Severe Thunderstorm Warning 70, NWS Lake Charles, LA

127 
WWUS54 KLCH 300235
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
935 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

LAC003-300244-
/O.CAN.KLCH.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-170430T0300Z/
Allen LA-
935 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ALLEN PARISH IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3090 9233 3097 9247 3114 9237 3106 9222
      3105 9222 3098 9225 3096 9227 3096 9228
      3095 9228
TIME...MOT...LOC 0234Z 216DEG 33KT 3100 9236 

$$

LAC039-079-300300-
/O.CON.KLCH.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-170430T0300Z/
Rapides LA-Evangeline LA-
935 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN RAPIDES AND NORTH CENTRAL EVANGELINE PARISHES...

At 934 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Cheneyville,
moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. 

Locations impacted include...
Cheneyville and Lecompte. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3090 9233 3097 9247 3114 9237 3106 9222
      3105 9222 3098 9225 3096 9227 3096 9228
      3095 9228
TIME...MOT...LOC 0234Z 216DEG 33KT 3100 9236 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Rua

717 
WWUS54 KLCH 300250
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
950 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

LAC039-079-300300-
/O.EXP.KLCH.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-170430T0300Z/
Rapides LA-Evangeline LA-
950 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN RAPIDES AND NORTH
CENTRAL EVANGELINE PARISHES WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 PM CDT...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has weakened and 
moved out of the warned area. Therefore, the warning will be allowed 
to expire.

LAT...LON 3090 9233 3097 9247 3114 9237 3106 9222
      3105 9222 3098 9225 3096 9227 3096 9228
      3095 9228
TIME...MOT...LOC 0250Z 211DEG 33KT 3112 9228 

$$

Rua

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
645 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
For the 30/00Z TAF Issuance.

&&

.AVIATION...
Low level jet continues to funnel into the storm system over the
Southern Plains. Therefore, southerly winds sustained around 20
knots with gusts to around 30 knots will persist into the
overnight. These south winds will continue to bring in Gulf
moisture, that will trapped underneath a cap, with mainly MVFR
ceiling also persisting into the overnight, with scattered showers.
Regional radar shows storms coalescing into a line along the I-35
corridor of central Texas ahead of a cold front. This cold front
will accelerate across the region tonight and early Sunday. Tried
to time this front that will likely bring a squall line of storms
based on early trends and hi-res solutions. This will bring the
activity to KBPT between 08-11Z...KLCH 09-12Z...KAEX
10-13Z...KLFT/KARA between 12-15Z. After the line passes, winds
will shift to the northwest, with ceilings and shower activity
gradually ending by late morning into the early afternoon.

Rua

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 353 PM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017/

DISCUSSION...

Strong and gusty gradient winds will continue through this evening
before decreasing after sunset. However, winds are expected to
remain elevated for areas along and south of I-10 through tomorrow
morning. Therefore, no adjustments to the timing or the area of
the Wind Advisories were made this afternoon.

A cold front is forecast to move through the region resulting in
thunderstorms be likely late tonight and through the day on
Sunday. Sufficient instability and shear indicate that the
thunderstorms could be strong to severe. Given the strong wind
fields in place over the region, the primary threat would be
damaging winds; but, large hail and one or two tornadoes cannot be
ruled out. The main line is expected to be approaching Southeast
Texas around midnight. The primary time for heaviest thunderstorms
from Lake Charles west will be from after midnight through mid
morning Sunday. For areas east of Lake Charles, the main
timeframe for heaviest thunderstorms will be from early Sunday
morning through late Sunday afternoon.

Given the depth of warm cloud layer and PWAT values in excess of
the 90th percentile for this time of year, thunderstorms tonight
and tomorrow will be efficient rainfall producers. However, the
convective line is forecast to be progressive enough to limit the
flooding threat with this system. A widespread one to three inches
of rainfall with locally heavier amounts are expected through
Sunday night.

Drier conditions will be ushered in behind the cold front on
Sunday. The next system will approach the region Wednesday into
Thursday bringing likely rainfall chances again. In addition to
the rainfall, cooler temperatures are expected for the end of the
week into the weekend.

MARINE...

STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE AREA. SEAS OF 10 TO 12 FEET ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
OUTER COASTAL WATERS WITH 6 TO 9 FEET ACROSS THE NEARSHORE
WATERS. THIS STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO RESULT IN ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE READINGS THE NEXT FEW HIGH TIDE CYCLES. IN ADDITION TO
THE STRONG WINDS AND SEAS, WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. BEHIND THE FRONT
WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWESTERLY AND SUBSIDE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  67  74  51  80 / 100 100  10   0
LCH  66  76  53  81 / 100  80  10   0
LFT  74  78  56  82 /  40 100  10   0
BPT  64  76  52  81 / 100  50   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT Sunday for LAZ041-042-073-074.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for LAZ041-
     052-073-074.

     Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for LAZ027>033-043>045.

     Wind Advisory until 11 AM CDT Sunday for LAZ052>055.

TX...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT Sunday for TXZ215-216.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ215.

     Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ180-201-259>262.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT Sunday for GMZ435-450-452-
     455-470-472-475.

     Small Craft Exercise Caution from Sunday afternoon through late
     Sunday night for GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM CDT Sunday for GMZ430-432.

     Small Craft Exercise Caution from Sunday morning through Sunday
     afternoon for GMZ430-432.

&&

AVIATION...07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
456 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
301000-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
456 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A Coastal Flood Warning for minor flooding as strong winds pile up
water along the coast this morning. Otherwise strong and gusty
winds today over southeast Texas and southern Louisiana. A Wind
Advisory has been posted through Sunday morning as a cold front
will make it's way down into the region. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms expected to develop out ahead of the
front. There is a chance that some storms may become severe with
the main threat hail and winds. Heavy rains will also accompany
these storms. Storms will draw to a close Sunday afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Rains ending Sunday evening as drier air spills in from the
northwest. Cooler and drier air will start out the week but rains
return by midweek as another front will makes it's presents felt.
The front comes through on Thursday morning with the region
expected to dry out for the rest of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be required.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-301000-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City
LA out 20 NM-
Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from  Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
456 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Small Craft Advisory for today into tonight as winds and seas will
remain elevated with the approach a cold front from the northwest.
Showers and thunderstorms expected through Sunday ending behind
the wind shift.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Winds expected to swing around to the northwest late Sunday
morning as the front moves through with showers tapering off.
Winds are expected to begin relaxing with seas falling Sunday
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be required.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
804 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0753 PM     HAIL             REEVES                  30.52N 93.04W
04/29/2017  E1.00 INCH       ALLEN              LA   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN REEVES.

&&

RACKLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
810 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0645 PM     HAIL             5 WSW LAKE CHARLES      30.17N 93.27W
04/29/2017  E1.00 INCH       CALCASIEU          LA   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED ESTIMATED QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN SW LAKE
            CHARLES VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

RACKLEY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
844 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

LAZ028-029-300215-
Avoyelles LA-Rapides LA-
844 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN RAPIDES AND
NORTHWESTERN AVOYELLES PARISHES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

At 844 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Alexandria, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Alexandria, Pineville, Ball, Lecompte, Deville, Libuse, Tioga, Esler
Regional Airport, Kingsville, Kolin, Centerpoint, Holloway and
Paradise.

LAT...LON 3147 9219 3147 9216 3146 9217 3145 9215
      3143 9216 3141 9215 3139 9212 3138 9212
      3136 9208 3135 9207 3134 9209 3132 9208
      3108 9240 3126 9260 3144 9242 3148 9221
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 223DEG 43KT 3126 9246

Rua

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
856 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     HAIL             OBERLIN                 30.62N 92.76W
04/29/2017  E1.00 INCH       ALLEN              LA   AMATEUR RADIO

            HAM RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN
            OBERLIN.

&&

RACKLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
901 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HAIL             OBERLIN                 30.62N 92.76W
04/29/2017  E1.50 INCH       ALLEN              LA   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORTED PINGPONG BALL SIZED HAIL NEAR OBERLIN.

&&

RACKLEY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
910 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

LAZ032-033-043-044-300300-
Acadia LA-Lafayette LA-St. Landry LA-Evangeline LA-
910 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE...
SOUTHEASTERN EVANGELINE...NORTHEASTERN ACADIA AND CENTRAL ST. LANDRY
PARISHES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

At 909 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Branch, or 7 miles southwest of Church Point, moving northeast at 35
mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Opelousas, Eunice, Rayne, Ville Platte, Church Point, Sunset, Port
Barre, Duson, Washington, Grand Coteau, Cankton, Chataignier, Mowata,
Prairie Ronde, Maxie, Mire, Indian Lake, Savoy, Lawtell and Swords.

LAT...LON 3017 9222 3030 9246 3081 9225 3061 9189
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 205DEG 31KT 3034 9231

Rua