Severe Thunderstorm Warning 110, NWS Lubbock, TX

430 
WWUS54 KLUB 170215
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
915 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

TXC269-170245-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0110.000000T0000Z-170517T0245Z/
King TX-
915 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM CDT
FOR KING COUNTY...

At 915 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles southeast
of Guthrie, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Guthrie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for northwestern
Texas.

LAT...LON 3340 10036 3340 10051 3361 10052 3384 10020
      3383 10000 3355 9999
TIME...MOT...LOC 0215Z 234DEG 45KT 3356 10015 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RMCQUEEN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
643 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017

.AVIATION...
Note: ceilometer is inoperative at KPVW so no amendments scheduled
for this TAF site.

There will be chance of t-storms at KCDS late this evening, which
could be severe with large hail and gusts in excess of 50 kts.
Otherwise, stiff south-southwest breezes will shift to west as a
front moves across the area. Some virga showers are possible in
the vicinity of KLBB and KPVW this evening which could temporarily
enhance the wind gusts. West winds will gradually turn to the
southwest during the day Wednesday and diminish toward 00 UTC.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 345 PM CDT Tue May 16 2017/
As of 3:30 PM, thunderstorms have begun to develop over Floyd
county along a sharp dryline that has set up north to south along
the escarpment between the South Plains and Rolling Plains. Storm
coverage and intensity will increase through the evening hours
across the northern half of the Rolling Plains. There is a tornado
watch across the area of concern through 10pm tonight. Along with
the tornado threat, locations within the watch can expect giant
hail in excess of 3 inches in diameter and strong wind gusts
exceeding 70mph.

Later on this evening as the dryline begins to retreat west, it
will converge and combine with an advancing cold front as the
powerful and compact upper level low ejects out of eastern New
Mexico across the Texas Panhandle overnight and into the Central
Plains by Wednesday morning. The second wave of convection will
be more widespread and persist through the overnight hours and
should be east of our CWA by sunrise. The primary threat with the
squall line later tonight will be severe wind gusts and large
hail.

Wednesday will provide a break between this evenings upper level
low and another that arrives on our doorstep late Thursday.
The southern Rolling Plains could see some thunderstorms Thursday
afternoon as along the western extent of the Gulf moisture return
receives some lift from an enhanced southern jet, while the rest
of our CWA should remain dry.

A Pacific cold front will push south and east across our CWA
Friday morning with scattered non-severe thunderstorms and
showers. This mornings guidance has pushed POPs on Friday farther
east than previous forecasts as moisture return continues its
anemic trend. We'll dry out for the weekend as the upper level
trough begins to flatten and lift north on Saturday. Temps behind
the Pacific Cold front on Friday, and especially Saturday, will
be below normal before rebounding on Sunday to near 80 and to
seasonal norms by Monday.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ021-022-027-028-
033-034.

&&

33

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1113 AM CDT Tue May 16 2017

TXZ021>044-171615-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-
Floyd-Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-
Yoakum-Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
1113 AM CDT Tue May 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains...Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A sharp dryline moving east across the Caprock this morning
will stall in the western Rolling Plains by early afternoon,
coinciding with the arrival of a mid-level impulse. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms will develop as early as mid-afternoon,
particularly in the far southeast Panhandle and northern Rolling
Plains. The environment will favor discrete supercells, the
strongest of which could produce giant hail exceeding three inches
in diameter, a few tornadoes, and destructive downburst winds. By
late evening, a severe squall line is likely to develop in the
southern Rolling Plains and spread eastward through the night.
Farther west, a wind advisory is in effect from 3 PM until 9 PM
for much of the western South Plains as sustained southwest winds
increase to 25 to 35 mph later today. High based thunderstorms
west of the dryline this evening could also produce dry
microbursts with wind gusts to 65 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
There is potential for additional severe thunderstorms on Thursday
and Friday pending the evolution of a dryline and cold front
tonight. This threat appears to favor areas east of the Caprock
Escarpment.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and evening,
mainly off the Caprock.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
553 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     HAIL             3 S KIRKLAND            34.35N 100.07W
05/16/2017  E0.88 INCH       CHILDRESS          TX   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700203

MCONDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
617 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0603 PM     HAIL             KIRKLAND                34.39N 100.07W
05/16/2017  E1.00 INCH       CHILDRESS          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            .5 TO 1 INCH DIAMETER HAIL WHICH COVERED SOME ROADS
            SEVERAL INCHES DEEP.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700204

MCONDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
754 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PEACOCK                 33.18N 100.40W
05/16/2017                   STONEWALL          TX   PUBLIC

            ROOF BLOWN OFF UNOCCUPIED MOBILE HOME.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700205

MCONDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
835 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0816 PM     HAIL             5 W GIRARD              33.36N 100.75W
05/16/2017  E0.88 INCH       KENT               TX   PUBLIC

            PEA TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700206

MCONDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
847 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     HAIL             JUSTICEBURG             33.04N 101.20W
05/16/2017  E0.88 INCH       GARZA              TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700207

MCONDER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
852 PM CDT TUE MAY 16 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     HAIL             2 ENE JUSTICEBURG       33.05N 101.17W
05/16/2017  M1.75 INCH       GARZA              TX   PUBLIC

            HAIL SIZE MEASURED UP TO 1.8 INCHES IN DIAMETER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1700208

MCONDER