Severe Thunderstorm Warning 181, NWS Louisville, KY

355 
WWUS53 KLMK 192238
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
638 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

INC043-192248-
/O.CAN.KLMK.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-170519T2245Z/
Floyd IN-
638 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FLOYD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3857 8585 3856 8584 3854 8571 3842 8578
      3840 8581 3840 8588 3845 8607 3859 8595
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 297DEG 34KT 3846 8585 

$$

INC019-175-192245-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-170519T2245Z/
Clark IN-Washington IN-
638 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CLARK AND SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

At 638 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near New Providence
Town, moving southeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
New Providence Town, Blue River, New Pekin, Borden, Henryville,
Starlight, Carwood, Martinsburg, Wilson and New Liberty.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3857 8585 3856 8584 3854 8571 3842 8578
      3840 8581 3840 8588 3845 8607 3859 8595
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 297DEG 34KT 3846 8585 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SCHOETTMER

156 
WWUS53 KLMK 192244
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
644 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

INC019-175-192254-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0181.000000T0000Z-170519T2245Z/
Clark IN-Washington IN-
644 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CLARK AND
SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM EDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds
and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3857 8585 3856 8584 3854 8571 3842 8578
      3840 8581 3840 8588 3845 8607 3859 8595
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 298DEG 39KT 3844 8580 

$$

SCHOETTMER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
400 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

.Short Term...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 345 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

...Strong to Severe Storms Possible This Afternoon and again on
Saturday...

Convection continues to develop across the region this afternoon,
primarily along remnant outflow boundaries and along a sagging
surface cold front across southern Indiana.  Corridor of instability
was noted along either side of the Ohio River.  Current mesoanalysis
suggests 1500-2000 J/KG of CAPE along with sufficient DCAPE.  The
instability decreases along a gradient as one heads into southern
KY.  This is due to a large amount of convective overturning from
the morning MCS activity.  Temperatures were largely in the upper
70s to the lower 80s across southern IN and central Kentucky.  Some
higher readings were noted in far NW KY where skies had remained
mostly sunny and temps were in the mid-upper 80s.

For the remainder of the afternoon, expect convection to continue to
expand in coverage.  Greatest risk of severe weather looks to
remain mainly confined to southern Indiana and far northern KY where
stronger forcing and higher DCAPE values reside.  Scattered strong
to severe convection will be also be possible down in western KY,
west of the I-65 corridor.  Convection along and east of I-65,
especially in southern KY is questionable given the amount of
convective overturning that occurred.  However, with skies clearing
out, some uptick in instability may develop.  Convection is likely
to diminish with the setting sun as nocturnal stabilization of the
PBL takes place.

Most likely we'll see a lull in convection late tonight and into
early morning hours.  However, most of the CAM guidance suggests
that convection will develop late tonight across MO and work into
western KY and southwest IN toward dawn.  Best precipitation chances
look to be well west of I-65 tonight, so plan on keeping low PoPs in
the east with higher PoPs out west.   Another mild night is on tap
with lows in the upper 60s to around 70 in most places.

For Saturday and Saturday night, forecast is rather dependent on
convective evolution late tonight.  Current thinking is convection
that is expected to develop over MO will move northeastward into
southern IL/W KY/SW IN Saturday morning and continue to move off to
the northeast.  Frontal boundary to the north is forecast to lift
back northward as a warm front, so the entire forecast area will
remain in the warm sector.  CAMs suggest some scattered development
throughout the day just given the expected diurnal instability.
However, lack of a forcing mechanism looks to keep any activity
rather scattered.  Any storm will be possible of producing damaging
winds, hail, and torrential rainfall.  Highs will warm into the mid-
upper 80s in most spots.

By Saturday night, surface cold front out to the west will surge
eastward and push a line of strong/severe storms through the region.
The line will be coming into the western parts of the region in the
evening where some residual diurnal instability will remain thus,
highest risk of severe weather will likely remain west of the I-65
corridor.  The storms will sweep eastward overnight with a likely
decrease in intensity as the storms head eastward.  Lows Saturday
night will cool into the mid-upper 60s.

&&

.Long Term...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 400 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

As we head into Sunday, some additional trailing showers and/or
storms will be possible as the surface cold front continues to move
eastward across the forecast area.  Current thinking is that
precipitation will largely end by Sunday afternoon/eve with drier
conditions expected for Monday and into early Tuesday.  Highs Sunday
will be cooler with lower-mid 70s expected and overnight lows in the
lower-mid 50s.  Highs on Monday will warm back in to the lower-mid
70s again.  Lows Monday night should cool back into the lower-mid
50s.

The upper level pattern will deamplify on Tuesday as yet another
deep upper trough axis swings in from the west.  This will bring
another round of showers and storms to the region.  Depending on the
instability and quality of moisture, some of these storms could be
strong to severe as well.  Something to watch over the coming days.
This upper trough axis will shift eastward and attempt to close off.
The trough axis will be overhead on Wednesday, likely resulting in
cloudy/cool/showery conditions across the region.  After highs in
the 70s on Tuesday, temps on Wednesday could struggle to get into
the lower 60s.  The blend has been coming down in recent days, so
even cooler readings will be possible.

The upper trough axis is then forecast to push off to the east with
a more zonal flow pattern developing by late week.   Highs Thu/Fri
will warm back in the upper 60s to the lower 70s. Though the
pattern will likely shift back to a southwesterly flow by late next
weekend with disturbances moving through within the flow. So as of
this writing, the Memorial Holiday weekend may start off dry, but
looks to turn stormy by the later half of the weekend.

&&

.Aviation...(18Z TAF Issuance)
Issued at 135 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

A broken line of thunderstorms has developed along the outflow
boundary of the IL/IN convective complex from this morning. The line
is currently approaching SDF and BWG, extending from central Indiana
through central KY and western TN, eventually curving back into AR.
A shower or storm could result in MVFR/brief IFR impacts at all
three TAF sites this afternoon, mainly after 19z at LEX. Winds be
out of the southwest this afternoon around 10 kts, with occasional
gusts to around 18 kts.

The forecast beyond this afternoon is complex, but the current
thinking is that convection will tend to focus near and north of the
Ohio River. Expect diminishing rain and thunderstorm chances after
00z with the loss of daytime heating. Primarily VFR weather is
expected overnight. However, some light fog will be possible at BWG
early Saturday morning. Surface winds will go light and variable
tonight.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

Short Term...MJ
Long Term....MJ
Aviation.....EBW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
404 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-202015-
Orange-Washington-Scott-Jefferson-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-Harrison-
Floyd-Clark-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-
Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-
Fayette-Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Mercer-Jessamine-Larue-Marion-Boyle-
Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-
Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-
Cumberland-Clinton-
Including the cities of Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper,
English, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Lewisport,
Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Hartford, Leitchfield,
Elizabethtown, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford,
Milton, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Georgetown, Cynthiana,
Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg, Versailles, Lexington, Paris, Carlisle,
Bardstown, Springfield, Harrodsburg, Nicholasville, Winchester,
Hodgenville, Lebanon, Danville, Lancaster, Richmond, Morgantown,
Brownsville, Horse Cave, Greensburg, Campbellsville, Liberty,
Stanford, Russellville, Bowling Green, Franklin, Providence,
Scottsville, Glasgow, Tompkinsville, Edmonton, Columbia, Jamestown,
Burkesville, and Albany
404 PM EDT Fri May 19 2017 /304 PM CDT Fri May 19 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Indiana and Central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to move across the outlook
area this evening. Some of the storms could be strong to severe with
damaging winds, torrential rainfall, and large hail being the primary
severe threats. In addition, thunderstorms will likely contain quite
a bit of lightning. Heavy rainfall may lead to some localized
flooding in some areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered to numerous storms are again possible late Saturday into
Saturday night as a cold front approaches. Any severe storm could
produce heavy rainfall, damaging winds, and large hail late Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any damaging winds or hail today
through Saturday.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

MJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
534 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

INZ084-090-192200-
Crawford-Harrison-
534 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL HARRISON COUNTY...

At 534 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Corydon, moving
east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Corydon, Leavenworth, Elizabeth, Crandall, New Middletown, New
Salisbury, Breckenridge, Moberly, Byrneville and White Cloud.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3834 8604 3812 8596 3814 8627 3815 8628
      3817 8631 3815 8633 3814 8632 3814 8633
      3816 8634 3817 8632 3818 8632 3820 8635
      3821 8636
TIME...MOT...LOC 2134Z 256DEG 23KT 3818 8622

SCHOETTMER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
542 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

INZ084-089-090-KYZ024-025-192215-
Crawford-Perry-Harrison-Meade-Breckinridge-
542 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
HARRISON...SOUTHEASTERN CRAWFORD...EAST CENTRAL PERRY...WESTERN MEADE
AND NORTHERN BRECKINRIDGE COUNTIES...

At 542 PM EDT/442 PM CDT/, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were
located along a line extending from 15 miles northeast of Tell City
to 10 miles west of Brandenburg to Hardinsburg. Movement was east at
30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Brandenburg, Hardinsburg, Webster, Irvington, Leavenworth, Mauckport,
Alton, New Amsterdam, Guston and Roberta.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3820 8635 3804 8611 3781 8627 3774 8661
      3792 8648 3805 8666
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 247DEG 26KT 3807 8654 3796 8636 3780 8647

RJS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
544 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

INZ084-192215-
Crawford-
544 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY...

At 544 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near English, moving
east at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
English, Marengo, Milltown, Curby, Grantsburg, Temple, Riddle,
Switzer Crossroads, Pilot Knob and Hogtown.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3836 8628 3835 8628 3835 8627 3832 8628
      3832 8629 3830 8628 3831 8626 3830 8626
      3829 8625 3828 8626 3828 8627 3826 8628
      3824 8650 3830 8652 3840 8635 3839 8631
      3842 8631
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 253DEG 19KT 3829 8646

SCHOETTMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
546 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0536 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE DUKES             37.83N 86.68W
05/19/2017                   HANCOCK            KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN AND PEA SIZE HAIL.

&&

RL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
618 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 NNW BUNKER HILL       38.60N 85.89W
05/19/2017  M1.10 INCH       WASHINGTON         IN   COCORAHS

            1.10 INCHES IN 20 MINUTES.

&&

RL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
623 PM EDT FRI MAY 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     HAIL             DEPAUW                  38.34N 86.22W
05/19/2017  E1.75 INCH       HARRISON           IN   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

RL