east and another will develop over the Great Lakes.
The trough will extend into the southern Plains Tuesday and
Wednesday...moving off to the east Thursday. The upper ridge builds
over Arkansas Thursday night and Friday.

Surface high pressure will be over Arkansas Monday but the next cold
front moves into the state Tuesday. Expect Monday to be dry. As the
high moves to the east moisture will build back into the state.
Chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase Monday night and
continue into Tuesday. Rain chances will decrease Wednesday as high
pressure moves into the area. The rest of the period will be dry
except for a small chance of rain in the north on Friday. Below
normal temperatures are anticipated through the period.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     77  57  76  56 /  70  30  10   0
Camden AR         82  63  79  58 /  70  40  20  10
Harrison AR       73  50  74  50 /  70  10   0   0
Hot Springs AR    78  60  79  56 /  70  30  10   0
Little Rock   AR  80  62  78  58 /  70  40  10   0
Monticello AR     84  66  76  60 /  70  60  20  10
Mount Ida AR      76  55  78  55 /  70  20  10   0
Mountain Home AR  73  51  75  51 /  70  20   0   0
Newport AR        80  59  76  57 /  70  40  10   0
Pine Bluff AR     82  64  76  59 /  70  50  10   0
Russellville AR   77  56  79  55 /  70  20  10   0
Searcy AR         79  60  76  57 /  70  40  10   0
Stuttgart AR      83  63  76  59 /  70  60  10   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Short Term...46 / Long Term...51

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
500 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-211000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-
Bradley-Drew-
500 AM CDT Sat May 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Good chances of showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast today
as a cold front pushes into Arkansas from the west.

Any severe weather will be spotty, and mainly over the southern half
of the state. Damaging winds and hail will be the main concerns.
Heavy downpours may lead to localized flash flooding.

By tonight, precipitation will shift into the southern and eastern
counties, with rain ending farther northwest behind the front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday Through Friday

The aforementioned front will exit Arkansas to the east Sunday
morning. Showers and thunderstorms will end as the front moves out
of the state. Dry conditions will persist through Monday.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Given the possibility of only isolated severe storms today and
tonight, spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

51/46

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
755 AM CDT SAT MAY 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 AM     FLASH FLOOD      JUDSONIA                35.28N 91.64W
05/20/2017                   WHITE              AR   SOCIAL MEDIA

            FLOODING ALONG HIGHWAY 13 IN JUDSONIA

&&

MBROWN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
909 AM CDT SAT MAY 20 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNW CHENAL VALLEY     34.80N  92.48W
05/20/2017                   PULASKI            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED FLOODING AT THE INTERSECTION
            OF CHENONCEAU BLVD. AND ABERDEEN DR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK1700199

CAVANAUGH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1026 AM CDT SAT MAY 20 2017

ARZ063-064-069-201615-
Drew AR-Cleveland AR-Lincoln AR-
1026 AM CDT SAT MAY 20 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CLEVELAND...
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...NORTHWESTERN DREW AND LINCOLN COUNTIES UNTIL
1115 AM CDT...

At 1025 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Herbine, or 12 miles southwest of Star City, moving east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Star City...                      Grady...
Nebo...                           Feenyville...
Plantersville...                  Cane Creek State Park...
Mills...                          Herbine...
Garrett Bridge...                 Gourd...
Cornerville...                    Tyro...
Rose Hill...                      Palmyra...
Crigler...                        Relfs Bluff...
Rye...                            Glendale in Lincoln County...
Calhoun...                        Rowell...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3371 9207 3393 9213 3410 9164 3386 9155
      3380 9156
TIME...MOT...LOC 1525Z 251DEG 20KT 3383 9201

62